大 陸 情 勢 2006 7 政 治 : 10 4 1 2 8 40 經 濟 : 2006 GDP 9 1,443 2005 10.3 6 29.8% 12 2006 6 9 4 1
4 22 社 會 : 13 90% 2030 2 3 5 2 8 1 2 4 26 5 15 20 11 3 109 2 1 6 76 2 1 SARS 67.6% 29% 2005 5 1 30% 50.6% 40% 1 5 2
1999 2005 100 1 40%-60% 1 60 12 68 1 文 化 : 3
2006 5 18 軍 事 : 10 4 200 400 外 交 : 4 18-21 1 4 1-8 6 17-24 7 4
6 6 2005 740 3 2 4 6 6 15 10 4 16 2 7 5 7 7 15 15 1695 5
港 澳 : 1 8.2% CEPA 2009 8 10 CEPA 359 對 臺 政 策 : 6
10 4 12 3 100 26 17 6 9 2006 4 7
5 2006.3.16 3 2006.5.29 2006.6.1 2006.7.3 2006.7.4 2006.7.4 2006.7.7 45 50 2 25 100 2006 6 2006.7.5 8
10 6 24 10 2 2 2006.6.24 2004 9 2006.6.25 7 6 27 5 4 2006.6.27 2006.6.25 2006.6.25 3 6465 7 59 62 60 2006.6.27 9
4 2007 31 10 2006.4.15 1 1 1 2 ( ) 2006.1.16 5 1 2 3 8 2006.5.16 2006.5.16 5 10
2006.5.18 2005 334 97 2006 5 1 6 2006.1.23 4 2006.5.17 2006.6.19 1 2006.6.19 2006.7.16 9 47 11
2006.7.9 7 51 504 4,886 8,223 12,117 8 2006.3.7 891 2006.6.23 2006.3.7 GDP GDP GDP 12
2004 1978 3 1 2 3 2004 2006.4.3 0.52006.6.26 3 2006 6 2006.4.3 2006 4 3 1 11 2 1 3 2006 4 3 3 1 6 5 13
1 1 3 2006.6.19 2006.6.8 2 2006 3 14 12 20 27 5 17 2005.12.21 2006.5.17 30 2006.5.4 2006 4 2 4 20 21 2005.12.21 10 3 2006.3.3 14
5 3 3 2006.5.25 16 1 14,000 2006.6.2 3 24 25 2006 6 2006.3.25 3 2005 216 282 178 142 431 824 2006.1.7 1 20 13,478 3.08 6,023 2006.3.29 1 132 56 2.7 2,682 163 2006.3.26 15
1990 2/3 27 200 2006.6.2 1 6 6 2006.1.6 6 2006.1.25 2006.1.23 2006 4 16
3 4 The Wall Street Journal2006.6.19 2006.6.11 2006.6.29 2005 2 4,277 4 1,447 196 8 2006.3.11 2005 6 2006.3.31 7,000 (Los Angeles Times2006.7.1 10 17
57 5 10 2006.7.3 New York Times2006.7.4 1 The Wall Street Journal, Asia 2006.7.4 2006.7.5 The Wall Street Journal2006.6.27 2006.7.5 30 2006.7.4 BBC 2006.6.28 6 3 2006.6.22 18
The Straits Times2006.7.5 2006.7.4 5 16 40 30 1981 1981 6 11 6 2006.5.17 40 3 8 2006 6 4 2006.5.21 40 2006.6.5 40 10 40 3,300 3 46 32 2006.6.5 5 12 14 40 21 60 19
50 200 8 2006.5.14 3 24 26 2006 2006 6 2006.5.16 2006.5.15 2006.5.21 10 2006.5.16 4 20 2006.7.5 20
2006 1 GDP 4 3,390 2005 10.3 3,242 4.5 2 1,614 12.5 1 8,534 8.6 5 CPI 1.2 CPI 3 2.7 3 0.8 5 1.4 5 30.3 5 7 21 2006 6 30 8.0054 / 3.27 8 7 21
EIU 2006 EIU 2006 2006 GDP 2.24 8% 1 EIU GDP EIU 12 11 EIU 4 2006 1 10.3 2006 1 GDP 4 3,390 10.3 3,242 4.5 2 22
1,614 12.5 1 8,534 8.9 2 5 1.4 1-5 1.2 5 CPI 1.4 1-5 1.2 CPI 1.3 CPI 1.1 CPI 3 CPI 2.7 3 0.8 5 1.4 5 5 1.9 4.9 CPI 2 2 20 2006 23
2003 60% 10% 3 1 : 2004 10-12 2005 1-3 2005 4-6 2005 7-9 2005 10-12 2005 1-12 2006 1-5 3.6 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.2 5 5 3 390 13.2 13.9 12.4 11.7 13.3 15.0 0.9 2 1-5 17.0 1-5 3 1,748 17.0 11.1 17.7 15.4 2 5 1-5 30.3 24
