1994 ~ % % 49% 2 GDP 1 2 Rawski GDP 1978 GDP 1978 =

GDP GDP 1 0. 089 GDP 30 2008 Hsieh and Klenow 2009 600 200433 lm@ fudan. edu. cn ouyanghanchu@ yahoo. com. cn 10YJA790126 71133004 B101 YES 12 3

1994 ~ 2010 9. 9% 1 1 90 1994 16 1994 0. 32 0. 51 15 0. 11 0. 26 66% 49% 2 GDP 1 2 Rawski 2001 2003 2010 GDP 1978 GDP 1978 = 100 1996 1996 1995 1996 1995 1996 1996 12 4

1 20 60 90 0. 08 0. 09 0. 12-0. 09-0. 07-0. 16-1. 07 Padalino and Virarelli 1997 Mazumdar 2003 1971 ~ 1992 OECD OECD OECD Pini 1995 Padalino Vivarelli 1997 60 90 OECD 2 0. 08 0. 06 0. 06 1 2 2007 68 ~ 70 Padalino Vivarelli 1997 12 5

0. 51 0. 47 1 1 1979 ~ 2009 2 2010 20 90 1997 2002 2004 2005 ESCAP 2006 20 80 1 2 Islam Nazara 2000 70 90 GDP GDP 12 6

2006 20 80 90 90 1 80 90 1 2007 1 a 0. 15 0. 17 0. 17 0. 10 0. 58 0. 33 0. 42 0. 68 n. a. 0. 35 0. 31 0. 41 0. 45 0. 70 GDP 500 600 900 1400 4000 4500 6200 a 2000 2007 GDP 1978 GDP 1978 = 100 2000 2006 GDP GDP GDP GDP 2007 2000 2007 2000 GDP GDP GDP 2000 2007 GDP 2000 = 100 90 1998 90 90 12 7

2007 1980 ~ 2004 1 1995 Cai Wang 2010 90 2000 2003 Cai and Wang 2010 2002 Feenstra Hong 2007 2004 GDP 2009 2 90 1 β ' = 1 - k 1 - d β β β' k d k d 2 lne t = α + α 1 lnq t + α 2 lne t-1 + n β i X it + u t E t E t-1 i = 1 Q t α 1 1 - α 2 α 1 / 1 - α 2 12 8

90 20 90 /GDP 1994 2008 2010 2010 2007 2008 Xu 2010 1980 54. 3% 45. 7% 2009 20% 80% 1 Li and Zhou 2005 2008 1978 2009 1 2010 12 9

GDP 4. 018 28. 494 25. 16 29. 064 1 2 2002 GDP 2010 2004 2007 2010 90 2003 3 2008 2009 GDP 90 GDP 2 2006 2008 70 0. 172 1 2 3 2010 1978 = 100 1 0 t GDP 1 0 2008 2010 12 10

80 0. 75290 0. 998 Jin et al. 2005 2 30 1978 2008 /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP 75% 25% 2002 2002 1 1 2001 50% 2003 60% 40% 12 11

2008 1 2000 30 13% 2007 11% 2 Bayoumi - - 2007 0. 47 3 1 2008 2 3 12 12

1 1993 2002 2001 2008 2 2002 2008 3 4 5 1 2008 2 1994 75% 1 0. 3 1994 8 75% 1 0. 3 3 4 5 100 86% 3 18 4 12 13

2007 2010 1 Chen and Yao GDP 2004 2009 2 1 1999 2 1995 2000 12 14

1 2 1995 ~ 2008 30 286 GDP GDP GDP 3 4 1993 1994 2010 1 100 10% ~ 30% 1 1000 1 6000 500 100 3 2 30 50% 10 ~ 30 30% 3 ~ 10 10% 3 4 12 15

