16 16.1 16.1.1 2002 3 12km 5 16.1.3 16.1.2 1 16.1.1 5km CCTV 16-1
S310 1.5 S310 20 7km 10 S310 2.5km 3 S310 21 22 16.1.1-1.5 130km 2 S310 100m - 180m 151 23 JICA 20 G315 21 22 S310 23 6-8 2 16-2
2 33 km 2 100m - 200m 100m - 140m 2.8ha S310 7km 12km 3 100m - 180m 2ha S310 200m 700m 24 48ha 5km 24 16-3
G315 S310 G315 e. JICA 16.1.1 16.1.3 1 a 1 2 16-4
b 3 3200m SIT SIT CCTV 3200 m 2 151 5-8 25 26 27 25 13-14m/ 26 2430-3330 56-76 27 3040 3000 16-5
2 3 151 2 16.1.2 a. b. c. d. e. JICA f. 16.1.2 c - / - 1 2-180 / - 1 2 16-6
2 /- 1 2 / - 1 2 1 2 SIT 2 2 a 6 16.1.3 c. d. e. a. f. b. 16.1.3 16-7
b 1 2 3 3 16-8
28 3 2001 SIT 28 16-9
4 5 1040 16-10
6 6.1 310 2006 5.6km 7.5m2002 3 1 2 3 4km 4km 4 4km 6.2 6.3 6 / 6.4 2004 2 715 /4km 1900 / 6.5 2004 715 /2.7km GB98978-1996 1 3000 1700 16-11
6.6 6.7 4700kw/ 6.8 530 1 200 16.2 16.2.1 8.7 16.2.1 16-12
16-13 16.2.1 0 170000 22500 90000 125000 225000 8750 50000 156250 535000 691250 0 22500 0 20000 0 41250 0 0 0 83750 83750 22500 100000 0 40000 37500 100000 0 20000 60000 260000 320000 50000 50000 80000 80000 150000 160000 50000 50000 330000 340000 670000 22500 292500 22500 150000 162500 366250 8750 70000 216250 878750 1095000 0 1304 173 690 959 1726 67 384 1199 4104 5303 0 173 0 153 0 316 0 0 0 642 642 173 767 0 307 288 767 0 153 461 1994 2455 288 288 460 460 863 921 288 288 1899 1957 3856 460 2532 633 1611 2110 3730 355 825 3558 8698 12256 JICA
16.2.2 5 16.2.2 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 16.2.2 18.25ha 284.38ha 1 16.34ha 47.65ha 2 1.91ha 236.73ha 1. 13.52ha 42.87ha 1.1 m 2 m 2 116000 370000 1.1.1 3 250-300 3-4 116000 330000 1.1.2 40000 1.1.3 30% 191500 1.2 m 2 m 2 8900 40200 1.2.1 300 1000 1.2.2 1000 3000 1.2.3 Optional tour 300 1000 1.2.4 2800 4000 1.2.5 4500 6000 1.2.6 5000 1.2.7 20000 1.2.8 200 1.2.9 30% 6500 1.3 m 2 m 2 6200 8000 1.3.1 100 300 1.3.2 400 1100 1.3.3 600 1700 1.3.4 1700 4900 1.3.5 1700 4900 16-14
1.3.6 3 3200 1.3.7 1700 4900 1.3.8 6400 1.3.9 20 1.3.10 30% 4000 1.4 m 2 m 2 4100 10500 1.4.1 100 300 1.4.2 400 1100 1.4.3 900 2600 1.4.4 900 2600 1.4.5 900 2600 1.4.6 900 1300 1.4.7 30% 4500 1.5 m 2 m 2 400 190500 1.5.1 200 400 1.5.2 200 400 1.5.3 5.8 / 12000 1.5.4 1884 / 6000m 715 / 2000 4000m 1.5.5 1696 / 6000m 400 / 4000 2700m 1.5.6 94640m 2 70 1.5.7 4624 kw/ 250 1.5.8 1000 1.21200 500 1.5.7 30% 8160 2. 2.82ha 4.78ha 2.1 m 2 m 2 28155 47813 2.1.1 20475m 2 15300m 2 32 48000 190000 2.1.2 30000 2.1.3 50000 2.1.3 30% 50000 16-15
