大陸情勢 2003 7 SARS SARS SARS 5 26 6 5 Evian G8 enlarged dialogue meeting SARS 5 19 WHO 1
政治 : 5 SARS 4 29 SARS SARS 5 SARS ( ) SARS SARS 3 28 4 2 10-15 4 4 24 26 SARS 4 28 7 1 82 SARS SARS 2
4 2 4 10-15 4 4 17 4 22 4 24 4 25 4 25 4 26 4 26 4 26 4 28 4 28 1,200 5 2 7 5 4 361 經濟 : GDP 50,053 8.2 19,348 31.1 CPI 0.6 1-6 3,761.43 39 1,903.21 33.5% 1,858.22 44.5% 3
44.99 509.58 40.25 302.55 34.33 6 M2 204,907.42 20.82 M1 75,923.23 20.24 M0 16,956.89 12.32 97,674.57 19.54 SARS SARS 1 2 3 2003 M 2 1-3 9.9 31.6 0.5 17.2 18.5 4.1 52.4 33.5 56.72 1-4 --- 30.5 0.6 16.4 19.2 --- 46.8 33.5 51.03 1-5 --- 31.7 0.6 15.9 20.2 --- 45.5 34.3 48.15 1-6 8.2 31.1 0.6 16.2 20.8 4.2 44.5 34.0 34.33 社會 : 3 27 27 2 4 25 5 12 4
3 3 5 1982 5 6 9 2-3 6 18 1994 12 2039 6 1 660 632 21 113 5 12 2002 1,255 3.88 36.2 7 5 26 9 5 25 Lodi Gyaltsen GyariKelsang Gyaltsen 4 6 9 5
文化 : 5 12 2002 45.69 2001 3.44 12,156.71 2001 386.76 SARS 2003.5.24 SARS SARS SARS 99 SARS SARS 5 25 6 3 70 90 1970 4 24 52 27 4 12 SARS SARS 4 5 3 5 6 4 5 2003.6.25 6 24 7 9 15 10 21 SARS 6 3 6
軍事 : 4 16 1978 1992 2003 3 6 361 4 29 4 SPY-1D(V) 100 6 20 31 21 2 4 27 5 24 5 5 28 4 25 7
外交 : 5 26 6 5 300 G8 SARS 4 28 -- 5 16 SARS -- 6 3 4 -- 10+3 3 4 23 24 4 26 5 14 G8 5 19 5 31 6 6 18 5 29 8 Atal Bihari Vajpayee 6 23 8
5 26 6 5 300 4 29 7 8 5 19 7 6 17-19 -- 10+3 ARF 10+1 3 2 6 24 港澳 : 5 23 6 23 SARS 7 9 23 6 19 6 17 SARS 3-5 8.3 287,000 6 30 3 23 5 SARS 346,000 36.8 73 8 7 9
6 23 6 28 Jose Ramos-Horta 6 20 11 對臺政策 : 10 4 29 SARS 5 31 6 1 56 WHA5 19 health entity WHO SARS 4 24 4 29 SARS 5 29 10
1 120,000 100,000 GDP( ) GDP(IMF) 80,000 GDP(RPI) 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1.nominal GDP real GDP IMF deflator retail price index, RPI deflate 2. GDP GDP 2001 2002 International Financial Statistics, Vol. LIV, 2002 11
2 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1. 1 national income 2 marginal propensity to import 3 real effective exchange rate X -M = S -I -(G-T) G T R. M. Dunn & J. H. Mutti, International Economics London: Routledge, 2000, Ch.12, Ch.13, Ch.14, Ch.18 B. Sodersten & G. Reed, International Economics London: Macmillan, 1994, Ch.25 and A. Hossain & A. Chowdhury, Open-Economy Macroeconomics for Developing Countries (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 1998), Ch.3. 2. 2002 12
