1978,, 30,,, 9%,,,, (1) : : 30( ),,, , 30,,, 5,,,, % % 1982, 5 5,, 1983,, ,, ,,,, 9,,,, 30, ,,

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胤璩库雅喇
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1 O ct Journa l of La tin Am er ican Stud ies Vol131No ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20089%, 2004 ; 2009 GDP 711%, 1992, %, , 116%, %, 6% 7%,,,, : :,,, (, ) 12,,,,, , , 20,,,,,,,, : 30 20, : 2008, http: / /www1stats1gov1cn : 2009 :, CEPAL, Estudio Econ m ico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe http: / /www1eclac1org/publica - ciones/ xm l/4 /36464 / EEE Mexico - F1pdf

1978,, 30,,, 9%,,,, (1) 119782007 : : 30(19782008),,, 2008 1, 30,,, 5,,,, 1978 28%1983 33% 1982, 5 5,, 1983,, 1978 1 5,, 4 1990,,,, 9,,,, 30,

2 1978,, 30,,, 9%,,,, (1) : : 30( ),,, , 30,,, 5,,,, % % 1982, 5 5,, 1983,, ,, ,,,, 9,,,, 30, ,, 6, 20 90,, 90, 1991,, 1997, 1978 (1), 7 7,, 1990, , , 7, , ,, 5,,, 3, 4, 13149%,, 1,, 2007 ;, 3 ; 10197%, 13

3 ( % ) : : 30( ),,, 2008,,,,,,,,,, , 10, , 4311%49%, 61998,, , 5, 51%5711%, , 61% ; , 39%2002,,, , 8, 7,, /3, ;, 2819% ,, 1998,, 1986, 202, 118% 1998, 2 580, 318% ; , 415%21,, 3%617%, , 2, 316% 519%, , , : 2008,,, 2008

4 212% 917% 1 /3, 30,,, ; ,, , 9 560,,, 1980,, ( 5013% ) (4917% ) 10, 24, 2417%, 2007, , 50%, (2),, , 69159, 3418%, 5111%3418%3% ; , 7414% %,, 115; 1012%, 8918% 3%4312%, 2007, ,,, 9419% ; , 216, 5%, 30, ,,,, 10 17, 7,, 8 (2) (2) 1990,, , IT, 1980,, 1721,, 2, , 21, ,, 19%, ,,, 3,, :,, 1980, 8143, 914% 90, , 6513% : (2) 2007 : 2008,,,

5 ( : ) : : 2008,,, : http: / /cys1mofcom1gov1cn / static /cv/m /cv1htm l/1 IT 2005, IT 90% (3) 4, 2008,, 2 /3, 4% 16 : http: / /cys1mofcom1gov1cn / static /cv/m /cv1htm l/ , (NAFTA),,

6 y el Caribe : http: / / www1custom s. gov1cn /publish /portal0 / tab2453 /module72494 / info ,, 1982, , , ,,, 1998, GDP , , ; GDP 713%513%, 2, , 1994NAFTA, GDP , , 21, , 317%, ,,,, GDP 2000,, GDP 313% 315% (3),,, GDP %23% 1994NAFTA, GDP 1982,, 7418%,,,, % %, NAFTA,, GDP,, 1990, %21,, %, 1815%, NAFTA 5, , 24%30%, 5 4,, 3,, 14 3 ( % ) : CEPAL, A nuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina 2008 : 2002,,, 2002, CEPAL, Anuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe 20081http: / /websie / ecalc1cl/ anuario _ estadistico /anuario _ 2008 / datos/ xls 17

3319%, 1982 41 1990, 1994NAFTA, 1018%,, 1998,, 514%21,, 2000 20 90, 10, 9, 1990, 10 6012%, 92613%90,, 9, 10 819%, 2003 1012%, 2007, 1318%, 1992,, 90 90, 1992 71%1999 1994, 10 4515%, 93417% 10, 10,

7 3319%, , 1994NAFTA, 1018%,, 1998,, 514%21,, , 10, 9, 1990, %, 92613%90,, 9, %, %, 2007, 1318%, 1992,, 90 90, % , %, 93417% 10, 10, 5712% 1018% 5,, 9 85%, 14 ;, %, % 1419%,,, , 10, 25%, 3816%, , 10, 9 NAFTA, 10, 8511%75% (5) , 1982,, 9 NAFTA, 10, , 10, 9 38%3715% : 2008 http: / /www1eclac1org,, NAFTA, (4), 18,, CEPAL, Anuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe 20081http: / /websie1eclac1cl/anuario _ estadistico /anuario _ 2008 / datos/ xls

8 ( % ) SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC SITC : ( SITC) : (33101) ; (7241) ( ) ; (7321) (), ; (73289) ; (72491) ; (7323) ( ) ; (7143) ; (7231) ; (7222) ( ) ; (7221) ; (0011) ; (0313) ; (0544) ; (0545) ; (0711) () ; (2631) ( ) ; (28311) ; (3320) ; (3411) ; (51252) ; (68111) ( ) ; (7115) ; (72499) ; (7293) () : CEPAL, A nuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe 20081,,,,,, 1978, 1992,,,, 30, 3, 20 80,,, 90,,, , 6, 1916%4213% ; 3, 19

9 6, 4517% 2001, IT,,, ,,,,,, 1982,, NAFTA,, , NAFTA,,, 21,,,,,,,, , 1215%21%,, , (5),,, 20, 5513% 5813%, , %,,,,, 30,, 1998, 19988,,, 20046,, 2010,, 20088,,, , (2005),,, 2010, :,, , 76 CEPAL, Anuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe http: / /websie1eclac1cl/anuario _ estadistico /anuario _ 2008 / datos/ xls :,, , 77 : 2008,,, 2008 : : ,, , 11 http: / / gys1ndrc1gov1cn / zcfg/ t _ htm http: / / gys1ndrc1gov1cn / zxghzl/ t _ htm

10 ( % ) : : : : ,, , ,,, , 35,,,, OECD, (,,,,, OECD, , ;,,, OECD (CS) (CC) ),,, 30,,,,,, 30,,, http: / / gys1ndrc1gov1cn / zxghzl/ t _ htm Jorge B ldzquez - L idoy, Javier Rodriguez and Javier Santiso, Angel or D evil? China s Trade Im pact on Latin Am erican Em erging M arkets, The V isible Hand of China in Latin America, OECD, 2007, p156, p1541 Sanjaya Lall and John W eiss, China and Latin America: Trade Competition , The V isible Hand of China in Latin Am erica, OECD, 2007, p

11 ,, , , , ,,, :,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 22,,,,,, 1. : : ,, :,, :,, :,, :,, :,, :,, :,, :, :, :,, :,, : 30( ),,, Javier Santiso, The V isble Hand of China in Latin Am erica, OECD, CEPAL, Estudio Econ m ico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe , M xico1 16. CEPAL, A nuario Estadistico de Am rica Latina y el Caribe ( ) http: / /www1mofcom1gov1cn / tongjiziliao / tongjiziliao1htm l

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