2004 4 Abstract :Depending on the data of The Changing of China s Social Structure in 2001, this paper analyses the attainment of Chinese social status of different historical period by linear regression and logistical regression. The paper finds that : ( 1) the Chinese society is becoming opening instead of blocking out ; the achieved factors are much more significant than the ascribed ; but some boundaries of classes need to be opened, such as Hukou system,etc. (2) in the factors of the achieved, educational capital is becoming more important ; ( 3) the attainment of social status for sons and daughters are all affected by their families class origin instead of only sons. :,, ( ),,, ; ( ), ( ),, ( ),,,,, 1967, 16 ( ) ( 20264,N = 20700) ( ),, : ( ),,, :, ;,,,, (eeghley,1996 :70), : 3,,, 76
,,,,,, (William Parish) 1972-1978 132, 2865, : (1966 ) 20,,, 20, :,, :,, (Destratification) (Parish,1984 :84-120), 1983 (N = 1774) (Xie &Lin, 1986) 1985 (N = 1000) : (,2002 :83-115) :,, ( ),,,?,, : ( ),,,,,, :, ; (Andrew G. Walder),, ;, 1998 3975,, :, 77
, ( ) ; Π,,,,, (,2002), 50,, :,?,? :?,,? 1949,,?,, (,2002 :83-115),,?,??,,,,, ( Konrad & Szel nyi,1979),, 11 2001 6193 16-20 514 % ; 21-30 1411 % ; 31-40 2511 % ; 41-50 2318 % ; 51-60 1716 % ; 61-70 1319 % : 8 % ; 2413 % ; 3412 % ; 1617 % ; 7 % 617 % ; 3 % ; 0121 % 21, :, :,,,, : 78
, :,,, :,,,,,,,, :, :,, : 31,, :,,,,, ( ),, ( ),, : (1) 1950-1956 ; (2) 1957-1965 ; (3) 1966-1976 ; (4) 1977-1991 ; (5) 1992, 41 : -,,, (J. H. Goldthorpe), : (1) ; (2) ; (3) ; (4) ; (5) ; (6) ; (7),,,, ;, : (1) ; (2) ; (3) ; (4) ; (5) ; (6) ; (7) 79
:,,,, : ; ( ) ; :,, 1, 0 :,, : (1) ( ) ; (2) ; (3) ; (4) : (1) ; (2) ; (3), 0, 1 :, 50?,, 1 1, :, 1950-1956, 1957-1965 1966-1977, 14 1978-1991 1992-2001,, 14,, 14,,, ;,?,,,,,, ;,,, 14,,,,,,, 80
1 ( ) 1949-1956 1957-1965 1966-1977 1978-1991 1992-2001 14 0. 0296-0. 0250-0. 0053 0. 0729 3 0. 1575 3 0. 0304-0. 0457-0. 0510 0. 0436 0. 0392 ( = 1) - 0. 1646 3 3 3 0. 0298-0. 0106 0. 0069-0. 0288 = 0. 3571 3 3 3 0. 0955 0. 4375 3 3 3 0. 2642 3 3 3 0. 1309 + 0. 0775-0. 0492 0. 1318 3 3 3 0. 1629 3 3 3 0. 0075 ( = 1) 0. 1147 0. 1730 3 3 3 0. 0927 3 0. 1784 3 3 3 0. 2314 3 3 3 = 0. 3074 3 3 3 0. 4491 3 3 3 0. 2379 3 3 3 0. 4201 3 3 3 0. 2402 3 0. 2832 3 3 3 0. 2366 3 3 3 0. 0610 0. 1253 3 3 3-0. 0843 0. 0881 0. 2563 3 3 3 0. 0551 0. 0022-0. 0104 ( = 1) - 0. 1289 3 0. 0095-0. 0735 3-0. 0598 3-0. 0348 ad R 2 0. 492 0. 463 0. 287 0. 427 0. 400 N 163 360 636 779 170 : 3 3 3 :P < 01001 ; 3 3 :P < 0101 ; 3 :P < 0105 ; + :P < 0110, 14, 1953 1964, 1960, 64 %( 7726 12710 ) 12 %(,2003 :99),,1965,,,,,, ( ), 1956,1949,,,, 1949-1956 ; 1957-1965, 1966-1976,, 1977-1991,,,,,, ( ) ;,, 81