30 1 1994 ~ 2007 2000 20 90 2002 2005 2010 2009 GDP GDP 2 elasticity i = α 0 + β 1 gov i + β 2 fdi i + β 3 gov i fdi i + n j = 4β ij X ij + u i 1 1 i i 3 j j α 0 u i gov i fdi i /GDP gov i fdi i X ij 1 2 3 ~ 5 3 12 16

β 1 ~ β ij 1 elasticity i i 2000 ~ 2007 2 2000 ~ 2007 2000 2007 3 GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 4 GDP GDP 2000 ~ 2007 2000 2000 52000 2000 2000 2008 GDP 2008 2009 1 GDP ln GDP Islam and Nazara 2000 GDP GDP GDP /GDP GDP 2 3 1978 = 100 GDP GDP 4 5 12 17

GDP 90 2004 Cai Wang 2010 2000 GDP GDP E 1 E 2 E 2 = ae 1 a E 2 + E 1 t + 1 - E 2 + E 1 t / E 2 + E 1 t E 2 = ae 1 E 1 t + 1 - E 1t / E 1t GDP GDP GDP GDP 2000 2002 Naughton 2007 2003 Cai and Wang 2010 3 1 2002 48% 2009 43% 2 2002 39% 2009 29% 2002 2003 2000 2007 12 18

GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 3 1994 ~ 2009 2010 1 2 GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP 12 19

1 GDP GDP 2 2 2000 ~ 2007 253-0. 0020-0. 98 0. 82 2000 ~ 2007 /GDP 283 0. 0600 0. 01 0. 2 1994 ~ 1999 /GDP 260 0. 0585 0. 01 0. 29 1994 / GDP 253 0. 0592 0. 02 0. 33 2000 ~ 2007 /GDP 286 0. 1063 0. 03 0. 27 1994 ~ 1999 /GDP 263 0. 0795 0. 02 0. 32 1994 / GDP 232 0. 0733 0. 01 0. 21 1 GDP GDP 12 20

2 2000 ~ 2007 / 284 0. 0680 0. 05 0. 14 GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / 284 0. 0562 0. 04 0. 10 GDP 1994 / GDP 286 0. 0503 0. 00 0. 09 2000 ~ 2007 / 284 0. 1360 0. 08 0. 32 GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / 284 0. 095 0. 05 0. 19 GDP 1994 / GDP 278 0. 0904 0. 05 0. 18 2000 ~ 2007 / 284 0. 0144 0. 00 0. 07 GDP 1994 ~ 1999 / 284 0. 0081 0. 00 0. 03 GDP 1994 / GDP 286 0. 0058 0. 00 0. 03 GDP / 2000 ~ 2007 GDP / 286 100 065. 90 2466. 36 73 731. 60 1994 ~ 1999 GDP / 265 5707. 77 1365. 23 40 848. 67 1994 GDP / 217 5490. 59 1080. 27 31606. 19 2000 ~ 2007 /GDP 286 0. 0846 0. 0000 0. 8469 1994 ~ 1999 /GDP 256 0. 1581 0. 0012 1. 8560 1994 / GDP 233 0. 1736 0. 0038 1. 8786 2000 ~ 2007 / 296 0. 5857 0. 1343 0. 9645 1994 ~ 1999 / 265 0. 5679 0. 0964 0. 9667 1994 / 262 0. 5571 0. 0843 0. 9625 1 0 286 0. 3532 0 1 1 0 286 0. 2937 0 1 1994 ~ 1999 1994 12 21

2 1 1 35. 32% 29. 37% 4 5 4 /GDP 5 /GDP /GDP 3 1 ~ 4 1 GDP 1 2 /GDP 3 4 1 1 GDP 7 12 22

2 4 2 4 /GDP 4 /GDP 0. 0821 /GDP 0. 0821 /GDP 0. 0821 14% / GDP 0. 0821 GDP U GDP 5 1 GDP GDP 1 0. 00325 2 2004 2005 GDP Barro 2000 2005 GDP 3 5 ~ 8 GDP 1 U GDP 2 1 100 1 100 12 23

