ISSN 1994-9766 NCC NEWS 6 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION 第10卷 第2期 月號 中華民國105年6月出刊 http://www.ncc.gov.tw 頭條故事 NCC10周年國際論壇 What's the Media next 紀實 專欄話題 我國資料經濟產業推動構想 鳥瞰人工智慧與大數據分析 通傳展望 2G/3G/4G行動通訊發展趨勢分析 通訊傳播事業員工性別分布狀況 國際瞭望 2015年ITU衡量資訊社會報告
NCC NEWS 105 6 10 2 CONTENTS 01 NCC10 What's the Media next 06 14 Share Open Economy 19 2G/3G/4G 24 29 2020 2015 ITU 36 886-2-3343-8798 10052 50 www.ncc.gov.tw 886-2-2365-0908 - 104 209 1 886-2-2518-0207 32 3 886-4-2221-0237 1102 www.ncc.gov.tw GPN 2009600628 ISSN 1994-9766 NCC News http://www.ncc.gov.tw/chinese/vote.aspx?site_content_ sn=378 100 96.4.28
HEADLINE NEWS NCC10 What's the Media next NCC 105 2 18 19 2 10 What's the Media next NCC International Institute of Communications, IICAndrea Millwood Hargrave Ericsson Magnus Ewerbring 3 2 NCC 1 Magnus EwerbringAndrea Millwood Hargrave NCC NCC NCC NCC International Institute of Communications, IIC Andrea Millwood Hargrave IIC Andrea Ericsson Magnus Ewerbring 6 01
NCC NCC NCC 21 3 NCC Jerry Power 19 20 21 C C 20 02 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION NCC NEWS
2015 11.1 4 IoT/Big Data IoT Acceleration Consortium SDN software-defined networks 10 30 Andrea Millwood Hargrave NCC IIC 1970 1969 4 6 03 HEADLINE NEWS
NCC NEWS IIC Intermedia media literacy digital literacy Communications literacy convergence literacy C Commercialism Andrea 5 IIC Andrea Millwood 4 1. 2. 3. 4. empowerment 3C 1.content 2. contact 3. conduct Ericsson Magnus Ewerbring Magnus Ewerbring 100 2000 10 25 2010 50 15 2020 260 500 04 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
6 Ericsson Magnus Ewerbring 34 84% 76% bundle 14% 63% 16-24 1,900 5006 1 1 IoT IoT 1 IoT 2 FCC Google CCA 2 Dr. Ewerbring Ericsson Andrea Hargrave sharing Google Netflix 5 10 6 05 HEADLINE NEWS
NCC NEWS Big Data McKinsey 2011 Big data: The next frontier for innovation, competition, and productivity 2,500 IDC International Data Corporation 2014 2 6 4.0 06 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COLUMN STORY 68 30 1 2015 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. 2. 3. 4. 101 11 104 12Open Data 1 Open Data Alliance, ODA Open Data 104 10 2 6 07
104 5 3 Insight 104 12 105 3 NICI Hadoop2.0 YARN Spark 4 IT 08 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION NCC NEWS
3 CNS29100 CNS29191 ISO29101 ISO 27001 CNS29191 ISO27001 ISO27017 ISO27018 ISO CNS29100 5 2015 5 2 105 2 NICI 97% 4 3 5 NICI 38 6 09 COLUMN STORY
NCC NEWS 7 2015 6 Enabler Data Economy 8 IEK 2015 platform provider Data broker Analytics platform Visualization 10 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COLUMN STORY Crowdsourcing Consultation Service 9 4 9 IEK 2015 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. 2. 3. 4. 10 2015 Business Intelligence, BI Data Science Program, DSP A B Testing 6 11