Y( ) M( ) M/Y dm/dy (dm/dy)/(m/y) 1981 4,862 375.44 0.08 -- -- 1982 5,295 365.06 0.07-0.02-0.35 1983 5,935 422.60 0.07 0.09 1.26 1984 7,171 637.83 0.09 0.17 1.96 1985 8,964 1,240.71 0.14 0.34 2.43 1986 10,202 1,481.60 0.15 0.19 1.34 1987 11,963 1,608.32 0.13 0.07 0.54 1988 14,928 2,057.20 0.14 0.15 1.10 1989 16,909 2,226.68 0.13 0.09 0.65 1990 18,548 2,551.84 0.14 0.20 1.44 1991 21,618 3,395.73 0.16 0.27 1.75 1992 26,638 4,444.22 0.17 0.21 1.25 1993 34,634 5,990.18 0.17 0.19 1.12 1994 46,759 9,964.08 0.21 0.33 1.54 1995 58,478 11,030.00 0.19 0.09 0.48 1996 67,885 11,542.60 0.17 0.05 0.32 1997 74,463 11,802.19 0.16 0.04 0.25 1998 78,345 11,610.61 0.15-0.05-0.33 1999 82,068 13,717.14 0.17 0.57 3.39 2000 89,442 18,633.85 0.21 0.67 3.20 2001 95,933 20,163.60 0.21 0.24 1.12 13
14
SARS SARS SARS 2003 4 6 SARS ( ) 15
SARS 3 SARS 4 2 4 17 4 23 4 29 10 5 9 ( ) 1 5 14 ( 2003.5.14) 4 20 5 15 740 ( 17 ) SARS ( 2003.5.25 A13 ) ( 2003.5.28) ( ) ( 2003.6.23) (The Straits Times 2003.7.3) SARS ( 2003.6.4) ( 16
2003.5) 3 28 ( ) ( ) (2003.6.6) ( ) ( 2003.3.28) 3 26 3 6 7 1 6 SARS 5 ( )4 ( [ ] ) 4 ( )( 2003.6.29) 3 17 3 ( 2003.6.10) 6 18 17
( ( Strategic Forecasting http://www.stratfor.biz) ) 7 8 (2003.6.23) SARS 5 (CNN 2003.6.19) ( ) ( 3 5 3 6 ) 4 ( ( ) 2003.6) 5 ( 2003.6.28) 5 23 ( ) ( 2003.6.5) (The Straits Times 2003.6.18) 6 ( ) (CNN 2003.6.19) 18
SARS 5 6 300 6 1 ([G8] ) SARS ( 2003.6.3) 4 28 SARS ( ) 6 ( ) ( ) ( A13 ) 2003.6.22 2003.6.24 6 ( 300 2003.6.17) 6 10 ( 2003.6.10) 6 11 (SARS) 19
6 23 ( 2003.6.22) ( ) ( )( 2003.7.3) 7 1 82 (1 5 800 ) ( 80 ) ( 2003.7.1) (The New York Times 2003.7.2) 1. ( ) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. ( 2003.7.1) 20
1. 4 ( 2003.4.11) 2. 3 ( ) ( ( 2003.7) SARS China Leadership Monitor 2003.6) ( 2003.5.31-33) 3. 6 4 ( 2003.6.) 6 26 3 13 ( 2003.6.26) 21
4. ( ) ( ) ( ) 3 ( 2003.2) 5. ( ) ( ) ( )( 2003.1.19) ( ) ( 2003.5.30) 6 26 ( 2003.6.26) ( 2003.7.12) 6. 2 5 ( 2003.4.7-13 20-21) 3 27 ( 5 [ ] 2003.3.27) 3 6 25 ( 2003.6.26) 7 2 22