18.8 31.2 49.5 15.8 9.7 2 30000 1 % 60 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 47.8 34 16130 28.6 10594 11439 7058 19.4 21897 24166 20592 18036 11608 14785 16184 10998 29.8 27.7 28 27.5 30.5 14.2 27.6 22.8 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 5 23.9 1-5 6,478.5 23.9 3,473.2 25.7 3,005.3 22.0 467.9 56.3 2006 25
9,000 18% 1,038 4 9.2% 1.8% 6 9.2% 7 14.6% 16.5% 9,980 8,190 1,790 26 2,839 1,425 1,414 11 3,046 1,581 1,465 115 3,263 1,772 1,491 281 2,952 1,559 1,394 165 3,498 1,864 1,633 231 3,794 2,041 1,753 288 3,977 2,156 1,821 335 3,713 1,973 1,740 233-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2004 22004 32004 42005 12005 22005 32005 42006 1 2
5 2.78 5 15,659 4.73 FDI 2.78 5 568,601 6,454.14 2 : 2004 10-12 2005 1-3 2005 4-6 2005 7-9 2005 10-12 2005 1-12 2006 1-5 460.6 352.2 509.71 441.35 587.39 1890.7-119.4 133.9 151.73 146.84 170.78 603.3 229.89 721 630 8.0054 2004 3.27 3 8.2765 94.01 94.02 94.03 94.04 94.05 94.06 94.07 94.08 94.09 94.10 94.11 94.12 95.03 8.2765 8.2765 8.2765 8.2765 8.2765 8.2765 8.1080 8.0973 8.0930 8.0840 8.0796 8.0702 8.0170 27
Charles Schumer Lindsey Graham 3 27.5 Finance Committee Charles Grassley Max Baucus 3 Carlos Gutierrez Robert Zoellick 10 3 8,751 32.8 1 562 70 2 998.23 2005 6 6 11 8 1,004.08 2005 7 12 1213 7 7 11 1,745.806 446.41 14 28
74.54% 65.18% 4 1 AB 2004 2 1,293 48,441.32 15,320.81 63.41 7,129.17 2004 3 1,302 50,417.42 15,855.94 55.58 5,697.19 2004 4 1,314 45,804.96 14,367.68 98.31 5,215.63 2004 5 1,324 44,742.63 14,119.75 215.67 1,801.25 2004 6 1,346 40,408.09 12,604.36 345.54 2,604.09 2004 7 1,367 40,377.19 12,717.65 219.86 2,536.77 2004 8 1,380 39,031.39 12,223.73 99.03 1,864.52 2004 9 1,378 40,928.61 12,906.97 13.93 3,936.40 2004 10 1,378 38,741.88 12,231.59 33.48 2,873.37 2004 11 1,377 39,458.96 12,532.42 89.09 3,016.78 2004 12 1,377 37,055.57 11,688.64 237.61 2,069.62 29
2005 1 1,377 34,877.62 11,067.77 47.38 1,740.73 2005 2 1,378 38,443.12 12,161.18 8.78 1,984.27 2005 3 1,379 34,802.72 10,996.52 7.05 2,977.30 2005 4 1,383 33,871.01 10,658.99 328.16 2,964.56 2005 5 1,388 31,330.34 9,989.17 11.12 1,457.74 2005 6 1,391 31,590.02 1,004.21 504.93 3,086.10 2005 7 1,390 31,397.34 9,814.85 30.47 2,176.59 2005 8 1,389 33445.61 10,633.67 220.06 4,641.27 2005 9 1,381 33,367.6 10,692.76 0.81 4,078.22 2005 10 1,381 31,373.2 10,132.09 654.15 2,061.2 2005 11 1,381 31,095.2 10,135.70 5.10 2,229.1 2005 12 1,381 32,430.28 10,630.52 64.50 2,266.06 2006 1 1,381 34,931.94 11,753.75 11.00 3,561.05 2006 2 1,377 35,766.35 12,199.52 9.81 3,642.19 2006 3 1,376 35,341.74 12,434.27 50.92 3,991.18 2006 4 1,372 37,769.09 13,635.17 55.47 7,157.85 2006 5 1,372 43,201.44 16,162.83 68.21 10,727.61 5 101.87 4 0.26 0.3 5 5,658 21.8 1.22 17.8 97.04 4 2.43 6.73 2 1 30
