2012.11 笮 1990 2000 CHNS 1989 1991 1993 1997 2000 2004 2006 9 CGSS 2003 2005 2006 2008 28 4 CHIPs 1988 1995 2002 2007, 11-12, 1 1980 / 100871 / 430074 / 100875-1 -
2000 2 6 9 12 1980 15 16 2000 3 19 exp exp 2 2004 2006 CHNS 2008 CGSS β 0 β i ε 4 1 2 21 ln(income)=β 0 +β 1 edu+β 2 exp+β 3 exp 2 + β 4 femal+β 5 ind +β 6 org +β 7 reg +β 8 year +ε 2 2 femal 0 1 ind 5 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 7 10 43 0 2 1 org ln income =β 0 +β 1 edu+β 2 exp+β 3 exp 2 +ε 1 1 income reg CPI year 2002 edu 2002 1-2 -
1 2 3 : ln(income)=β 0 +β 1 edu+β 2 exp+β 3 exp 2 + β 4 femal+β 5 ind +β 6 org +β 7 reg +β 8 year+ β 9 femal*edu+β 10 ind*edu+β 11 org*edu + β 12 reg*edu +β 13 year*edu +ε 2 3 2 4 ln(income)=β 0 +β 1 edu+β 2 exp+β 3 exp 2 + 2 β 4 femal+β 5 ind +β 6 org +β 7 reg +β 8 year+ β 9y ear*edu+ε 4 2002 2004 2006 16 60 2008 2009 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.8% 7.9% 6 1 5 7.55% 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 10.3% 10.3% 6 10.2% 3-3 -
2 3-4 -
5 4 2 1 4 4 4 2002 2004 1.08% 2006 2004 0.40% 2008 2004 1 2004 2002 2004 2004 (2002 2006-2009 ) 10 2004 0.26% 2008 2004 2009 2004 2004 2009 1991 1995 2000 2000 2004 1 1 0.85% 2009 2004 0.90% 1 2000 1990 2000-5 -
[1],. [J].,2003 (6). [2],. [J]. 2007 (4). [3].2003-2008 [J].,2011 (8). [4],,.20 90 [J].,2003 (2). [5]. 1988-2001 [J].,2007 (1). Research on Rates of Return to Education of Chinese Urban Residents and Its Changes in this Century Ding Xiaohao, Yu Qiumei & Yu Hongxia (Graduate School of Education, Beijing University, Beijing 100871; Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074; Faculty of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875) Abstract: This article estimates the rate of return to education of China's urban residents and the change trend in this century using the survey data of urban household by the National Bureau of Statistics. The main result shows that the rate of return to education in recent years doesn't continue the rapid growth from the 1990s to the mid-2000s, but gradually in stabilized situation and a slight sign of decline. Key words: rates of return to education, Mincer Wage Equation, time trend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 2012 2012-06-01-6 -