E D Q E = D P E D 33 1 3 % E D 18 1 b
E D E D E D E D E D E D E D E D ED ED 18 2 M ED 1 ED 3/1 3.0 R Ep 1/3 0.33 ED DD 1 18 3 B 2 ED B ED 3/13 DD 7 ED P 0 Q 0 P Q DD
18 4 A 1 Q 1 1 B 18 4
S m S m S s S s S l S l S l S l S l S l
AS AD AS AD SS DD AS AD SS DD
1000
1 DD 1 D D SS Q Q 1.9 0.9
E a F a F a J a J a K a D a D a
E b C b C b J b K S S b b b C c C c J c Kc S c S c
QP ED, f P b/ P ED P/ f P / ED 1 2 logq logc Klo / / /, DD ED
"
P P DD
664
19 3 3 2 [ 4 3 2 2 9 4 3 2 ] 19 3 b a
P Mu = P 1 2 Mu Mu = Λ Λ = P 3 89 93 92 90 81
1845 1844
U = 2 / 3log q + 1 / 3log q 1 2 d(log q ) / dq = 1 / q i i i MU1 = 2 / 3q 1, MU 2 = 1 / 3q 2 = Y = p1q1 + p2q2 = MU i MU / p = MU / p 1 1 2 2 2 / 3p 1q1 = 1 / 3p2q 2 p 1 q 1 q 1* = 2 / 3yp 1 P 1 = 1 p 2 = 2
B B B B B 6/4
U 1 U 2 U 3 U 4
3 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 F C 1C 6 6 1c NM NM 1 B NM
N M 3 F 1c 7 2 NM 6 3F 1C
P / P = = MU / MU F C F C
1933
12 1 2 %
A A 1932 R J 1966 1929 1929 200 80 1963 84.5 10
7
MC MC
MC AC MG MG AG MG AG AG 3 AIG 2 AG MG AG AG MG AG AG MC q q 3999 4000
21 3 MC 1 21 3 MC 1 q MC2 q TC MC a b b a a b b c a b TC /dq a a ba bc 1
S m S m S m S m
S m S m S s S s S s S s
P s
S S l l S S l l
10 1
S C S C S C S C S h S h
1975
6 3000 i = 2 4 ( 3000 ) 2 = 4 2 i = 36000000 = ( 6000) 2
22A 2
U AC MC
23 5 a dd MR MR MC MC 23 5 b TR TR TC
1984 24 1984 40 40 40 40 40 40
C 1954 5 771 787
F M 1980 464
1971 3 21 1974 356 358 1976 211 240
P M P R TR = qp = 15q 0. 05q 2 TC = q + 002. q 2
1978
1953
P 1 P D Q C
22 2
7
24 3 24 4
17 1979 102 103
1952 91
P M Q L P L P L Q l
P 1 P 2 P 1 A 1976 212 91
P2 P1 P1* P2*
P1* P2*
K F 1 263 7
80 24000 70
1/10 1 300 1984 50000
A B A B 30 80 100 5
L J L H 1981 8
1900
10.5 [ ] 1950 36.1 45.6
1968
200 300 100
MP
L.A K L MP K MP A MP A MP PL MPL.PA MPA pk MPK. Q MP MP
20 70 29 6 J
MR L q MR A q
L A = =Λ Λ L A
1 1 q = L + A 2 2
1 2 Q = LA = L A 2Q = 2L MP L 2 2( MPL ) 2 Q = 2 < 0 2L 2L Q bl K A = 1 K
= = L A = =Λ Λ L A TC q MR MC TC 2L 3A
MR q MPi = Pi 1/MCq
MPi / Pi MR = MC q q Pi = MC q MPi Pi = MC q MPi MC
Q ak bl Q K L a b K L MPs 1 Q L2 MP 2 MP
FCC 6 1984 6 1968 12 13
5
18A 4
28 2 C
1982 15 300 1/10
28 4 28 5 3 1957
1970 100 49 99 52 85 46 68 42 67 36 64 40 63 45
28 5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
P M L 1940 259 260
1 2 3 4 5 B L 1984
10
R w 1978
M J H J C B 1981
N V = $ i 5 100 5 100 B 1948 1980 1980 372
S L S L
4 1 2 4 1 2
30 1
100 = = 94 36 106 100 1 ( 1. 06) 2 1 1 6 1 0.06 1 0.06 t 1 8 0.06 0.08
N 1 N 2 Λ N1 N2 N t V = + 2 + + t ( 1+ i) ( 1+ i) Λ ( 1+ i) N t Λ N t
20 J A
H H 60 70 50 10 20 100 100 10000
O F M 1938 F A 1940
E R E P 32 2
u-p E
19 R A 1959 31A 1
100 MPD $10 $5 $6 $19 MPD MSD
32 7 P
1 22 2
20
1983
P OECD 11 1984 1
A M 1975 1256
98
R L 1980 1978 J A 1957
M 1962 M 1972 61 1971 5
L c 1983 S D T 1983 B B 1982 R B 1983
10
A 1982
P R R C 2 1981
F 1944
100 200 30 10 8 10000 16000 3 30 10 60 1324
f-p
3 2%( = 1% + 1 5%) 4 4 % = 3 4 1 4 3 4 1 4 Q 1 K % = ( %) + T. C. L 4 L 3 1 T. C. = Q % ( L %) ( K %) 4 4
Q L 1 K % = ( %) + T. C. 4 L 2. 1 2 = 4 ( 2) + T. C. = 0. 5 + 1. 7
3 4 1 4
1 1 2
1942
3 1 3 K S = g 001. = 003. 3 1 Q 3 60 70 F 1948 D 1957 Q $3000 3 $10000 K 3 $300 0.03 $10000 10 3 3 [ 4 13
4 3 3 K/Q 2 6 ]
υn g=i/k I gk I/Q s/q S g K/Q
1979
W 1919 1929 1941 1919 1939 1951 W 1966
200 3 0 200 1 200X 1.03 10 200 1.03 10 6 12 1 24 pessimismin pessimismout PIPO
1971
1 3
1 1 2
10 / 5 1 2 38 2 1 2 3 4 3 10 8 10 3a 10a 8 10 a b
MR MC
1/4 5 5.02 5.02 4.98 5 1914 4.87 1914
2 2 2 1 1 + + ( ) + Λ Λ = 3 3 ( 1 2 ) 3 = 3 5 2 1 = 9 3 9 6 9 5 5 1 1 9 9 1 5 2 1 2 + + ( ) + Λ Λ = = 4 ( ) 9 1 4 1 9 1 4
PA P B