全球房市观察 年 第3季度 GLOBAL PROPERTY INDEX 叁
01 3 3 3 27 2 10 27 12 (+16.42%) (+14.86%) (+12.64%) (+11.26%) (+9.24%) (-14.1%) (-13.38%) (-12.48%) 21 18 3 16.42% 39 37.2% 4.2% 3 2 7.1% 15% 3 20 15 3 3-35% -3-25% -2-15% -1-5% 5% 1 15% 2 25% 3 16.42% 14.86% 12.64% 11.26% 9.24% 8.97% 7.57% 6.26% 5.6 5.45% 5.41% 5.27% 4.57% 4.51% 4.04% 3.64% 3.4 2.75% 2.62% 2.43% 2.33% 1.95% 1.73% 1.43% 0.52% 0.49% 0.03% -0.06% -0.19% -0.2-1.49% -3.62% -4.02% -4.35% -5.5-5.54% -12.48% -13.38% -14.1
02 5% 3 14.86% 3 3.93% 3 2 7.1% 3 0.19% 2.89% 3 0.69% 3 20 15 3 11.26% 2006 2 3 3.83% 3 9.24% 3 14.52% 3 4.93% Victor Ponta 3 7.57% 3 1.41% 3 3.76% 3 13.38% 3 5.68% 3 3.26% 3 5.5% 36.12% 3 2 0.61% 3 4.35% (-4.02%) (-0.2) 3 3 3 6.26% 3 15.4% 3 0.56% 3 5.27% (4.04%) (3.64%) (2.75%) (2.43%) 3 3 1.95% (1.73%) (1.43%) (0.52%) (0.49%) (0.03%) 3 3 12.64% d 3 1.76% 3 2 1.12% 3 8.97% 0.39% 3 1.98% 3 CBD 5.41% 3.58% 3 2 1.27% 3 3.4% 2.15%
03 3 3.15% 3 3.4% 3 2.15% 7 3 0.72% 3 3 3.62% 8 3 1.06% 3 14 1.49% 2012 3 2.77% 3 0.67% 11 4.57% 3.31% 2010 3 3 2.89% 2022 3 16.42% 3 37.2% 3 2 4.23% 3 14.1% 2011 1 3 2 3.79% 3.93% 3 2 7.1% 3 0.19% 2.89% 3 0.69% 3 5.54% 3 3.29% 3 1.11% 3 5.45% 3 0.01% 3 2 2.98% 3 0.06% 3 3 4.96% 3.02% 3 5.6% 3 2.95% 3 2.33% 3 5.94% 3 2 3.15% 3 12.48% 3 3 2 0.35% 3 3 14.86% 3
04 3 3-35% -3-25% -2-15% -1-5% 5% 1 15% 2 25% 3 18.2 15.39% 14.87% 11.15% 8.97% 8.93% 8.26% 7.26% 6.09% 5.78% 5.78% 5.7 5.7 5.64% 5.46% 4.32% 3.97% 3.67% 3.6 3.38% 3.28% 2.26% 1.95% 1.4 1.35% 1.15% 0.97% 0.57% 0.2-0.45% -0.47% -0.67% -2.22% -3.51% -4.24% -4.42% -5.41% -6.03% -10.41%
05 3 20 15 3 11.26% 3 3.83% 2000 2008 2 71% 2008 3 2009 1 2009 2 2011 4 2012 3 2012 4 IMF 2.75% 2.3% 1.3% 2012 0.3% 2011 2.7% 3 9.24% 2 10.81% 1 17.57% 4 16.62% 3 14.52% 3 2 4.93% 700 650 600 550 500 450 GDP 5.2% 1.4% 2012 0.15% 2011 2.6% 2010 0.4% 4.8% 400 2008 Q3 2009 Q3 2010 Q3 2011 Q3 2012 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q3 2 Victor Ponta 3 7.57% 3 1.41% 3 3.76% 15% 1 5% -5% -1 1 3 5 7 11 1 3 5 7 11 1 3 5 7 11 1 3 5 7 12 5.2% NIS IMF 3.4% 2016 3.9% GDP -15% 2.8% 3.4% -2 2012 0.6% -25% 2012 3 3 6.26% 2 9% 1 9.6%
06 4 12.6% 3 15.4% 3 2 0.56% 225 220 3 215 6.8% 11,525 15.7% 210 205 3 0.5% 2 1.9% 1 1.1% IMF 2% 2.9% 1.6% 2012 5.2% 2011 7.6% 2010 2.5% 200 195 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 5.27% (4.04%) (3.64%) (2.75%) (2.43%) 3 3 1.95% (1.73%) (1.43%) (0.52%) (0.49%) (0.03%) 3
07 3 13.38% 3 5.68% 3 3.26% 8 27% 9 22% 2/3 1 1 8.2507 10 1 21.6765 4 2 60.9% 10 46.4% IMF GDP 9% 6.8% 0.03% 4.35% (-4.02%) (-0.2) 3 3 (+0.2) (-13.38%) 2009 3 GDP 4.1% 4.6% 2.2%( (Rosstat) ) IMF GDP 3.8% 0.6% 1.3% 2012 3.4% 2011 4.3% 11 1 33.12 11 1 66.28 3 5.5% 36.12% 3 2 0.61% 3 19.5% 3 15% 1 5% -5% -1-15% 2012 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 Q2 Q3 vs - 2012 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 1 5% -5% -1-15% -2-25% -3-35% -4
08 3 8 6 3 12.64% 3 1.76% 3 1.12% 49,113 7.8% 3% 3659 472.1 (RVD) 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 2012 1.7% 2 6.61% 1 5.4% 4 4.29% 3 3.58% 3 1.27% 2011 1 4 CBD 24.6% 6% GDP 6.1% 7.1% 2012 6.7% 3 3.4% 2.15% 3 3.15% 2.6% 0.9% 2.8% 2012 7.3% 3 3.4% 3 2.15% 7 3 2 0.72% 816,000 3 2006 2016 IMF 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 2012 2.3% 2011 3.7% 3 3 8.97% 0.39% 3 1.98% 26,483 5.7% ( ) 12,882 6% 3 GDP 0.8% 2 0.7% GDP 0.6% 0.1% GDP 600 5 2 15% 1 5% -5% 170 160 150 140 130 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2012 1 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 3 120 110 2011 11 1 77.50 11 1 122.54 100 90 80 3 3 5.41% 3 6 12 3 6 12 3 6
