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, 20 90 (Bharatiya Janata Party, ),,,,, 20 90, 90,, 20 90 90,, 21 90,,, :,,,, (1962 ) 20 90 20 90,,,,,,,,,,,, : (Narasimha Rao) ( Indian National Congress) (1991 6 1996 5 ), (Janata Dal) (Deve Gowda, 1996 6 1997 4 ) ( I. K. Gujral, 1997 4 1998 6
3 ) (United Front), (National Democratic A lliance, 1998 3 2004 5 ), (United Progressive A lliance, 2004 5 ),, 1998 3 5 1998, 1999,,, : 1998 ; 1999 ( ) : 1998 1.,,, 1962, 17 (1966 1977 1980 1984 ),, 1962,, 20 50 20 60,, 20 50 60, 20 70, 80,,,, Stephen Cohen, India: Em erging Pow er, p1421 7
(J. N. D ixit),,,,,,,, 1990 1991,, 20 90,,,, 2., 1962,, 1963 Surjit Mansingh, India s Search for Pow er: J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy 1947 2003, p12251 C1 Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon, pp130, 381 1991 5, 10, Annual Report 1995 96 (New Delhi: M inistry of Defense, Government of India, 1996 ), pp1 J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy 1947 2003, pp1225, 237, Annual Report 1994 95 C1 Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon, p1121 Indira Gandhi s Foreign Policy 1966 1982 (New Delhi: Sage Publications, 1984), pp138, 55, 302; J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy 1947 2003 (New Delhi: Picus Books, updated edition, 2003), p1170., :,, 2001, 326 2-3. (New Delhi: M inistry of Defense, Government of India, 1996), p121 8
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,,,,, 3.,,, 1962,,,, 1962, 1965, 1971,,,,,,,,,,, Sanjaya Baru, S trategic Consequences of India s Econom ic Perform ance (New Delhi: Academ ic Foundation, 2006), pp142-43, 96., pp196-97, p153 20 60,,, 1965, Stephen Cohen, India: Em erging Pow er (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2002), p1134 C1 Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon, p1111 ibid, pp111-12, 124-125. 10
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,, 1999 6 (Jaswant Singh), 1998 1998,, 1988,,,,,, (1962-1988),,, ( ) 1998 1962,,,,,,,,, 1962 : ;,, ;,, B1 Raman, Sino2Indian Relations: A Chronology, South Asia Analysis Group Papers, Ap ril 23, 1999, http: / /www1saag1org/papers/paper491htm l Indira Gandhi, Selected Speeches and W ritings of Indira Gandhi 1972 1977, Volume III (New Delhi: Publications D ivision, M inistry of Information and B roadcasting, Government of India, 1984 ), p1633; C1V1 Ranganathan and V inod C1 Khanna, India and China: The W ay Ahead (New Delhi: Har2 Anand Publications, 2004), p1541 16
,,,, : 1. 1962,, 1976, 1981, 1979,,,, 1988,,,,,,, 2., 20 90,,, 1988, 1981,,,, : J1 N1 D ixit, 2001), pp1223, 2271 India s Foreign Policy and Its N eighbours (New Delhi: Gyan Publishing House, (Janata Party), (Morarji Desai) C1 V1 Ranganathan and V inod C1 Khanna, India and China, p1166; : ( ),, 1993, 19 20 J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy and Its N eighbours, p12231 : :,, 1998, 306 318 17
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,,,,,,,,,, ( ) 1999 20 90,,,,,,,,,, : 1. 1962,, 1977 20 80, 1, 1991 1999, 3112%, 2164 19188, 8 615 : (1947-2003), 175, 175 C1 V1 Ranganathan and V inod C1 Khanna, India and China: The W ay Ahead, p11781 C1 Raja Mohan, C rossing the Rubicon, p153 : (1947-2003), 201 19
( 3),, 1999,,,,,,, 1999 2006, 4414%,, 2006 24815, 1999 1115, 1991 93 ( 3),, 10, - 3 1991 2006 ( : ) 2., 1998, 1993 1996, Yashwant Sinha, Maturity Marks India2China Relationship, November 22, 2003, Facets of In2 dian Foreign Policy: S tatem ents and M edia Interaction ( February2November 2003 ), Volume II ( New Delhi: M inistry of External Affairs, Government of India, 2003), pp1225, 230-2311 20
1998,, 2000,, 2003, 2006 5, ( Pranab Mukherjee),,,,,,,, 1999,,,,,, ;, ;, 2000, 2001, 2005 1 3., 20 90,,, 2003 :,, :,, 2006 5 30 Third Round of India2China Security D ialogue, Sep130, 2002, J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy and Its N eighbours, pp1248-253 21