/GDP GDP /GDP 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 /GDP /GDP GDP /10 5 3. 40 3. 22 3. 09 2. 99 3. 20 2. 87 2. 82 2. 70 0. 530 0. 535 0. 522 0. 541 0. 561 0. 581 0. 565 0. 587 GDP - 3. 44-3. 21-3. 04-2. 91-3. 17-2. 80-2. 74-2. 59 /10 10 0. 912 0. 908 0. 885 0. 901 0. 941 0. 949 0. 924 0. 943-1. 056 0. 0915 1. 184 1. 039-0. 0973 0. 648 0. 580 0. 544 0. 768 0. 953 0. 969 0. 979 0. 433 0. 522 0. 508 0. 511 1. 380 1. 659 1. 557 1. 214 1. 266 1. 170 0. 501 0. 493 0. 500 0. 409 0. 399 0. 407-16. 56-19. 47-19. 00-9. 380-8. 916-8. 692 6. 701 6. 561 6. 581 3. 339 3. 253 3. 277-0. 306-0. 325-0. 289-0. 310 0. 0793 0. 0811 0. 0756 0. 0780-0. 0281-0. 0303 0. 0443 0. 0436-0. 0614-0. 0583 0. 0500 0. 0497-0. 229-0. 307-0. 186-0. 125-0. 269-0. 340-0. 162-0. 103 0. 0593 0. 0682 0. 0734 0. 0927 0. 0759 0. 0803 0. 0909 0. 105 250 250 250 250 253 253 253 253 R 2 0. 218 0. 243 0. 286 0. 291 0. 211 0. 238 0. 281 0. 285 1% 5% 10% 12 24

1994 ~ 1999 /GDP 1994 ~ 1999 4 9 ~ 12 GDP 4 13 ~ 16 9 10 /GDP 11 12 /GDP t 1 13 14 ~ 16 /GDP /GDP 4 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 /GDP /GDP GDP /10 5 5. 46 5. 26 5. 27 5. 04 4. 98 5. 06 5. 11 4. 59 0. 931 1. 02 1. 01 1. 08 9. 90 1. 11 1. 09 1. 18 GDP - 8. 40-7. 46-7. 53-6. 99-7. 39-7. 36-7. 56-6. 31 /10 10 2. 83 3. 00 2. 98 3. 11 2. 95 3. 18 3. 14 3. 30-2. 518-1. 640-1. 099-1. 078-1. 163-0. 589-0. 280-0. 350 0. 672 0. 788 0. 834 0. 837 0. 514 0. 629 0. 633 0. 636 0. 466 0. 511 0. 491 0. 231 0. 294 0. 269 0. 230 0. 230 0. 235 0. 212 0. 210 0. 212-6. 440-6. 951-6. 881-3. 002-3. 486-3. 528 2. 789 2. 787 2. 804 2. 036 2. 020 2. 021-0. 153-0. 168-0. 204-0. 222 0. 0811 0. 0833 0. 0781 0. 0799-0. 0126-0. 0374 0. 0462 0. 0463-0. 0423-0. 0689 0. 0519 0. 0526-0. 125-0. 176-0. 121-0. 0864-0. 158-0. 205-0. 116-0. 0422 0. 0611 0. 0663 0. 0721 0. 0894 0. 0707 0. 0773 0. 0835 0. 102 245 239 239 239 248 242 242 242 R 2 0. 257 0. 275 0. 286 0. 289 0. 229 0. 238 0. 260 0. 265 12 25

GDP 10 ~ 12 /GDP /GDP GDP 1 2 5 17 ~ 20 17 18 /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP 19 20 /GDP /GDP /GDP /GDP 17 19 1 2 5 1994 12 26