3 1.27ha 233.13ha 3.1 m 2 m 2 3630 19800 3.1.1 650 3300 3.1.2 390 2000 3.1.3 1810 9100 3.1.4 780 2800 3.1.5 120000 3.1.6 1300 3.1.7 / 1300 3.1.8 30% 7400 3.2 m 2 m 2 9100 2311500 3.2.1 4km 2300000 3.2.2 500 10000 3.2.3 300 1500 3.2.4 3m100m 300 3.2.5 2m4000m 8000 3.2.6 30% 0 4. 0.62ha 2.80ha 4.1 m 2 m 2 6210 28000 4.1.1 340 1700 4.1.2 2570 12900 4.1.3 1540 7700 4.1.4 2570 12900 4.1.5 860 3100 4.1.6 50000 4.1.7 / 510 600 4.1.8 900 2600 4.1.9 500m 1000m 6 30000 4.1.10 4000ml2mw 8000 4.1.11 30% 9600 16-16
5. 0.02ha 0.80ha 5.1 m 2 m 2 200 7950 5.1.1 4900 5.1.2 100 500 5.1.3 100 500 5.1.4 20 5.1.5 1000ml2mw 2000 5.1.6 50 5.1.7 30% 500 JICA 16.2.3 16.2.1 3 16.2.2 16.2.3 16.2.4 1. 2. 3. 16-17
16.2.1 16-18
16-19 图 16.2.2 沙岛入口地区概况设计 中华人民共和国青海省环西宁圈综合旅游开发规划调查最终报告书
16.2.3 16-20
16.2.4 16.2.4 16.2.3 9.19 1.75 6.40 0.57 0.46 16.2.5 2 A 0.45 B 0.87 16-21
16.2.3 A 0.57 8.62 0.0 9.19 6.2% 93.8% 0.0% 100.0% B 1.03 7.76 0.40 9.19 11.2% 84.4% 4.4% 100.0% 16.2.4 1 2 3 73935 91891 - A. 66205 81569 - B. 3707 5681 - C. 4023 4641-1. 64470 80764-1.1 50786 64042 2007m 1.2 4494 5409 2007m 1.3 3170 3994 2008m 1.4 1300 1638 2008m 1.5 4720 5681 2007m 2. 2576 3101-2.1 2576 3101 2007m 3 2435 2930-3.1 1988 2392 2007m 3.2 447 538 2007m 4. 2618 3151-4.1 2618 3151 2007m 5. 538 647 27 5.1 538 647 2007m 6. 1299 1299 1 2 2% 5% 5% 5% 3) fm JICA 16-22
16.3 16.3.1 1 2 2010 15 30 16.3.2 16.3.1 2010 202.9 45.2 16.5 2010 264.6 926.2 2010 2015 1323.1 JICA 16-23
16.3.3 1040 3 4 5 1 16.3.2 3 1040 8 4050% 29 36 200 /220 30 75%35 50 85%60 20 50%25 2010 5211.8 2010 17720.1 2015 45218.0 JICA 2 16.3.3 2010 1963.2 885.7 1020.1 2010 3869.0 14015.8 2010 2015 33155.8 JICA 16.3.4 16-24
16.3.4 m 2 Optional tour 300 2800 4500 7600 JICA 1 500 /m 2 16.3.5 2010 125.0 425.0 843.9 Optional tour 15.0 51.0 97.5 125.0 425.0 812.5 125.0 425.0 812.5 JICA 2 16-25
16.3.6 2010 1.8 21.0 33.8 56.6 - - - - - - - - 2010 1.8 21.0 33.8 56.6 6.3 73.5 105.0 197.9 9.0 105.0 168.8 282.8 JICA 16.3.5 8 58 58 20 16.3.7 1 5 1.1 5.1 1.2 5.2 1.3 5.3 1.4 5.4 1.5 5.5 1.6 5.6 2 5.7 2.1 5.8 2.2 6 2.3 6.1 2.4 6.2 2.5 6.3 2.6 6.4 2.7 6.5 2.8 6.6 2.9 7 2.10 7.1 3 7.2 3.1 7.3 3.2 7.4 3.3 7.5 3.4 7.6 16-26
3.5 7.7 3.6 10 / 7.8 3.7 7.9 / 4 7.10 4.1 7.11 4.2 8 4.3 8.1 4.4 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 JICA 1 3.6 8.7 50% 16.3.8 2010 1 8 8700 9755.5 32879.6 1.1 30 2505.6 8268.5 26857.1 1.2 35%15 438.5 1447.0 6022.5 2 8 3500 4553.7 15158.0 2.1 50 1680.0 3612.0 11141.8 2.3 35%25 294.0 632.1 2785.5 2.8 30 30 144.0 309.6 1230.8 3 8 840.0 3,500 30 1848.0 8022.1 5 8 1680.0 5200 6795.4 18864.3 5.2 3 20 4 10 499.2 1647.4 5690.9 5.3 2 25 312.0 1029.6 2634.7 5.4 5%50 15%30 20%10 549.1 1812.1 4637.0 16-27
