Working Paper Series No.48 2005 8 1
WTO 2004 2004 10 9 15 1900 200 2005 18 25 2004 2005 1/3 100 503 57.1% 73.2% 58.6% 14.6 WTO 1 2 3 10 20 90 2
Solinger 1999 2001 WTO 2001 6.8%2004 35.4% 1 2004 12.4% 3 1 2001-2004 GDP 2001 6.8 7.1 11.6 7.2 0.4-1.1 2.0 2002 22.3 22.0 27.6 8.9-3.1 0.8 4.3 2003 34.6 34.4 41.4 10.0 1.9 14.1 3.4 2004 35.4 35.7 40.9 9.5 5.2 7.6 5.5 2002-2004 2005 2002 1 1 1 1 2004 2001 2004 1 2001 2005 2001 5.09 3
2 1/3 1/3 83% 2003 49.3% 35.8% 13.3% 10.8% 2 2004 2004 2001 2002 2003 2004 3.5 1.8-1.5 7.0 33.9 21.8 3.5 1.5 10.0 22.5 23.4 45.4 1.6 7.0 6.6 16.1 29.0 57.6 12.4 3.2 9.0 16.0 51.2 51.7 14.7 9.0 12.1 33.2 53.7 48.0 9.8 9.4 18.2 28.0 41.4 39.8 5.0 3.9 7.9 24.7 21.7 39.1 32.3 9.4 3.8 24.1 29.0 25.3 82.7 45.2 7.2 23.6 36.2 36.2 2002-2004 2005 20 30 80 20 70 70 70 15 20 2 2003 20-24 7.6% 15-19 1.6 25-30 7.4% 30-34 2.1 20 30 4
2 1982 2005 1982 (1986) 1990 (1993) 2000 (2002) (2004) 2005 Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nation s Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision and World Urbanization Prospects: The 2001 Revision 3 1995 1997 375 2001 2004 415 3 1999 2003 % 1993 6200 800-1995 7000 400-1996 7223 223-1997 7722 499 38.3 2001 8961 348 46.9 2002 9430 479 46.4 5
2003 9820 390 41.0 2004 10260 440 41.9 2005 5 2000 2003 2.5:1 Lewis 1954 Fei and Ranis 1961 1991 1992 1996 2.3 1991 59.7% 997 1 49.9% 50%1998 2002 50%2003 49.1% 2. 2 46.9% 2004 1997 2000 1.5 1.7 2003 30-35% 2001 2004 1992 2003 49.9% 70% 3 2003 5.4 2004 41.9% 2002 31 1 1 6
GDP 4 1990 2001 2001 WTO 4 1990 1990 15.6% 2004 37.8% 1992 53.2% 2004 37.5% 2004 14.2% 4 1992-2004 1990 2000 2004 1990 2000 2004 19.4 20.9 26.3 9.9 5.2 4.4 15.6 45.2 40.9 11.6 20.5 14.2 5.9 7.4 9.2 2.9 1.8 1.7 22.0 55.3 101.0 15.6 27.0 37.8 90.3 99.8 130.4 53.2 41.0 37.5 6.3 6.8 9.4 3.9 2.3 2.1 5.6 9.9 15.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 4.6 6.6 9.6 2.0 1.5 1.5 30.0 43.9 70.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1991 2001 2005 5 1992-2004 1990 2000 2004 1990 2000 2003 1990 2000 2004 11.4 8.5 8.2 15.1 9.2 8.1 9.1 6.7 9.7 18.6 19.6 20.2 19.1 19.3 17.3 15.8 16.1 23.8 11.5 9.4 11.3 11.0 11.3 12.9 2.1 2.9 1.6 20.4 21.3 22.1 14.6 18.2 19.9 10.9 27.8 34.1 14.8 15.8 13.4 15.9 13.3 11.8 59.4 38.8 20.1 10.6 11.5 11.5 9.9 12.8 12.9 1.8 5.4 9.2 4.3 4.1 3.7 5.4 5.1 5.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 7