( 2003.7.2) 12 6 21 ( ) ( 7 2003 1 12 2003.4 22-23) 6 ( 2003.6.16 pp.33-35)( 2003.6.20 2003.6.19) 23
( 2003.7.1) 2004 3 ( 3 ) 6 ( ) 4 ( 2003.6.8 2003.6.10) (Financial Times 2003.6.11) ( 2003.6.11) ( 2003.3 30-32) SARS SARS 24
SARS SARS ( The Straits Times 2003.6.14) 4 26 SARS (4 24 ) (4 25 )(4 25 ) (4 26 ) (4 25 ) SARS 4 28 SARS ( ) 4 ( ) 5 30 WHO (6 12 ) SARS 2003.6.13) ( 5 ( ) (The Straits Times 2003.6.13) 5 ( ) 6 SARS ( 2003.6.26) ( 2003.7.3) 6 (CNN 2003.6.16 ) ( 2003.7.1 A13 ) 25
( ) ( 2003.4 19-21) 5 (Reuters 2003.6.29) ( 2003.6.22 A4 ) SARS 6 ( [Times 2003.6.9] [Washington Post 2003.6.13] ) ( ) (Daily Telegram 2003.7.2) (Washington Post 2003.7.1) (The Asian Wall Street Journal 2003.7.2) (The New York Times 2003.7.2) ( ) ( ) 26
( 2003.6.19) (The Straits Times 2003.6.20) SARS SARS SARS SARS SARS SARS 1. 2. (The Asian Wall Street Journal 2003.5.6) 3. SARS (The New York Times 2003.5.19) 4. 5. SARS (International Herald Tribune 2003.5.15) 6. SARS 1. 2.SARS 27
3. 4. 5. SARS ( [Stephen Roach] 2003.5) 6. 20 ( ) 7. ( ) SARS ( 1 SARS ) ( ) ( ) ( 2003.6.2 A13 ) 6 19 (40 ) ( 2003.6.24 2003.6.30) 28
4 SARS (The New York Times 2003.7.2) ( )5 1 16 ( ) ( 2003.5.22 2003.5.28) ( ) (Washington Post 2003.7.1) ( 2003.6.24) 3 6 30 ( 2003.7)3 ( 4 ) 6 7 6 20 SARS (2003.6.24 A13 ) 6 10 SARS ( 2003.6.25) ( 2003.6.23-29 24-27) SARS 29
5 107 (WHO Washington Post 2003.5.13) SARS (Los Angeles Times 2003.6.16) (Washington Post 2003.6.19) 3 5 1 24 ( 2003.5.1) 6 2003 9 ( ) 2004 ( 2 4 2003.6.17) 7 6 ( 30 2003.7.5) 9 ( ) () ( 2003.6.26 A13 ) ( 2003.7.3) 40 (Susan V. Lawrence, Squeezing Profits From Propaganda, Far Eastern Economic Review, 2003.7.10, pp.28-31) WTO ( ) ( 2003.7.6) 30
14 ( ) 5 SARS 5 9 (2002 3 ) 7 4 6 ( BBC 2003.6.28) 5 9 ( ) 5 5 28 4 ( [ ] [ ] [ ] [ ]) 8 10 2000 5 2001 3 ( 14 BBC 2003.5.29) ( ) SARS SARS ( 2003.5.30) SARS (2003 5 6 ) ( ) SARS (2003.5.4 A10 ) SARS ( 2003.5.10 5 ) SARS SARS ( 2003.5.10 5 ) SARS ( ) GDP (2003.5.2 A6 ) 31
SARS ( 2003.5) SARS ( 2003.6.23) ( ) SARS ( 2003.6.14 A13 ) ( ) SARS ( 2003.6.23) SARS 2003.5.17 32
9.9 4 8.9 SARS 4 5 4.3 5 SARS 5 5 37.3 40.9 SARS 5 FDI 17.62 41.45 SARS FDI SARS SARS 4 5 9.9 2002 8 SARS4 WHO SARS 1 5 SARS 33
