<4D F736F F D2035A1A1D2F3D6BED1EFA1A1A3A8C0EEA3A92E646F63>

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "<4D F736F F D2035A1A1D2F3D6BED1EFA1A1A3A8C0EEA3A92E646F63>"

欠广
5 years ago
Views:

1 ( ) Journal of Hunan Agricultural University (Social Sciences), Feb. 2016, 17(1): DOI: /j.cnki.jhau(ss) 中国生猪养殖业国际竞争力及其影响因素分析基于产业链视角和钻石模型的实证研究殷志扬 1,2, 王凯 2,Isabel de Felipe 3 ( ) 摘要 12 关键词中图分类号 F326.3 F 文献标志码 :A 文章编号 : (2016) International competitiveness and influencing factors analysis of Chinese pig breeding industry: based on the industrial chain perspective and the diamond model YIN Zhiyang 1, 2 WANG Kai 2 Isabel de Felipe 3 (1. College of Economics and Management, Suzhou Polytechnic Institute of Agriculture, Suzhou , China; 2.College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agriculture University, Nanjing , China; 3.Department of Agricultural Economics, Statistics and Management, Polytechnic University of Madrid, Madrid Spain) Abstract From the perspective of pork chain, based on pig breeding, this paper uses Porter's "diamond model", chooses six factors and total 12 indexes as independent variables, including the factors of production, related and supporting industries, demand conditions, business strategy, structure and competition in the industry, government support and the exchange rate. The partial least squares regression analysis is adapted to analyze the importance and the effect of the above independent variables on the competitiveness of Chinese pig breeding industry. The results showed that: from the perspective of importance of influencing factors, the unit labor productivity in the pork production, the sow number of pig breeding farms, the demand of pork and the pig slaughtered from the large-scale breeding farms have the significantly positive influence on the international competitiveness of pig breeding industry, while the cost of material and service, RMB exchange rate and polices supporting the pig production have significantly negative influence on the international competitiveness of pig breeding industry. In addition, the development of feed processing industry, agricultural products logistics industry and the rural public service system of animal husbandry and veterinary have great potential influence on the international competitiveness of Chinese pig breeding industry. Keywords: industry chain; pig breeding industry; international competitiveness; influencing factors; Diamond Model 收稿日期基金项目 ( ) (2013SJB ) 作者简介 (1980 ) 一问题的提出 [1,2] FAO 2012

2 % 15.95% 10.97% 0.97% [3] [4] [5] ( (SPS) ) [1,2,6-8] [1] [1,8] [9,10] [11,12] [1,6,8] 二理论依据及模型构建 1 [13], [14,15] [16] [17] ( 1) (1) [18]

3 28 ( ) (X 1 ) (X 2 ) (X 3 ) (+) (-) (-) (+) (?) (-) (+) (+) (+) (+) (+) 图 1 中国生猪养殖业国际竞争力形成机制的分析框架 (2) 2009 ( ) [19] (X 4 ) [20] (X 5 ) ( ) [10] [21] (X 6 ) (X 7 ) % 78% 71.7% [22] (X 8 ) (3) % 69.1% [23] [24] (X 9 ) 2 (4) [25] [26] ( ) % % [27] (X 10 ) % 50 49%~53% [28]

4 (5) [1] 2007 (X 11 ) [29] (6) [30] (X 12 ) 2 [1,2,6,8] (Y 1 ) (Y 2 ) (Y 3 ) (Partial Least Squares regression PLS) PLS [32] PLS Y i =α i0 +α i1 X 1 +α i2 X 2 +α i3 X 3 +α i4 X 4 +α i5 X 5 +α i6 X 6 +α i7 X 7+α i8 X 8 +α i9 X 9 +α i10 X 10 +α i11 X 11 +α i12 X 12 +ε (1) i =1,2,3 α i. ε 三数据来源与计量结果分析 1 3 (X 1 ) (X 2 ) (X 3 ) ( ) 5 (X 4 ) ( ) (X 5 ) ( ) (X 6 ) (X 7 ) ( ) ( (2005)15 ) (X 8 ) X 8 11

5 30 ( ) (X 9 ) (FAOSTAT) 1 (X 10 ) ( ) X X (X 12 ) (Y 1 -Y 3 ) (FAOSTAT) Y 1 -Y 3 1 表 1 中国猪肉产业国际竞争力评价结果 /Y 1 /Y 2 /Y 3 (%) (FAOSTAT) 2 Z PLS SIMCA-P % PLS y 2 93% t[1]/t[2] (VIP Variable Importance in Projection) PLS 1 VIP VIP 1 Y VIP 0.7 [32] VIP 24 VIP 1 3 VIP VIP 0.7 (X 3 ) (X 9 ) (X 10 ) (X 11 ) (X 1 ) (X 4 ) (X 12 ) (X 2 ) (X 5 ) (X 6 ) (X 7 ) (X 8 ) 63% 27% 8% [33] (X 2 ) (8.97 ) 22% [34]

