* * ** 1 * ynuy200919 ** 1 See John W. Garver Protracted Contest Sino - India Rivalry in the Twentieth Century Washington D. C. University of Washington Press 2001 pp. 275-312 Robert D. Kaplan Center Stage for the Twenty - first Century Powers Plays in the Indian Ocean Foreign Affairs Vol. 88 No. 2 March /April 2009 pp. 16-32 David Scott India s Grand Strategy for the Indian Ocean Mahanian Visions Asia - Pacific Review Vol. 13 No. 2 2006. 53
2011 3 1 2 6000 1700 1000 2000 35% 60% 40% 80% 54 40% 3 4 1 21 2009 3 2009 3 2009 2 2008 12 2 1965 89 3 Devandra Kaushik Perspectives on Security in Indian Ocean Region New Delhi Published by Allied 1987 p. 6. 4 82 54
1 Vaidya Arun Prakash Kailash Kohli 2 20 6000 1958 3 1965 1966 1971 1 1995 760 ~ 766 2 David Scott India s Grand Strategy for the Indian Ocean Mahanian Visions pp. 97-129. 3 Sukhwant Singh India s Wars since Independence Defense of Western Border Vol. 2 New Delhi Vikas 1981 p. 327. 55
2011 3 1972 concentric rings 300 300 ~ 600 700 1 2 1971 12 1993 3 1998 1999 14% 14. 5% 17% 1998 5 4 1 James R. Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara China and United States in the Indian Ocean An Emerging Strategic Triangle Naval War College Review Summer 2008 Vol. 61 No. 3 pp. 41-60. 2 1980 262 3 David Scott India s Grand Strategy for the Indian Ocean Mahanian Visions p. 104. 4 India Navy The Maritime Dimension A Navy View Strategic Defense Review May 20 1998 p. 34. 56
21 2001 2003 Ranjit Rai 21 1 2003 17% 2004 6 23 Indian Maritime Doctrine 40 2000 600 1 Ranjit Rai Indian Navy in the 21st Century IDC Report December 15 2003. http / /www. indiadefence. com 57
2011 3 1 2007 5 India s Maritime Military Strategy Doctrine Strategy 2 2004 200 3 4 5 6 1 James R. Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara China and United States in the Indian Ocean An Emerging Strategic Triangle p. 44. 2 Sureesh Mehta Freedom to Use the Seas India s Maritime Military Strategy New Delhi Integrated Headquarters Ministry of Defense Navy 2007 p. 3. 3 Sureesh Mehta Freedom to Use the Seas India s Maritime Military Strategy p. 59. 4 Sureesh Mehta Freedom to Use the Seas India s Maritime Military Strategy p. 11. 5 Sureesh Mehta Freedom to Use the Seas India s Maritime Military Strategy pp. 32-37. 6 Sureesh Mehta Freedom to Use the Seas India s Maritime Military Strategy pp. 115-128. 58
1 1. 8 1993 2009 2 380 60% 2020 2 2020 730 3 80% 60% 35% 2020 85% 30 IEA 90 160 90 4 1 Jason J. Blazevic Defensive Realism in the Indian Ocean China Security Vol. 5 No. 3 2009 pp. 59-71. 2 http / /www. in - en. com 3 Robert D. Kaplan Center Stage for the Twenty - first Century Powers Plays in the Indian Ocean pp. 16-32. 4 http / /energy. people. com. cn 59
2011 3 2010 4797 1 2004 2007 1 2010 http / /www. stats. gov. cn 60
2005 Booz Allen Hamilton 1 ORF 2 3 2005 2008 2009 2010 1 Bill Gertz China Builds up Strategic Sea Lanes The Washington Times Jan. 18 2005. http / /www. washtimes. com 2 Amit Kumar China s Island Strategy in the Indian Ocean Breaching India s Sphere of Influence ORF June 8 2010. http / /www. observerindia. com 3 Gurpreet Khurana China s String of Pearls in the Indian Ocean and its Security Implications Strategic Analysis Vol. 32 No. 1 Jan. 2008 pp. 1-22. 61
2011 3 1 2 Sittwe Dawei 1962 1 Anthony H. Cordesman and Martain Kleiber The Asia Conventional Military Balance in 2006 CSIS June 2006 p. 32. 2 Peter Brown China s Navy Sails Past India s Dock Asia Times Oct. 22 2009. http / / www. atimes. com 62
1962 20 50 1997 2010 17 617 2010 409 38% 51. 8% 1 2010 2176 4931 2 10 2009 1 2010 http / /www. stats. gov. cn 2 2011 268 http / /gpj. mofcom. gov. cn / accessory /20114 /01303180926703. pdf 63
2011 3 2008 64
Amardeep Athwal 1 2 John W. Garver 3 India s Strategy on Indian Ocean and the Development of Sino - India Relations Tao Liang ABSTRACT To achieve and safeguard its future interests in the Indian Ocean China will have to cooperate with India on regional issues. The effective cooperation between the two countries will be of benefit to deal with the so - called Security Dilemma and to promote mutual trust. There are optimistic allusions about future cooperation on the issues in the Indian Ocean region. KEY WORDS Sino - India relations the Indian Ocean security cooperation 1 Amardeep Athwal China - India Relations Contemporary Dynamics London Routledge 2008 p. 129. 2 Amardeep Athwal China - India Relations Contemporary Dynamics p. 3. 3 John W. Garver The Security Dilemma in Sino - India Relations India Review Vol. 1 No. 4 Oct. 2002 pp. 1-38. 65