1398 微生物学通报 2009, Vol.36, No.9 ) [2], 25% [3],,,,, ,,,,, 1 预报微生物学 1.1 预报微生物学概况 (Predictive Microbiology) [4] 80,,, 1.2 预报微生物学模型的建立与研究现状,,,

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微生物学通报 SEP 20, 2009, 36(9): 1397~1403 Microbiology tongbao@im.ac.cn 2009 by Institute of Microbiology, CAS 专论与综述 预报微生物学在食品安全风险评估中的作用 * 胡洁云欧杰 李柏林 ( 201306) 摘要 : 随着中国食品工业的发展, 食品安全问题日益凸显, 建立一种准确及时的食品安全风险评估是产品市场对食品安全体系提出的挑战 预报微生物学是食品安全风险评估的核心预警技术, 依据建立的预报微生物学模型, 可快速地对食品中的致病菌和腐败菌生长情况进行判断, 对食品中病原微生物和腐败微生物的控制有重要的意义 本文概述了预报微生物学模型的建立和研究现状, 探讨预报微生物学在食品安全风险评估中的应用现状, 概述了预报微生物学模型在食品安全风险评估应用中的发展前景 关键词 : 预报微生物学, 预报模型, 食品安全风险评估 The Role of Predictive Microbiology in Food Safety Risk Assessment HU Jie-Yun OU Jie * LI Bai-Lin (College of Food Science and Technology, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China) Abstract: With the development of the food industry in China, it has been found that food safety is becoming the biggest issue in the food manufacture and logistics. Accurate and timely to establish a risk assessment method in produce market is the challenge for food safety system. Predictive microbiology is a core early warning technology in the food safety risk assessment. According to the microorganism predicting model, the pathogen and spoilage microorganism s growth in food can be fast judgment in advance. And it plays an important part in controlling the growth of pathogen and the spoilage microorganism in food. This paper summarized the predictive microbiology model s establishment and the present research situation, and discussed the present situation and application of predictive microbiology in food safety risk assessment. The future trend of predictive microbiology in food safety risk assessment was prospected as well. Keywords: Predictive microbiology, Predicting model, Food safety risk assessment,,, [1],, ( O157: H7 基金项目 : (No. 2007BAD52B05) * 通讯作者 :Tel: 86-21-61900382; : jou@shou.edu.cn 收稿日期 :2009-01-04; 接受日期 :2009-03-20

1398 微生物学通报 2009, Vol.36, No.9 ) [2], 25% [3],,,,, 10 2009 6 1,,,,, 1 预报微生物学 1.1 预报微生物学概况 (Predictive Microbiology) [4] 80,,, 1.2 预报微生物学模型的建立与研究现状,,, 19, (TDT) Z F D,,, Buchanan Whiting [5] 1.2.1 初级模型 (Primary model): 1825, Gompertz, S, Gibson [6] Gompertz,, S,, : LogN=A+C/{1+exp [ B(t M )]} N ; A ; C (); M ; B, (Linear model) (Logistic function) Gompertz Baranyi & Roberts ; Logistic Gompertz, Gompertz,, Gibson Zwietering [7] :, Gompertz S, Gomeprtz 3, Buchanan RL [8] (Three phase linear model) Branyi Gompertz Escherichia coli O157:H7, Gompertz 1.2.2 二级模型 (Secondary model):

: 1399,, ( ph ) 3 : (Response surface equation) (Square root model) Arrhenius [9] Escherichia coli O157:H7, ph NaCl Raktowksy [10],,,, ;, ;,,,,,,, [11] :, Smith [12], ph Lindroth [13], 1.2.3 三级模型 (Tertiary model):,,,,, : ; ;, [14], 1988, Food MicroModel, Food Micro- Model, PMP(Pathogen modelling program) (http://www.arserrc.gov/mfs) 2003 5, 2, ComBase(Combined database) [15] 2003 7,, ComBase 2006, 2 ComBase, ComBase Predictor 25000, (www.combase.cc),,,,, MKES (Microbial kinetics expert system) FMM (Food MicroModel) (Seafood spoilage and safety predictor, SSSP), 1999 (Seafood spoilage predictor, SSP, http://www. dfu.min.dk) (Relative rate of spoilage, RRS) (Microbial spoilage, MS), 2 预报微生物学与食品安全风险评估的关系,,

1400 微生物学通报 2009, Vol.36, No.9,,,, (Risk assessment), [16] 20 80,,,,,, 1998, O157: H7, Haas CN Rose JB [17] O157: H7 -,,, [18],,,,,,,, 4, 1) () ; 2) ; 3) ; 4) [19],,,, 3 微生物风险评估在预测水产品安全中的应用,,,, 20 60,, Spencer [20] Olley [21],, Daud [22] Olley 90, Dalgaard [23],, Dalgaard [23,24]