4 8.9 SARS 4 4 8.9 1 2003 GDP 2.36 9.9 8.2 SARS 4 4 8.9 1 SARS 5 5 4.3 2 5 9.2 1 5 4.3 4.9 5 SARS 5 WHO 5 2003 5 CPI 0.6 5 CPI 0.7 1 SARS 1 2002 CPI 2002 1-3 2002 1-6 2002 1-9 2002 1-12 2003 1-3 -0.6-0.8-0.8-0.8 0.5 34
5 SARS 5 5 13.7 3.5 17.2 5 SARS 5 SARS 5 31.7 1 31.6 5 31.7 SARS 25 % 20 15 10 5 0 35
5 SARS 5 37.3 3 33.5 5 37.4 SARS 5 SARS SARS SARS 42 SARS 70 % 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 5 5 FDI 17.62 3 59.07 36
41.45 SARS FDI 5 FDI 17.62 59.07 41.45 SARS 1 8.28 303.7 4,400 6 marketed-based flexible exchange rates Goldman Sachs 10 4 6 2003.7.1 8 37
5 SARS SARS 7.2 5 8 SARS 0.2 7.6 6.5 7.4 8 7.4 8 7.5 8 7 6.5 7.5 7 7.9 7.5 6 SARS SARS 2-3 SARS SARS SARS 2100 SARS 5,566 GDP 5.4 11.43 3.43 SARS 2100 40 GDP 1 7 38
SARS 400 28000 70-80 20 300 100 400 6 SARS 200 15.5 3 5 2003.6.17 7 SARS 200 6 SARS SARS SARS SARS SARS 1 SARS 1 39
SARS SARS SARS SARS GDP 33.8 SARS SARS GDP 51.7 SARS SARS GDP 51.7 SARS SARS WHO 40
2 2003 5 GDP 23561.6 9.9 14730 15.9 CPI =100 0.6 17978.8 8 10577.8 31.7 FDI 2003 3093.4 1558.6 1534.9 23.7 240.9 389.6 3160.1 8.2769 39.6 34.3 45.5-77.4 46.8 41.6 1. 2. 88 3. 4., " 5 " 5. 2003.7.7 6. 7. 41
6 SARS 5,326 347 SARS 2 740 SARS 4,000 GDP 10 SARS 127 420 1 775 4.1 10 45 10 1.4 0.51 50 30 668 60 1 60 SARS SARS SARS 2002 11 16 2003.4.5 1 SARS 300 5 42
2003.2.11 2003.4.5 3 SARS WHO SARS 3 SARS 34 2003.3.27 2 2003.3.29 6 4 4 3 6 SARS 2003.4.4 4 16 WHO 4 17 2003.4.18 11 2003.4.184 20 WHO SARS 4 24 26 SARS 5 SARS 6 SARS 6 24 WHO SARS SARS 6 SARS 5326 347 2521 191 2003.6.30 2 740 SARS SARS 4 20 2003.4.20 SARS 2 2 5 15 17 740 SARS 2003.5.25 A14 2003.5.8 43
SARS 1 0.3 JP SARS 8 9 1.5 2 2003.4.30 SARS 0.2-1.1 SARS 0.5-2 2003.6.3 4 SARS 3 GDP 0.73-0.81 1.13 2003.6.6 SARS SARS 4,000 GDP 10 2,100 SARS 1997 2003.6.19 SARS SARS 2003.6.9 SARS SARS GDP 2003.6.17 SARS 127 2003.6.3 70 350 SARS 2003.6.6 212 50 100 2003.6.17 SARS 4 26 2000 SARS 44
2003.4.30 11 4 25-28 SARS 13 2003.5.5 4 27 SARS 4 5 2003.5.8 5 3 4 100 SARS 2003.5.5 4.1 1,400 1 775 75 4.1 0.4 2003.5.1 2003 1 1,000 2,400 1,000 800 600 2003.6.18 A14 1,400 SARS 4.5 2003.5.23 A11 4 22 1,000 2003.4.23 5 20 200 2003.5.20 5 1 6 2 1,000 45
