TFP (2001) , TFP Gao (2004) : (1) CD, ; (2) TFP (1998) (2001),CD, (Zheng et al.,2003) 700, Malmquist (2005) ,,, 19

Similar documents
(),,,,;, , (Π, ), , , 5162 %, U , ,,1992, , : ;

2005 3, Nishinizu Page (1982) ( TFP), Bauer (1990) Fecher Perelman (1992) OECD Sangho Kim(2001) Kaliraan, Obwona Zhao (1996) (1998) (2001) (2004), DEA

: 3 :,,,,,,,,,,,, :, 30 9 %, (1994) (The Myth of Asiaπs Miracle),,,,, 1997,,,,, :,,,,, (1994) 1998, 1998,,,,,,, ( ),, :,?,? 3,, :100871, e

:1949, 1936, 1713 %, 63 % (, 1957, 5 ), :?,,,,,, (,1999, 329 ),,,,,,,,,, ( ) ; ( ), 1945,,,,,,,,, 100, 1952,,,,,, ,, :,,, 1928,,,,, (,1984, 109

untitled

1994 ~ % % 49% 2 GDP 1 2 Rawski GDP 1978 GDP 1978 =

TVE.doc

标题

2005 3,? :; ;, ;,,,,,,1 % %,,,,, 1 %,,,, : () ;, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,, (2004) ( GBΠT ) 16 (2004), (2004) 47

: 3 : , , ,, , :, ( Ravallion Chen, 2004 ; Khan Riskin, 2005,Yue et al, 2006),, (,2003 ;,200

IPCC CO (IPCC2006) 1 : = ( 1) 1 (kj/kg) (kgc/gj) (tc/t)

Myers Majluf 1984 Lu Putnam R&D R&D R&D R&D

Alexander & Wyeth Dercon 1995 ECM - Johansen Goodwin 1992 VEC Asche 1999 Gonzalez 2001 ECM Goodwin

%

( 2011) Shirley and Walsh(2001) ( 2011; 2011; 2010) ( 2010; 2011; 2012)??? 2003 ; ( ) ( ) : ( )26.8%; 18

2011_1_核红.indd

M 2 ΠGDP (1996) M2ΠGDP (2000) (2000) (2001) (2001) (2001) (2002) (2002) (2002) (2003) (2001) (2005) (2005) (2006) (2004) M2ΠGDP ; M2ΠGDP ; M2ΠG

,, ( ) ( ) Farell (1957),, (2003) (1999) DEA DEA, 14 (2000) DEA , (2001) (2001) 5 (2002) DEA Malmquist, , (2003) (2003) DEA (2004) D

JOURNAL OF NANJING UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS Wild t % 50% 15% % 19 17%

2006 4,,,, TFP (,2003),, 90,,,, 2005,, ;,,,,,, (disembodied),,,, (,2003),,,,,, : y = Af ( k, l) : y, k, l, A, : = - -, ( ), ( ),,,,90,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,

: 3 ( ) :, 1990 UNDP, Spearman HDI,,, ( ), 1990,,,,,, : 1990 (UNDP), ( Human Development Index, HDI), HDI :, ;, ;, GDP(PPP ) (UNDP, 2004) HDI 1

( 1 2 ) ( ) ( )

Feder Chapple 2002 Barslund Stiglitz Klychova Pal

Bairoch, ) (Angus Maddison,1926 ) (Bairoch, 1976, 1981), 1960, , 220, 228 ; , 447, 310, 178 (1993) (1988) Peter Brecke (

% 47.53% 26.91% 11.96% 2.18% 4% 31% 65% 70% 30% % % %

2007 1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, (,1994),, (,1996),,,?,??,, 103

Schumpeter Mensch Freeman Clark Schumpeter Mensch 1975 technological stalemate 2000 Van Dujin 1977 OECD 1992 Freeman 1982 Van

92

% GIS / / Fig. 1 Characteristics of flood disaster variation in suburbs of Shang

Girton Roper (1977),,,,,, ( ),,,,,,, ( Exchange Market Pressure) 30 EMP, EMP EMP,Girton Roper (1977), ,,, Kim(1985) ,,, T

% %

% 30% % % % %

,, :, ;,,?, : (1), ; (2),,,, ; (3),,, :,;; ;,,,,(Markowitz,1952) 1959 (,,2000),,, 20 60, ( Evans and Archer,1968) ,,,

:,; ;, ( ) 25,, 80 90, 90,,,,,,, ( ), ( ), %,, , ,, ( ),,, ;,,,,,,,,,, ( ) , , 3395,3400, 20 % 30 %,

