Microsoft PowerPoint - Update 2009 pH1N1.ppt

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "Microsoft PowerPoint - Update 2009 pH1N1.ppt"

露陈
5 years ago
Views:

1 Update of 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza 衛生署疾病管制局中區傳染病防治醫療網王任賢指揮官

2 Update of ph1n1 influenza 各國流行病學資料病毒之毒性 ph1n1 (H1N1pdm) 流感重症之臨床表現 ph1n1 流感輕症之轉診準則克流感之治療與預防效果克流感抗藥性病毒株之流行病學及臨床重要性 sh1n1 疫苗是否對 ph1n1 有交叉保護力

3 Global status of human infection with H1N1 virus and influenza pandemic preparedness

4 Background Seasonal influenza epidemics occur every year Caused by existing virus families of viruses that evolve over time Influenza pandemics differ in important ways Infrequent events (1918, 1957, 1968) Emergence & spread (among people) of new family of virus Can result in higher levels of illness, hospitalization & death Can have different epidemiological and clinical features Can significantly affect social functions

5 Brief Timeline of Events Strong concern that avian H5N1 could evolve into next pandemic Pandemic preparedness actions started by some countries April : outbreak of influenza-like illness in Veracruz, Mexico, Reported to WHO 15-17: two cases of newa(h1n1) virus infection identified in Southern California 23: new influenza A(H1N1) virus infection confirmed in several patients in Mexico

6 Timeline of Events April : WHO declares public health event of international concern (PHEIC) 27: WHO declares pandemic phase 4-sustained community transmission in Mexico 29 : WHO declares pandemic phase 5 (2 countries affected) June : WHO declares pandemic phase 6 (spread to 2 WHO regions) In 9 weeks: all WHO regions reporting cases of ph1n1 2009

7 WHO global pandemic response plan Monitor and track disease progression Generate and transfer knowledge Guide and support countries Accelerate access to vaccines Accelerate access to antivirals Global health leadership and collaboration

8 Critical observation Pandemic virus spread worldwide very rapidly Preparedness has made a very significant difference Continued work still needed to improve awareness, knowledge, national and international capacities Many remaining significant uncertainties Will important clinical, epidemiological or viral features change? Will other events intervene such as changes in H5N1 activity? How much vaccine will available?

9 Critical lessons Flexibility is critical Re-examine & modify existing plans, surveillence and control strategies to meet realities of the situation Communications Global solidarity is a necessity & not a luxury In a globalized world, viruses spread worldwide in weeks while rumors and fears affecting economic spread in hours No country can address this situation without help & cooperation of all other countries Sharing of access to vaccines & other critical benefits and capacities as important as sharing of information & viruses

10 Pandemic impact in WPR Pandemic impact still remains uncertain and is currently being monitoring Impact of the pandemic on a population has many dimensions: health, social and economic No reported severe impact on health care service as a result of acute respiratory failure Pressures on local hospitals and potential economic loss reported from some countries

11 病毒之毒性

12 2009 pandemic (H1N1) virus To date, viruses characterized are antigenically similar Sensitive to neuraminidase inhibitors Resistant to amantadine and rimantadine Increasing number of sporadic oseltamivir resistant virus isolates No genetic markers of virulence identified Viruses from severe cases do not have different genetic sequences

13 Pathogenesis and transmissibility of ph1n1 virus in animal model Intranasal inoculation of ferrets, guinea pigs, and monkey with ph1n1 vs sh1n1 Increase morbidity Replication in high titer in lung tissues Diarrhea and virus recovery from intestines Less efficient respiratory droplet transmission Virulence of ph1n1 is potentially higher than sh1n1 Some adaptation, eg E627K in PB2, is likely required to become more transmissible in humans

14 No difference in viral factors between severe/fatal and mild cases Most patients show very mild symptoms similar to seasonal flu, while those in high risk groups and otherwise healthy younger generation may develop severe illness So far, there is no significant difference in genetic and phenotypic characteristics between virus isolated from severe/fatal and mild cases

15 Summary of genetic and antigenic analysis of ph1n1 The combination of gene segments of ph1n1 virus was not reported previously Reassortment had occurred between North American triple reassortment and Eurasian lineage of swine viruses No genetic markers for severe disease ph1n1 viruses circulating worldwide are genetically and antigenically homogeneous, suggesting a single and recent introduction into humans

16 ph1n1 流感重症之臨床表現

17 Distribution of pandemic cases by age Lab-confirmed in Chile, EU & EFTA, Japan, Panama, Mexico % of cases

18 ph1n1 in USA ( 止 ) 確診病例 : 28,210 住院治療病例 : 6506 (23%) 死亡病例 : 435 (1.54%, 6.69%)

