全球房市观察 21年 第2季度 GLOBAL PROPERTY INDEX 贰
1 21 2 21 39 24 39 28 11 4.39% 214 4.1% 21.19% 6.66% 21 2 1.61% 211 1 21 / : (+.81%) (+8.99%) (+6.19%) (+16.43%) (+6.61%) (-11.72%) (-11.13%) (-.64%) : 22 17 21 16.43% 214.66% 21 2 3.83% 21 2 2 13 21 21-3% -3% -2% -2% -1% -% % % % % 1% 2% 2% 3% 16.43%.81% 8.99% 6.61% 6.19% 6.13%.22%.19% 4.83% 4.39% 4.26% 4.11% 4.% 3.93% 3.72% 3.43% 2.76% 2.11% 2.3% 1.3% 1.1%.92%.6%.6% -.27% -.79% -1.74% -2.27% -2.42% -3.18% -3.38% -3.2% -3.6% -3.88% -.64% -11.13% -11.72%
2 21 2 13 21.81% 214 11.97% 21.47% 21 8.99% 16.1% 213 2 21 2.81% 21 6.19% 6.9% 21 2 21 (4.83%) (4.26%) 4.11% 3.93% 2.76% (2.11%) 21 (1.3%)(1.1%) (.92%) (.6%) 21 11.13% 214.96% 21 2 1 2.92% 21.64% 2 1 1.61% 21 (-3.88%) (-3.6%) -3.18% -2.42% -.79% 21 21 16.43% 214.66% 214 21 2 3.83% 21 CBD 6.61% 2.73% 21 2.91% d 21 6.13% 2.68% 2 1.% 21 3.72% 2.28% 2 1 1.12% 21 2.3% 214.42% 2 1.6% 21 3.38% 7 21 1.69% 2114 1.74%.74% 21 1.14% 21.27% 24.3% 21 4.39% 214 4.1% 21.39% 3.49% 2111 4% 2.3% 212 1 21 2 1 1.78% 212 214 21 11.72%, 211 1 1 2 4.28% 21.22%.9% 2 1 1.31%
3 21.19% 6.66% 21 2 1.61% 21.6% 2 1 1.2% 21 3.2% 214 2.37% 2 1 1.61% 21 21 21-3% -3% -2% -2% -1% -% % % % % 1% 2% 2% 3% 2.14%.7% 8.99% 7.91% 7.84% 6.62% 6.4% 6.38%.39%.24%.19%.6%.6% 4.83% 4.48% 4.42% 4.14% 3.21% 3.4% 2.97% 2.77% 2.1% 2.39% 1.62% 1.26%.83%.61% -.22% -.88% -2.11% -3.2% -3.6% -3.67%.27%.92% -8.% -.64%
4 21 2 13 21.81% 214 11.97% 21 2.47% GDP 4.8% 213.17% 212.3% GDP %-6% 21 8.99% 16.1% 21 2.81% 2 1 - -1-2 -2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21 21 6 21 2.% 12,28 2.2% 21 2 1.9% 1.1% 2% 214 2.1% 213 1.6% 212 4.7% 211 8.3% 2 2.% 21 6.19% 21 1 7.71% 214 4.18% 214 3 6.69% 214 2 6.9% 214 1 7.37% 2 1 3.% 214 1.8% 213 3.% 212 1.1% 211 2.1% 4.2% 372,4 37.8% 32.% 43,7 382,8 14.2% 192,6 13.8% 8.8% 226,8 198, 8.4% 198,8 6.6% 247,2 4.6% 19,9 2.% 147,8 21 (4.83%) (4.26%) 4.11% 3.93% 2.76% (2.11%) 21 (1.3%)(1.1%) (.92%) (.6%) -% % % % 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% % %
21 11.13% 214.96% 211 4 (-2.97%) (-11.13%) 2 1 2.92% (IMF) 21 2 3.%-4% 3.8% 214.6% 213 1.3% 212 3.4% 211 4.3% -4.3% 21 2 1.61% 21 21 8 43.8% 21 4 6.9% 21 3 19.% 3% 8 6 4 2-2 IMG 9% 214 6.8% 213.3% 21 (-3.88%) (-3.6%) -3.18% -2.42% -.79% 21-4 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21 213 8 1 32.9698 21 8 1 1 6.2372 21.64% 21 1-36.7% 214 4-37.38% 3-36.12% 2-33.49% 1 -.64% Q2 21-36.7% Q1 21-37.38% Q4 214-36.12% Q3 214-33.49% Q2 214-4.3% Q1 214 21-3.88% -3.6% -3.18% -2.42% -.79%
6 21 16.43% 214.66% 21 2 3.83% 21 32,261 2.4% (RVD) 21 2 2.8% 2.4% 2% 3% 214 2.3% 213 2.9% 212 1.6% 21 CBD 6.61% 2.73% 21 2.91% 211 1 213 4 CBD 19.% 21.6% 6% 6.% 214 GDP 6.1% 213 7.2% 212 6.8% 21 6.13% 2.68% 21 2 1.% 21 1,33 2.2% ( ) 21 2 1.6% 4.%.6% GDP 1.4% 16.43% 212 8 1 78.68 21 1 123.24 21 3.72% 2.28% 2 1 1.12% 3 3 2 2 1 - -1 3.7% 214.7% 213 2.9% 212 6.% IMF 21 2.3% 214.42% 211 3 21 2 1.6%,413 26 3.3% -2 29 2 211 212 213 214 21