~ 10 2 P Y i t = my i t W Y i t 1000 PY i t Y t i W Y i t t i m Y i t t i 15 ~ 49 1 Y Y Y 15 ~ j j t j t = j P i t i = 15 P n i t n Y

ECONOMIST [ 2 Malmquist Malmquist TFP TFP Malmquist TFP Malmquist DEA DEA - Malmquist [ 3 Fuss(1994 ) Bell Madden Savage (1999 ) [ 4 Malmquis

中国主权资产负债表风险分析


:,,, (Naughton,1999 ;Xu,2002 ; Fan and Wei,2003 ;, 2004,2006 ;,2004,2006 ;,2006),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ISCP ( 1),, ISCP SCP ISCP,I( Institution) ; S ( Struc

United Nations ~ ~ % 2010

,,,,,,, :,,,,, ;,,,,,, : N = Y pr, dn N = dy Y - dpr pr, Y, N, pr,, (1),, ( : / ) :,, : t pr = e 1980 t = 1,t 9

2004 1, 1980,21 %, 13 %,, 2002, GDP 34 %(1) 1 GDP 1 20 :,,,, % % % ( ), , , 1162,65 %, ,,

DID 13. 0% 20. 2% 12. 6% 30 1 Leland 1968 Zeldes 1989 Zeldes 1989 Carroll Skinner 1987 Zhang & Wan


3 : 121,, [1 ] (Stage Theory),,,,,,, 1 :, ;,,,,, 1 :11, 6,116 ; , 2003 ; 31 = Π ; 2, 1996 ;1996,,2000, Walt Rostow (1960, 1971), A. F. K. Organ

3 L K Y Y t =A t F L t K t 1 A 1 15~ UN % 65 7% 55

/3 CAD JPG GIS CAD GIS GIS 1 a CAD CAD CAD GIS GIS ArcGIS 9. x 10 1 b 1112 CAD GIS 1 c R2VArcscan CAD MapGIS CAD 1 d CAD U

引言


:,,,,,, : 1990,,?,,,,, 2000 (,2004) :1990,,,,,2000, (,2008),,,,,,,,, 1990,,,, 4, 10, ( ) 90,,,,, 2000,,, ,2000,, % % ;,

CHIPS Oaxaca - Blinder % Sicular et al CASS Becker & Chiswick ~ 2000 Becker & Chiswick 196

ULC ULC ULC ULC 1. 88

Lech 1 2 Coffey and Jia Corporate Financial Performance CFP CSP CFP 9 Preston O Bannon 10 CSP CFP Margolis et al Sun abd

third in 20 years. The student population will be in the range of million before Keywords education age population family planning

(2005 (2006, (2006 ( , ( ,,,,,, ( (ASFR ASFR : x, B x x, P f x x (1 (2 4,, , 2 1 :, 1 2, 20-29

环境指标

标题

% % % % % % % % : 11. 9: 12. 8:

具有多个输入 特别是多个输出的 部门 或 单位 ( 称为 决策单元 Decision Making Unit 简称 DMU) 间的相对有效 8 性 C2R 模型是 DEA 的个模型 也是 DEA 的基础 和重要模型 假设有 n 个决策单元 DMUj( j = n) 每个 DMU 有 m

ZHONG Chong A Study on the Map of Provincial Capital of Zhejiang Past and Present

Jul Journal of Chinese Women's Studies No. 4 Ser. No. 148 * CFPS 2010 C A Where does the Ti

( ) : ( TFP) TFP, ( GDP) TFP ; OLS Panel Data Dynamic Panel Data ( GMM), : TFP, TFP, TFP TFP :,,, (TFP), Chow and Lin(2002) (

:, ( ),, :,60,, 1962,, ( ),,,,, 1986,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( ), C,,,,,,,,,,,,, X,,,;,,, ; ( ),,, Mirrless (1976) : (1), (2),,, 60 (1996),:

the southern city was higher than that in the northern city. In rural areas the proportion of the nuclear family in the northern region was higher tha

标题

1556 地 理 科 学 进 展 30 卷 他 关 于 农 村 住 房 结 构 与 抗 震 性 能 的 研 究, 则 多 是 从 工 程 抗 灾 的 角 度, 研 究 某 种 构 造 类 型 的 房 屋, 力 图 找 到 传 统 房 屋 的 结 构 失 误 和 新 建 房 屋 中 存 在 的 问 [

% % % %

% 82. 8% You & Kobayashi % 2007 %

谢 辞 仿 佛 2010 年 9 月 的 入 学 发 生 在 昨 天, 可 一 眨 眼, 自 己 20 多 岁 的 两 年 半 就 要 这 么 匆 匆 逝 去, 心 中 真 是 百 感 交 集 要 是 在 古 代, 男 人 在 二 十 几 岁 早 已 成 家 立 业, 要 是 在 近 代, 男 人

