/ % % 7. 4% % 37. 3% 33. 2% 37. 8% Yip 2009

Transcription

1 20 5 World Economic Papers October, 20 * % Liu et al % Zweifel et al. 999 Yang et al Werblow et al * @ fudan. edu. cn 2009EJB %

2 / % % 7. 4% % 37. 3% 33. 2% 37. 8% Yip 2009

3 Hitiris and Posnett Gerdtham et al J nsson and Eckerlund Getzen 992 Barros 998 Mo se and Jacobzone 2003 Getzen 992 OECD 20 GDP Gerdtham et al. 992 OECD Hitiris and Posnett 992 Gerdtham et al. 998 OECD20 GDP OECD J nsson Eckerlund and OECD998 GDP 2003 Barros 998 OECD Roberts 999 OECD20 GDP Mo se and Jacobzone 2003 OECD 997 GDP 65 Di 2005 Matteo % 0. 3%

4 Christiansen al et OECD OECD OECD Gerdtham et al Gerdtham et al. 992 Hitiris and Posnett 992 Roberts 999 Christiansen et al Christiansen et al Di Matteo 2005 Grossman 972 Kenel expansion of morbidity Grunenberg 977 Zweifel et al. 999 Werblow et al Grossman 972 Newhouse GDP 90% Christiansen et al GDP GDP + Grossman 972

5 Di Matteo et al. 998 Ariste et al CT Newhouse /4 Okunade and Murthy 2002 R&D Cutler et al. 998 Christiansen et al WHO % 30 % Liu et al % 22% Yip Wagstaff et al % 00% % 70% 200 6% % % 7. 72% 9. 4% 7. 64% 9. 35% Newhouse % 70% 700%

6 % 8. 33% 7. 63% % % % %

7 GDP % GDP % GDP 2 SO 2 4 CEIC

8 GDP % SO % % % Di Matteo 2005 H = f Y A Z H Y GDP A Z Di Matteo 2005 Murthy 994 Okunade and Murthy 2002 R&D R&D

9 SO2 5 5 GDP GDP 4 GDP % % % Liu and Zhao 2006 Wagstaff and Lindelow 2008 Newhouse Gao et al CHNS %

10 ln ln GDP *** *** *** *** *** *** ln ** * *** * ln *** *** *** *** *** ** SO ** * *** ** *** ** *** *** ** *** *** ** *** * *** *** *** ** *** *** *** ** *** *** ***. 479 *** *** *** R GDP ***** * % 5% 0%

11 ln ln GDP *** *** *** *** ln ** ln *** *** ** * SO **. 54 * * *** *** *** *** 40 *** *** *** R GDP % % %

12 ln ln GDP *** *** ln ln ln ln ** *** ** SO * * *** *** *** R GDP % 0. 24% 0. 95% % 0. 23% 0. 25% WHO 2005 Liu et al. 2008

13 ln ln ln ** ** ln GDP ***. 066 *** ** ** ln ln ln *** *** * ** * * SO * * % ** ** % * * * R GDP % % GDP 4. 6% 50. 8% 3. 7% % 5. 7% GDP