7 21 21 3.38% 7 21 2 1.69% 2% 2.% 214 2.9% 213 3.9% 212 2.% 211 6% 21 14 1.74% 212 3.74% 21 2 1.14% 21.27% 21 7 1 16 1 14 13 12 1 21 6 21 2 4.67%21 1 4.72% 29 GDP 21 6.28%.18% 28 214.98% 213.4% 212.2% 211 6.2% IMF Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 1 Q2 1 21 2 24% 1,999 26.2% 2,99 21 2 1.8% 2.8% (MTI) 2 4% 4.1% 18 4 3 3 2 2 1-3 9 3 11 9 11 3 12 9 12 3 13 9 13 3 14 9 14 3 1
8 21 4.39% 21 1 4.36% 214 4 3.77% 3 3.4% 2 4.1% 1 7.28% 2 1 2.3% 21.39% 3.49% 2 1.2% / 21 2.1% (9.4%) (8.1%) (7.7%) (7.6%)(7.3%) (6.2%) 6% 1.3% 1.% 21 7 7.%.1% 14.6% 21 7 2.8% 8% 2% 21 8 6 61 21 2 7.81% 7.38 3.42% 1.37%.71% 2.84% 3.3% 2.78% 1.7%.2%.44% 9.1% 6.34% 4.6% 6.11% 4.14%.17% 8.17%.37% 7.74%
9 21 7 1 (ARMs) 2.2% 1 2.96% ( ) 21 7 1 (FRM) 3.21% 3 FRM 4.% 21 2.6% 2.3% ( ) 3.1% 2 (IMF ) - -1 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21 2111 4% 2.3% 212 1 21 2 1 1.78% 21 7.4% (6.7%) (4.6%) (4.%) (2.6%) (1.7%).2% 21 1.4%.8% 21 7 2.% 2 9 1% 2 1-29 21 2.% 1.8% Consensus Economics 1.1% 2% 214 2.% 21 7 3.4% (CREA) 21 7.9-21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21
21 11.72% 211 1 1 2 4.28% 28 3 211 3 3% 212 212 2 214 4 214 11,6 REIDIN -- JLL Standard & Poor % 2% Moody 29 4 3 2 %-1% 3.1% 214 3.6% 213.2% 212 4.7% 211 4.9% IMF % 21 69% 66% 2,17 - -2 211 212 213 214 21 21.22% 21 1 8.% 214 4 7.41% 3.94% 2.9% in Q2 214 1 3.% 21 2 1 1.31% 21 2 91.6% 7,4 (CBS) 21 2 3.6 4.2 4.3 21 2 7.7% ) 21 8 2 2 1.1% 21 2 1 216 3% 21 2.3% CBS 2.8% ( - -1 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21
11 21 17.9% 9.4% 71% 38% 21 67% 43% %% 21 28 $647,42-2.8% $472,841 6.2% $484,326 2.8% $32,339-4.3% $929,842 17.9% $61,47.% $63,19-2.% $4,463 -.1% $476,426 4.% $296,33.3% $64,76 9.4% $43,3 1.8% $8,63.% $412,83 -.9% $32,97 $33,88.% 3.% $26,742 $23661 2.4% -7.9%
12 21.19% 21 1 7.8% 214 4 4.6% 3 3.93% 2 6.66% 1 8.36% 21 2.61% 21 7 37.8% 8,121 (REINZ)21 7 (Waikato)/ Bay of Plenty 8% (71%) Hawkes Bay (6%) Central Otago Lakes (6%) 21 7 2,824 24% 2 3 11.4% 21 1 3.2% 214 3.2% 27 GDP 213 2.2% 212 2.4% 211 1.8% (RBNZ) 21 6 7 (OCR) 2 3% 2 2 1 - -1 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21 21 3.2% 2 1 1.61% 21 2 2.6% 21 1 1.6% 214 Petrobras.1% Dilma 213 2.7% 212 Rousseff 1.8% 211 3.9% 2 7.6% IMF 21 2 1 1.9% General Motors Co. Latam Airlines 21 8 Embraer SA 8% 1 3.494 1.61%
13 214 7 1 2.2169 23 212 26% 7.2% 27 213 113% ( ) 144% 3 3 2 2 1 213 214 4 11% 7 214 2 12 21 8 14.2% 6-29 2 211 212 213 214 21 2 1 1.61% 21.6% 2 1 1.2% 21 2 1.3% 2% 214 1.% 213 212 2.2% 211 3.2% IMF (SARB) 21 7 2 2 1 - -1-2 -2 27 28 29 2 211 212 213 214 21
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