中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China 中国可再生能源发展 - 产业 目标与政策 Development Status of Renewable Energy in China -Industries Goals and Policies 任东明 Ren Dongming 2017 年 9 月 11 日 Sep.11th 2016
中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China Contents Current Status of China s RE Development Goals of China s RE Development During the 13th Five Year Plan (2016-2020) China s Renewable Energy Policies.
中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China
Concept of Renewable Energy in China Including all kinds of useful energy and resources through processing and transformation 水能 风能 Wind Energy Hydro Energy 可再生能源海洋能 Renewable Energy Ocean Energy 地热能 Geothermal Energy 太阳能 Solar Energy 物质能 Biomass
China s Hydropower Development- Installed Capacity By the end of 2016, the total installed capacity of hydropower was 332 GW, accounting for about 20.9% of the total installed capacity in China.
China s Hydropower Development-Generation 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 power generation TWh 396 415 471 566 572 687 668 856 892 1060 1112 1181 growth rate 5% 14% 20% 1% 20% -3% 28% 4% 19% 5% 6% By the end of 2016, its cumulative power generation was 1181 TWh, accounting for 19.2% of the total power generation, with year-on-year growth of 6%.
China s Wind Power Development- Installed Capacity By the end of 2016, cumulative installed capacity reached 148.64 GW. With the influence of the adjustment of price policy, newly installed capacity was 19.3GW in 2016.By July this year, cumulative installed capacity reached 156 GW Among the added wind turbines, the installed capacity of 2 MW wind turbine accounted for more than 50% of the total added installed capacity, and the research of offshore wind turbine over 5 MW also developed quickly.
China s Wind Power Development- Generation By the end of 2016, its cumulative power generation was 241 TWh, accounting for 4.02% of the total power generation, with year-on-year growth of 30%. Being One of the three big power resources. In July of 2017, its cumulative power generation was 20.1 TWh, accounting for 3.3% of the total power generation. In which, 74% of the grid connected wind power (14.87TWh) from the Three North areas.
China s Solar Power Development- Installed Capacity The industry of PV power generation has developed rapidly in China. By the end of 2016, the total installed capacity of PV power reached 77.42 GW, accounting for 4.7% of the total power installed capacity. Among them, the centralized grid-connected PV power stations still occupied dominant position, and their cumulative installed capacity was 67.10 GW; the distributed PV power stations was relatively slow, and their cumulative installed capacity was 10.32GW. By the end of July of 2017, cumulative PV power generation was 113.94 GW, among them, the Centralized PV 90.48GW, accounts 79%. Distributed PV 23.46GW, 21%.
China s Solar Power Development- Generation By the end of 2016, its cumulative power generation was 66.2TWh, accounting for 1.07% of the total power generation, with year-on-year growth of 72%. In July of 2017, its cumulative power generation was 11.07TWh.
China s Biomass Development - Installed Capacity and Generation The installed capacity of biomass power generation has grew steadily in China. By the end of 2016, the integrated capacity of biomass power generation was 12.14 GW, and its annual power generation was 64.7TWh. By the end of July of 2017, The total installed capacity reached 13.70GW, and the cumulative power generation from January to July was 42.77TWh.