, 1978-1991,,,, 1966-1977,, (,2002),,, 1957-1965 1992-2001,,, 1992,,,,, 1 1958, 1949-1956,,,, (14 ),,,,, 2,,,, :, 1949-1956, 14,,,,,,,,, 1966-1979 (1966-1976 ),,1977-1979 1950-1953, ( ),1952 2 (,1999 :159) 82
, 1956 9, :, 3412 % ;, 2314 % (,1999 :156 ;,2000 :346), :,,,,1957-1965,,, 1949,,,,, ;,, 2 ( ) 1949-1956 1957-1965 1966-1977 1978-1991 1992-2001 14 0. 2778 3 3 3 0. 1749 3 3 3 0. 2350 3 3 3 0. 2114 3 3 3 0. 1964 3 3 3 0. 0812 0. 1233 3 3 3 0. 0667 3 0. 2134 3 3 3 0. 2211 3 3 3 ( = 1) - 0. 2212 3 3 3-0. 0851 + - 0. 0590-0. 0197 0. 0034 14-0. 1006-0. 2174 3 3 3-0. 1680 3 3 3-0. 1331 3 3 3-0. 1149 3 0. 0519 0. 1655 3 3 3 0. 0174 0. 0604 3 3 3 0. 1625 3 3 3 1,0 0. 1526 3 3 3 0. 2107 3 3 3 0. 2087 3 3 3 0. 1377 3 3 3 0. 0678 ad R 2 0. 216 0. 255 0. 192 0. 218 0. 208 N 321 738 1249 1570 480 11 3 3 3 :P < 01001 ; 3 3 :P < 0101 ; 3 :P < 0105 ; + :P < 0110 21 14 : 1 = ; 2 = ; 3 = ; 4 =, 1966-1977,,,, 1966 6 1, 1966, 6 13,, 7 24,,,,1970 6 27, ( ),,,1972,!, ( ),, : 83
,, 1978-1991,,,,,,,, 1978 14,,, 1992-2001, 1978-1991 9,, 20 90 14,,,, : 14, ;,,, 90, 9 ( ) 14, : :, 14,,,, ; 11, 1977-1991, ( = 14. 07),,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20 70 84
1992-2001,, 1978-1991, :, 14 ( ) ; ( 3), 14 (, 14, ),, ;,, 21 4,,, Π 3 ( ) 1949-1956 1957-1965 1966-1977 1978-1991 1992-2001 14 0. 07 1. 07-0. 04 0. 96-0. 01 0. 98-0. 08 3 3 0. 92-0. 02 0. 97 14 = 14 0. 09 3 1. 09 0. 60 1. 82 1. 11 3 3 3 3. 06 2. 64 3 3 14. 0 0. 58 1. 78 14-1. 07 3 0. 34-0. 54 0. 57-0. 12 0. 88 0. 34 1. 40 0. 52 1. 62-0. 12 0. 87-0. 04 0. 95-0. 05 0. 94 0. 01 3 3 1. 01 0. 10 1. 16 ( = 1) 0. 17 1. 19 0. 00 1. 01 0. 25 1. 29-0. 24 3 3 0. 78-0. 65 0. 52 = 2. 19 3 3 3 8. 96 1. 28 3 3 3 3. 60 0. 52 3 3 1. 68 1. 20 3. 34 2. 02 3 7. 58 2. 95 3 3 3 19. 18 1. 88 3 3 3 6. 59 1. 26 3 3 3 3. 55 2. 92 18. 5 2. 91 3 3 18. 52 0. 14 + 1. 16 0. 22 3 3 3 1. 25 0. 12 3 3 3 1. 13 0. 02 3 1. 02 0. 15 3 3 3 1. 17 ( = 1) - 0. 42 0. 65 0. 47 1. 61 0. 10 1. 10 0. 60 1. 82 0. 49 1. 64-9. 06 3 3-13.48 333-7. 13-3. 7 3 3-7. 1 3 3-2 LL 175. 58 329. 43 773. 06 726. 6 187. 9 N 144 329 643 766 169 : 3 3 3 :P < 01001 ; 3 3 :P < 0101 ; 3 :P < 0105 ; + :P < 0110 :, 1966-1977, 14,,,, 1957-1965 1966-1977, 1949-1956,, : (1949-1965 ), 1957 1977 20, 1949-1956, 85
