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1 * Oaxaca- Blinder Oaxaca-Blinder Baron 1988 Abbott 1993 Kalleberg 2008 Kunda et al Kalleberg 2008 ILO % 2006 * mr. zhong. gmail. com 12BJY044 CHIP - RUMiC CHIP RUMiC IZA ARC / AusAid IZA 85

2

3 % % 40% http / / news. xinhuanet. com / politics / /07 / c_ htm 87

4 1 3 Heywood & Green 2008 Kunda et al Rich & Tracy Blanchard & Landier ILO % 23. 4% 85%

5 CHIP 2007 RUMiC %

6 4 % CHIP RUMiC2007 1a a b % % a

7 Logit 1a % % % % % % a 1b CHIP RUMIC Logit Cameron and Trivedi 2006 Logit j Pr y i = j = exp x' i β j j = exp x' k = 2 iβ k 91

8 y i = 1 4 x i logit Base Category j Odds Ratio j Odds Ratio = Pr y = j / Pr y = 1 = exp x' i β j 1 1 j 1 j LOR log Odds Ratio = x ' iβ j LOR > 0 j LOR = 0 LOR > 0 j 1b % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 4. 74% % 2. 25% 4. 35% 2. 58% 7. 08% 3. 36% 5. 83% 1. 67% 100% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 6. 23% % 9. 28% 2. 03% 9. 72% % % % 6. 79% % 4. 21% 2. 18% 6. 06% % 7. 39% % 3. 34% 100% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 3. 67% 2. 49% 4. 87% 9. 05% 6. 58% 9. 74% 4. 28% 1a % 4. 85% 2. 76% 3. 95% % 6. 92% % 4. 13% 100% Logit

9 Logit Logit Logit / / / *** *** *** *** *** *** p_r Logit / / *** *** *** *** p_r Logit / *** *** p_r Logit Logit Logit * ** *** logit Oaxaca-Blinder Logit 93

10 Oaxaca-Blinder Logit Logit Logit U 3 Oaxaca-Blinder Oaxaca 1973 Blinder 1973 Y ig = X ig β g + ε ig g = A B Oaxaca & Ransom 1994 Y A - Y B = Δ OLS = X A - X B β * + X A β A - β * + X A β * - β B 2 1 F

11 β * = Ωβ A + I - Ω β B Ω I Ω = 1 Ω = 0 1 Logit 2 Yun Logit / / *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** ** *** ** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** * *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** * *** ** * ** ** *** *** ** *** p_r Logit * ** *** Logit Oaxaca-Blinder 1 Oaxaca-Blinder 95

12 a a / / Yun b

13 b / / No. C

14 Abbott A The Sociology of Work and Occupations Annual Review of Sociology Vol Baron J. N The Employment Relation as a Social Relation Journal of Japanese and International Economics Vol. 2. Blanchard O. and A. Landier 2002 The Perverse Effects of Partial Labor Market Reform Fixed Duration Contracts in France Economic Journal Vol Cameron A. C. and P. K. Trivedi 2006 Microeconometrics Methods and Applications Cambridge University Press. Ham J. J. Svejnar and K. Terrel 1998 Unemployment and the Social Safety Net during Transitions to a Market Economy Evidence from the Czech and Slovak Republics American Economic Review Vol Heywood J. S. and C. Green 2007 Are Flexible Contracts Bad for Workers Evidence from Job Satisfaction Data Lancaster University Management School Working Papers http / / papers. ssrn. com / sol3 / papers. cfm abstract_id = International Labour Office 2002 Key Indicators of the Labour Market Geneva ILO. Kalleberg A. L Precarious Work Insecure Workers Employment Relations in Transition American Sociological Review Vol Kunda G. S. R. Barley and J. Evans 2002 Why do Contractors Contract The Experience of Highly Skilled Technical Professionals in a Contingent Labor Market Industrial and Labor Relations Review Vol Rich R. and J. Tracy 2004 Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations Review of Economics and Statistics Vol Roland B Unequal Societies Income Distribution and the Social Contract American Economic Review Vol White G The Politics of Economic Reform in Chinese Industry The Introduction of the Labour Contract System China Quarterly Vol Yun M Decomposing Differences in the First Moment Economics Letters Vol Evolution of Employment Relations in Urban China Li Xiaoying and Zhao Zhong Sun Yat-sen University Renmin University of China Abstract Using household survey data covering 20 - year period from 1988 to 2007 this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution of employment relations in urban China and investigates the changes of composition of labor contract types the factors contributing to the composition changes and the relative importance of these factors. The analysis shows that the proportion of flexible employment increased since 1988 reached a very high level in 2002 and decreased somewhat after Extended Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition shows that the rise of flexible employment is mainly resulted from deregulation and marketization of urban labor market in China. But entering 2007 the importance of deregulation and marketization has diminished. The endowments of workers have been becoming more important to obtain a stable employment. Key Words Employment Relations Labor Market Oaxaca-Blinder Decomposition JEL Classification C25 J21 J88 98

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