Hesketh and Zhu Dreze and Khera 2000 Zhao 2003 Sen and Nair Das Gupta and Li 1999 Banister 2004 Hudson and Den Boer 20

:, ,, 1985, ; ,,,, ,,, 1992,, 1 : 2005 ; ( ),, ,,,, 1996, 211 %,1997, ( %) ( ),1998,1998,, : 1998,

49 Schroeder & Aoki 2009 Li Bird & Ebel SSCI Journal of Public Economics Zhang & Zou DC cbe = + 2 DC be =

Fudan Education Forum Vol.16 No.5 [2] [3] [4] 90 [5] [6] [7] Martha Nussbaum [8]

be invested on the desilting of water sources and to paved canals with cement mortar while drinking water project can focus on the improvement of wate

a b

Microsoft PowerPoint Zhang Guohua.ppt [Compatibility Mode]

: : : :1996,??,,,,,,,, :,,,,, Goldsmith (1969) 35,, Shaw(1973) Gurley Shaw(1960), Demirg c2 Kunt Levin (2001) 150 (1992)


those four kinds of factors are significantly associated with the intention to institutional care of the elderly without ADL disability. However for t

目 录 一 道 德 评 价... 1 二 学 术 评 价 总 体 要 求 内 容 范 式 形 式 范 式... 7 三 政 治 评 价 坚 守 阵 地 作 用 突 出 引 领 作 用 * * * * *

http / /yxxy. cbpt. cnki. net / % % %

% % * ~ 14 % 15~ 64 % 65 %

: ;,, 0 0, 60, 0 80,, 76 78, (Deregulation),,,, (Open Sky), (ACI),006.%.8%,.7% 008,, 000, ( ), ( )0, / 6, ; 8, ;, ; 7, ; 06, 6, 006 0, ( ) 0,.%; 0 60,

Microsoft Word - zt08.doc

EXCEL EXCEL

Microsoft Word tb 赵宏宇s-高校教改纵横.doc

Rawski Nolanand Ash Caiand Li 2002 Stiglitz , 2 [1]


; ; ; ()1978~1985 : 1978~1985 : ( ) : % 73.9% 176.4% 87.8% 2.97 [1] 15.5% 1978~ % 14.8%

2008 3, (,1989, 135 ) 1869 (,1919) , ,,,, 20, (,1990) 1872,,,,,,1914, 1872,42 4,1918,,, 46,, 1872,,1880,40,, (,1998) 1914,,

29期xx(copy)

,,,,, (,1988: 630) 218

untitled


19

P. C Evelyn. M. Duvall 2 quality of life cabana

19% 28% 39% 25% 1 http/ /www. moe. edu. cn 2 GDP 2008 http/ /data. worldbank. org

Dan Buettner / /

Transcription:

: : : 3 : Kumbhakar (2000),TFP : (1) 1988 TFP, ; (2),, (3) 90,(4),90,,, : TFP,,,,,,,,,,, :80,80 (Rawski,1994) ;90 90, (2002a,2002b) 90, (TFP),Jefferson et al. (1996) ( CD ) 3,, :310027, :ralphzwang @yahoo. com. cn ;, ;,, Subal C. Kumbhakar,, 48

2006 11 1980 1992 TFP (2001) 1995 1998, TFP Gao (2004) : (1) CD, ; (2) TFP (1998) (2001),CD, (Zheng et al.,2003) 700, Malmquist (2005) 1995 2004,,, 1987, Kumbhakar (2000),,,, TFP,,,, () TFP : y it = f ( x it, t) exp ( - u it ) (1) y it ; f ( ),; x it ; u it 0,(Technical Efficiency, TE) TE it = exp ( - u it ) ; i t f ( ), : lnf ( x it, t) = x it + v it (2) ; v, (2) (1),: ln y it = lnf ( x it, t) - u it = x it + v it - u it (3) Battese and Coelli (1992),u v : u it = u i exp[ - ( t - T) ] (4) v it N (0, 2 v) (5) u,, v u Chen(1997) Felipe (1999) TFP,20 90 TFP,Zheng et al. (2003) (2004) (2005) DEA Malmquist,(2005) (2006) (SFA), TFP, Zheng et al. (2003), (2004) (2005) (2006),,, TFP,,,, 49

