西方三大霸权的战略比较——兼论美国制度霸权的启示意义•

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1 - 1 Pax Americana Pax Romana Pax Britannica Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Bound to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power, New York: Basic Books, 1990, p Immanuel Wallerstein, Three Hegemonies, in Patrick Karl O Brien and Armand Clesse, eds., Two Hegemonies: Britain and the United States , Burlington: Ashgate Publishing Company, 2002, pp Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Bound

2 /3 1.9% 9.5% % 10% 40-45% 55-60% 1870 to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power Edward Luck, Mixed Messages: American Politics and International Organization, , Washington: Brooking Institution Press, 1999, p.29 Patrick Karl O Brien and Armand Clesse, eds., Two Hegemonies: Britain and the United States Kupchan Charles, The End of American Era: U.S. Foreign Policy and the Geopolitics of the Twenty-First Century, New York: Knopf, Andrew Bacevich, American Empire: The Realities and Consequences of U.S. Diplomacy, Cambridge University Press, H Mattingly, Roman Imperial Civilization, New York: W.W. Norton & Company, 1967, p.137.

3 % GDP / Gunboat Diplomacy P J Francios Hiebourg, American Hegemony? Perceptions of the US Abroad, Survival, Vol.41, No.4, Winter 1999/2000, pp.5-19.

5 /6 1/ Christopher Layne, The Unipolar Illusion: Why New Great Power Will Rise, International Security, Vol.17, No.4, Spring 1993, pp

6 Robert O. Keohane, After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy, Princeton: Princeton University Press,

7 % Bruce M. Russett, The Mysterious Case of Vanishing Hegemony; or, Is Mark Twain Really Dead?, International Organization, Vol.39, No.2, Spring 1985, pp % Bruce M. Russett, The Mysterious Case of Vanishing Hegemony; or, Is Mark Twain Really Dead?, International Organization, Vol.39, No.2, Spring 1985, pp Robert Latham, History, Theory, and International Order: Some Lessons from the Nineteenth Century, Review of International Studies, Vol.23, No.2, 1997, pp Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Bound to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power, New York: Basic Books, 1990, p Francios Crouzet, Mercantilism, War and the Rise of British Power, in Patrick Karl O Brien and Armand Clesse, eds., Two Hegemonies: Britain and the United States , Burlington: Ashgate Publishing Company, 2002, pp William Wohlforth, The Stability of a Unipolar World, International Security, Vol.21, No.1, Summer 1999, pp Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth, American Primacy in Perspective, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 81, No.4, July/August 2002, pp

8 William Wohlforth, The Stability of a Unipolar World, pp Immanuel Wallerstein, Three Hegemonies, pp Anthony Howe, Free-Trade Cosmopolitanism in Britain, , in Patrick Karl O Brien and Armand Clesse, eds., Two Hegemonies: Britain and the United States , Burlington: Ashgate Publishing Company, 2002, p.69.

9 Kupchan Charles, The End of American Era: U.S. Foreign Policy and the Geopolitics of the Twenty-First Century, pp Richard Ned Lebow and Robert Kelly, Thucydides and Hegemony: Athens and the United States, Review of International Studies, Vol.27, No.3, 2001, pp

10 Henry Kissinger, Diplomacy, New York: Simon & Schuster, 1994, p Robert Latham, History, Theory, and International Order: Some Lessons From the Nineteenth Century, pp G. John Ikenberry, Liberalism and Empire: Logics of Order in the American Unipolar Age, Review of International Studies, Vol.30, 2004, pp

11 Albert Weiberg, Manifest Destiny: A Study of Nationalist Expansionism in American History, Chicago, 1935, p H J

12 Instrumental Multilateralism Strategy

13 50 W Multilateralism a la Carte Multilateralism a la Charte Foot Rosemary et al, eds., US Hegemony and International Organizations, New York: Oxford University Press, 2003, pp ; Joseph S. Nye, U.S. Power and Strategy after Iraq, Foreign Affairs, Vol.82, No.4, July/August 2003, pp William Pfaff, The Question of Hegemony, Foreign Affairs, Vol.80, No.1, January/ February, 2001, pp

第一章緒論

第一章緒論歩 1 See Donold E. Nuechterlein, United States National Interests World (Kentucky: The University Press of Kentucky, 1973), 172. 2 1992 6 178 3 5 9 1991 1 4-7 25 4 2001 12 27-8 5 2000 5 205 6 5 9 1991 1