8.4 9.8 9.6 9.0 10.8 11.6 0.7 2.1 1.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1991 2001 2005 5 2004 54% 46% 40% 10% 1990 2003 90 90 60% 1990 2004 23.2 39.3 7.4% 0.6% 80 80 90 90 6 90 90 6 1990 2004 GDP 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2003 1995-2000 2000-2003 9.7 8.9 10.0-4.1-0.2 14.6 10.9 11.3 0.3 3.9 11.2 9.7 10.5 0.6 3.0 16.8 11.2 11.9-0.5 6.0 18.6 10.4 11.1 1.2 3.9 12.9 10.3 9.4 0.4 3.1 10.1 8.7 9.7 0.2 4.8 10.7 8.9 9.7 2.4 4.5 1991 2004 6 90 8
90 90 6 1995 2000 2001 2003 2001 2003 9
7 1995 2002 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 619 679 716 853 941 1057 1181 1329 35569 31296 28485 26547 30667 32638 29376 28366 25667 26520 27331 27976 28808 29786 30701 31803 25997 26902 29319 31588 32139 31345 31530 34412 17486 18813 16729 10999 14894 16993 15824 17812 18264 19740 20097 19474 19844 21132 20876 21137 4801 5318 5161 4383 4835 434 402 367 345 429 336 1 2 52 40 12 http://laborsta.ilo.org/ 7 ILO 1995 2002 11.6% -2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 2.5% 2.2% 3.3% 7 1995 70% 2 2002 80 90 1992 0.29 2000 0.59 S S 2 2 ij j ( S ij Sj ) Sij i i j i j j S j j 10
8 8 11
% % /? 47.0 18.6 2.7 8079 38198.2 39.0 25.0-0.1 11505 35237.0 22.3 42.8 4.0 10056 22324.6 48.8 12.5 4.3 6890 32359.9 39.6 31.0-3.1 5056 14833.3 97.4 19.0 3.3 7386 56451.6 36.7 40.1 1.7 5933 23507.2 52.9 31.1-1.0 5242 21309.2 43.1 28.6 1.4 7152 18455.4 32.2 20.9 2.4 14649 41912.0 44.5 17.0 2.3 9211 48851.4 55.2 9.4 3.7 11577 48072.2 38.4 37.1 0.3 6502 25563.9 42.8 16.8 4.3 11281 45032.6 24.4 25.2 1.8 6837 22323.0 61.0 12.0 4.6 7574 40803.9 36.5 19.2 2.2 6735 25371.4 42.9 21.2 0.8 6240 29600.5 30.2 30.3 0.0 6366 21388.0 49.8 23.8 1.0 10681 48004.7 31.9 45.6-0.2 6969 17527.8 84.4 42.9 2.2 9943 61304.3 40.1 28.7-1.7 6797 14083.7 37.4 24.4 1.4 6672 21137.1 17.5 43.5-6.6 5960 8000.0 19.6 50.0-9.0 6944 7696.3 52.0 55.3-4.7 7657 14574.7 18.2 29.9-1.7 6632 20149.3 18.3 25.0-0.9 6132 26451.6 97.8 6.3 5.2 10037 148958.3 48.6 51.4-5.1 7642 19751.5 1 2004 4 2005 5 2 2004 2004 2004 12
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2003 2010 24 2002 9 30 2004 No.40 2004 2004 9 9 2003 2002 1991 2004 1982 (1986) 1990 (1993) 2000 (2002) (2004) 2005 Fei, J., and Ranis, G., 1965. A Theory of Economic Development, American Economic Review, Vol. 51, No.4, 76-106. Lewis, W. Arthur., 1954. Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour, The Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 22(May), 139 191. Solinger, Dorothy J., 1999. Citizenship Issues in China s Internal Migration: Comparisons with Germany and Japan, Political Science Quarterly, Vol.114, No.3: 455-78. Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision and World Urbanization Prospects: The 2001 Revision. 14