IPCC CO (IPCC2006) 1 : = ( 1) 1 (kj/kg) (kgc/gj) (tc/t)

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1 (278 ) China Industrial Economics May 2011 No ( ; ) [ ] : ; ; : ; ; [ ] ; ; ; [ ]F290 [ ]A [ ] X(2011) CO 2 ( ) (2009) (GDP) (Binhocker et al. 2008) GDP ( 2010) ( 2010) [ ] [ ] ( );2010 ( SZ ) [ ] (1957 ) ; (1969 ) 47

2 IPCC CO (IPCC2006) 1 : = ( 1) 1 (kj/kg) (kgc/gj) (tc/t) (kJ/m 3 ) : ; 8 ; ( ) ( 2) ; % 12.8% 11.4% 10.7% 10.5% 10.2%; 5% : 4.9% 4.2% 3.8% 2.5% 1.9% 48

3 ( ) ( /) ( ) ( /) ( ) ( /) (%) (%) : ; % 28.6% 24.1% % 5.81% 7.64% / / % 6.40% 5.19%2008 : % 0.19% % 9.45% 12.58% 49

4 GDP ( 3) % 4.30% 3.31% : / : 2. (1) SPSS 5 : 7 ; 4 ; 8 ; 5 ; 6 (2) (TheilH ) 1 4 ( 1)

5 % 60% 27.1% 23.9% 31.7% 16.1% 1 4 (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) : ; 40% 20% GDP 51

6 0.68% 0.35% (3) (Tapio P.2005) GDP GDP : <0GDP 0 0; 0< <0.8; 0.8< <1.2; 1.2< GDP % % 0.3% 2.4% %3.6% GDP 52

7 GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 20% : (1) 9.5% % %; % %; % % ; ; GDP (2) % 70% % 60% (3)

8 ( 7) 55% 40% ; 55% ; % :% : :% : (4) 8 GDP GDP :/ : GDP 1995

9 (5) ( 9 10) () () () : () () () : : % 28.6% 24.1% 7.47% 5.81% 7.64% 4.91% 4.30% 3.31% :

10 20% 2020 ; (1) (2) GDP ; GDP ; (3) ; ; ; 56

11 (4) (5) 1 Beinhocker et al. The Carbon Productivity Challenge: Curbing Climate Change and Sustaining Economic Growth [R]. McKinsey Global Institute June IPCC IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories [M]. Japan: IGES TheilH. Economics and Information Theory[M]. Amsterdam:North Holland Publishing Co Theil H. Statistical Decomposition Analysis[M]. Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Co Tapio P. Towards a Theory of Decoupling: Degrees of Decoupling in the EU and the Case of Road Traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001[J]. Transport Policy2005(12). 6. [J]. 2009(3). 7. [J] (5). 8. [J] (3). 9. [J]. 2010(4). 10. [J] (2). 11. [J]. 2010(4). 12. [J]. 2010(11). 13. [J]. 2009(10). Research on the Regional Variation of Carbon Productivity in China PAN Jia-hua 1 ZHANG Li-feng 12 (1. Research Institute for Urban Development and Environment CASS Beijing China; 2. Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao Qinhuangdao China) Abstract: How to keep our economic growth in the meanwhile to inhibit the growth of carbon dioxide emissions the key is to improve carbon productivity and this depends on the province abatement action. Therefore this paper calculated regional carbon productivity and analyzed the regional difference using the cluster analysis Theil index and decoupling index and put forward countermeasures of the implementation of carbon emissions reduction targets. Through the analysis there are main conclusions as follows: the carbon productivity of majority provinces has a increasing trend year by year the east middle and west three regions present successively degression pattern but the middle has a fastest growth rate the east follows the west is the slowest. The gross carbon productivity Theil index displays obviously regional diversity. Theil index of three regions show: the eastern internal difference is shrinking gradually the middle is big first and then is small but the west presents the expanding tendency. Regional carbon productivity general distribution difference is mainly caused by the district difference which is mainly from the eastern the contribution between regions shows ascendant trend in recent years. Decoupling index has different state during different economic development stage carbon productivity also represents different characteristics even in the same decoupling condition carbon productivity of three regions exist differences eastern carbon productivity is bigger than the midwest. Key Words: carbon productivity; regional differences; Theil index; decoupling index : 57

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