China s Biomass Development- Solid and liquid Bio-fuel. By the end of 2016, the amount of Solid Biomass 10000 Kilo Ton, Bio ethanol 2500 Kilo Ton, Biodiesel around 1000 Kilo Ton
Characteristics of China s RE Development 快速成长 : 例如风电, 从起步到世界最大仅仅用了十年左右 Growing fast: ie. Wind power-10 years from a beginner to the world 1 st 产业链完整 : 从研发 - 制造 - 市场应用 Full industrial chain: R&D-Manufacture-End-use Market 完全开放 : 市场投资完全对国内外开放 Full openness: open market for foreign investments
中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China Goals of China s RE Development during the 13 th Five Year Plan (2016-2020)
Determination of Energy Transformation 2030 年左右使二氧化碳排放达到峰值, 并争取尽早实现 By around 2030, CO 2 emissions will reach the peak, and the goal will be strived to achieve as soon as possible. Peak Value of CO2 15% 20% 2020 年非化石能源占一次能源消费比例达到 15%,2030 年达到 20% By 2020, the proportion of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption will reach 15%, and by 2030 20%. 2020 年单位 GDP 二氧化碳排放量较 2015 年下降 18% CO 2 emissions of per unit GDP will decrease by 18% in 2020 compared to 2015. 18% - 15 -
RE Development Objectives during 13 th Five Year Plan Hydropower:By 2020, the installed capacity will reach 380GW. Wind power: By 2020, the installed capacity of grid connected will reach 210GW, and effectively solved the curtailment issues. Solar power: By 2020, the installed capacity of grid connected will reach 110GW, including 105GW of PV and 5GW of CSP. And in the meanwhile, realizing parity integration in the demand side for PV power. Biomass Energy: By 2020, the integrated capacity of biomass power generation was 15GW, the amount of Solid Biomass reach 30000 Kilo Ton, Bio ethanol 4000 Kilo Ton, Biodiesel around 2000 Kilo Ton 16
中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China
RE Scale-up Development and Barriers Difficulties in technology, economy of scale and mechanisms Immigration Environment protection Mechanisms Hydro Power Wind Difficult for grid-connection Weak capability for innovation Weak Management Solar High Cost Weak support from regulation mechanism for Distributed generation Biomass Unclear technology roadmap Less resources 18
The Main issue Facing China RE is the Curtailment In 2016, the curtailed electricity amount in Yunnan and Sichuan was 40TWh and 26TWh respectively. In 2016, the total curtailed electricity amount of wind power hit 49.7TWh. In Gansu Province, the curtailed rate of the wind power was 43% In 2016, the total curtailed electricity amount of PV power hit 7.4TWh, the curtailed rate of the PV power was 11%. In Gansu, Xinjiang, Qinghai, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Shan anxi, the five north-west area Province, the curtailed electricity was 2.6TWh, 2.9TWh,0.8TWh, 0.5TWh, 0.4TWh and 0.5TWh respectively. 2016 年,the average use time of power-generating equipment was only 1742 hours for wind power, for PV, it was only 997 hours. Compared with the level(wind power 1800 hours, PV 1500 hours ) specified by NEA, the lag is too far. what is noticeable is that the curtailed nuclear power reached 46.2TWh.
History and Impetus of Policies on RE industry Amendment on Renewable Energy Law Dec. 2009 2008 Mid-and long-term plan Sep. 2007 Enforcement of the law Jan. 2006 The annual use of renewable energy in 2008 reached 250m tons of standard coal, accounting for 8.6% of the primary energy consumption Renewable Energy Law Feb. 2005
History and Impetus of Policies on RE industry China RE Policy System 2005.2 Renewable Energy Law announced 2006.1 RE law took effects 2007.9 RE long & medium term plan 2009.9 15% Non-fossil energy target 2009.12 Amendment of Renewable Energy Law 2010.9 Solutions on Strategic Emerging Industries China RE Law 2012.7 RE 12th Five Year Plan 2016.12 RE 13th Five Year Plan
13 th Five Year RE Plan Put Forward Four Comprehensive Policies To Establish a goal-oriented management system for the development and utilization of renewable energy. To implement the system of guaranteeing the purchasing of electricity generated by using renewable energy resources in full amount To set up Green certificate trading mechanism for renewable energy. NDRC and NEA jointly issued the Notification of the certification of green certificates for renewable energy and the system of voluntary subscription trading, on January 1, 2017. To strengthen supervision over renewable energy. Carry out special supervision work on renewable energy, the collection and distribution of subsidized funds, project construction progress and project quality, and grid access of projects. 22
13 th Five Year RE Plan Put Forward Four Comprehensive Policies June 7, 2017, China Green Power Consumption League founded. Invited Shen Xue and Zhao Hongbo, the figure skating couple, won the gold in 2002 World Figure Skating Championships as the image ambassador.
13 th Five Year RE Plan Put Forward Four Comprehensive Policies July 1,2017, NEA held the Launching Ceremony of the Green Electricity Certificate
13 th Five Year RE Plan Put Forward Four Comprehensive Policies At present, the green power market is still small in China, but we believe that it will actively play a significant role for the scale-up development of China s renewable energy.
中国 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所 Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, China 谢谢! Thanks!