( 100871) :,,,,, :,, WTO,,,,,, ;, (,1999) : 20,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1996,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,, ;,,,,, 60
2001 9,,, 1999,, (Lin et al,1999),,,,,,, 1 :A B ( ) S A B S B A,,, 1, I A B,, CC C 1 C 1 DD D 1 D 1, O, CC DD, CC DD,CC 1,, CC, A B,, DD, B,,,,,,, Lin, Justin Yifu. Development Strategy,Viability and Economic Convergence, The Inaugural D. Gale Johnson Lec2 ture, Department of Economics, the University of Chicago, May 14, 2001. 1 2 (2001 12 ), 61
A,,,,,, 1, CC, A,, A,,, A,,,,, ;,, CC, A,,, CC DD, B,,,,,,,, ( ),,, 1, B, :,, S A ;, DD, A,,, 2,I 1 I 2 I 3 I 3,,, I 3 I 2,I 2 I 1, C 1 C 1, I 1, A 1 ( ),, A, B,,,,,,,,IBM 50,Intel 30 ;, 12 13 ;,,,,,, ( ),,, 1, :, 1 62
2001 9,, C 3 C 3, I 3 A 3 2 :I 1 I 2 I 3, 1 2 3 1 C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2 C 3 C 3, 1 A 1 A 2 A 3 2 I 1 I 2 I 3, 2, I I 1 I 2 I 3, 3,, H M L H M L,H,L, C 1 C 1, L M A 1 A 2,,, H,, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, L M M H H, L,,,,,,,,,,,, 3,, C 1 C 1, L M, H, L M, A 1 A 2, H,,,, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, 63
3 :H M L C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, 1,, M L ;, H M;, M, M H,, A 3 A 4,, L,,,,, 3,, L M, M A 2, L A 1,,, 3, C 1 C 1 C 2 C 2, M, A 3, A 2 20 GDP 10 %,,,,,,,,,, ( ),,,,,, 4, 64
2001 9 A 1, A 2 A 2,, C 2, 4 C 1 C 2,,,,,, A 2,,,,,,, C 1 C 1 C 3 C 3, A 2 4 :A 1 B 1 D 1, A 2 B 2 D 2,,,,,,,,,,,, A 2, ; A 2 A 1,, C 4 C 4 C 1 C 1 ( ), B 2 D 2,,,,,,,,,,,, 6. 4 %,,,,, 65
,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1959 1961,,,, 1978,,,,,,, 20,,,20,,,, 1978,,,,,,,,,,,, 4,,,,,,,,, : ( ),,1999, 2, 66
2001 9,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, : (1), ; (2) ; (3),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( ),,, Justin Yifu Lin and Guofu Tan. Policy Burden, Accountability, and the Soft Budget Constraint, American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 2 (1999), pp. 426-31.,,,,,,,,,, 20,,,,,,, 67
, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,, WTO,,,,,,,,,, 4 C 3 C 3 C 1 C 1 WTO, ( ),,,,,,,,,,,, : 11,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21,,,, 1999 ( 2000 ),, 2001 4 68
2001 9,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20,,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,, 40,, R&D, (,1999) 30,,,,,,, ;, ( ),,,,,, 1999 780, 30600, 1Π40, 5,, 1Π8, 30 10 %, 3 %, 1Π5,,,,,,, 69
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 21,,2001 3,,,,2000 :,, No. C2000006,1994 :,,1999 :,,,1994 : :,,1997 :,,1999 : :,,1994 :,,,1999 :, Lin, Justin Yifu., Development Strategy and Economic Convergence, The Inaugural D. Gale Johnson Lecture, Department of Economics, the University of Chicago, May 14, 2001. Lin,J. Y.,Cai,F.,and Li,Z., (1998) Competition, Policy Burdens,and State - Owned Enterprises Reform American Economic Review, vol. 88 (2),pp422-427,1998 Lin,J. Y.,and Tan,G., (1999) : Policy Burdens,Accountability and Soft Budget Constraint, American Economic Review,vol. 89 1999 ( : ) ( : ) 70