2010 5.6 10%50 20%10 349.4 1153.2 2950.8 5.7 10%50 20%10 349.4 1153.2 2950.8 6 1487.8 4395.7 6.2 5%80 199.7 609.0 1406.6 7 8 7000 9991.8 32673.1 7.2 35%35 30%20 1461.6 4457.9 15530.2 35%10 7.3 2 25 336.0 1024.8 2623.0 7.4 15%10 100.8 307.4 983.6 7.5 550 15%30 604.8 1844.6 5901.7 20%10 7.6 10%20 134.4 409.9 1311.5 7.8 5%50 20%30 571.2 1742.2 5573.8 7.9 / 1%100 67.2 205.0 749.4 8 2600 1688.4 4138.0 8.2 15 474.5 1447.2 3275.7 8.3 25%10 79.1 241.2 862.3 36120.6 86539.1 JICA 2 16-28
16.3.9 2010 1 113.9 92.3 204.9 411.1 1419.2 4159.2 2 136.1 160.8 206.5 503.4 1170.2 3540.7 3 54.5 64.7 55.0 174.2 435.5 1619.7 4 79.4 6.5 0.0 85.9 300.5 429.3 5 50.2 79.1 547.9 677.2 2313.9 6483.2 6 22.4 43.1 30.0 95.5 334.0 989.0 7 102.9 100.1 823.8 1026.8 3192.4 10106.1 8 18.8 12.4 30.1 61.3 173.1 521.2 578.2 559.0 1898.2 3035.4 9338.8 27848.4 JICA 16.3.6 16.3.10 5.46 2.40 16.24 6.19 21.70 8.59 JICA 16.4 16.4.1 16-29
-1-2 -1-2 16.4.1 20 3 / 3 2 3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 150 40 40 120 40 40 120 100 30 30 80 20 20 60 40 40 350 280 630 10 10 240 120 360-3 -3 DVD DVD 50 10 10 20 10 10 20 10 10 90 60 150-4 -5-6 -7-8 -4-1 -1-2 -3-1234 TV 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 120 120 120 100 100 100 80 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 40 50 90 5 10 25 35 60 80 80 460 440 900 120 120 480 600 1080 30 30 120 150 270-9 -10-11 -4-5 - 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 710 450 450 570 425 420 530 60 60 240 300 540 5 5 25 25 50 20 20 110 100 210 390 395 2180 2160 4340 16-30
16-31
16.5 1 2 100 6 / 3 9 3 60 3 OJT 3 100 2 1 16-32
16.5.1 16.5.2 16.5.1 2007-2011 / 3.0 5.0 12.5 0.5 6.0 6.0 20.5 JICA 16.5.2 2012-2015 / 3.0 5.0 8.0 JICA 2007 2011 3.0 5.0 12.5 20.5 2012 3.0 5.0 8.0 2 47.34 2004 90.6 47.34 52.66 80 3 300 47.34 3787 16-33
16.5.3 2004 /1 ha/ /ha / /ha 3625.45 0.87 1.15 96.9% 1.11 22.59 0.73 1.37 353.3% 4.84 121.03 0.78 1.28 231.2% 2.96 258.81 0.92 1.09 190.6% 2.07 322.17 0.49 2.04 116.6% 2.38 370.87 0.91 1.10 178.4% 1.96 2529.98 0.91 1.10 52.9% 0.58 JICA - 80 3 300 8000-47.348000 47.343787 8000ha - 8000ha 80 38.65ha 207.0-2.07 ha38.65ha207.0 16561-1.09 ha38.65ha207.0 8720 - -7841 300 3-784100 - -784100 207.0-3788 3 16.6 IEE 16-34
24 B 16.6.1 16.6.1 8 A 3 EIA 10 B 16.6.1 1 C 2 C 3 B 4 B 5 C 6 B 7 B 8 C 9 C 11 C 18 C 12 C 13 B 14 A 15 A 16 C 17 A 19 B 20 B 21 B 22 B 23 B 25 B AEIA B C 16-35
16.6.2 1. 2. 4 2001 1 3. 16.5 - - - 4. 16-36
5. 6. 16.5 7. 8. 9. 10. 16-37
11. 12. 13. 14. 715 / 1185 / EIA EIA 15. 16.1.1 16-38
EIA EIA 16. 17. 2002 15. 15. 18. 19. 16-39
20. 21. 22. 10. 21. 23. 20. 24. 25. 10. 21. 16-40
16.6.3 3 A 3 A 3 EIA 16.6.2 16.7 16.7.1 16-41