6 [35] [36] [37] [38] 表 2 模型中变量投影重要性指标 (VIP) 的值 VIP VIP VIP X X X X X X X X X X X X PLS 表 3 模型中 PLS 的系数 Y 1 Y 2 Y e e e-007 X X X X X X X X X X X X (X 3 ) (X 4 ) (X 9 ) (X 10 ) (X 1 ) (X 12 ) (X 11 ) ( ) ( ) 四研究结论及其启示

7 32 ( ) [39] 注释 : 1 本文所讨论的猪肉包括 : 冷藏鲜和冻猪肉, 在 FAO 数据库编码对应的是 1035 和 1038, 对应的 HS 海关编码为 ,12,21,22,19,29 下同 2 考虑到中国的猪肉储备量仅占猪肉消费总量的 1%, 所以这里并未将猪肉储备量考虑在内 3 贸易竞争力指数的计算公式为 :TCij=(Xij-Mij)/( X ij+mij), 其中 Xij 和 Mij 分别表示 i 国 j 产品的出口额和进口额 4 显示性比较优势指数的一般计算公式为 : RCAi=(Xi-Xit)/(Xw+Xwt), 其中 Xi 和 Xw 分别表示 i 国和世界该产品的出口额,Xit 和 Xwt 分别表示 i 国和世界所有商品的出口额但是这样一来, 比较的范围就过大, 为了更真实地反映各国猪肉产品相对于本国畜产品的出口比较 [31] 优势, 本文参考了夏晓平和李秉龙的修正方法, 将本国和世界的所有商品的出口额改为了本国和世界所有畜产品的出口额 5 国际市场占有率的计算公式为 :IMSij=Xij/Xwj 100%, 其中 Xij 和 Xwj 分别表示 i 国和世界第 j 种产品的出口额参考文献 : [1] [J] 2011(7) [2] [J] (12) [3] Lara A Kelly P W Lynch B The international cost competitiveness of the Irish pig industry[c] Teagase Rural Economy Research Centre [4] Fritzsehe S Was kostet der Tiersehutz? [J] DLG Mitteilungen 2002 (3) [5] Jacob Rasmussen Costs in international pig production 2004[R] The National Committee for Pig Production [6] [J] ( ) (2) [7] [J] ( ) (4) [8] [J] (5) [9] Jacques T Brigitte P Nel W et al European pork chains[z] Netherlands Wageningen Academic Publishers press 2009 [10] [M]2004 [11] [J] 2012(11) [12] [J] (4) [13] [M] 2002 [14] Ozlem Oz Assessing Porter's framework for national ad-vantage the case of Turkey [J] Journal of Business Research 2002 (55) [15] Zeller C North Atlantic innovative relations of Swiss pharmaceuticals and the proximities with regional biotech

8 arenas [J] Economic Geography (10) [16] Daly D J Porter's diamond and exchange rates [J] Management International Review (2) [17] Stalk, George, Evans, Philip and Shulman Larence E. Competing on Capabilities: the new rules of corporate strategy[j].harvard Business Review, 1992 (2): [18] [J] ( ) 2000 (1) [19] [J]2010(11) 4-7 [20] [J] 2007(2) [21] [J] (16) [22] 2009 [EB/OL] [23] 2020 [J] 2015 (2) [24] J (9) [25] ( )[M] 2003 [26] Schneider M Sharma S China s pork miracle? agribusiness and development in China s pork industry[z] Institute for agriculture and trade policy 2014 [27] [J] (5) [28] [J] (8) [29] [J] 2015(4) [30] [J] 2013(1) [31] [J] 2009(8) [32] [M] 1999 [33] [J] (35) [34] [J]2015(12) [35] [J] ( ) 2014(3) [36] [J] (2) [37] [J] (9) [38] [J] (11) [39] [J] 2013 (2) 责任编辑 : 李东辉

10.11648.j.sjbm.20150306.21

10.11648.j.sjbm.20150306.21 Science Journal of Business and Management 2015; 3(6): 293-301 Published online January 27, 2016 (http://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/j/sjbm) doi: 10.11648/j.sjbm.20150306.21 ISSN: 2331-0626 (Print);