10% 8% 2.3 1-5 6,478.5 23.9% 15% 8.9 1-5 30.3% 18% 1-5 17.0%2004 5 M2 18.8% 16% 2.8 1.26 2.5 50% 1-5 CPI 1.2% 0.6 3% 5 70 6.1% 5.7% 4 24 6 4 28 1 0.27 7 5 0.5 6 6 31
3 2 3 32
5 2006 1 GDP 1-3 43,390 10.3 1-3 31,747.89 17.0 CPI=100 3 3 1-3 1-3 6,175.6 30,390.4 1.4 1.2 14.2 13.2 1-3 25,773.47 30.3 1-3 FDI1-3 3 3 31 6,478.5 3,473.2 3,005.3 467.9 15,659 229.89-8,750.70 8.0350 23.9 25.7 22.0 56.3-4.73 2.78-1. www.tynews.com.cn 2. (www.stats.com.cn) 3. 4. www.scitech.people.com.cn 5. 6. www.takungpao.com.hk 7. www.worldbank.com 8. (www.mofcom.gov.cn) 33
9. (www.pbc.gov.cn) 10. www.cnfi.org.tw/kmportal/front/bin/home.phtml 11. (www.szse.cn) 12. (www.sse.com.cn) 13. (www.csrc.gov.cn) 14. www.mpfinance.com/cfm/main.cfm 15. www.moea.gov.tw 34
13 2,365 5-10 1 1 60 4 1 16 1 6,000 2 1 12 2 1 29% 18.12% 540 50 3,500 68 13 35
13 6 2005 3,255 1992 2005 1 7 9 20% 90% 10 5 2006.4.30 3:1 24 2005 3.221 2030 1 10% 1,094 3,293 2006.4.28 22,365 2,300 5 2 8 1 1 2 2006.5.15 2 37.2% 0.6% 2.5% 3.7% 36.4% 2.1% 2006.5.11 178 6,780 2/3 36
2005 8 1,560 405 26%6 1 15.9% 2006.7.4 1 4 2.8 35 25% 2006.4.26 2004 6-8% 2.6% 2006.3.26 2002 2006.6.26 3 2004 1 1 8 1 3 6 2 1 2 1 3 5 6 8 20 2006.5.3 2005 1 80% 993 77-79 37
2006.5.22 5-10 ( ) ( ) 2006.6.5 2000 21,342 4,353 4.71 2004 50,529 6,718 7.52 4 1.6 2-3 5-10 2006.5.20 3 4 1 150 1/10 3 100 117 2020 4 20 BBC 2006.6.20 2005 13,250 4 38
2006.3.28 1 20042005 2 2 115 109 4 2006.5.15 1 6 2006 1-6 16 325 2 27 2006.7.3 4 25 4 26 5 15 20 11 3 109 2 1 6 2006.5.15 1 4-6 2006.4.09 3 2006.5.15 2006.4.10 31 2006.4.12 3 2006.4.24 2006.5.15 2006.4.26 11 18 2006.5.15 2006.4.29 32 2006.5.15 2006.5.02 15 2006.5.15 2006.5.05 7 1 2006.5.6 2006.5.07 9 2006.5.8 2006.5.10 11 2006.5.15 2006.5.18 412 2006.5.19 2006.5.18 56 2006.5.27 39
2006.5.22 81 2006.5.30 5 2006.6.28 27 36 2006.5.24 2006.6.04 2006.6.29 5 18 4 1 5 10 19 3 4 2006.5.15 4 4 8 14-1 14-2 14-1 ( 2006.5.25 3) 9 14 3 13 ( 2006.5.25 3) 1 1 2006.5.15 5 56 3) ( 2006.5.25 2 1/3 2/3( 2006.5.30) 2 2005 3,341 5,938 4 14 30 8 80 60% 40
2006.7.1 2006 4 34-36 90 ( 2006.5.24) SARS 70% 5 67.6% 2006.5.8 5 2006.7.1 2005 6 320 7 2006.5.23 4 5 2006 6 21 41
12 1992 8,247 1.32 2.73 2 2001 10 2006.4.1 12 1 2006.4.2 12 28 ( 2006.6.12) ( 2006.6.25 12) 2003 (2006.6.25 12) 1 ( 2006.6.18) 42
( 2006.6.2) 2 1 76 1 ( 2006.4.19) 1996-2005 21 20 2006.6.5 10 340 ( 2006.6.21) 173.97 18.12%( 2006.6.17) GDP 14% 4,700 2006.4.18 7% 47% 2006.4.18 1992 2002 33%1990 71% 2003 79% 2006.5.13 43
