34 1 2010 1 Vol1 34, No1 1 January 2010 19 Population Research 3,, 2005 1 %,,,,,,, ; ;, :100871 Imp a c t s of Fl o a t i n g P op ul a t i o n o n Cu r r e n t F e r t i l i t y i n Chi n a Gu o Zhi g a n g Ab s t r a c t : S ocial c ha ng e ha s b e e n r e ma rka bly c ha r a c t e riz e d by g r e a t w a ve s of f lo a ting p op ula tion und e r e c onomic r ef o rm ove r t he la s t t hr e e d e c a d e s. How e ve r, it s e e ms uncle a r how t he f lo a ting p op ula tion ha ve ha d imp a c t s on f e r tilit y. B a s e d on d a t a f r om t he 2005 one p e r c e nt p op ula tion s a mpling s ur ve y, t he o b t aine d f e r tilit y r a t e s of f e male f lo a ting p op ula2 tion a r e muc h low e r t ha n t hos e of t heir non2f lo a ting c ount e rp a r t. Comp a ris on of f e r tilit y b e2 t w e e n t he t w o g r oup s a r e c a r rie d out f ur t he r by a g e p a t t e r n, by bir t h o r d e r, a s w ell a s by s t a t us of hous e hold r e gis t r a tion. The p ap e r c onclud e s t ha t f lo a ting move me nt do c ont ribut e t o f e r tilit y d e cline. Ke yw o r d s : Flo a ting Pop ula tion, Fe r tilit y, S t a t us of Hous e hold Re gis t r a tion Au t h o r : Guo Zhig a ng is P r of e s s o r, Dep a r t me nt of S ociology, Pe king Unive rsit y, B eijing 100871, China. Email : z guo @p ku. e du. c n 3 " " ( :08AR K001)
20 34 1 20 80,, 1995 8000 2000, 1 (,2006) 2005 1 %, 1. 47,, 15-39 70 %, 4. 5, 84 %(,2008a,2008b,2009),,,,, :2005 11. 9 %, 20 29 19. 8 %,?,,,,,,,,, (2006),,, ( ),,,,,,,,, ;
1 21,,, (2008),,,,,,,,, 2 2005 1 %, (R6) ( R7) ( R8),,, (2008a,2008b,2009),,,, 2005 1 %, 2005, 3 2005 1 % (2004 11 1 2005 10 20 ), 1,, 1. 137 1. 427,, 0. 29, 0. 13 0. 14 0. 03, 43. 5 % 47. 5 % 9. 1 %,,, ( MAC ;MAC Mean Age at Childbearing),,, 0. 53, 0. 88, 1. 02,,
22 34 1 2005 Table 1 Total Fertility Rate and Mean Age at Childbearing by Birth Order for Floating/ Non - Floating Females in 2005 1 2 3 + 1 2 3 + TFR 1. 427 0. 964 0. 400 0. 064 1. 137 0. 838 0. 262 0. 037 MAC 26. 37 24. 64 29. 71 31. 64 26. 66 25. 17 30. 59 32. 66 TFR 1. 635 1. 012 0. 535 0. 088 1. 188 0. 839 0. 304 0. 045 MAC 26. 32 24. 12 29. 64 31. 51 26. 48 24. 76 30. 33 32. 49 TFR 0. 895 0. 798 0. 090 0. 008 0. 934 0. 797 0. 126 0. 011 MAC 26. 84 26. 34 30. 77 33. 32 27. 70 26. 82 32. 69 34. 40 :2005 1 %, : TFR,MAC 1,,,,,, 1 2005 Figure 1 Fertility Rates by Age and Birth Order for Floating/ Non - Floating Females in 2005 :2005 1 %,,,,,
1 23 1, 1. 635, (!), 1. 188, 0. 45,!, 38. 8 % 51. 6 % 9. 6 %,,,, (0. 934) (0. 895),,, 1,,, 0. 6,, 0. 4,, 2,, 2,,, 1, (1. 19) (0. 934) (0. 895),, 1. 64, 2005 1 %, 36. 2 % 20 29, 43. 1 %( 3 ),,,, ( ),, 12. 7 % 20 29, 21. 2 %, ( )
24 34, 2005, 1. 438, 1. 371 0. 068, 4. 7 % (1. 635), 1. 545 0. 090, 5. 5 %,, 2 2005 Figure 2 Fertility Rates by Age and Registration Status for Floating/ Non - Floating Females in 2005 3 2005 Figure 3 Women s Composition by Age, Registration Status, and Floating/ Non - Floating Status in 2005,,,,,,,,,,,
1 25, 4 (2009) 2006,, 2005 1 %, 2005 2005 ( 1. 33 0. 89),, TFR,,,,,,,,,, 4, 31. 8 %, 22. 4 % 9. 4 4, 20,, ( 4 ), 4 Figure 4 Age Composition and Percent Single by Age for Floating/ Non - Floating Women, ( TMFR) ( 2 ),, 3. 361, 3. 182,
26 34,,, 20. 3 %, 5. 3 %,, 2 2005 Table 2 Total Married Fertility Rate by Birth Order for Floating/ Non - Floating Females in 2005 1 2 3 + 3. 361 2. 765 0. 524 0. 072 3. 182 2. 797 0. 343 0. 042 5,, 15 16,,, 4, 100 %,,2005 1 %,,,, 20 : 2. 16, 1. 77 5 Figure 5 Fertility Rates of the Married by Age for Floating/ Non - Floating Females, 15 1. 5,16 4. 2
1 27 5,, ;,,,, 15,, 2. 7, 2. 7 1,?, (2009) 2006,, 2005 1 %,,, 2005 1 %,,, 3 1. 189, 1. 392 TFR ( 1. 137 1. 427),, 4, TFR 3 2005 Table 3 Total Fertility Rate Adjusted by Marital Status for Floating/ Non - Floating Females in 2005 : - 1. 392 1. 189-0. 203 1. 603 1. 250-0. 354 0. 897 0. 931 0. 034 :
28 34 3, (1. 603) (1. 635), (1. 189) (1. 188),,, ( 6 ) 6 Figure 6 Percent Single by Age and Registration Status for Floating/ Non - Floating Women, :, 5,,, 2005 1 %,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
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