/GDP 1 0. 049 GDP 5 17 18 19 20 21 22 GDP GDP /10 5 2. 98 2. 62 4. 53 4. 29 2. 76 4. 44 GDP / - 2. 88 10 10 0. 909 0. 544 0. 577 1. 07 1. 17 0. 579 1. 17-2. 45 0. 927-5. 09 3. 11-5. 02 3. 29-2. 64 0. 929-5. 51 3. 30 0. 861 0. 514-1. 129-0. 165 0. 573-0. 242-0. 578 1. 535 0. 993 0. 504 0. 823 0. 635 0. 506 0. 637-1. 846 0. 595-4. 858 1. 622-2. 167 0. 859-8. 944 3. 094-6. 943 3. 574 1. 504 1. 063 0. 500 0. 263 1. 142 0. 297 0. 506 0. 401 0. 231 0. 209 0. 401 0. 211-18. 00-7. 632-6. 194-3. 292-7. 993-3. 288 6. 768 3. 235 2. 761 1. 998 3. 236 2. 010-0. 317-0. 237-0. 122-0. 185-0. 250-0. 216 0. 0817 0. 0800 0. 0831 0. 0802 0. 0793 0. 0794-0. 0343 0. 0267-0. 00830-0. 00480-0. 0106-0. 0133 0. 0469 0. 0466 0. 0454 0. 0476 0. 0435 0. 0477-0. 0660 0. 0873-0. 0114 0. 0227 0. 103-0. 0173 0. 0503 0. 0688 0. 0527 0. 0652 0. 0756 0. 0605-0. 0783 0. 0447 0. 160 0. 0932-0. 0805-0. 0271 0. 145 0. 113 0. 119 0. 114 0. 104 0. 102 249 252 238 241 252 241 R 2 0. 293 0. 314 0. 318 0. 287 0. 310 0. 279 GDP 6 21 ~ 22 21 / GDP /GDP 22 / GDP /GDP 21 22 12 27

/GDP 21 GDP 1 0. 089 1994 1994 6 23 24 1994 / GDP / GDP 25 26 6 23 24 25 26 27 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 GDP /10 5 6. 31 5. 01 6. 09 4. 30 4. 45 1. 46 2. 59 1. 45 2. 64 2. 56 GDP /10 10-1. 01-5. 98-8. 99-2. 32-2. 58 0. 569 13. 4 5. 64 14. 0 13. 3 0. 815 1. 026 0. 842 1. 302 1. 090 0. 719 0. 843 0. 710 0. 857 0. 832 0. 694 1. 389 0. 642 1. 404 1. 434 0. 180 0. 316 0. 179 0. 316 0. 312-9. 047-13. 54-8. 197-13. 64-13. 55 1. 936 2. 748 1. 947 2. 745 2. 711-3. 145-2. 056 1. 362 1. 086-8. 490 3. 697-0. 200-0. 358-0. 195-0. 341-0. 340 0. 0909 0. 0875 0. 0898 0. 0883 0. 0866 0. 00353 0. 0413 0. 0208 0. 0705 0. 0285 0. 0484 0. 0487 0. 0484 0. 0510 0. 0484 0. 00320 0. 0376 0. 0587 0. 112 0. 0808 0. 0577 0. 0569 0. 0618 0. 0699 0. 0592-0. 233-0. 153-0. 0954-0. 0109-0. 125 0. 104 0. 151 0. 119 0. 170 0. 150 184 166 184 164 166 R 2 0. 352 0. 368 0. 371 0. 373 0. 389 12 28

23 24 1994 /GDP /GDP 27 24 1994 GDP 2000 ~ 2007 2001 ~ 2007 5% 1 90 GDP 1 0. 089 1994 1 12 29

2004 9 2004 2 2009 8 2005 GDP Arye L. Hillman 2002 2 1 2008 1978-2005 4 2008 9 2009 5 2010 12 2007 3 2010 8 1997 3 2007 6 2003 4 2007 1 2010 10 2007 1998 4 2004 6 2004 1 2005 12 2008 2009 5 2010 GDP 8 2008 2008 5 2007 1 2010-5 2010 4 2002 5 2002 1 12 30

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