: : () TFP Kumbhakar (2000),( Technical Change,TC),: TC it = 5lnf ( x it, t) 5 t (Technical Efficiency Change,TEC) : (6) TEC it = 5ln TE it 5 t = 5 u it 5 t : (7) 5ln y it 5 t = TC it + TEC it (8),TFP, : TgFP = gy - s gx (9) s (1), (8) (9) TFP : TgFP = TC + TEC + (- s ) gx = TC + TEC + ( RTS - 1) gx + ( - s ) gx (10), 5lnf ( )Π5ln x, ; RTS, ; ΠTRS,, = s, (,2005) (10),TFP (TFPG) : ( TC) ( TEC) (SCALE) (ALLCTV) () CD CES, (translog),,,,: ln y it = a 0 + a ln x it + a t t + 1 2 m a m ln x it ln x mit + 1 2 a tt t 2 + a t tln x it + v it - u it (11) K L,, m = K, L,: = a + a m ln x m + a t t (12) m RTS = = ( a + a m ln x m + a t t) (13) m TC = a t + a tt t + a t ln x (14) TEC = - 5^u it 5 t TFP (15),s (Kumbhakar,2000) 50

2006 11 28 ( ) 1987 2002,16 () ( Y) (1952 1995) (1996 2002) GDP, (1987 ) 1987 1998 GDP,1999 () ( K),: K it = K i, t - 1 + I it - it i t, K, I, (1987 2002) ( = - ), ^I it ;^I it ^I it ΠP it = I it - it, P 1995 1998 (,, ), 1991 1991,(2004),, t (t - 1 = 1) = t ( )Πt (t - 1 = 1) t - 1 ( ) (1952 1995),, 1987 ^I it ΠP it, t : K it = K i,1987 + ^I it ΠP it i = 1 () (L), (), ( 1) Z,(0112),, Wald 51

: : 1,, 1 :ln y Z 011083 010443 2144 3 3 448 010111 010014 7193 3 3 3 28 018527 013416 2150 3 3 ( ) 16-014979 012179-2129 3 3 Wald 8216149 3 3 3-010917 010204-4149 3 3 3 Wald 010000 010729 010163 4146 3 3 3 35211189 011228 010792 1155 011436 010503 2185 3 3 3-012304 011201-1192 3-011266 112921-0110 - 010282 010040-7113 3 3 3, 019948 010043, : 3 3 3 3 3 3 10 % 5 %1 % 0192 (4),,1 %, 2 u, =,,, 2 u + 2 v, 0199,1, () () TFP, 1987 2002 TFP 1 TFPG ( 1987 2002) 1,, TFP,TFP, TFP,, TFP :, ;,, TFP : (1),(2) 1987 52

2006 11,,,, (3),,1987 2002, ;, 2 6, 2 TFP TFP ( TFPG) ( TC) (TEC) (SCALE) ( ) (ALLCTV), 11 1987 TFP,, 1998 1999 TFP,1999 TFP,TFP,TFP 1999,TFP TFP, (2005) 1996 1997,,,, TFPG 21,,90 1998 1999, 90 TFP (,2005 ;,2006) 53

: : 3,TFP TFP 31,4,,1987, (4, ),,1987 2002,,,,7 ( ) - 0102, () - 0104, 41 ( 6) 1997,,, TFPG, 1998,, 0156 0161, 1998 50 %,, 51 ( 6) 1997, 1998 1999,- 011,- 012, 2000, TFPG 54

2006 11 4 5 2002,,, 2002 TFPG, TFP 55

: : 2 6 TFP TC TEC SCALE ALLCTV TC TEC SCALE ALLCTV 1988-016096 110184 215653-119740 - 017650 011369 019346 016935 1993 317813-018928 - 116415-012470 817700-016162 - 611064-110473 1998 216372-013979 112165-214558 212813-011037 010960-112736 2002 118381-012643 012596-018333 113038-010438 - 011717-010884 TC TEC SCALE ALLCTV TC TEC SCALE ALLCTV 1988-019952 014562 019464 015926-016720 016332 018940 011448 1993 213454-013785 - 017982-011686 218942-017168 - 113460 011686 1998 213453-012736 018455-119171 314461-015904 019430-217987 2002 115226-011589 011457-015093 115852-012442 011118-014528 :TFP :Π TFP, 2 TFP, TFP,;,, TFP,, 56

2006 11, (2005),,90 TFP,, 1998 1999, TFPG ( TFPG ),,1997 1999 1998 1999, 1998 1999 TFP,, 1998 1999 (TEC) ;, 1998 1999,,TC ( 1999, ),SCALE ( 1998,1997-010063),ALLCTV ( 1998,1997-010523), 1998 1999 TFPG,, 1997 2000 TFPG,TFPG,TFPG,, :,1998 1999? 1997 1998,,,,,,,,,,, (= Π ), 1998 (1999 2001), 7 1997 2000, 1999 SCALE ALLCTV 13,,, 1999 SCALE ALLCTV, 57