14 % 25. 9% 40. 9% Di Matteo GDP % % % % % % 5. 7% 2 2 Matteo % 0. 3%

15 Anderson WerblowStefan Felder and Peter Zweifel 2007 Population Ageing and Health Care Expenditure A School of Red Herring' Health Economics Ariste R and Carr J New considerations on the Empirical Analysis of Health Expenditures in Canada Health Canada Health Policy Research Working paper Series Barros P. P. 998 The Black Box of Health Care Expenditure Determinants Health Economics Cutler D. M. McClellan MNewhouse J. P. and Remler D. 998 Are Medical Prices Declining Evidence from Heart Attack Treatments Quarterly Journal of Economics Gao JRaven J. H. and Tang S Hospitalisation among the Elderly in Urban China Health Policy GerdthamU. -G. and B. J nsson2000 International Comparisons of Health Expenditure TheoryData and Econometric Analysis Chapter in A. J. Culyer and J. P. NewhouseHandbook of Health EconomicsVol. AAmsterdam Elsevier. GerdthamU. -G. J. S gaardb. J nsson and F. Anderson992 A Pooled Crossed Section Analysis of the Health Expenditure of the OECD Countries in P. Zweifel and H. FrechHealth Economics WorldwideDordrecht Kluwer Academic Publishers. GetzenT. E. 992 Population Aging and the Growth of Health Expenditures Journal of gerontologysocial Sciences47 S GrossmanM. 972 On the Concept of Health Capital and the Demand for Health Journal of Political Economy GrunenbergE. M. 977 The Failure of Success Milbank Memorial Bank QuarterlyHealth Soc HitirisT. and J. Posnett992 The Determinants and Effects of Health Expenditure in Developed Countries Journal of Health Economics Hogan S2002 How Will the Ageing of the Population Affect Health Care Needs and Costs in the Foreseeable Future Discussion paper no. 25Commission on the future of health care in Canada. J nssonb. and I. Eckerlund2003 Why Do Different Countries Spend Different Amounts on Health Care Macroeconomic Analysis of Differences in Health Care Expenditure Chapter 6 in A Disease-based Comparison of Health Systems. What is best at what cost OECDParis. KenkelD. S. 994 The Demand for Preventive Medical Care Applied Economics Di Matteo L The Macro Determinants of Health Expenditure in the United States and Canada Assessing the Impact of IncomeAge Distribution and Time Health Policy Di Matteo L. and Di Matteo R. 998 Evidence on the Determinants of Canadian Provincial Government Health Expendi-

16 tures Journal of Health Economics Liu GG and Zhao Z Urban Employee Health Insurance Reform and the Impact on Out-of-pocket Payment in China The International Journal of Health Planning and Management LiuLingzhu and Anne Miles 999 Evaluating Payment Mechanisms How Can We Measure Unnecessary Care Health Policy and Planning Liu YRao KWu J and Gakidou E China's Health System Performance Lancet Mo sep. and S. Jacobzone 2003 Population AgeingHealth Expenditure and Treatment An ARD Perspective Chapter 0 in A Disease-based Comparison of Health Systems. What Is Best at What Cost OECDParis. Murthy NRV and Ukpolo V. 994 Aggregate Health Care Expenditure in the United States Evidence from Co-integration Tests Applied Economics Newhouse J. P. 977 Medical Care Expenditure A Cross-national Survey Journal of Human Resources Newhouse J. P. 987 Cross-national Differences in Health Spending What Do They Mean Journal of Health Economics Newhouse J. P. 992 Medical Care Costs How Much Welfare Loss Journal of Economic Perspectives Newhouse J. P. 200 Medicare Policy in the 990s NBER Working Paper 853. Okunade AA and Murthy VNR Technology as A Major Driver' of Health Care Costs A Cointegration Analysis of the Newhouse Conjecture Journal of Health Economics RobertsJ. 999 Sensitivity of Elasticity Estimates for OECD Health Care Spending Analysis of A Dynamic Heterogeneous Data Field Health Economics Terkel ChristiansenMickael BechJorgen LauridsenPascal Nielsen2006 Demographic Changes and Aggregate Healthcare Expenditure in Europe Enepri Research Report No. 32Ahead WP6B. WagstaffA. and Lindelow M Can Insurance Increase Financial Risk the Curious Case of Health Insurance in China Journal of Health Economics WagstaffA. W. YipM. Lindelow and WC. Hsiao 2009 China's Health System and Its Reform A Review Health Economics8S7-S23. World Health OrganizationOffice of Representative in China2005 China HealthPoverty and Economic Development Report prepared by the WHO's Macroeconomics and Health initiativebeijing. Yang ZNorton ED and Stearns SC2003 Longevity and Health Care Expenditure the Real Reasons Older People Spend More Journal of Gerontology Social Science58BS2-S0. Yip W Disparities in Health Care and Health Status the Rural-urban Gap and Beyond In One CountryTwo Societies Rural-Urban Inequality in contemporary ChinaWhyte M ed.. Harvard University Press CambridgeMA. ZweifelP. S. Felder and M. Meiers 999 Ageing of Population and Health Care Expenditure A Red Herring Health Economics