09 1.06% 156 154 152 150 148 3 3 3.62% 8 3 2 1.06% 5,599 3.7% 5,723 6.2% 2% 2.9% 4.4% 2012 3.4% 2011 6.2% 3 14 1.49% 2012 3 2.77% 3 2 0.67% 146 144 142 140 138 136 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 3 7.66% 10.84% 6 3 4.73% 2 4.67% 1 4.72% 4.66% 5.8% (2012 1 ) 110 108 106 104 102 100 98 3 0.06% 2 0.27% 1 0.48% 2 3 7 1 96 94 GDP 3 6.81% 92 6.2% 6.5% 90 2011 3 6 12 3 6 12 3 6
10 3 4.96% 2 4.3% 1 4.43% 4 3.76% 3 3.02% 3 2 1.34% 3 5.6% 3 2.95% 3 2 0.99% / 20 3 11.2% (10.9%) (10.1%) 10 1,150,000 2.7% 1.8% 5.2% 393,000 18% 11 62 65 58 50 Q3 20 10.07% 8.19% 3.64% 1.12% 5.57% 2.81% 4.76% 2.69% 2.13% 4.34% 6.16% 11.2 6.43% 6.62% 5.8 5.29% 10.9 9.01% 6.45% 7.67%
11 11 (ARMs) 2.63% 2.44% 5 3% ( ) 11 15 (FRM) 3.16% 30 3.94% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3 2.1% 2 3.9% 1 0.6% IMF 2.6% 2006 2% 1% -1% -2% -3% Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 2012 3 11 4.57% 3.31% 2010 3 3 2 2.89% 2 2010 9 12 1% 3 GDP 2.3% 2 2 0.3% 1 0.7% 1.1% 2016 2% 2010 GDP 2.5% 3 9.4% (9.3%) (7.6%) (4.9%) 3-3.8% (-3.2%) (-1.2%) (-1%) (-0.8%) (-0.7%) (-0.2%) 5. 4.5% 4. 3.5% 3. 2.5% 10 0.1% (CREA) 10 5.5 5.7 12 0.5 2. 1.5% 1. 0.5% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
12 3 2022 3 16.42% 2 21.64% 1 27.81% 4 31.81% 3 37.2% 2 24.85% 3 2 4.23% 360 (98 ) 18% 5 3 IMF 4.7% 2016 4.9% 4% 4.6% 2012 4.9% 2011 13.4% 3 2.33% 2 7.7% 1 8.5% 4 7.41% 3 5.94% 3 2 3.15% 3 12.48% 3 3 2 0.35% - 17/ (GCC) IMF 4.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2012 2.2% 2011 1.8% 3 14.1% 2011 1 3 2 3.79% 2008 3 2011 3 53% 2012 2012 2 4 6.6% Cluttons 20,170 11,600 REIDIN Jones Lang La Salle Moody s 1-15% Moody s 2009 3 66% 8,467 (CBS) 1.6% 27,333 2.5% 2.6% 5 12 0.1% 2 0.15 1 5% -5% Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 2012
13 IMF 3% 4.6% 4.3% 2012 7.2% 2011 4.9% 5% 5 4 3 2 1-1 -2 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 3 14.86% 2 5.19% 1 7.85% 4 4.6% 3 3.93% 2 6.66% 1 8.36% 3 2 7.1% 10 7,838 18.6% (REINZ) (Waikato/Bay of Plenty 10 54% (Hawke s Bay) (52%) (Central Otago Lakes) (5) 10 2,349 9.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2012 2.9% 2011 1.3% (RBNZ) 6 7 16% 14% 12% 1 8% 6% 4% 2% 9 (OCR) 0.25 2.75% IMF 2.2% 2016 2.4% 3.3% 2007 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
14 3 5.54% 3.29% 3 1.11% 5.54% 3 14.25% 6 3 IMF 2.3% 5.45% 2 3.43% 1 2.1% 1.4% 2011 2012 1.73% 4 0.84% 4% 2010 5.1% 3 0.01% 3 2 2.98% 4 Petrobras 3 2 1-1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 0.7% 2 1.9% 3 1.7% IMF GDP 3% 0.15% 2.7% 2012 1.8% 2011 3.9% 2010 7.6% 7 7 1 2.2188 11 1 3.7833-2 çãô 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2003 2012 26% 7.25% 2007 113% ( ) 144% 0.83% 1% -1% -2% -3% Q3 Q4 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 2012 4 11% 7 10 0.25% 12 0.5%
15 3 0.19% 2.89% 3 2 0.69% IMF 1.4% 1.5% 2012 2.2% 2011 3.2% (SARB) 11 0. 25 % 6.25% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1 3 5 7 7 11 1 11 1 3 5 1% -2% -3% -4% -5% 3 5 7 11 1 3 5 7 3 0.19% -6% 2012
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