16.7.1 2006 20007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1. 2470.5 1248.7 1497.2 5216.4 0.0 2672.8 4670.9 5164.0 5410.2 6847.9 7638.2 8307.1 9038.0 9836.9 17917.9 41668.1 59586.0 1.1 1963.2 1.2 113.9 1.3 136.1 1.4 54.5 1.5 202.9 885.7 1020.1 3869.0 0.0 2357.8 3716.0 3869.0 4073.0 5194.0 5678.2 6210.8 6796.7 7441.1 14015.8 31320.7 45336.5 92.3 173.2 379.4 0.0 182.7 361.1 379.4 391.5 538.3 766.0 816.0 866.0 916.0 1314.7 3902.4 5217.1 160.8 232.3 529.2 0.0 0.0 242.1 476.8 506.9 623.8 682.9 747.9 819.4 898.0 1225.7 3772.1 4997.8 64.7 55.0 174.2 0.0 0.0 87.1 174.2 174.2 227.1 246.5 267.8 291.3 317.1 435.5 1349.8 1785.2 45.2 16.5 264.6 0.0 132.3 264.6 264.6 264.6 264.6 264.6 264.6 264.6 264.6 926.2 1323.1 2249.3 2. 79.4 6.5 0.0 85.9 0.0 42.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 300.5 429.3 729.8 2.1 79.4 6.5 0.0 85.9 0.0 42.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 300.5 429.3 729.8 3. 72.6 122.2 838.2 1032.9 0.0 445.1 927.6 1032.9 1103.0 1587.3 1781.9 2000.9 2247.3 2524.5 3508.7 10141.9 13650.6 3.1 50.2 79.1 808.2 937.5 0.0 397.4 832.2 937.5 1007.6 1433.1 1608.5 1805.9 2027.8 2277.6 3174.7 9152.9 12327.6 4. 102.9 100.1 878.3 1081.2 0.0 496.3 854.1 958.6 1063.0 1650.8 1844.0 2061.3 2305.7 2580.7 3372.0 10442.5 13814.5 4.1 102.9 100.1 878.3 1081.2 0.0 496.3 854.1 958.6 1063.0 1650.8 1844.0 2061.3 2305.7 2580.7 3372.0 10442.5 13814.5 5. 18.8 12.4 30.1 61.2 0.0 28.3 55.7 58.5 61.2 69.2 74.3 79.4 84.4 89.5 173.1 347.5 520.6 5.1 18.8 6 77.6 12.4 30.1 61.2 0.0 28.3 55.7 58.5 61.2 69.2 74.3 79.4 84.4 89.5 173.1 347.5 520.6 293.5 552.3 923.4 0.0 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 77.6 248.3 1483.3 3243.7 7391.8 0.0 3642.6 6508.3 7213.9 7637.6 10155.2 11338.4 12448.7 13675.4 15031.5 24971.7 62599.9 87571.7 16-42
16-43
16.8 9 16.8.1 1 2006 2020 15 16.2.1 2010 10 16.8.1 151 2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2007 8100 65428 8100 51538 58500 125839 3150 23705 2008 15188 154178 15188 98719 109688 241039 5906 45329 2009 20250 216252 20250 132394 146250 323263 7875 60532 2010 22500 243960 22500 146728 162500 358260 8750 66829 2011 24300 258044 24300 154153 175500 376390 9450 69978 2012 26100 272541 26100 161573 188500 394508 10150 73089 2013 27900 287027 27900 168988 201500 412613 10850 76156 2014 29700 301503 29700 176398 214500 430705 11550 79175 2015 31500 315968 31500 183215 227500 447350 12250 82141 2016 33300 330571 33300 190611 240500 465409 12950 85048 2017 35100 345142 35100 198001 253500 483452 13650 87889 2018 36900 359702 36900 205383 266500 501477 14350 90657 2019 38700 374249 38700 212757 279500 519483 15050 93344 2020 40500 388784 40500 220123 292500 537468 15750 95941 2006 9 16-44