NCC NEWS POC POS POB 11-2015 PPP Socrota 12 2015 Big Data Landscape 1.0~3.0 2011~2015 Data Science Crowd Sourcing 13 2015 3rd Pary Gartner 12 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COLUMN STORY 97.67% 14 2015 Big Data as a Service Joint Venture PPP 4.0 Data Market or Data as a Service OpenAPI 6 13
NCC NEWS Share Open Economy 2006 Google BigTable Linux wiki Hadoop Github Git Amazon Yahoo Hadoop MapReduce Yarn Spark 1 Hadoop Data Lake Hadoop Enterprise 2 IT IT 1 Python R Scikit Learn Kaggle 2 Rapidminer Knime 3Microsoft Azure Amazon Web Service Coding Citizen Data Scientist 40% 30% 21 16 4 95% 65% 4 4 when A.I. meets A.I. Artificial Intelligence & Artificial Insemination Machine Learning 8 14 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COLUMN STORY Dew Point Open Data Taxi & Limo 2013 1 7 GPS 20GB Hackathon Data Ethics 31 2 3 Data Science 50 50 Descriptive Analytics Predictive Analytics Correlation vs. Causation Prescriptive Analytics TicketMaster Hackathon Data Economy 1 2 3 4 6 15
1 2 3 4 Michael Sandel 4 4 Issac Asimov 1942 2058 3 1 2 3 Robocar TESLA Elon Musk 20 TESLA 725 40 Bottom-Up 24 16 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION NCC NEWS
7-24 Timing 3 Kahn Academy 13 pttjpg Youtube IT Recommender System Amazon NetFlix Google App 6 17 COLUMN STORY
NCC NEWS B2B2C Airbnb Uber yelp eztable AppsC B FB App App App FB Matrix Factorization Surprise Me Serendipity 311 Google AlphaGo Microsoft Tay Conscience Window Prescriptive Analytics Business Model Beat the Odds 18 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COMMUNICATION PROSPECTS 2G/3G/4G 87 2G 18 2G 3G 4G 3G3G 94 3G 133 5.85% 3G98 2G 103 6 2,611 111.61% 4G4G 103 3G 4G 1 104 1,157 49.27% 2G 3G 4G 12 ARPU 20 2G/3G/4G 2G2G 87 87 2G473 21.56%92 8 2,529 112.07% 1 2G/3G/4G 2G 92 8 2,530 112.14% 1 2G 6 19
NCC NEWS 92 93 ARPU 2 93 94 2,121 93.14% 3G 4G 104 92,951 125.73% 104 12 2,937 125.02% 1 2G/3G/4G 2G 3G 4G sum 87 21.56% 21.56% 88 52.24% 52.24% 89 80.24% 80.24% 90 96.55% 96.55% 1,890 94 2,050 94 ARPU 9294 3G 2G 3G 3G98 2G 3G 98 2G 102 1,990 103 4G 104 3G 1,240 2G 4G 4G 4G 4G 103 100 104 890 105 3G 94 2,120 2,100 101 2,240 91 106.15% 106.15% 92.8 112.07% 0.08% 112.14% 92.12 111.00% 0.49% 111.49% 93 94.88% 2.02% 96.91% 94 87.29% 5.85% 93.14% 95 80.71% 14.99% 95.70% 96 69.29% 30.12% 99.40% 97 54.96% 49.02% 103.98% 98 42.27% 68.39% 110.66% 99 35.36% 80.88% 116.24% 100 30.94% 89.82% 120.76% 101 25.73% 97.26% 122.99% 102.8 21.07% 102.52% 123.59% 102.12 17.99% 105.98% 123.97% 103.6 13.62% 111.61% 0.44% 125.68% 103.12 10.23% 100.09% 14.72% 125.04% 104.9 5.58% 80.37% 39.79% 125.73% 104.12 4.34% 71.41% 49.27% 125.02% 2G 2,52992 2G 1,988 94 92 2 2G/3G/4G 12 ARPU 2G ARPU 2G 92 12 ARPU 640 94 12 ARPU 83492 94 ARPU 2G 12 ARPU 3G 3 12 ARPU 280 3G ARPU 3G 94 12 ARPU 992 