2005 :,,,,,, 2006 :,,,, ( ) (1962 ) 1.,,,, 2003 11,,,, 1993 1996,, 1999 A lka Acharya and G1P1Deshpande, Talking of and with China, Econom ic and Political W eek2 ly, Mumbai, July 12, 2003, p129411 A lka Acharya and G1P1Deshpande, India2China Relations: The Territorial Imperative: Past and Present, Econom ic and Political W eekly, November 8, 2003, pp. 4729-47301 J1 N1 D ixit, India s Foreign Policy and Its N eighbours, pp1225-226; A lka Acharya, Irresistible A ttraction and Imp lacable Reality: W eekly, June 17, 2000, p12094 The President s China V isit, Econom ic and Political 22
,,, 2000,,,, 2003 ( ),, 11 2005 4,, 2., 20 60,,,,,,,,,,,, A lka Acharya, Irresistible A ttraction and Imp lacable Reality: Econom ic and Political W eekly, June 17, 2000, p120941 Manmohan Singh, PM s Statement in the Lok Sabha on the V isits of Chinese Prem ier and Paki2 stan President, Ap ril 20, 2005, New Delhi, http: The President s China V isit, / /pm india1nic1in / speeches1htm K1 Subrahmanyam, Don t Get Fooled By China, Tim es of India, August 28, 2007; C1 Raja Mohan, pp1158-159 p1131 Annual Report 1997 98 (New Delhi: M inistry of Defense, Government of India, 1998), p121 Annual Report 2004 2005 ( New Delhi: M inistry of Defense, Government of India, 2005 ), 23
, :, ;, 3.,,,,,,, (1962 ),,,,,,,, 2007 5, 9 ( ),,,,,,,,,, :, 2003 11, 50 C1 Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon, pp1149-1501 Ibid, pp1161-162, 211-2171 K1 Subrahmanyam, New World, If Only China Could Sea, The Indian Express, August 14, 20071 24
,,,,,, - 4,,,,,,,, 1962,,, 1985,, 1986, (M ikhail Gorbachev),,,,,, : 21, 2004, 80 87 C1 V1 Ranganathan and V inod C1 Khanna, India and China: The W ay Ahead, pp159-601 25
26
,,,,, 1991-1996,, 20 80,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1998,,,,,,, 1999,,, 1998 11, C1 Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon, pp11541 Jaswant Singh, Defending India (Bangalore: Macm illan India LTD, 1999). 27
,,, 1962, 20 90,,,,,,,,, ;,,,, ;,,,,, 2004,,,,,, : 21, 89, 88 89 C1V1 Ranganathan and V inod C1 Khanna, India and China: The W ay Ahead, pp1151-152; S teven A1 Hoffm ann, Perception and China Policy in India, in Francine R1 Frankel & Harry, The India2China Relationship: R ivalry and Engagem ent, ( Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2004 ), pp1 33-741 : 21, 90 91 28
,,,,,, (1962-1988),,,, 1998,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1999, 2006 10 29
,,,,,, :, ;,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,, 20 90,,,, 30
,,,,,,,,, ( ),,,,, 31
: 1985 /86 2005 /06 ( : ) ( % ) ( % ) 1985 86 7987149 262243 3105 5311214 15104 1986 87 10477146 292949 3158 6402311 16137 1987 88 11967149 333201 3159 7030416 17102 1988 89 13341102 395782 3137 8140213 16139 1989 90 14416117 456821 3116 9504914 15117 1990 91 15426148 535534 2188 10497219 14170 1991 92 16347104 616799 2165 11273017 14150 1992 93 17581179 705918 2149 12592619 13196 1993 94 21844173 876952 2149 14578810 14198 1994 95 23245123 917058 2153 16699814 13192 1995 96 26856129 1073271 2150 18523218 14150 1996 97 29505108 1243547 2137 21125916 13197 1997 98 35277199 1390148 2154 22436610 15172 1998 99 39897157 1598127 2150 26375510 15113 1999 00 47070163 1761838 2167 30750911 15131 2000 01 49622104 1902999 2161 32826417 15112 2001 02 54265173 2081474 2161 36061613 15105 2002 03 55661183 2265304 2146 39887819 13195 2003 04 60065186 2549418 2136 42613116 14110 2004 05 75855192 2855933 2166 46383019 16135 2005 06 80548198 3250932 2148 50828619 15185 : Econom ic Survey (M inistry of Finance, Government of India) ( ) ; Annual Report ( M inistry of Defense, Government of India) ( ) V1 N1 Srinivas, Trends in Defence Expenditure: Journal, Vol13, No11, 2006, p165 India, China and Pakistan, A ir Pow er 32
1991 2002 1991 2003 China s Constitutional Amendments and Their Imp lications, China Report ( Sage Publications), No11, Vol141, 2005 : jasm ineli3@ yahoo1com 2003 2006 : guoyousong@ fudan1edu1cn 1993, 1996 2000 1998 2000 : (2007 ) (2007 ) hefancass@ gmail1com 2006 : yuehuatang@ gmail1com 2005 : chestnut7766@ yahoo1com1cn 1972 1989, 2002 1996 1997 : (2001 ) (2005 ) : wangn@ shisu1edu1cn 2003, 2005 : (2006 ) : linm inwang991@1261com