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* 1865-2014 150 The Great Transformation Karl Polanyi / Polanyi 1944 1 Douglass C. North * ( 15BZS073 ) GRF ( 640613 \ 16400114) 1 1944 The Great Transformation: The Political and Economic Origins of Our Time,, 48

1999 2 2012 2003 2001 303 2007 4 / 49

2017. 3 1998 25 19 1998 25 2016 300 1700 1. 5 13 9 10 1 1000 100 1 20 30 1949 80 1,, 3000-4000,, 1700 10 268 27000 (, ) 100, 1700 6000,, 11 2010 13. 3, 68610519, 45625793, 4138585 118374897 ( http: / / www. stats. gov. cn /tjsj /pcsj /rkpc /6rp /indexch. htm,2015 11 3 ) 50

30 300 2015 1644-1911 1912-1949 1950-2008 1 1865 2 1949 20 80 1865 comparative historical sociology 1 2 : ( ),,,, ; ; 1865 :,,1865,, ;,19 60,1865,, 51

2017. 3 1949 1865 1865-1905 1906-1952 1953-1993 1994-2014 1 150 1,, ( ) 52

1371-1904 60% 12% 30% Ho 1962 112-113 1 1 /3 2014 1865-1905 19 60% 70% 70% 90% 1952 1948 26 1, 22 57, ( http: / / mingching. sinica. edu. tw / Academic_Detail /285) 53

2017. 3 16-18 1 21 11 2 1 1906-1952 1119 2. 81 124 1. 19 93. 84 1336 2. 18 4883 12. 26 890 8. 53 1046 9. 47 6819 11. 12 6466 16. 23 551 5. 28 231 2. 09 7248 11. 82 13295 33. 37 3830 36. 69 6318 57. 2 23443 38. 23 255. 64 709 6. 79 90. 81 1054 1. 72 8950 22. 46 3493 33. 46 2604 23. 58 15047 24. 54 920 2. 31 76. 73 75. 68 1071 1. 75 3956 9. 93 766 7. 34 588 5. 32 5310 8. 66 39844 100 10439 100 11045 100 61328 100 18 26200 1998 46 Joseph W. Esherik 1 2, 1947 214011 1947, 1949 26 1947, 55, 72, 77,, 1949 16-18,1948: 529-530 577-587,,, 25 12 54

2014 19 1998 41 47 2006 2007 2009 2007 1 1,, :,1913-1949 55

2017. 3 1949 1952 20 50 60 1978 2013 96 1953-1993 1952 20 50 1993 1995 80 2000 30% 2013 96 56

20 90 2003 5% 1 /3 2007 2008 20548 5003 2189 1602 Liu et al. 2014 1 Liu et al. 2014 1 2007-2008 57

2017. 3 20 90 90 80 2013 108 21 5% 2016 1 Campbell & Lee 2011 1865-1905 60% 1906-1952 60% 1953-1993 40% 1993-2014 50% 1, 58

1949 1949 1997 1425 59

2017. 3 1712 2013 2 2016 2013 2 60

1 2 1 2 ArcGIS 3 4 61

2017. 3 5 6 3 4 5 6 1996 224-225 2012 5 1938 62

1938 1 2 1941 20 40 1952 1952 1949 90% 2013 30-37 20 1 2,, : - 5861 ( 1), 63

2017. 3 7 1. 5% 10 2 1949 1949 20% 5% - 10% 2013 69-78 20 10 1952 2007 2008 7 8 58 1987-1999 2007-2008 64

8 2007 2008 58 4 1 5% 30% 2014 1865 Piketty 2014 65

2017. 3 20 80 2011 Karabel 2006 2009 5% 3 Pryor et al. 2010 The American Freshman National Norms Fall 2009 http / /www. heri. ucla. edu /PDFs /pubs /TFS /Norms /Monographs /TheAmericanFreshman2009. pdf 3 2009 1 1,,,,,,,,, (,2015: 285-296) 66