2003.6.3 4,000 3 3 4 6 18 2003.6.19 5 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 2003.6.16 10 45 10 1.4 80 53.6 0.51 0.32 1 5 5 20 10 56 998 55 43 19 461 34 46 2003.5.21 5 13 63 23 2003.5.145 20 23 2 2003.5.24 4 8 76 168 7,000 2003.4.12 46
5 9 2 1994 2000 1,910 2 2003.5.9 936 4 29 2 936 2 2003.4.29 1992 2001 157 4 8 2003.4.15 4 23 8 2003.4.23 2002 47
5 26 50 2003.6.4 A11 2003.6.4 5 22 6 7 2003.6.6 2003.6.11 1995 502 2 5 2003.5.20 27 8 2 12 1 2003.6.9 2003 4 132 48
2003.4.15 30 1980 10 30 50 70 1980 2003.3.31 668 60 400 60 41 27 2003.4.9 3,000 4 8 9 190 2,985 1,000 2003.4.12 60 1 60 8 9 668 200 2003.6.5 6 2 49
2003.6.12 200 50 6 60 2003.6.6 4 1 2002 136 4 1 39 2003.3.31 2003 1,921 1,060 2003.5.31 3 31 2 (2003.4.2 11 ) 4 2000 2001 3 13 5 28 50
10 8 2003.5.29 5 16 5 ( 2003.5.19 A11 ) 51
52
53
1. 70 2003 6 6 http://unn.people.com.cn/gb/channel2/3/30/3642/3643/200306/06/262793.html 54
10 2003 7 2003 2003.1.27 2003 3 2003.6.12 2003 2003.2.24 2003.6.12 55
2003.6.12 2003 5 2003.4.10 (2003) ( ) ( 2003.4.23) 2001 4 300 56
3 ( 2003.4.9) (2003) 5 (2003.5.25) 16 ( 2003.5.26) (2002) 10 ( 2003.6.11) ( 2003.6.15 www.people.com.cn) ( 2003.4.23) (2003) 5 18 ( 2003.5.31) 2002 10 28 8 64 7 1 1. 57
2. 3. 1 4. 2003 5 1 1986 ( 2003.5.4) ( ) 2003 1 3 5 1 2003.4.5 3,000 30 50 2003.4.5 58
5 30 2003.4.5 1995 150 TOM.COM 20 2003.4.18 7 2003.5.22 1,500 300 200 12 7 6 8 10 20 2003.5.26 2003.4.18 59
10 2002 6 2003.4.24 1 (2003) 6 8 10 10 2003.6.8 3 5 2003.4.29 60
361 16 6 3 WZ551 2 052B 1 052C 361 70 723 9 5 361 2003.6.13 14 2003.6.14 23 2 2003.5.29 4 5 23 5 2003.5.25 1 61
4 16 5 3 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/2003/04/16/twoshore/can/3936448.html 1. 2. 3. 34-35 16 16 15 15 3 2 6 2003.6.6 6 5 25 3 1 2 2000.10.31 2000.12.21 2003.5.25 1 03 3 2 2003.6.20 13 152mm Jane s Defense Weekly 2003.4.23 p.14 WZ5516x6 15.8 Ibid 2003.4.16 p.16 (IFV) 100mm Ibid 2003.6.18 p.22 4 52 Project 52 2 Project 52B 168 169 2001 9 2002 5 1 Project 52C 170 4 2 B C 6-7 48 1 100mm 2 30mm 62
