Leader's Note 2013. Dec. No.11 C O N T E N T S 03 Leader's Note 04 Did You Know? 06 Big Future 2025 (4) 10 Big Questions 銀色風暴, 不老契機 16 Focus 20 Topic 24 Innovation To-Be 27 Solution To-Be 2013 敬 2012100 85C 75 80 30 32 38 39 435 03
Did You Know? 06 18 55~64 (Older WorkersJob Selection) (Older Workers Employment Quota) 1999Pine IIGilmore 23 (Market Segmentaion) 06 27 13 28 2008 3.99 IPCC 30 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC 1988 04 05
BIG FUTURE 認識 2025 產業願景系列 (4) 綜覽臺灣生活型態先驅者之發展 (MIC) 認識 2025 產業願景系列 (4) BIG FUTURE 2015 2006 2008 2009 2011 2011 什麼是生活型態先驅者? 1999 Pine II Gilmore 1. 1 1. 2. MIC2012 11 生活型態先驅者的代表企業 : 悠遊卡 天仁茗茶 13 2008 2002 RFID IC EasyCard 7 0.4 60% 30% 1988 92% 2000 06 07
BIG FUTURE ToGo 認識 2025 產業願景系列 (4) 2. 2013 ICT BIG FUTURE GDP GDP 2011 2010 7 Red Dot 臺灣發展軟性經濟創意者的要素表現 1 59 2 59 3 59 結語 MIC2012 11 36 2 58 ICT 7 08 09
BIG QUESTIONS Wintel (MIC) (MIC) 朱邦復老師專訪 1937 10 12 77 ( ) 1976 1979 1981 Apple II 1990 windows 3.0 1999 BIG QUESTIONS ThinkWave ThinkWave 40 40 40 37 40 10 11
BIG QUESTIONS ThinkWave 朱邦復老師專訪 BIG QUESTIONS ThinkWave CPU Wintel Quantum Leap( ) ThinkWave CPU 2*4*8*4=256 7,000 31 50 20 12 13
BIG QUESTIONS 256 1 16 1. 2 3. 朱邦復老師專訪 BIG QUESTIONS 3 4 4. MIC2013 12 2013 12 ThinkWave ThinkWave 3D 256 16 2012 6 3D 2. MIC2013 12 14 15
FOCUS 銀色風暴, 不老契機借鏡國際, 善用銀髮族的經驗與智慧 (MIC) 10 1804 10 123 20 (1927 ) 33 1960 30 1213 10 2000 2025 80 10 借鏡國際, 善用銀髮族的經驗與智慧 1. 10 10 10 ( ) ( ) 10 1804 / / 20 1927 123 / 30 1960 33-90 40 1974 14-19 50 1987 13-1 60 1999 12-1 70 2012 13 1 80 2025 13 0 90 2045 20 7 UNDonella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, Dennis Meadows, Limits to Growth:The 30-Year Update MIC 2013 12 2006 55.2 2012 57.3 65 7.7 1 55~64 65 2 2012 44.9 38.8 6.1 55~64 FOCUS 16 17
FOCUS 借鏡國際, 善用銀髮族的經驗與智慧 FOCUS 50 100 (Life Long Learning) (Working 3. Longer) (Retiring Later) (Being Active After Retirement) (Older Workers Job Selection) (Older Workers Employment Quota) 55~64 1. 2. 1.2% 4. 55 4% 17% 42% 7% 50 3 50% 5. 2001 10 (Job Redesign Grant)(Training Grant) (Re-Employment Support Scheme) 1. BOSCH (Monsanto) 1991 1. 2. 3. 2. 25 3. (YBAC YOKOHAMA Business Association Corporation) 65~70 YBAC Elmhults Konstruktions Hazenberg Bouw 45 (Added Experience Program) 75 MIC 2013 12 MIC 2013 12 MIC 2013 12 18 19
