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10 ( ), 5( ),, 2016,P42 6, ( :9 1 ) ; ( :4 1 ) 7 2.5,, : [ ], 2017,2003:, 3,2016:, 2,2015:, 6,2010: , 9,2003:,, Akabayashi,H.(2007), Whosuferedfromthesuperstitioninthemarriagemarket ThecaseofHinoeumainJa- pan,socialscience Electronic Publishing26(2): Ashenfelter,O.& A.B.Krueger(1994), Estimatesoftheeconomicreturntoschoolingfrom anew sampleof twins,american Economic Review 84(4): Ashenfelter,O.& C.Rouse(1998), Income,schooling,andability:Evidencefrom anew sampleofidentical twins,quarterly Journalof Economics113(1): Barnsley,R.H.& A.H.Thompson(1988), Birthdateandsuccessin minorhockey:thekeytothenhl,canadian Journalof BehaviouralScience20(2): Barnsley,R.H.,A.H.Thompson & P.E.Barnsley(1985), Hockeysuccessandbirthdate:Therelativeageefect, Canadian Asociationof Health,PhysicalEducationand Recreation Journal51: Barnsley,R.H.,A.H.Thompson & P.Legault(1992), Familyplanning:Footbalstyle.Therelativeageefectin footbal,internationalreview forthesociologyof Sport27(1): Bedard,K.& E.Dhuey(2006), Thepersistenceofearlychildhoodmaturity:Internationalevidenceoflong-runage efects,quarterly Journalof Economics121(4): Bennet,J.T.&J.R.Barth(1973), Astronomics:Anewapproachtoeconomics,Journalof PoliticalEconomy 81(6): Dadvand,P.etal(2013), Maternalexposuretoparticulateairpolutionandterm birth weight:a multi-country evaluationofefectandheterogeneity,environmental Health Perspectives121(3): Do,Q.-T.& T.D.Phung(2006), Superstition,familyplanning,andhumandevelopment,PolicyResearch Working Papers,No.4001,WorldBank. Do,Q.-T.& T.D.Phung(2010), Theimportanceofbeingwanted,American EconomicJournal:Applied Eco- nomics2(4): Easterlin,R.A.(1980),Birthand Fortune:TheImpactof Numberson Personal Welfare,UniversityofChicago Press. Goodkind,D.(1991), CreatingnewtraditionsinmodernChinesepopulations:AimingforbirthintheYearofthe Dragon,Populationand DevelopmentReview 17(4): Goodkind,D.(1993), NewzodiacalinfluencesonChinesefamilyformation:Taiwan,1976,Demography30(2): Goodkind,D.(1995), Thesignificanceofdemographictriviality:Minoritystatusandzodiacalfertilitytimingamong ChineseMalaysians,Population Studies49(1): Goodkind,D.(1996), ChineselunarbirthtiminginSingapore:Newconcernsforchildqualityamidstmulticultural modernity,journalof Marriageandthe Family58(3): Hara,M.,J.-H.Lee & Y.Iwasa(2015), Culturalevolutionof Hinoeumasuperstitioncontrolinghuman mate choice:theroleofhalf-believer,journalof TheoreticalBiology21(385):

11 : Isacsson,G.(1999), EstimatesofthereturnofschoolinginSwedenfromalargesampleoftwins,Labour Economics6 (4): Johnson,N.D.&J.V.C.Nye(2011), DoesfortunefavorDragons,Journalof Economic Behaviorand Organization 78(1-2): Kaku,K.& Y.S.Matsumoto(1975), InfluenceofafolksuperstitiononfertilityofJapanesein Californiaand Hawai,1966,American Journalof Public Health65(2): Lee,J.& M.Paik(2006), SexpreferencesandfertilityinSouthKoreaduringtheyearofthehorse,Demography 43(2): Li,H.,P.W.Liu &J.Zhang(2012), EstimatingthereturnstoeducationusingtwinsinurbanChina,Journalof DevelopmentEconomics97(2): Merton,R.(1948), Theself-fulfilingprophecy,Antioch Review 8(2): Miler,P.,C.Mulvey & N.Martin(1995), Whatdotwinsstudiesrevealabouttheeconomicreturnstoeducation A comparisonofaustralianandu.s.findings,american Economic Review 85(3): Mincer,J.(1974),Schooling,Experience,and Earnings,New York:NBERPress. Mocan,N.H.& H.Yu(2017), Cansuperstitioncreateaself-fulfilingprophecy SchooloutcomesofDragon childrenofchina,nber WorkingPaper,No Nieuwenhuijsen,M.J.etal(2014), Airpolutionandhumanfertilityrates,EnvironmentInternational70:9-14. Rohlfs,C.etal(2010), Causalefectsofsexpreferenceonsex-blindandsex-selectivechildavoidenceandsubstitu- tionacrossbirthyears:evidencefromthejapaneseyearofthefirehorse,journalof DevelopmentEconomics92 (1): Rosenthal,R.& L.Jacobson(1968),PygmalionintheClasroom:Teacher Expectationand Pupils'Intelectual Development,New York:Holt,Rinehart& Winston. Senbet,D.& W.-C.Huang(2012), Dodragonshavebeterfate Revisitedusingthe U.S.data,International Journalof Economicsand Research3(5): Sim,C.S.N.(2015), Astronomicsinaction:ThegraduateearningspremiumandtheDragonefectinSingapore, EconomicInquiry53(2): Thompson,A.H.,R.H.Barnsley & J.Batle(2004), Therelativeageefectandthedevelopmentofself-esteem, EducationalResearch46(3): Thompson,A.H.,R.H.Barnsley & R.J.Dyck(1999), Anewfactorinyouthsuicide:Therelativeageefect, Canadian Journalof Psychiatry44(1): Wong,K.-F.& L.Yung(2005), DoDragonshavebeterfate,EconomicInquiry43(3): Vere,J.(2008), Dragonchildren:Identifyingthecasualefectofthefirstchildonfemalelaborsupply withthe ChineseLunarCalendar,Oxford Buletinof Economicsand Statistics70(3): Yamada,H.(2013), Superstitionefectsversuscohortefects:Isitbadlucktobebornintheyearofthefirehorse injapan,review of Economicsofthe Household11(2): Yi,J.,J.J.Heckman,J.Zhang & G.Conti(2015), Earlyhealthshocks,intra-householdresourcealocationand childoutcomes,economicjournal125(588): ( : ) ( : ) 125

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