1 4 1 8-9 (Baker a, p.188 Baker b, p.48 JDW 2003.5.14 p.17) 361 4 16 10 70 2003.5.3 1 10 2003.6.14 13 SARS 2000 8 (International Herald Tribute 2003.5.3 p.4) 723 9 5 2 2003.5.28 1 1 2003.5.29 13 1 1. 2003.5.19 34-35 63
2.Baker, A. D. a, Combat Fleets, Naval Proceedings, 2003.5, p. 188. 3.Baker, A. D. b, World Navies in Review, Naval Proceedings, 2003.3, pp. 44-57. 64
G8 SARS SARS 4 23 25 5 26 6 5 6 6 7 (WTO) (WHO) 65
SARS SARS SARS SARS SARS 4 4 5 2003 ( 2003.5.16) SARS 2008 (The Washington Times 2003.5.19) 6 24 SARS 7 SARS (BBC 2003.4.30) ( ) SARS ( 2003.5.27)SARS SARS ( 2003.5.24) 250 8 (2003.5.13) 66
4 23 25 3 3 4 16 4 23 25 (The Times 2003.4.24) 4 28 (The Washington post 2003.4.30) ( 2003.4.28) (The Washington Post 2003 6.5) ( 2003.6.5) 7 ( 2003.6.15 15 ) 4 5 26 6 5 67
(G8) 10 G8 G8 G8 6 3 G8 9 (G9) ( 2003.6.6) ( 2003.6.6) 25 7 ( 2003.5.30) ( 2003.5.3) 5 3 ( 2003.6.5) 1990 1/3( 2003.6.12) 9 2004 1 8 ( 2003.6.5) 911 68
( 2003.6.4) 5 31 ( 2003.6.13) 3 (The Daily Yomiuri 2003.6.2) 3 8 9 ( 2003.6.1) 6 1 6 5 ( 2003.6.7 6 ) 6 9 ( 2003.6.11 13 ) 6 22 27 69
6 7 6 22 27 10 9 ( 2003.6.26) (The Strait Times 2003.7.3) ( 2003.6.26) ( 2003.7.2) 100 ( 2003.6.20) ( 2003.6.29 13 ) ( 2003.6.25 p.13) 6 28 10 ( 2003.6.29 13 ) 7 17 70
( 2003.6.20) ( 2003.6.19) WTO WHO WTO WTO 2 3 1. 2. 3. WTO ( 2003.5.30 9 )WTO 6 WTO WTO ( 2003.6.19 6 ) WHO SARS WHO 5 19 WHO SARS SARS 5 23 WHO 71
SARS (2003.5.25) 5 27 SARS WHO WHO WHO SARS ( 2003.5.29 6 ) WHO WHO (2003.6.6) 2003 4.6-3 4.7-3 4.11-4.14-4.17-4.20-4.20-4.21-4.23-25 3 4.25-26 17 30 Alstom 4.26-5 4.28-.30 4.28- SARS 120 5.14-16 10 3 5.14-5.18-9 5.18-28 5.19-5.22-5.26-30 100 5.26-6.5 4 72
6.3-4 6.10-11 6.12-14 6.13-15 6.13-6.15-6.15-3 10 3 ARF PMC 10 1 3 6 21 22 ACD 6 18 2003.6.19 A13 6.22-24 6.22-27 9 6.24-3 6.28- APEC 7.1-7.2-4 7.3-5 7.5-7.5-20 3 7.6-5 7.7-10 ( 2003.7.7 8 ) 7.10-12 4.1-4.11-4.21-4.21-4.22-73
4.25-4.26-3 4.27-5.24-28 5.28-31 6.29-30 1991 74
SARS SARS SARS 6 24 44.1 1996 6 13 12 23 2003.6.24 75
80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 1996.7-12 65.8 59.5 1997.1-6 64.8 1997.7-12 58.8 1998.1-6 56.5 1998.7-12 57.6 1999.1-6 53.9 1999.7-12 53.7 2000.1-6 51.2 2000.7-12 53.9 2001.1-6 50.7 2001.7-12 54.1 2002.1-6 48.4 2002.7-12 44.1 2003.1-6 26 100 6 26 2003.6.27 7 9 16 80 65 83 2003.5.4 SARS 2003.5.5 SARS 2003.5.6 6 27 100 2003.6.13 SARS 23 2003.6.4 51.7 20.3 2003.6.26 40 7 1 23 76
