22 8 2013 8 ResourcesandEnvironmentintheYangtzeBasin Vol.22No.8 Aug.2013 30 12 1 1 (1. 210008;2. 100049) : 1982 1990 2000 2010 30a ; ; : ; :K901.3 :A :1004-8227(2013)08-0979-10 [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [4] ; [6] [7] ;U.S Departmentof [8] [9] ; Commerce [17] [18] [10] [11] ; [19] [20] ; [21] ; [12] [22] ; 1990~2000 10a [13] ; : [14] [14] [12] 1980 [23] ; ; [24] [25] [15] 30a ; [16] [26] [27] ; :2012-08-06; :2012-12-07 : (KZZD-EW-06-03) : (1983~ ).E-mail:yfmou@niglas.ac.cn
980 22 ; [28] 6600km 2 11 ( 1982 ) ( ) 1990 2000 2010 114 2010 632.42 5010.36 28312 11050 11 2 ; 4 149.22km 2 ; 1 1.1 ( 1) 243.67km 2 ; 2867.73km 2 ; 3325.36km 2 1.2 1 Fig.1 LocationofNanjingintheYangtzeRiverDeltaandNanjingCounties ;BP ij j i ;SP j j ; BA i i ;SA j j ;BA i /SA j i : BP ij =SP j BA i /SA j :j ;i j
8 : 30 981 (2) : I : I= N i j Wij( X i - -X)(X j -X) ( i j Wij) i ( X i -X) 2 ; 2010 :N ;W ij ; Wij ;X i X j i j ;X -1 1-30km 1km ; - Getis-OrdG i* G i : G i * = j ( W ij X j )/ j X j ; G i* : ; * Z(G i* )=[G i* -E(G i* )]/ 槡 Var(G i ) :E(G i* ) Var(G i* ) G i* Z(G i* ) ; Z(G i* ) Getis-OrdG 4 1.3 99% (1) (1982 1990 2000 2010 1.18 0.4 ; 0.37 0.13) ; Getis-OrdG 4 30a 1982 1990 2000 2010 ; ( 2) 1982 ; 3 1982 : 4 2 30a
982 22 1990 3 ( 2.55 ) ( 0.58 ) 3 ; ; ( 10.61 ) ( 0.05 ) ; 200 2000 (2) ; 2010 15760 /km 2 2410 /km 2 663 /km 2 506 /km 2 8 ; 2010 30940 /km 2 ; 10000 /km 2 ; ; 1000~ 10000 /km 2 ; 1000 /km 2 374 /km 2 30km 3 1km ( 4) 1982~2010 (0~5km 31%) (5~10km 19%) (10~30km 8%)3 30a (3) : (1) 2010 28a 13 2.27% 404 33.9% ( 3) ; 10 ( 104 ) ; 10 13
8 : 30 983 2 1982 1990 2000 2010 Fig.2 Population HotSpotinNanjingin198219902000and2010 3 1982~2010 Fig.3 PopulationGrowthinNanjingfrom1982to2010 4 Fig.4 PopulationDensityChangingTrendwithDistance 2 117839 818 /km 2 ; 1 1 Tab.1 BasicSituationofDevelopmentZonesAbovetheProvincialLevelinNanjing / 1988 / 1992 / 1992 / 1993 / 1992 / 1995 / 1993 / 2001 / 1992 / 2000 / 2002 / 2003 / 2001
984 22 3 10km ; 82%( 6) 2~6km 10km ; (6) (4) ) 40.40% 48.32% ( ) 59.60% 1982 51.68% 3 5337 /km 2 ; 259 /km 2 ; 27.54% 33.91% 20.57 3.50 2010 ; 15760 /km 2 ; 25.73% 27.43% 506 /km 2 ; 31.16 3.84 46.68 82.69508 810; 1.06 1.481.61 1.89 1982 1.182010 0.13 Getis-OrdG : 4.1 ; (5) ( 5) 1982~2010 ; (1) GDP 1978 40 1982~2010 ( 4 2010 5086 4 12%30a GDP 4 2010 2km GDP 8000 10km 450.51 57%; 6km 632.42 10km 2000 80% 23km ; 4km 56168.4 1.3962010 103547.9 10km 1.72 85%; 3km 4
8 : 30 985 (2) 64.52% 5 95km; Fig.5 ExpansionofPopulationinAlDirections : 6 Fig.6 PopulationChangesinEachDirection 11.4% 2010 1082.2 (3) 2000 11 2 (4) 1988 1991
986 22 13 2010 2 ; 76 8 62.9%; ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ; (7) (5) 2010 10509km ; 3.39%; 433.706km 0.8% ; (8) 20 90 2000 2010 1990 542.99 m 2 ;2010 27.44m 2 2000 7.65m 2 (6) : ; 2010 24 103 145 40% 29.9% 28.9%; ( ) ( (9) ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 17 46.9% 40.0% [19] 2010 737.43 m 2 ( ) : 2010 7 24 2 38.9% 57.1% 100% ;
8 : 30 987 Getis-OrdG 4 4.2 (2) : ; (Y); (X 1 ) ; ; (X 2 ) ; ; (X 3 ) ; ; (X 4 ) ; ; (X 5 ) (X 6 ) (X 7 ) ; (3) (X 8 ) ; (X 9 ) ; (X 10 ) ( ) 1982~2010 ; : Y=7.929E-16+0.738X 1+0.64X 2-0.115X 3-0.105X 4+0.484X 5+0.25X 6+0.089X 7 +0.504X 8-0.02X 9+0.368X 10 R 2 =0.994 R 2 =0.991 0.05 Y X ; [4] [5]. 1989(2):62-63. ( 0.439) ( 0.08) (0.738) (0.64) (0.504) ; [8] 5 : [1]. [M]. : 2010. [2]. [J]. 2004(6):70-75. [3]. [J]. 2001(5):40-45.. [J]. ( )2001(4):85-90. (1) : 4.2003(5):59-65. 99% [12].20 [J]. [6]. [J]. 201120(10):1172-1179. [7]. [J]. ( )2005 (2):284-287.. [J]. 201019(5):473-479. [9]. [J]. 2010 (6):127-135. [10]. [J]. 2011(S1):5-8. [11]. [J]. 90
