( ) ( Kurt Dassel),,,,, , , ( PRR I) (W est Irian) (Crush Malaysia), (M ichael R. J. Vatikiotis) : ( TKR, ) ( TR I,

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1 ( ) ( Kurt Dassel),,,,, , , ( PRR I) (W est Irian) (Crush Malaysia), (M ichael R. J. Vatikiotis) : ( TKR, ) ( TR I, ) ( TN I, ) (APR IS, ) ( TN I, ), (ABR I, ) 2009 /1 ( 17 ), Q uarterly Journal of Intenational Politics 34

2 ( ),,,,,,,,?? ( ) :,,,, (A lfred Vagts) :, ;, ;,,,,,,,,, W. (Robert W. Jackman), M ichael R. J. Vatikiotis, Indonesian Politics under Suharto: the R ise and Fall of the N ew O rder (London: Routledge, 1998), p. 60. A lfred Vagts, Defense and D iplom acy: the Soldier and the Conduct of Foreign Relations (New York: Kingπs Crown Press, 1956), p

3 (Josef Silverstein),, (Henry B ienen),,,,,,, (Harold Crouch), ( ),, ( ) :,,, U,,,,,, RobertW. Jackman, Politicians in Uniform: M ilitary Governments and Social Change in the Third World, The Am erican Political Science Review, Vol. 70, No. 4 (Dec., 1976), pp Josef Silverstein, The M ilitary and Foreign Policy in Burma and Indonesia, Asian Survey, Vol. 22, No. 3 (Mar., 1982), pp Henry B ienen, African M ilitaries as Foreign Policy Actors, International Security, Vol. 5, No. 2 ( Fall 1980), p Harold Crouch, The M ilitary M ind and Econom ic Development, in J. Soedjati D jiwandono and YongMun Cheong, eds., Soldiers and S tability in Southeast Asia, Singapore, ISEAS, 1988, p. 68. Graeme A. M. Davies, Domestic Strife and the Initiation of International Conflicts: A D irected Dyad Analysis, , The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 46, No. 5 (Oct., 2002), pp

4 ( ),,,, ( ) ( Kurt Dassel),, : ( ), ( ) ;,, ( ), :,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,, ( ) ( ), ( ),,,,, Kurt Dassel, Domestic Instability, the M ilitary and Foreign Policy: Indonesia, , in M iriam Fendius Elman ed., Paths to Peace: Is Dem ocracy the Answer? (Boston, MA: The M IT Press, 1997), pp

5 ,,,, :,?,?, :,, ,, : ( ), ;,,? ( ), (Lalta P. Singh),,,,, ( ) ( Franklin B. W einstein) (Howard W arshaw sky) Lalta P. Singh, Indonesian Foreign Policy: The L inkage between Domestic Power Balance and Foreign Policy Behavior, Southeast Asia: An International Q uarterly, Vol. 4, 1971, pp

6 ( ) (M ichael Leifer),,,,,,, ( ) (Robert C. Good), : ; ; ;,, : ; ; ; ; ;,,, : ; ;, : Franklin B. W einstein, The U ses of Foreign Policy in Indonesia, Ph. D. dissertation, Cornell University, 1972; Howard W arshawsky, From Confrontation to Cooperation: The Influence of Dom estic Forces on Indonesian Foreign Policy, Ph. D. dissertation, University of V irginia, M ichaelleifer, Indonesiaπs Foreign Policy, The Royal Institute of InternationalAffairs, 1983, pp. 53, Robert C. Good, State2Building as a Determ inant of Foreign Policy in the New States, in Laurence W. Martin, N eutralism and N on2alignm ent (New York: Praeger, 1962), pp Franklin B. W einstein, The U ses of Foreign Policy in Indonesia, pp Ibid., pp

7 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Franklin B. W einstein, Indonesian Abandons Confrontation: An Inquiry into the Functions of Indonesian Foreign Policy ( Ithaca, NY: Cornell University, 1969), p. 1, 92. Christopher Clapham, ed., Foreign Policy M aking in Developing S tates: A Com parative Approach, p. 7. M ichael Leifer, South2East A sia, in Christopher Clapham, ed., Foreign Policy M aking in D eveloping S tates: A Com parative Approach ( Saxon House: Teakfield L td., 1977), pp

8 ( ) ( ) ,,,,,,,,, 11,,,,,,,, :,, :,,,,,,,, 21, Harold W. Maynard, A Com parison of M ilitary Elite Role Perceptions in Indonesia and the Philippines, Ph. D. dissertation, The American University, 1976, p. 120 U lf Sundhaussen, The Road to Power: Indonesian M ilitary Politics ( Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1982), pp

9 ,,,,,,,,,, : ( 1) :,,,,, ;, (2) (Am ir Sjarifuddin),, ,, (B. R. OπG. Anderson),,,,,,,, U lf Sundhaussen, The Road to Power: Indonesian M ilitary Politics , p. 21. Ibid. Ibid., p. 26. Ibid. 42

10 ( ),,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,, 6 28,, ( Sudarsono),,,, 7 3,, 7 3, U lf Sundhaussen, The Road to Power: Indonesian M ilitary Politics , p

11 ,,,, ;, 7 3,,,,,,,,, 41 (Mohammad Hatta),,,,,,,, (Madiun Affair),,,,,, 44

12 ( ),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1947, ( Suripno), ,, 8,,, (Agus Salim ),,, Andrew Roadnight, United S tates Policy towards Indonesia in the Trum an and Eisenhower Years (New York: Palgrave Macm illan, 2002), p. 6. Ibid., p

