1. the Global Commission on International Migration GCIM International Organization for Migration IOM

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1 广东社会科学 2014 年第 5 期左晓斯本文概要分析了全球移民治理现状和趋势, 也较为系统地探讨了中国的移民问题及其对中国发展和稳定的重大意义在此基础上, 从认知与观念战略与规划体制与制度资源与能力协调与合作数据与研究六个方面证明, 中国有可能正陷入移民治理困局, 尽管这个困局可能尚未被国家决策层和各级政府察觉移民全球治理诸边主义中国困局 C A X ( 2014) Gerber Guild and Mantu

2 1. the Global Commission on International Migration GCIM International Organization for Migration IOM GCIM 2005 IOM 2010 ⅹⅸ 3% % 3% 3. 1% UN DESA % Price and Benton - Short 2007 UNDP 2009 UN DESA 2009 World Bank 2010 Ratha et al % 185

3 labour migration Guild and Mantu IOM migrant labour IOM UNDP Ghosh 2000 Bosswell Development Research Bakewell 2008 governance the public - sector reforms any pattern of rule global governance or international governance Bevir Betts the transfer of authority 186

4 partnering IC- MPD IOM Geiger et al IOM Puebla Manilla GFMD 2013 ICMPD 2001 the Berne Initiative 2004 AENEAS 2004 OECD 1970 OECD Road Map 187

5 Geiger et al 2010 Kunz et al 2011 tapestry regime the Doyle Report IOM RCPs Betts coherent plurilateralism Betts RCPs IOM 188

6 RCPs forum - shopping divide and rule RCPs Woods and Martinez - Diaz 2009 Bhagwati ICPD 189

7 RCPs Betts IOM ICRC GFMD IOM IOM IOM 190

8 1. IOM 2010 Changing Patterns of Global Migration and Remittances 1990 emigrants % 13% 13. 5% % 57% 54. 7% % 39. 5% 38. 8% UN DESA 2009 Koser

9 图一 1982 ~ 2010 年中国人口及其流动趋势 ( 单位 : 千万人 ) % % 3. migration

10 图二 1982 ~ 2010 年中国城镇人口和流动人口变化趋势图 ( % ) 注 : 以上图表均根据历次全国人口普查数据整理 1957 efficiency equity legitmacy rights Betts

11 outsiders Buchanan and Keohane the border citizen non - citizen Guild and Mantu

12 The Race to the Bottom Baglay and Nakache

13 Baglay and Nakache

14 6. [1] Baglay,S. and Nakache,D. ( ed) ( 2014). Immigration Regulation in Federal States: Challenges and Responses in Comparative Perspective,New York: Springer. [2] Bakewell, O. ( 2008 ). Keeping them in their place: The ambivalent relationship between development and migration in Africa. Third World Quarterly,29, [3] Betts A. ( 2011 ). Global Migration Governance, New York: Oxford University Press. [4] Bevir M. ( 2006 ). Encyclopedia of Governance, Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications. [5] Bhagwati, J. ( 2003 ). Borders Beyond Control, Foreign Affairs,82 ( 1), [6] Bosswell,C. ( 2003). European migration policies in flux: Changing patterns of inclusion and exclusion. Oxford: Blackwell s and Chatham House. [7] Buchanan,A. and Keohane,R. ( 2006). The Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions,Ethics and International Affairs,20 ( 4), [8] Geiger,M. et al ( 2010). The politics of international migration management. In Geiger,M. et al ( eds). The politics of international migration management,1-20. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. [9] Gerber,D. A. ( 2011 ). American Immigration: A Very Short Introduction. New York: Oxford University Press. [10] Ghosh,B. ( ed) ( 2000 ). Return Migration: Journey of Hope or Despair,Geneva: IOM. 197

15 [11 ] Global Commission on International Migration ( GCIM) ( 2005). Migration in an Interconnected World: New Directions for Action,Geneva: GCIM. [12] Guild,E. and Mantu,S. ( 2011). Constructing and Imagining Labor Migration: Perspectives of Control from Five Continents,Surrey,England: Ashgate Publishing Limited. [13] International Organization for Migration ( IOM ) ( 2010). World Migration Report The Future of Migration: Building Capacities for Change,Geneva: IOM. [14] Koser,K. ( 2009). Inclusion,protection and acceptance of migrants in society: linking human rights and migrant empowerment for development,background paper for Session 2. 1 at the Civil Society Days of the Global Forum on Migration and Development,Athens. [15] Kunz,R. et al ( 2011). Introduction. Governance through partnerships in international migration. In Kunz,R. et al ( eds). Multi - Layered migration governance. The promises of partnership. London: Routledge. [16] Pellerin,H. ( 2014). On Governance of Migration Management at the World Level,Lessons and Challenges, in Baglay,S. and Nakache,D. ( ed). Immigration Regulation in Federal States: Challenges and Responses in Comparative Perspective,New York: Springer. [17] Price,M. and L. Benton - Short ( 2007). Counting Immigrants in Cities across the Globe,Migration Policy Institute ( MPI ), http: / / www. migrationinformation. org /Feature /display. cfm? ID = 57 [18] Ratha,D. et al ( 2010). Migration and Development Brief 12: Outlook for Remittance Flows : Remittance flows to developing countries remained resilient in 2009,expected to recover during ,Washington,D. C. : World Bank. [19] United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs ( UN DESA) ( 2009). Trends in Total Migrant Stock: the 2008 Revision,New York: UN DESA. [20] United Nations Development Programme ( UNDP) ( 2009 ). Human Development Report Overcoming Barriers: Human Mobility and Development,New York: UNDP. [21] World Bank ( 2010). Migrant Remittance Inflows, last data, April 2010, Washington, D. C. : World Bank. [22] Woods,N. and Martinez - Diaz,L. ( 2009). Network of Influence? Developing Countries in a Networked Global Order,New York: Oxford University Press. [23] 黄晨熹 : 迁流弱势和社会保护 : 流动人口社会政策研究, 济南 : 劳动经济评论,2013 年第 6 卷第 1 辑 [24] 宋国恺 : 农民工体制改革以自雇佣个体农民工城市社会融合为视角, 北京 : 社会科学文献出版社,2014 年作者简介 : 左晓斯, 广东省社会科学院社会学与人口学研究所研究员, 博士广州

引言

1 2 Szelenyi Kostello (1996) Gordon (2000) (Alcock, 1997, pp92-96; Burden, 2000; Duffy, 1998; Gordon et al, 2000; Jordan, 1996; Saraceno, 1997; SEU, 2001) (Bauman, 1998 Silverman & Yanowitch, 1997) 1979