2006 12 150 150 1865-1905 > 70% 1906-1952 > 60% 1953-1993 40% 1994-2014 > 50% 67

2017. 3 2015 1952 20 68

1998 1911-1937 2011 1948 2015 2 2013 1949-2002 1913-1949 2015 2013 3 1997 1 2015 2006 1 2012 1999 2001 2003 2007 1996 1911-1929 2014 2016 5 23 http / /news. xinhuanet. com /local /2015-02 /17 /c_127503909. htm 69

2017. 3 2007 1912-1937 2016 5 2012 2007 6 2006 2014 2009 Apter David 1965 The Politics of Modernization. Chicago University of Chicago Press. Bourdieu Pierre 1996 /1989 The State Nobility Elite Schools in the Field of Power. Stanford California Stanford University Press. Campbell Cameron D. & James Z. Lee 2011 Kinship and the Long-term Persistence of Inequality in Liaoning China 1749-2005. Chinese Sociological Review 44 1. Ho Ping-ti 1962 The Ladder of Success in Imperial China Aspects of Social Mobility 1368-1911. New York Basic Books. Karabel Jerome 2006 The Chosen The Hidden History of Admission and Exclusion at Harvard Yale and Princeton. Boston Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Lipset Seymour Martin 1963 Political Man. Garden City N. Y. Anchor Books. Liu Limin Wolfgang Wagner Bettina Sonnenberg Xiwei Wu & Ulrich Trautwein 2014 Independent Freshman Admission and Educational Inequality in the Access to Elite Higher Education Evidence from Peking University. Chinese Sociological Review 46 4. Organski A. F. K. 1965 The Stages of Political Development. New York Knopf. Peerenboom Randall P. 2008 China Modernizes Threat to the West or Model for the Rest Oxford Oxford University Press. Piketty Thomas 2014 Capital in the 21st Century. Cambridge Harvard University Press. Polanyi Karl 1944 The Great Transformation The Political and Economic Origins of Our Time. New York Rinehart & Co. inc. Pryor John H. Sylvia Hurtado Linda DeAngelo Laura Palucki Blake & Serge Tran 2010 The American Freshman National Norms Fall 2009. Los Angeles Higher Education Research Institute at University of California Press. Rostow Walt W. 1971 Politics and the Stages of Growth. Cambridge Cambridge University Press. 70

sociology can contribute to the Chinese sociology and agricultural sociology at a global scale through communicating with other disciplines as well as taking an active role in shaping the agricultural civilization the national economy and people s livelihood. MONOGRAPHIC STUDY Social Transformation and Elitist Education Changes in the Social and Geographical Origins of China s Educated Elites 1865-2014 Liang Chen Dong Hao Ren Yunzhu & James Z. Lee 48 Abstract In the last thirty years Western scholars from Bourdieu 1989 /1998 to Karabel 2006 have gone to great length to document how in France and the United States national social and economic elites monopolize elite higher education. In China in contrast a system of elite examinations admits students from different social backgrounds. This paper uses a Big Historical Dataset that includes most imperial degree holders the majority of Republican university students and all undergraduate students from selected elite PRC universities to document how alterations in the examination system during the last 150 years have changed the social origins of successful degree candidates during four distinct periods 1865-1905 1906-1952 1953-2003 and 2004-2014. Our results suggest that while elite higher education largely reproduces social and economic elites elsewhere in the world in China the elite higher education is more independent and in fact produces new elites who contribute to a process of continuous transformation of the Chinese society. Threshold Dependent Inequality Caused by Education Expansion The Case of National College Entrance Examination Li Dai 71 Abstract Based upon National College Entrance Examination data of an undisclosed province in an undisclosed year this research uses the method of computation and simulation to examine the relation between higher education expansion and education inequality among geographical areas. It finds that under the assumption that the expansion is external and without interaction with persons education expansion causes inequality to rise before falling. That is expansion starting at a higher threshold causes 243