13 ,,,,,,,,, 7 21 ( Serangan),,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,, 51, Andrew Roadnight, United S tates Policy towards Indonesia in the Trum an and Eisenhower Years, p. 49. M ichael Leifer, Indonesiaπs Foreign Policy, p. 21. Andrew Roadnight, United S tates Policy towards Indonesia in the Trum an and Eisenhower Years, p

14 ( ),,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,, 47

15 ,,,,,, ( ) PRR I,,,,, 20 50,,, 1958, ,,,,,, 1957,,, (Dulles),,,,,,,,, p Andrew Roadnight, U nited S tates Policy towards Indonesian in the Trum an and Eisenhower Years, 48

16 ( ),,,, S. (Hugh S. Cumm ing),,,,,,,,, 7,,, (Howard P. Jones) ( George Benson) 1958,,,,,, (Nasution) ( Yani),,, (Maxwell Taylor), B ryan Evans, The Influence of the United States A rmy on the Development of the Indonesian A rmy: , Indonesia, Vol. 47 (Ap r., 1989), p. 26. Ibid., pp Ibid., p

17 ,,,,, PRR I ( Tapannuli) PRR I, PRR I,, PRR I,, ( ), 1945,,,, ( New Guinea) ;, U lf Sundhaussen, The Road to Power: Indonesian M ilitary Politics , pp ,,, : (1) ; (2),,, ; (3), ; (4),,, ; (5), ; (6),,, A rend L ijphart, The Indonesian Image of West Irian, Asian Survey, Vol. 1, No. 5, 1961, pp

18 ( ) ( ), ( ),,, ( ),,,, 11,,, 1945 ( Pancasila),,,,,,,,, (Darul Islam ) PRR I ,,, :, ;,,, U lf Sundaussen, The Road to Power, p

19 ,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,, 1961,, 21,, 20 50,,,,, PRR I, ,, 2. 5, , ( ) U lf Sundaussen, The Road to Power, pp Ibid., pp M ichael Leifer, Indonesiaπs Foreign Policy, p

20 ( ) (John S. Reshetar, J r) :,,, ( Guy J. Pauker),,,, 1960,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,, PRR I,, , 2,,,, John S. Reshetar, Jr., The Soviet Union and the Neutralist World, Annals of the Am erican Academ y of Political and Social Science, Vol. 362, 1965, p Guy J. Pauker, General Nasutionπs M ission to Moscow, Asian Survey, Vol. 1, No. 1 (Mar., 1961), pp Frederick P. Bunnell, Guided Democracy Foreign Policy: President Sukarno Moves from Non2A lignment to Confrontation, Indonesia, Vol. 2 (Oct., 1966), pp Peter Dale Scott, The United States and the Overthrow of Sukarno, , Pacific Affairs, Vol. 58, No. 2 ( Summer, 1985), p

21 (Civic Action Program, CAP),,, 1962,,,,, ( Suwarto) (Civic M ission),,,,,,,, (Magelang M ilitary Academy),, 31,,,,, B ryan Evans, The Influence of the United States A rmy on the Development of the Indonesian A rmy: , p. 34. Ibid., p

22 ( ),,,,,,,,,,,, ( Subandrio),,, ,, ,,,,, ( ),,,,,,,,,,,,, JustusM. van der Kroef, Nasution, Sukarno and the W est New Guinea D ispute, Asian Survey, Vol. 1, No. 6 (Aug., 1961), p

23 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, U lf Sundhaussen, The M ilitary in Research on Indonesian Politics, The Journal of Asian S tudies, Vol. 31, No. 2. ( Feb., 1972), p Frederick P. Bunnell, Guided Democracy Foreign Policy, p

24 ( ),, ,,, , ( ) PRR I ( ) ( ) 21 ( ) : : : PKI : PKI : : PKI : PKI / ( ), Franklin B. W einstein, Indonesia Abandons Confrontation, p. 7. Frederick P. Bunnell, Guided Democracy Foreign Policy, p. 65. Franklin B. W einstein, Indonesia Abandons Confrontation, p

25 ,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 9 30,,,,,,,,,,,,, 58

26 (UNDP) : calling113@ hotmail. com 1979, 1987, 2004 : : (2007 ) ; (2007 ) : ljycn@mail. tsinghua. edu. cn 2007 : whiffet@163. com 2002 : wang2hb05@mails. tsinghua. edu. cn 1992, 1998, 2006 : zhoufangyin@gmail. com : ( 2004 ) : (2005 ) : lrnwzch@pub. guangzhou. gd. cn 1999, : wangrihua@ gmail. com 1991, 1996, 2002 : chenqi@mail. tsinghua. edu. cn 2006 : hyx05 tsinghua@ gmail. com

, ( Fareed Zakaria), ( Samuel P. Huntington),,,,,,, 1964,,, 1993 ( Foreign A ffa irs), 2000 ( The N ew sw eek) : 116 : ( ),, 2001 Fareed Zak

,,,,,,,?? : 2008 /3 ( 15 ), 115 128 Q uarterly Journal of Intenational Politics 115 , ( Fareed Zakaria), ( Samuel P. Huntington),,,,,,, 1964,,, 1993 ( Foreign A ffa irs), 2000 ( The N ew sw eek) 2003 2008