: : ( E,M,N,W ),,1998, 1999,2000 1997, 7 ( 1997 2000),, 90,1998,, ( ),,, (2005) 1996 2002,,, Kumbhakar (2000),,1988 TFP,TFP,TFP, () TFP 58

2006 11,;,,90,, 90,,,,,,,( ),,2005 :, 3,2006 : (1978 2003), 2,2001 :, 6,2004 :: DEA, 12,1998 :, 12,2001 :, 10,2002a ::, 6,2002b : :, ( ) 1 2,2004 ::1952 2000, 10,2005 :(1979 2001 ), ( ) 2 Battese, G. E. and T. J. Coelli, 1992,Frontier Production Functions, Technical Efficiency and Panel Data : With Application to Paddy Farmers in India, Journal of Productivity Analysis 3, pp. 153 169. Chen, E. K. Y., 1997,The Total Factor Productivity Debate : Determinants of Economic Growth in East Asia, Asian2Pacific Economic Literature 11, pp. 18 39. Felipe, J., 1999,Total Factor Productivity Growth in East Asia : A Critical Survey, Journal of Development Studies 35, pp. 1 41. Gao, T., 2004,Regional Industrial Growth : Evidence from Chinese Industries, Regional Science and Urban Economics 34. Jefferson, G. H., T. G. Rawski, and Y. Zheng, 1996, Chinese Industrial Productivity : Trends, Measurement Issues, and Recent Developments, Journal of Comparative Economics 23, pp. 146 180. Kumbhakar, S. C., 2000,Estimation and Decomposition of Productivity Change when Production Is Not Efficient : A Panel Data Approach, Econometric Reviews 19, pp. 425 460. Rawski, T. G., 1994,Chinese Industrial Reform : Accomplishments, Prospects, and Implications, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings 84, pp. 271 275. Zheng, J., X. Liu, and A. Bigsten, 2003,Efficiency, Technical Progress, and Best Practice in Chinese State Enterprises (1980 1994), Journal of Comparative Economics 31, pp. 134 152. ( 71 ) 59

2006 11 R&D and Productivity : An Empirical Study on Chinese Manufacturing Industry Wu Yanbing ( Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences) Abstract :The paper investigates the relationship between R&D and productivity by using the data on the four2digital manufacturing industries in China. We find that R&D has significantly positive effects on productivity through estimating two different kinds of production function model, and that the positive relationship between R&D and productivity is still remarkably existent when market factors and ownership factors are being controlled in the production function model. We also find that the positive effects of R&D on productivity depend on technical opportunities of industries, and that the elasticity of output with respect to R&D in high2tech industries is higher than that in non2high2tech industries. The paper gives empirical proof of appraising correctly R&D roles in economic growth. Key Words :R&D ; Productivity ; Empirical Analysis JEL Classification :D210, L600, O310 ( : ) ( : ) ( 59 ) The Performances of Industrial Productivity across Regions of Transitional China : Structural Differences, Institutional Shocks and Dynamic Characteristics Wang Zheng 1, Zheng Jinghai 2 and Shi Jinchuan 3 (11College of Economics, Zheiang University ;21Department of Economics, Ggteborg University ;31CRPE, Zheiang University) Abstract :This paper is dedicated to probing into the dynamic performances of industrial productivity across regions of transitional China, using the province2level panel data. Based on the approach by Kumbhakar (2000), TFP growth is decomposed into four components. The main results are as follows. (1) Since 1988, the industrial TFP growth has been commonly accelerated across regions, with a rising technical change rate as the principal impetus. (2) Meanwhile, technical efficiency and factorsallocative efficiency are deteriorated with scale efficiency switching from being retrogressive to being progressive. (3) Although the SOE reform in the late 1990s has constitutes a common shock to the industrial productivity, the eastern area with relatively few SOEs suffers the least from this policy enforcement. (4) By exploring the sources of productivity differences, we further confirm that the institutional shock launched by SOE reform in the late 1990s is crucial for the enhancement of scale effects as well as the temporarily rapid decline of factors allocative efficiency ; in addition, the educational level of the labor2force and the share of non2 SOEs in the industrial output contribute positively to the acceleration of technical change and the improvement of allocative efficiency. The economic transition, accompanied by gradual institutional reforms, is reshaping the map of regional industrialization through various channels. Key Words :Transition ; Industry ; Productivity ; TFP ; SOE Reform JEL Classification : E230, O140, O470 ( : ) ( : ) 71