988 22 [J]. 2005(4):637-644. [13].1980 ( )2007(4):22-25. [J]. 2005(5):19-26. [14]. 2001(11):99-101. [J]. 2003(3):333-337. [15]. [J]. 2004(6):641-647. [J]. 2010(1):40-46. [16]. [J]. 2010(3):95-99. [J]. ( )2007(12):1690-1694. [17] U.S DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.1990 Census of populationandhousing[r].washington:usa1990census PrintedReports1993:37-44. [18]. [J]. [27] LUOJWEI Y H D.Population distribution andspatial 2002(3):10-16. structureintransitionalchinesecities:a studyofnanjing [19]. Eurasian [J].GeographyandEcomomics2006(5):585-603. [J]. 2002(1):66-69. [20]. [J]. [J]. ( )2000(4):16-21. 2007(12):60-63. [21]. [J]. [22]. [J]. [23]. 20 [24]. [25]. [J]. 2005(1):121-125. [26]. [J]. 2009(6):69-73. [28]. SPATIALPATTERNAND MECHANISM OF POPULATIONEVOLUTIONIN NANJINGFORTHERECENT30YEARS MU Yu-feng 12 SUN Wei 1 YUAN Feng 1 (1.NanjingInstituteofGeographyandLimnologyChineseAcademyofSciencesNanjing210008China; 2.UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciencesBeijing100049China) Abstract:Thepopulationdistributionisthe manifestationofpopulationchangeingeographicspace.in ordertoinsurerationaldistributionofpopulationandcoordinateddevelopmentofpopulationresources environmentandsocietyitisimportanttoidentifythelawsand determinethefactorsforpopulation changebystudyingtemporalandspatialevolutionprocessofpopulationdistribution.basedondatafrom yearof198219902000and2010thispaperusedthemethodsofadministrativedivisionscircledirection spaceinterpolationand hotspotanalysistoanalyzespatialpaternevolution processofpopulationin Nanjingfortherecent30 yearsfrom diferentlevelsofareascountiestownsand grids.thensix characteristicsofpopulationpaternevolution weresummarizedup.(1)populationgrew steadilywith rapidgrowthinthecentralcityandslowgrowthinthesuburban.(2)populationdensitydecreasedfromthe centretothesuburbshowingspherevariationfeature.(3)thedistributionofpopulation wasuneven concentratingoncentralcitymetroanddevelopmentzone.(4)thefirstdegreeofpopulationenhanced butthedistributionpaterntendedtobescatered.(5)thepopulationdistributionpointedtoacentain directionwiththepopulationsizeinthenorthbeinglargeandthefluctuationbeingsignificant.(6)the processof population urbanization acceleratedand suburbanization began to take shape.finalyit ilustratedthemechanismofpopulationdistributionevolutioninnanjingfromtheperspectivesofecomonic developmentgeographicalbarrierindustrialupgradinganddistributionadjustmentconstructionofmetro anddevelopmentzonestransportaccessibilitythelevelofpublicservicesandfacilitiesworkandliving opportunityurbanspatialdevelopmentpoliciesandurbanplanning.thenthepaperusedregressionmodel toproveitsideas.theconclutionisthattherapiddevelopingeconomyindustrialupgradingimproved publicservicesmorejobsfocusingdevelopingpolicyinurbanspace manifestedgatheringroleandthe constructionofthe Metroand DevelopmentZoneconvenienttraficconditionwiderlivingspaceplayed difusionrole.overaltheagglomerationefectwasgreaterthanthedifusionefect. Keywords:Nanjing;population;evolution;mechanism