3G 2G4G 102 12 686 4G 104 12 ARPU 453 20 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COMMUNICATION PROSPECTS 4G ARPU 4G 103 12 ARPU 1,08894 3G12 ARPU 992 104 12 ARPU 8782G 3G ARPU 4G ARPU ARPU 94 12 2G 3G ARPU 844 2G 3G ARPU 103 12 4G ARPU 3G ARPU ARPU 2G 4G 3G 104 4G 3G 4G 3G 101 430 2G106 6 3G 107 4G 3 2G/3G/4G 12 ARPU 12 ARPU 12 12 4 2G/3G/4G 2G 2G2G 2G 94257 3G 3G 98 2G 3G 972G 3G 3G3G 3G 102 WhatsApp 98 8 LINE 100 6 3G 4G 4G103 2G 4G 2G 4G 2 (data GBytes) 2G 2G 3G 4G sum sum 91 1,824 1,824 92 8,047 102 8,149 346.69% 93 13,677 514 14,191 74.14% 94 18,485 20,375 38,860 173.84% 95 15,163 387,876 403,039 937.15% 96 12,790 2,272,252 2,285,042 466.95% 97 12,815 9,229,663 9,242,479 304.48% 98 12,419 27,478,017 27,490,436 197.44% 99 17,030 54,073,171 54,090,201 96.76% 100 19,144 95,819,816 95,838,961 77.18% 101 17,380 184,725,627 184,743,007 92.76% 102 16,899 384,901,717 384,918,616 108.35% 103 8,939 632,784,544 68,632,837 701,426,320 82.23% 104 4,361 579,462,946 827,058,028 1,406,525,335 100.52% 6 21
NCC NEWS 3G 4G 96 3G 103 4G 104 3G 4G 1,792 3G 4G 63.21% 96 119 3G3G 17.25%104 18.4% 99 100 99 iphone 4 7 3G 4G 8 3G 4G 5 3G 4G 3G 4G 12 3G 4G 12 ARPU 12 ARPU 3G 4G 12 ARPU 3G 4G 12 ARPU 100 ARPU ARPU 6 3G 4G 3G 4G 96 2.87% 104 45.33% 3G 4G 18.36% 3G 4G 9 3G 4G 12 ARPU 3G 4G 12 ARPU 1 12 ARPU 12 12 3G 4G 2 12 ARPU 1212 22 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COMMUNICATION PROSPECTS 10 3G 4G ARPU 3G 4G 3G 96 0.21 GB 104 5.41 GB 4G 1033G 104 9.11 GB 2G 3G 4G 2G 3G 4G 3G 3G 4G 11 3G/4G 3G 4G 1 122 12 3G/4G 6 23
NCC NEWS 103 6 104 9 54,37133,54820,823 100 104 100 41.5% 103 44.0% 104 43.9% 104 9 44.4% 101 36.1% 103 35.0% 10436.2% 5 (44.4% 1 10425 64 25 64 4 20.5% 28.1% 55 6428.1% 25 54 25 54 321.7% 40.6% 35 44 40.6 25 34 27.6 55 64 5.0% 45 48.7 26.9 24 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COMMUNICATION PROSPECTS 55 64 23.0% 35 44 23.4% 25 34 35 44 102 25 34 103 10435 44 2 104-3 104-75% 20.2 7.5% 12.7 100 104 100 18.8% 104 23.1% 104 5 76.2% 104 5 14.8% 100 104 1 - % 104 103 102 101 100 18.3 18.6 17.8 18.5 19.0 17.6 19.1 19.8 18.0 19.9 20.2 19.3 20.2 20.6 19.4 61.5 58.3 67.0 61.2 58.1 66.8 63.0 59.8 68.8 63.4 60.4 68.7 63.6 60.6 69.0 20.2 23.1 15.2 20.3 22.9 15.5 17.9 20.4 13.2 16.8 19.4 12.1 16.2 18.8 11.6 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1 2 6 25
NCC NEWS 2 - % 104 103 102 101 100 23.3 30.0 14.8 23.8 29.7 16.3 24.6 31.3 15.7 24.6 29.8 17.4 26.8 33.3 17.6 69.2 63.7 76.2 68.3 63.4 74.5 67.4 62.0 74.7 68.2 63.9 74.1 65.9 60.5 73.4 7.5 6.3 8.9 7.8 6.8 9.2 7.9 6.7 9.5 7.2 6.3 8.5 7.3 6.2 9.0 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1 2 104 32.3 20.2% 15.6% 28.1% 25.5% 23.7% 9.3% 5.3% 31.3 25.3% 46.7 20.1% 5 104 4 104 26.4% 48.2% 6 104 26 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
