1994 ~ % % 49% 2 GDP 1 2 Rawski GDP 1978 GDP 1978 =

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镪肇汝
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1 GDP GDP GDP Hsieh and Klenow lm@ fudan. edu. cn ouyanghanchu@ yahoo. com. cn 10YJA B101 YES 12 3

2 1994 ~ % % 49% 2 GDP 1 2 Rawski GDP 1978 GDP 1978 =

3 Padalino and Virarelli 1997 Mazumdar ~ 1992 OECD OECD OECD Pini 1995 Padalino Vivarelli OECD ~ 70 Padalino Vivarelli

4 ~ ESCAP Islam Nazara GDP GDP 12 6

5 a n. a GDP a GDP 1978 GDP 1978 = GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 2000 =

6 ~ Cai Wang Cai and Wang Feenstra Hong GDP β ' = 1 - k 1 - d β β β' k d k d 2 lne t = α + α 1 lnq t + α 2 lne t-1 + n β i X it + u t E t E t-1 i = 1 Q t α α 2 α 1 / 1 - α

7 /GDP Xu % 45. 7% % 80% 1 Li and Zhou

8 GDP GDP GDP 90 GDP = t GDP

9 Jin et al /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP 75% 25% % % 40% 12 11

10 % % 2 Bayoumi

11 % % %

12 Chen and Yao GDP

13 ~ GDP GDP GDP % ~ 30% % 10 ~ 30 30% 3 ~ 10 10%

14 ~ GDP GDP 2 elasticity i = α 0 + β 1 gov i + β 2 fdi i + β 3 gov i fdi i + n j = 4β ij X ij + u i 1 1 i i 3 j j α 0 u i gov i fdi i /GDP gov i fdi i X ij ~

15 β 1 ~ β ij 1 elasticity i i 2000 ~ ~ GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 4 GDP GDP 2000 ~ GDP GDP ln GDP Islam and Nazara 2000 GDP GDP GDP /GDP GDP = 100 GDP GDP

16 GDP Cai Wang GDP GDP E 1 E 2 E 2 = ae 1 a E 2 + E 1 t E 2 + E 1 t / E 2 + E 1 t E 2 = ae 1 E 1 t E 1t / E 1t GDP GDP GDP GDP Naughton Cai and Wang % % % %

17 GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP ~ GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 12 19

18 1 GDP GDP ~ ~ 2007 /GDP ~ 1999 /GDP / GDP ~ 2007 /GDP ~ 1999 /GDP / GDP GDP GDP 12 20

19 ~ 2007 / GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / GDP 1994 / GDP ~ 2007 / GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / GDP 1994 / GDP ~ 2007 / GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / GDP 1994 / GDP GDP / 2000 ~ 2007 GDP / ~ 1999 GDP / GDP / ~ 2007 /GDP ~ 1999 /GDP / GDP ~ 2007 / ~ 1999 / / ~

20 % % /GDP 5 /GDP /GDP 3 1 ~ 4 1 GDP 1 2 /GDP GDP

21 /GDP 4 /GDP /GDP /GDP % / GDP GDP U GDP 5 1 GDP GDP GDP Barro GDP 3 5 ~ 8 GDP 1 U GDP

22 /GDP GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP GDP / GDP / R % 5% 10% 12 24

23 1994 ~ 1999 /GDP 1994 ~ ~ 12 GDP 4 13 ~ /GDP /GDP t ~ 16 /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP GDP / GDP / R

24 GDP 10 ~ 12 /GDP /GDP GDP ~ /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP

25 /GDP GDP GDP GDP / GDP / R GDP 6 21 ~ / GDP /GDP 22 / GDP /GDP

26 /GDP 21 GDP / GDP / GDP GDP / GDP / R

27 /GDP /GDP GDP 2000 ~ ~ % 1 90 GDP

28 GDP Arye L. Hillman GDP

29 BarroRobert J. Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries. Journal of Economic Growth2000 March5 1 pp BayoumiTamim TongHui and WeiShang - Jin. The Chinese Corporate Savings Puzzle A Firm - Level Cross - Country Perspective. NBER Working Paper No CaiF. and WangM. Y. Growth and Structural Changes in Employment in Transition China. Journal of Comparative Economics201038pp ChenB. K. and YaoY. The Cursed Virtue Government Infrastructural Investment and Household Consumption in Chinese Provinces. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statisticsforthcoming. ESCAP. Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific Published by United Nations2006. FeenstraR. C. and HongC. China s Exports and Employment. NBER Working Paper 2007No HsiehC. T. and KlenowP. J. Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India. Quarterly Journal of Economics pp IslamI. and NazaraS. Estimating Employment Elasticity for the Indonesian Economy. ILO working paper 2000No JinH. Qian Y. and WeignastB. Regional Decentralization and Fiscal Incentives Federalism Chinese Style. Journal of Public Economics200589pp LiH. B. and ZhouL. A. Political Turnover and Economic Performance The Incentive Role of Personnel Control in China. Journal of Public Economics200589pp MazumdarD. Trends in Employment and the Employment Elasticity in Manufacturing An International Comparison. Cambridge Journal of Economics200327pp NaughtonB. The Chinese Economy Transitions and Growth. Published by MIT Press2007. PadalinoS. and VirarelliM. The Employment Intensity of Economic Growth in G - 7 Countries. International Labour Review pp PiniP. Economic GrowthTechnological Change and Employment Empirical Evidence for a Cumulative Growth Model with External Causation for Nine OECD Countries Structural Change and Economic Dynamics pp RawskiT. G. What s Happening to China s GDP Statistics China Economic Review2001 December Vol. 12No. 4pp XuC. G. The Fundamental Institutions of China s Reforms and Development. The Journal of Economic Literature2010HongKong University working paper

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