第一章風險評估及其架構

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6 (Health Risk Assessment; HRA) 3

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33 P rd ( D; r) = 1 e P r D P k) = P1( j / d) P ( k / j) ( 2 j = 1 P 1 P d j 2 P j k k k min k k min P k k I( 2 min min d) = P1( j / d) P ( k / j) k= k min j= k k min 30

34 PI(d) 31

35 rd p = 1 e 32

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41 risk assessment of Listeria monocytogenes in ready-to-eat foods,

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43 m 3 hr 40

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45 a b a b 42

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47 Codex Alimentarius Commission Procedural Manual, 15th Edition,

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49 Quantitative Assessment of Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods 46

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53 N r e P * 1 = * *10 50

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57 3 1.28* * * * * * *10 54

58 * * * * *10 55

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65 R 0 = λ * D M λ = a H µτ e a bc µ 62

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73 R 0 = λ * D M λ = a H µτ e a bc µ R 0 = λ * D M λ = a H µτ e a bc µ 70

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78 1. available from < 2. Charles N. Hass, Joan B. Rose, and Charles P. Gerba. Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment. Barbara Johnson. OSHA Infectious Dose White Paper. Applied Biosafety, 8(4) pp , Principles And Guidelines For Incorporating Microbiological Risk Assessment In The Development Of Food Safety Standards, Guidelines And Related Texts. The joint FAO/WHO, Guidelines For Exposure Assessment. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Microbiological Risk Assessment Series, No. 5, Technical Report, WHO, Expert Consultation on Risk Assessment of Microbiological Hazards in Foods. The joint FAO/WHO, Hazard Characterization for Pathogens in Food and Water Guidelines, MRA Series. WHO publications, CDC-NIH. Biosafety in Microbiological and Biomedical Laboratories (Section V) (p. 77). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, Risk assessment of Listeria monocytogenes in ready-to-eat foods. Technical Report, WHO / FAO, Quantitative Assessment of Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods. FDA, DANA A. FOCKS, RICHARD J. BRENNER, JACK HAYES, ERIC DANIELS. Transmission Thresholds for Dengue in Terms of Aedes Aegypti Pupae Per Person With Discussion of Their Utility in Source Reduction Efforts. The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Paula Mendes Luz, Cláudia Torres Codeço, Eduardo Massad, Claudio José Struchiner. Uncertainties Regarding Dengue Modeling in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Vol. 98(7): , October DOUGLAS M. WATTS, DONALD S. BURKE, BRUCE A. HARRISON, RICHARD 75

79 Efficiency of Aedes Aegypti for dengue 2 virus. The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg.m 36(1), pp ,

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目录第一章总则... 3 第二章应急评估项目的确定... 4 第三章应急风险评估的资料要求... 6 第四章风险评估的基本步骤... 7 第五章应急评估的不确定性分析... 14 第六章

目录第一章总则... 3 第二章应急评估项目的确定... 4 第三章应急风险评估的资料要求... 6 第四章风险评估的基本步骤... 7 第五章应急评估的不确定性分析... 14 第六章食品安全应急风险评估指南 ( 试行 ) 国家食品安全风险评估中心二〇一五年九月目录第一章总则... 3 第二章应急评估项目的确定... 4 第三章应急风险评估的资料要求... 6 第四章风险评估的基本步骤... 7 第五章应急评估的不确定

第一章 風險評估及其架構

第一章風險評估及其架構