: 1401 ;,, (Pseudomonas spp.) (Shewanella putrefaciens) (Photobacterium phosphoreum), FSP(Food spoilage predictor) SSP(Seafood spoilage predictor) [25,26],,, Tasmania (FSP, Foods spoilage predictor), [27], (Pseudomonas putida)1442, Aw ph 800, 500,,, (Accuracy factor, Af),,, (Bias) 20% FSP, [28], FSLP(Fish shelf life predictor); Lalitha KV Surendran PK [29], [30], 4 研究前景与展望,,,, : 1),,,, 2), 3),,, 4), : (Quorum sensing),,

1402 微生物学通报 2009, Vol.36, No.9 5),, 6) PCR-DGGE, 拮抗,,,, [26],, 参考文献 [1].., 2008, 29(10): 122 132. [2].., 2008, 7(7): 84 94. [3] Baird-Parker TC. The producyion of microbiologically safe and stable foods. The Microbiological Safety and Quslity of Food, Gaithersburg Maryland USA: Aspen Publishers Inc, 2000, 3(9): 11 28. [4] McMeekin TA, Olley J, Ratkowsky DA, et al. Predictive Microbiology: towards the interface and beyond. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 2002, 73(2): 395 407. [5] Whiting RC, Buchanan RL. A classification of models for predictive microbiology. Food Microbiology, 1993, 10(12): 175 177. [6] Gibson AM, Bratchell N, Roberts TA. The effect of sodium chloride and storage temperature on the rate and extent of growth of Clostridium botulinum type A in pasteurized pork slurry. J Appl Bacteriol, 1987, 62(6): 479 489. [7] Zwietering MH, Jongenburger I, Rombouts FM. Modeling of the bacterial growth curve. Applied and Environmental Microbiology, 1990, 56(6): 1875 1881. [8] Buchanan, Whiting, Damert. When is simple good enough: a comparison of the Gompertz, Baranyi, and three-phase linear models for fitting bacterial growth curves. Food Microbiology, 1997, 14(44): 313 326. [9],,,. Escherichia coli O157:H7., 2006, 10(10): 131 137. [10] Ratkowsky DA, Olley J, McMeekin TA, et al. Relationship between temperature and growth rate of bacterial cultures. Journal of Bacteriology, 1982, 149(1): 1 5. [11],,,.., 2005, 25(11): 52 57. [12] Smith MG. Use of response surface methodology in shelf life extension studies of a bakery product. Food Microbiol, 1988, 5(3): 163 174. [13] Lindroth SE, Genigeorgis CA. Probability of growth and toxin production by nonproteolytic Clostridium botulism in rockfish stored under modified atmosphere. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 1987, 4(2): 167 181. [14],,.., 2004, 2(1): 5 8. [15] New microbiology database and predictive models. (2003-05-05). http://www.ifr.ac.uk. [16] FAO Fisheries Technical Paper. International Regulatory Framework for Fish Safety and Quality. No.442 Rome, FAO. 2004. [17] Haas, Rose, Gerba. Development of a dose-response relationship for Escherichia coli O157:H7. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 2000, 56(4): 2000 2010. [18] McMeekin. Predictive microbiology: Quantitative science delivering quantifiable benefits to the meat industry and other food industries. Meat Science, 2007, 77(11): 17 27. [19],,,.., 2006, 1(6): 372 376. [20] Spencer R, Bains CR. The effect of temperature on the spoilage of wet fish. I. Storage at constant temperature between 21 C and 25 C. Food Microbial, 1964, 18(4): 769 772. [21] Olley J, Ratkowsky DA. The role of temperature function integration in monitoring fish spoilage. Food Techno, 1973, 8(10): 1 13. [22] Daud HB, McMeekin TA, Olley J. Temperature function

: 1403 integration and the development and metabolism of poultry spoilage bacteria. Appl Environ Microbiol, 1978, 36(14): 650 654. [23] Dalgaard P. Qualitative and quantitative characterization of spoilage bacteria from packed fish. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 1995, 26(6): 319 332. [24] Dalgaard P. Modelling of microbial activity and prediction of shelf of packed fish. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 1995, 19(2): 305 418. [25] Dalgaard, Buch, Silberg. Seafood spoilage predictor-development and distribution of a product specific application software. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 2002, 73(11): 343 349. [26],,,.., 2008, 35(4): 589 594. [27] Thomas, Meekin. Shelf life prediction: status and future possibilities. International Journal of Food Microbiology, 1996, 33(7): 65 83. [28],,,.., 2005, 29(4): 540 546. [29] Lalitha KV, Surendran PK. Microbiological changes in farm reared fresh water prawn in ice. Food Control, 2006, 17(1): 802 807. [30],,,.., 2007, 28(9): 418 421. 腐植酸 杂志 2010 年征订启事 征订启事 1979 ( ) ( ) 16 60 ( ) 1979 2010 ISSN1671-9212CN11-4736/TQ 20.00 6 120.00 () 1 100120 010-82784950 010-82035180 010-82784970 E-mail: chaia@126.com www.chinaha.org