,,, 1957-1977 20,, 4 ( ) 1949-1956 1957-1965 1966-1977 1978-1991 1992-2001 14 0. 0790 1108 0113 3 1113 0109 1109-0102 0197-01097 0199 14 = 14 1. 22 3 3 3. 40 1. 08 3 3 2. 97 1. 44 3 3 4. 23 2. 27 3 3 9. 71 1. 20 3 3 3 3. 35 14-0. 88 3 3 0. 41-0. 217 0. 80 0. 09 1. 09 0. 28 1. 33 0. 20 1. 22 0. 0438 1. 04 0. 05 1. 06-0. 03 0. 96 0. 01 1. 01 0. 05 1. 05 ( = 1) - 0. 05 0. 95 0. 52 3 3 1. 69 0. 32 3 1. 38 0. 17 1. 19-0. 21 0. 80 = 1. 16 3 3 3. 19 1. 35 3 3 3. 88 1. 20 3 3 3. 33 1. 21 3 3 3 3. 37 1. 27 3. 58 1. 34 3 3 3. 84 2. 27 3 3 9. 03 2. 83 3 3 17. 9 3. 65 3 3 3 38. 48 3. 19 3 3 3 24. 36 0. 23 3 3 3 1. 26 0. 16 3 3 3 1. 18 0. 11 3 3 1. 11 0. 08 3 3 3 1. 08 0. 0413 1. 04 ( = 1) 0. 3609 1. 43 0. 11 1. 12-0. 20 0. 81 0. 01 1. 01 0. 1621 1. 170-16. 01 3-11. 7 3-7. 8 3 3-6. 57 3 3-4. 9 3 3 3 ad R 2 253. 91 571. 6 1054. 0 1148. 1 382. 84 N 240 594 1100 1377 409 : 3 3 3 :P < 01001 ; 3 3 :P < 0101 ; 3 :P < 0105 ; + :P < 0110 4 3, : 1949-1956,, :20 90, ( ),,,,, 20 50,, 5,,, ( 5) :,, 14 ( ),,, 1957-1965, 1956, 16 86
,1960,, 1961 1963 6 2800 (,2003 :185),,,, ( ),,,, ( ), ( ),, 5 1957-1965 1966-1977 1978-1991 1992-2001 14 0. 0560 3-0. 0087 0. 1203 3 0. 0722 3 0. 0766 3-0. 0047-0. 0268-0. 0767-0. 0433 0. 0209 ( = 1) - 0. 0062 0. 0163-0. 1291 3-0. 0506 0. 0300 ( = 1) 0. 1574 3 3 3 0. 2334 3 0. 2574 3 3 3 0. 1399 3 3 3 0. 1478 3 3 3 = 0. 1121 3 3 3 0. 1519 0. 1418 3 0. 0203 0. 0891 3 0. 2263 3 3 3 0. 1845 0. 2355 3 3 3 0. 2265 3 3 3 0. 2376 3 3 3 ( = 1) 0. 2061 3 3 3 0. 2225 3 0. 2650 3 3 3 0. 1364 3 3 3 0. 1740 3 3 3 ( = 1) 0. 0503 3 0. 0506 0. 1246 3 0. 1126 3-0. 0889 3 0. 0970 3 3 3 0. 1749 0. 0668 0. 1444 3 3 3 0. 0301 0. 0158 0. 0148 0. 1681 3 0. 0505 0. 1007 3 3 ( = 1) 0. 0189 0. 0501-0. 0200 0. 0207 0. 0077 ad R 2. 199. 375. 418. 233. 197 N 2009 86 190 370 1333 11 3 3 3 :P < 01001 ; 3 3 :P < 0101 ; 3 :P < 0105 ; + :P < 0110 21 1950 1956,,,,,,,,,, ( ), ( ), ;,,, 5, ; ;, : FFP (Firm s First Position),,, FFP 87
, 1992,, 1992,,, 4,, 1957-1965 1966-1977,,,, 1978,,,,,, 1992, 20,,,,, ( ), 1991 1992,,,, :,, (,2002) :,,,,,,,,,, 1992,,,,,, 88
, 14,,, ;,,,,,, ( ),,,, 20 90,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( 90 ),,, ;,, :,,,,, ( ) ;, :,, ;, :,,,,,,,,,, 89
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