19 Clinical picture of ph1n1 infection Most people have uncomplicated and self resolving disease Severe or fatal illness occur most often in younger adults 50-80% have conditions such as asthma, other lung disorders, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, immunosuppression, neurologic disorders, pregnancy Obesity may be newly recognized risk factor but needs more study 20-50% severe illness occurring in previously healthy people Majority of known deaths associated with respiratory failure Consistent with viral pneumonia, multi-organ failure, shock Bacterial co-infection has not been prominent

20 Severe ph1n1 cases in Michigan 10 cases, mean age=46 y 9 obese (BMI>30), 7 severe obese (BMI>40), 4 on steroid 平均出現症狀 8 天候開使用抗病毒藥

21 Profile of death in Mexico 163 cases proven ph1n1 death Male: female=51%:49% 43.95% of confirmed dealths correspond to people between y/o Special risk group: pregnancy

22 Special risk group: Pregnancy % N= N= N= Obstetrical dealth Flu & pneumonia dealth

23 Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 fatal cases WPR Total death 136 Clinical picture (n=48) 75% with underlying condition 3 death among pregnant women, all without underlying medical conditions Clinical course (n=27) 9 days-medium interval from onset of symptoms to death (range 4-14) 5 days-medium interval from onset of symptoms to hospitalization (range 2-8) 3 days-medium interval from hospitalization to death (range 2-9) Final diagnosis (n=42) 62% severe pneumonia 14% congestive heart failure 12% ARDS

24 ph1n1 流感輕症之轉診準則

25 北京朝陽醫院 1054 ph1n1 輕症案例潛伏期 2.2 天發燒 2-3 天咳嗽 4-6 天 Viral shedding 6-7 天 Pneumonia 6% 潛伏期發燒咳嗽 Viral shedding 均同於無肺炎者

26 Lab findings of 1054 hospitalized ph1n1 infected: I Variable On admission WBC 5270±2390 leukopenia 242/1021 (23.7%) leukocytosis 22/1021 (2.15%) lymphocyte count ± (1004) lymphocyte<1500 (adult) 139/289 (48.10%) lymphocyte<3000 (children) 695/715 (97.20%) hemoglobin g/l ±15.6 (975) Platelet count (10 9 /l) ±55.76 (1005)

27 Lab findings of 1054 hospitalized ph1n1 infected: II Variable On admission CD ± (488) CD ± (489) CD4/8< /486 (50.41%) ALT>40 69/878 (7.86%) AST>40 73/842 (8.67%) CK>200 40/347 (11.53%) LDH ±64.84 (364) K 3.81±0.42 (876) Hypokalemia (<3.5) 175/876 (19.98%) Na ±3.08 (871) Cl ±4.13 (862)

29 ph1n1 之轉診時機流感病患若有症狀後第三日仍高燒不退就是 impending 重症應給予照胸部 X 光鼻咽採檢或投與克流感

30 ph1n1 重症病患治療原則克流感 + 類固醇 (decadron 5 mg q6h) 類固醇給藥時機為出現肺炎就給, 而且越早越好

31 克流感之治療與預防效果

32 NAI chemoprophylaxis in seasonal influenza Seasonal (4-6 wks) prophylaxis with once daily oseltamivir or zanamivir is protective in nonimmunized adults (67-84% efficacy) Post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) in households Oseltamivir once daily for 7-10 days: 68-89% efficacy Possible low efficacy in young children Zanamivir on daily for 10 days: 79-80% efficacy Limited to those age>5 y Rare resistance in prophylaxis failures

33 Oseltamivir and viral shedding by RT-PCR 1023/1054 mild ph1n1 cases Viral shedding days Mean=6.4 days 1 0 No <24 h h >48 Onset to oseltamivir

34 Oseltamivir treatment in hospitalized patients with sh1n1 % Fatal cases Location, season Toronto, Patients Oseltamivir No oseltamivir Adults 3.9% (4/103) 10.1% (22/219) Odd ratio (95% CI) 0.21 ( ) Thailand, Adults+ Children 1.6% (5/318) 13.0% (17/131) 0.14 ( ) Hong Kong, Adults 2.2% (5/232) 5.6% (7/124) 0.26 ( ) CID 46:1323, 2008 CID 405:1568, 2007

35 Oseltamivir treatment effect in H5N1 infection Virus Survivors/Tre ated (%) Survivors/Unt reated (%) P Value Presumed clade 1 Presumed clade 2 45/82 (55%) 6/26 (23%) /106 (41%) 1/30 (3%) <0.001 Total 88/188 (47%) 7/56 (12%) <0.001 NEJM 358:261, 2008

