101109 JOURNAL OF HOUSING STUDIES, VOLUME 26 NO. 1, JUNE 2017 邁向住宅需求資訊健全之路 住宅需求動向調查之現況與展望 Towards the Integrity of Housing Demand Information: The Current Situation and Prospects for the Housing Demand Survey 朱芳妮 * Fang-Ni Chu* 摘要 () 關鍵詞 : 住宅需求調查 住宅政策 ABSTRACT The Housing Demand Survey is a long-term survey on housing market demand. The implementation goal is to collect information and indicators that reflect the housing demand side. In order to comply with the government s housing policy directions and provide reference information for its rental subsidy policies, the survey has, in terms of its objectives, regions covered, cycle and methods used, undergone several changes. However, given the survey s limited budget as well as the constraints imposed on investigation, the richness of information has declined and the continuity of the data over the long term has been disrupted. A holistic adjustment of this survey is thus necessary to cope with these difficulties, such as the transition from a cross-sectional survey to a panel survey through the integration of relevant research resources. The themes of this transitional survey include living safety, living quality, the living environment and housing costs (prices). It is believed that a panel survey on housing demand could provide the government with comprehensive fundamental data on housing demand and could be a significant reference basis for relevant housing programs. Key words: housing demand survey, housing policy ( 本文於 2015 年 12 月 18 日收稿,2015 年 12 月 18 日審查通過, 實際出版日期 2017 年 6 月 ) * Research fellow, CNCCU - SINYI Research Center for Real Estate, Taipei, Taiwan. Adjunct Assistant Professor, Department of Finance, National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan. E-mail: fnchu@nccu.edu.tw
102 ()() ()() (20101992) () () 200210 2009201020103~201442015 20092014 6() 2009 20163(2016-2019) 2009 2009
103 表一現行住宅需求相關調查 (Panel Study of Family Dynamics PSFD) 1999 (panel) 1984 2015 2009 10 20022 6 20112014 2015
104 表二 住宅需求動向調查 簡介 時間 :2002 年第 2 季迄今 頻率 : 每季 每半年 對象 : (2015 ) 地區 :6 大都會區 ( 直轄市 ) 留置填表 : (2015 ) 電話訪問 (2009 年 ~2014 年 ): 購屋者 : 租屋者 : () () / / 表三 住宅需求動向調查 調查方式比較 ( ) (2009) ()() () () () 2004 200720082015
105 表四 住宅需求動向調查 沿革 20022 ~2002 4 20031 ~2003 4 20041 ~2007 4 20081 ~2008 4 2009 ~ 每半年 2 桃園縣 新竹市 新竹縣 20044 臺北市和臺北縣 租屋搜尋者 新租用住宅者 ( 過去半年 ) 欲租用住宅者 ( ) ( ) ( 租屋 ) ( ) (4 ) ( ) (4 ) ( )
106 2010 ~2010 4 20111 ~2014 4 2015 ~2016 2010 上半年為每半年, 2010 下半年為每季 每半年 表四 住宅需求動向調查 沿革 ( 續 ) 4 ( 不調查新竹縣市 ) 3~4 1 2~4 置住宅者 租用住宅者 (2016) (4 ) ( ) 34 ( ) 1 (4 ) ( ) 2 ~ 4 ( ) ( ) ( 租補申請者問卷 ) 新購置住宅者調查停辦 2015
107 表五調查實施方式之變動與原因 / 6 2015 () 2014 1225 20123 2015 2009~2014
108 () 1979 199520002010 20062015 1995 ()
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