COMMUNICATION PROSPECTS 104 9 46,063 60,350 76.3 * 14,287 104 82.8% 88.0% 104 64,394 49,449 1.3 104 83.6% 85.4% 103 3 100 61,373 81.2 49,860 85.6 101 61,803 86.2 48,581 81.2 102 62,727 81.5 50,484 85.6 103 62,980 82.6 49,702 86.5 104 64,394 83.6 49,449 85.4 100 57,992 85.4 46,245 74.3 101 57,745 84.6 45,896 75.6 102 59,978 84.3 46,211 80.3 103 59,998 84.9 45,273 78.2 104 60,066 86.2 46,952 75.0 100 59,996 80.4 49,260 83.9 101 60,158 87.2 49,566 82.8 102 63,843 80.0 49,757 87.0 103 61,483 80.6 47,934 86.4 104 63,442 83.2 47,943 86.1 100 72,276 87.6 70,779 86.2 101 72,833 90.9 69,683 83.4 102 79,216 90.5 73,511 84.9 103 71,291 90.4 67,990 87.8 104 73,792 89.0 66,753 90.1 104 7.8 7.7 8.3 0.6 6 27
NCC NEWS 8 17.9 8.6 9.3 104 104 7 4 104 103 102 101 100 104 103 102 101 100 104 103 102 101 100 15.4 15.9 15.5 15.9 15.1 17.2 17.6 17.1 17.7 16.8 12.5 13.0 12.8 12.8 12.3 17.9 18.6 17.9 17.6 17.2 19.7 20.2 19.5 19.5 18.9 14.8 15.8 14.9 14.4 14.2 8.6 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.0 9.4 9.8 9.2 9.4 8.9 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.7 5 100 104 104 0.1% 43.9% 1.2% 36.2% 44.4% 55 6435 44 35 44 55 6435 44 5.3% 5.8% 9.3% 10.5% 81.4% 84.6% 4.3 4.9 5 103 104 * = *100 28 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
GLOBAL OUTLOOK 2020 2015 ITU ITU CISMr. Orozobek KaiykovAsia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, APEC The APEC Telecommunications and Information Working Group, TEL 2015 11 30APEC2015 Measuring the Information Society Report 2015 1. 10 2271 2.3G 2011 2015 45% 69% 3. 5 835 4. 2015 40% 5.2015 81 1 6 29
NCC NEWS ITU 2020 1. ITU 2020 1 1.1 2020 55% 1.2 2020 60% 1.3 2020 40% 2 2.1.A 2020 50% 2.1.B 2020 15% 2 1.3 2020 40% 2.2.A 2020 50% 2.2.B 2020 20% 2.3.A 2020 40% 2.3.B 2020 5% 2.4 2020 90% 3 2.5.A 2020 2.5.B 2020 3 3.1 2020 40% 3.2 2020 50% 3.3 2020 30% 22 2.1 2020 50% 15% 50% 45% 15% 11% 4 4.1 4.2 2. 1 1 1.2 2020 60% 2020 53% 4 2015 30 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
GLOBAL OUTLOOK 2.2 2020 50% 20% 50% 46% 20% 16% ICT Development Index, IDI 3 11 167 2010 2015 5 2015 2.4 2020 90% 3G 1.IDI CIS 6 2015 3G 3. 7 2015IDI IDI 6 31
NCC NEWS CIS IDI 8 2010 2015 IDI CIS 9 CISIDI 2.2015 IDI 10 2010 2010 2015IDI IDI 32 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
GLOBAL OUTLOOK IDI IDI 10 IDI 11 12 20132014 2014 13 14 6 33
NCC NEWS 15 CIS 17 IoT 1. IP 16 18 34 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
GLOBAL OUTLOOK 2. 2020 260 1,000 3. 1 40% 60% 2 > > > > 19 6 35
NCC NEWS 105.5.1-105.5.31 5 7 441 4 6537 18 105 5 4 73 77 77 5 7 105 5 11 363 4 6538 21 5 7 385 4 6539 28 4 105 5 18 36 NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION
NCC LOCOMOTION 105 5 18 5 7 390 4 6540 26 4 105 5 25 6 37
01489 1 1 0 2 ISSN : 1994-9766 1005250 886-2-33437377 http://www.ncc.gov.tw GPN 2009600628 100