36 Oseltamivir treatment of ph1n1, Vietnam, May-June 2009 Number (%) Virus Positive on Hospital Day RT- PCR (n=44) 44 (100%) 25 (57%) 21 (48%) 8 (18%) 8 (18%) 0 Culture (n=13) 10/11 (91%) 6/11 (55%) 4/13 (31%) 6/13 (46%) 2/7 (27%) NR R van Doorn et al. ProMED 8 July 2009, 8 August 2009

37 Oseltamivir treatment of ph1n1 illness, Vietnam, 29 May-6 Aug ph1n1 rtpcr positive patients Standard oseltamivir treatment (75 mg bid in adult) Prolonged RNA detection from URT in minority Day 6(2), 10(1), 11(1), 12(1) All culture negative Oseltamivir susceptibility testing in 16 patients (23 specimens) positive > 3 days All sensitive by NA inhibition assay

38 Time to oseltamivir Tx in ph1n1 Patient group, location No. of patients No. (%) treated Days to antiviral therapy Pneumonia, hospitalization, Mexico Fatalities in pregnancy, USA ARDS/ICU, Michigan Hospitalization, California (78%) Mean 8 days (n=11) days post admission (n=3) 6 6 (100%) Mead 9 days (6-15 days) (100%) Mead 8 days (5-12 days) (50%) 5 (17%)<2 days NEJM 29 June 2009 Lancet 29 July 2009

39 Case fatality rate by time from symptom onset to treatment with oseltamivir Deceasesd (%) Untreated Treated 0 to 2 3 to 4 5 to 6 7 to 8 9 to Treatment status and time from symptom onset to treatment (days)

40 Risk of death: oseltamivir treatment vs no antiviral to 2 3 to 4 5 to 6 7 to 8 9 to Risk of death Time from symptom onset to treatment (days)

41 Conclusion Earlier antiviral treatment increases survival likelihood overall Oseltamivir beneficial if started 8 days from onset Early signs and symptoms are nonspecific

42 克流感抗藥性病毒株之流行病學及臨床重要性

43 克流感抗藥性 : sh1n1 在 2007 年克流感抗藥性大人僅 1-2%, 小孩 5-6%, 日本較高也只有 18%, 但只有一例是瑞樂沙有抗藥性, 社區型的幾乎沒有抗藥性流感季節首度在歐洲出現 H274Y 之突變株, 克流感抗藥性增加 1500 倍全世界 95% 之分離株是 H274Y 之突變株, 可見其 fitness 是不差的

44 克流感抗藥性 : ph1n1 至權世界之分離株有 162, 株抗藥株分離出, 全部是 H274Y 突變株病例分布 : Under prophylaxis: 丹麥日本 (4) 加拿大香港中國 (no evidence of transmission) 免疫異常 + 克流感治療 : 美國 (2) 克流感治療 : 新加坡沒接觸過克流感 : 香港

45 Oseltamivir resistance in ph1n1 virus Small number of sporadic detection All with H274Y mutation No reassortment with seasonal H1N1 Geographically dispersed- Denmark, Japan, HK SAR, Canada, Singapore, USA >50% detect in PEP prophylaxis failure (75 mg once daily) 1 in nondrug recipient travelling from San Fancisco No apparent onward transmission Mostly mild self-limited illness Except immunocompromised hosts

46 Questions regarding Oseltamivir Resistance during prophylaxis ph1n1 How often is this occurring? What are the viral dynamics? Transmission of resistant virus from treated ill index case? Resistant emergence in contact with prophylaxis? How often is non-compliance contributory? If resistance emergence during incubation period, might therapeutic oseltamivir doses reduce risk? Should zanamivir be used preferentially when prophylaxis is indicated?

47 sh1n1 疫苗是否對 ph1n1 有交叉保護力

48 Serum NA in the elderly crossreactive with ph1n1 virus About 40% of the elderly over 65 y/o possessed serum antibody cross-reactive to ph1n1 virus, while the majority of children and adult younger than 65 did not have such antibody Vaccination with seasonal vaccines did neither induce nor boost immune response in any age group

49 懇請賜教

鼠　疫（Plague）

鼠　疫（Plague）鼠疫 (Plague) 一疾病概述 (Disease description) 存在囓齒類及其跳蚤的一種人畜共通傳染病, 並藉跳蚤傳染給各種動物及人類, 其最初反應為跳蚤咬傷部位臨近的淋巴腺發炎, 這就是腺鼠疫, 經常發生於鼠蹊部, 少發生於腋下或頸部,