16.8.2 / 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 JICA 70 20 150 / 30 50 16.8.3 / 320 400 480 720-2010 120 138 168 240 2011 480 600 720 1080-2020 156 179 218 312 SCF 0.9 16-45
16-46 16.8.4 SCF=0.9 2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2007 259 1144 324 738 2808 2197 227 600 8297 7467 2008 486 2239 608 1390 5265 4135 425 1128 15676 14108 2009 648 3018 810 1855 7020 5519 567 1505 20941 18847 2010 720 3364 900 2060 7800 6129 630 1670 23274 20947 2011 1166 4644 1458 2816 12636 8374 1021 2283 34397 30958 2012 1253 4872 1566 2950 13572 8774 1096 2391 36473 32826 2013 1339 5099 1674 3084 14508 9173 1172 2499 38548 34693 2014 1426 5327 1782 3218 15444 9572 1247 2606 40623 36561 2015 1512 5555 1890 3351 16380 9967 1323 2714 42692 38423 2016 1598 5783 1998 3485 17316 10366 1399 2821 44767 40290 2017 1685 6011 2106 3619 18252 10766 1474 2929 46841 42157 2018 1771 6239 2214 3754 19188 11165 1550 3036 48916 44024 2019 1858 6467 2322 3888 20124 11564 1625 3142 50989 45890 2020 1944 6695 2430 4022 21060 11963 1701 3249 53063 47757 JICA
2 - - 2010 2.5%2010 5% - 0.9-3 2006 2020 EIRR EIRR 29.6% 12% EIRR 16.8.5 EIRR 2006 0 1309 0-1309 2007 7467 18603 4064-15199 2008 14108 27517 6409-19818 2009 18847 18858 7044-7055 2010 20947 8329 7534 5084 2011 30958 0 9797 21161 2012 32826 0 10846 21979 2013 34693 11945 22749 2014 36561 0 12923 23638 2015 38423 0 14148 24275 2016 40290 0 14148 26142 2017 42157 0 14148 28010 2018 44024 0 14148 29876 2019 45890 0 14148 31743 2020 47757 0 14148 33609 EIRR 29.6 4 3 EIRR A 10% B 10% C 10% 10% AB EIRR 16-47
16.8.6 EIRR EIRR 29.6% A 10% 27.4% B 10% 24.3% C AB 22.4% 5 2010 2015 EIRR 2006-2014 - 2015 71.4% - EIRR 16.5% 16.8.7 EIRR 2006 0 1309 0-1309 2007 5668 18603 4064-16999 2008 10734 27517 6409-23192 2009 14348 18858 7044-11554 2010 15948 8329 7534 85 2011 23476 0 9797 13678 2012 24876 0 10846 14030 2013 26277 0 11945 14333 2014 27678 0 12923 14755 2015 29072 0 14148 14925 2016 30473 0 14148 16325 2017 31873 0 14148 17725 2018 33273 0 14148 19125 2019 34672 0 14148 20524 2020 36071 0 14148 21924 EIRR 16.5 16-48
16.8.2 16.2.5 2 2005-2015 ROI 10 10-12 16.8.8 ROI ROI A 0.57 15.4 B 1.03 15.7 2006-2015 16.9 16.9.1 16.9.1 16.9.1 1 2002 16-49
70% 30% 29 2 / F/S F/S 16.9.2 1 F/S F/S 29 16-50
1. 2. 2000 2005 12 8.8 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 14 2002 10 13 2002 10 28 EIA EIA 16-51
16.9.1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 1. 2. 3. 3 1. 2. 8.8 16.9.3 16-52
151 16.10 16.10.1 16.10.1 2015 ROI A 15.4% B 15.7% 16.10.1 1 1.75 2 6.40 3 0.57 4 0.46 9.19 16.10.2 16.10.3 16-53