行政院大陸委員會第０００次委員會議　民國九十二年一月二十七日

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1 20041 總評 : 本期情勢整體而言 : 由近期胡錦濤主導中共中央政治局運作中央系列年度工作會議, 溫家寶初次應邀訪美操作外交議題, 如期召開, 顯示胡溫體制漸趨成熟預估年度經濟成長外貿成長穩定, 但外商實際直接投資流入減緩, 失業壓力依舊存在對外關係上 : 近期胡錦濤訪法國及溫家寶訪美, 除深化雙邊夥伴關係並凸出和平崛起的外交戰略思維, 表現出不尋求霸權積極和建設性地參與地區和國際事務共的武器禁運與美國貿易磨擦仍然未見解決跡象之形象惟中共與日本歷史問題之糾葛歐洲議會通過決議反對歐盟解除對中等問題 1,200 對臺工作方面 : 中共近期升高對我公投議題批判力道, 並迂迴經由美國日本法國等對我施壓 ; 同時在臺商三通包機議題上, 展現其細膩操作手法中共領導人首度會見臺商示好, 同時也表達反對臺獨分裂活動國臺辦記者會以發布三通政策說明書以交換條件允許兩岸春節包機等方式, 回應我方近期提出具操作性之主張, 中共仍對實現三通設置政治障礙, 並企圖歸責於我方 1

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12 3foreign repercussions foreign repercussions 1 foreign repercussions Dunn, R. M, & J.H. Mutti2000International Economics London: Routledge pp lindert, Peter H. & Thomas A.Pugel1996 International EconomicsChicago: IRWINpp Södersten, B. & Geoffrey Reed1994 International Economics London: The Macmillan Press LTDpp Hossain, A & Anis Chowdbury1996 Monetary and Financial Policies in Developing Countries: Growth and StabilizationLondon: Routledgepp.16-44pp

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行政院大陸委員會第０００次委員會議　民國九十二年一月二十七日

行政院大陸委員會第０００次委員會議　民國九十二年一月二十七日大陸情勢 2003 7 SARS SARS SARS 5 26 6 5 Evian G8 enlarged dialogue meeting SARS 5 19 WHO 1 政治 : 5 SARS 4 29 SARS SARS 5 SARS ( ) SARS SARS 3 28 4 2 10-15 4 4 24 26 SARS 4 28 7 1 82 SARS SARS 2 4 2 4 10-15

行政院大陸委員會第０００次委員會議 民國九十二年一月二十七日

行政院大陸委員會第０００次委員會議　民國九十二年一月二十七日