TOPIC 銀色風暴, 不老契機 破框思考, 改變少子高齡客群掌握商機 TOPIC 破框思考, 改變少子高齡客群掌握商機 (MIC) 管 50 2013 1949 739 1958 1,000 1964 7 1990 6 26 1964 28.84 1989 10.57 1989 12.5 (Population Crisis) 1987 1992 1997 95 1. 2000 20102010 2060 - MIC 2012 10 1984 2.01 2012 79.51 76.43 82.82 0.36 0.47 0.19 2000 2050 192 793 85 11 1% 191 10% 14 470 21% 129 7% 1998 3.44 2012 2.85 20 21
TOPIC 破框思考, 改變少子高齡客群掌握商機 TOPIC? 2010 16.2 7.2 16.8 65 48 16.4 16.1 15.3 6 16.2 22 61 63 65 67 60 15 62 65 68 1718 2013 4 57 14 60 7 55 60 65 67 15 60 65 60 65 75 80 65 65 65 0~1415~6465 2. 0~14 15~64 65 0~22 23~72 73 2012 2060 (2012) MIC 2013 12 50 0~2223~7273 (Market Segmentaion) (LAWESON) 1975 Store 100 1.5 YAMAHA 4~8 50 2 3 15 800 22 23
INNOVATION TO-BE 銀色風暴, 不老契機 整合串聯, 智慧科技提升效率與生活品質 (MIC) 整合串聯, 智慧科技提升效率與生活品質 INNOVATION TO-BE 1764 Rober M Solow Solow Growth Model 2010 2060 50 55 2019 2,349 14 65 2012 1. 30 34 35 40 2012 2060 MIC 2013 5 24 25
INNOVATION TO-BE 整合串聯, 智慧科技提升效率與生活品質 (Non- INNOVATION TO-BE SOLUTION TO-BE 臺灣邁向創新研發應用的 因技施地 與 因地施技 之路 臺灣邁向創新研發應用的因技施地與因地施技之路 (MIC) SOLUTION TO-BE intrusive) (Non-conscious) William Mitchell Living Labs 2. 1. MIC 2013 12 MIC 2013 12 26 27
28 29 SOLUTION TO-BE SOLUTION TO-BE & Living Labs 1 DEHEMS 臺灣邁向創新研發應用的 因技施地 與 因地施技 之路
BIG CITIZEN (MIC) 生活型態先驅者 願景下, 臺灣的產業節能與環境保護實踐 BIG CITIZEN 2013 (IPCC) (AR5) 2007 AR4 AR5 2020 2006 5.48% 36.59% 57.92% 2011 5.06%36.34% 58.60% (2006 2011 ) 24.60 30.23 3.5% 2007 2011 1,462 1,566 1.38% 168.22 193.11 2011 2007 6.9 2007 2012 6 11.1 17.9 8 14.6 71.58% 81.38% 5 6 1 2 3 1 ( 2011 193.11 2012 81.38% ) 2012 86.31% 88.02% 398 173.58 1. 1 2006 2011 2007 2011 2007 2012 2 = ( ) 3 = ( ) 100% 1 MIC 2013 12 30 31
BIG EVENT MIC 1. 萬人願景, 萬人期許, 關心你我的未來 BIG EVENT (Vision) 2015 2006 2006 2015 1 2006 1,000 500 1,025 75 1 1. / /... MIC2013 11 32 33
BIG EVENT 2. 萬人願景, 萬人期許, 關心你我的未來 BIG EVENT 2013 11 3. 2013 11 36 2 10,254 10,338 20,592 35 3 2013 2025 2011 10 34 35
36 37 75%! BIG EVENT BIG EVENT 萬人願景, 萬人期許, 關心你我的未來
MIC 121 BIG ISSUE 08 11 2025 2025 10 17 ITIS 401 MIC 2025 20,592 10,254 10,338 20,592 164 BIG ISSUE BIG SCENERY 435 435 435 02-2969-0366 0900 1700 810 板橋 435 藝文特區 BIG SCENERY 12 3 2025 180 2025 12 12 13 ( ) MIC 581 12 17 ( ) 102 50 http://www.taiwanforesight.org.tw/ 2013. Dec. No. 11 ISSN 22238239 10015 15 http://www.moea.gov.tw (02)2321-2200 106 216 19 (02)2735-6070 http://mic.iii.org.tw/ 102 12 100 8 http://www.taiwanforesight.org.tw/ 500 38