2005 2000 27% COD 2000 2% 10% GDP BBC 2006.4.13 16 2006.5.31 50 3,500 68 1954 2005 3,486 68 2006.6.1 356 1/3 5 8 1 20 23.2 2006.5.8 222.98 29% 2005 5 30% 50.6% 40% 1 5 2006.4.19 2006.5.4 2005 3 5 1/5 44
10 8 2006.5.9 3 5 5 2000 1 12% 2020 33% 2 3564 ( 2006.5.9) 2 5% 2005 1 6 1991 1 2 2006.6.18 3 4 2930 2 64 18 9 2006.5.23 966 124 1002 61-65 45
2 2 2006.5.28 16 16 0-14 64 2006.3.31 6 1 1 40%-60% 2006.5.8 2006.5.12 3 2005 690 / 340 / 2003 235 / 2006.5.8 6 GDP 20% 12 68 1 2006.5.22 46
1 60 8 2006.6.28 48 2006.6.12 2004 11 26 2006.5.2 1999 2005 1 5 2004 402 1 2005 18.31 5 18 3 1 2006.4.17 2006.5.10 1998 2005 1 81 5 2006.4.19 2 1 20 16 38-39 1 8 10 120 47
2006.4.4 2006.5.9 2006.5.18 6 2 6 1,080 120 518 6 10 ( 2006.6.10) 21 48
6 36 11 70 8 518 7 2006.4.11 56 70 ( 2006.6.5) 2005 4 40 53 ( 2006.5.2) 23 20 49
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4 200 400-1 -8 Ka-29 / Ka-31 Mil-171 GLONASS 10 6 24 http://news3.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2006-06/24/content_4 743480.htm 10 7 3 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/06 0407/43/30eei.html 60
http://www.wenweipo.com/ news.phtml?cat=002ch&news_id=ch0605220005&phpsessid=7e0967a 4-13 -14 4 2015 http: //www.wenweipo.com/news.phtml?cat=001yo&news_id=yo0607030005&phpsessid=4dac191c http://tw.news.yahoo.com/060319/43/2ybkq.html F-22 F-35 Joint Strike Fighter 4 1 2 Su-27 3 4 5 44-45 200 2006 5/6 Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsRobert S. Norris Hans M. Kristensen 1 30 70 200-3/4/5/ 21-1 -31-2 1 http://www.thebulletin.org/print_nn.php?art_ofn=mj06norris. 3 400 61
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12006 (KM) -3A CSS-2 16 1971 3,100 1x3,300 16-4 CSS-3 22 1980 5,500 1x3,300 22-5A CSS-4 20 1981 13,000 1x4,000-20 5,000 - CSS-5 21 1991 2,100 1x200-300 21 21/21A -31 CSS-X-10 0 ~2006 8,000 1x? 0-31A? 0 2007-09 ~12,000 1x? 0-1* CSS-NX-3 12 1986 1,000-1,700 1x200-300 12-2 CSS-NX-4 02 2008-10 ~8,000 1x? 0-6 B-6 20 1965 3,100 1x ~20-5 A-5? 1972,? 1x ~20 ~130** http://www.thebulletin.org/print_nn.php?art_ofn=mj06norris 63
22003 (KM) -3A CSS-2 40 1971 2,900 1x3,300 40-4 CSS-3 12 1980 5,500 1x3,300 12-5/5A CSS-4 20 1981 13,000 1x4,000-20 5,000-21A CSS-5 48 1985-86 1,800 1x200-300 48-31 CSS-X-10 0 2005? 8,000 1x? 0-31A 0 2010? ~12,000 1x? 0-1* CSS-NX-3 12 1986 >1,000 1x200-300 12-2 CSS-NX-4 02 2010? 8,000 1x? 0-6 B-6 100 1965 3,100 1-3x 100-5 A-5 30 1970 400 1x 30-15(CSS-6)-11(CSS-7) 120 400 http://www.thebulletin.org/article_nn.php?art_ofn=nd03norris 64
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