2003.6.10 5 21 2003.5.22 6 16 3 2003.6.17 2003.6.17 2007 2003.6.17 2006 2003.5.21 SARS 4 1 4.5 SARS 2 3 (2003.5.31) 3 1.5 3 2003.5.31 SARS 679 2006 2007 2003.5.31 SARS 5 8.3 7 77
3 2 7 2003.6.16 2 3 2.1 4 1.8 2003.5.23 9.00% 8.00% 7.00% 8.30% 6.00% 7.30% 5.00% 6.20% 4.00% 4.70% 4.90% 5.10% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 2.20% 0.00% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003(5 ) 1 1 2003.6.6 SARS -12.5 0.5 78
13 SARS 45 SARS 6 50 30 3 6 30 67 65 54 2003.5.12 SARS SARS 2 3 58.3 SARS 54.7 65.3 2003.4.22 SARS SARS 2003.4.30 14 6 1 4 79
2 5 5 14 2003.6.5 23 23 23 2003.6.2 23 2003.6.4. 2003.6.5 7 1 23 2003.6.5 2003 4 24 25 2003.6.14 2003.6.16 2003.6.16 8 2003.6.16 23 80
2003.6.16 2003.5.1 2003.4.14 2003.4.30 1 6 6 29 3 17 7 2004 1 1 273 2006 1 1 2004 1 1 17 81
17 ( 2003.6.17) 6 30 2003.7.1 23 2003.4.17 23 2003.5.5 23 23 2003.5.17 2003.6.17 2003.6.11 23 82
2003.6.21 6 27 426 1 23 2003.6.28 SARS SARS 4 9 SARS SARS SARS SARS SARS 24 4 SARS 1. SARS SARS 2. SARS 3. SARS 83
24 3 24 4 8 SARS 4 28 5 3 84
4 14 52003 4 16 9 2003.4.15 SARS SARS 90 80 2 5 2003.5.21 50 2003.4.11 30 40 2003.4.13 SARS 5 7.8 2003.6.14 SARS 8 1 5 2003.5.16 5 28 6 3 2003.5.29 6 10 85
2003.6.5 2002 9.5 2002 9.5 541 123,354 2002 2001 16.9 11,530,841 12.2 17.9 2003.4.2 2002 4 4.5 2003.5.18 6 5 15 180 1 2003.6.5 1 2 4 6.2 1 3 0.1 2003.5.29 6.50% 6.40% 6.30% 6.20% 6.10% 6.00% 5.90% 5.80% 6.30% 6.20% 6.20% 6.20% 6.30% 6.30% 6.40% 6.40% 6.30% 6.20% 2002.1-3 2002.2-4 2002.3-5 2002.4-6 2002.5-7 2002.6-8 2002.7-9 2002.8-10 2002.9-11 2002.10-12 6.00% 2002.11-2003.1 6.00% 2002.12-2003-2 6.10% 6.20% 2003.1-3 2003.2-4 86
8.9 2002 2001 67 86 2003.6.23 5 5 2,398 8.9 2003.5.6 3 31 2002 23 2003.4.2 4 1 3 31 2003.4.16 87
3 145 30 2003.4.11 5 1 10 3 2003.5.8 6 1 2003.5.31 2003.6.12003.6.2 2003.6.12003.6.2 2003.6.18 2003.6.9 6 20 2003.6.21 88
4 17 2003.4.18 3 4 2003.4.29 SARS SARS SARS 24 24 SARS SARS 4 28 89
10 SARS SARS 90
SARS 3 ( ) ( ) SARS 3 4 SARS SARS WHO WHO WHO SARS 91
4 24 4 6 WHO SARS 6 12 9 1 6 25 92
93
94