2 2 25 3 5 1
1. 1 2 1 2 2. 2
1982 5 1. 3 5 2. 2020 3
3 4 30 governance 4
90 2003 158 341 400 2005 11,071 7,729 2006 123,489 97,260 1.4 2007 2 2006 17,084 3,912 2007 2 2 33,668 40,041 2006 2,987 20076 24,879 61.56 5
22.2 2006 1 20079 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 2004 98 2010 (2007)625 625 9 10 90 6
Lord Acton 2008 5 5 1 7
1 5 2 10 2008 1 2008 1 8
6 88 2008 2008 9
2007 11.7 % 1 2008 GDP 2007 11.7 % 1 2008 ( 1) 2007 4.83 % 40% 2007 1 1,357 (FDI) 733 16-17% 2008 5 % 10
滙 滙 (Global Trade Analysis Project,GTAP) Revealed Comparative AdvantageRCA Global Trade Analysis ProjectGTAP 25 11 滙 ( 3 1. 2. ) 3. 滙 GTAP 2 11
1. (1) GDP GDP 0.12% GDP GDP 2% (2) 3.45% 1.49% 1.7% 3.079% (3) GDP GDP GDP 0.75% 0.3% (4) 0.6% 0.032%0.039% 0.027% 2. 12
RCA (1) (2) 13
2008 21 1 2008 14
1 5% 6.9 5.23 3.17 3.03 (2.72) 6.71 6.88 3.24 6.82 4.28 4.38 3.02 3.87 3.51 2.76 5.34 3.80 8.23 6.18 3.93 3.78 3.68 2.79 2.67 2.58 6.23 3.08 2.63 4.55 10.43 3.79 7.73 6.21 3.43 2.85 2.66 2.31 Revealed Comparative Advantage index RCA RCA>2.5 GTAP6 87 11 57 25 15
2007CPI 4.8 10 20081 CPI 7.1 11 2007 2007 (CPI) 3 CPI (3.0)8 5 6 ( 2008.1.20 2007.11.28) ( ) ( 2008.1.8 2008.1.20) ( 2007.11.7) 2007 16
2007 CPI 1 CPI 1 2.2 5.0 3.8 2.2 2 2.7 6.0 3.7 2.4 3 3.3 7.7 4.0 2.7 4 3.0 7.1 4.2 2.8 5 3.4 8.3 4.0 2.9 6 4.4 11.3 4.4 3.2 7 5.6 15.4 4.4 3.5 8 6.5 18.2 4.3 3.9 9 6.2 16.9 4.2 4.1 10 6.5 17.6 4.8 4.4 11 6.9 18.2 6.0 4.6 12 6.5 16.7 5.9 4.8 2008 1 CPI 7.1 11 6.1 18.2 58.8 2008 1 50 2007 (2007 9 20 ) (2007 7 30 12 20 17
)( 2007.10.31 2008.2.27) 2007 12 2008 ( ) 2007.12.20 84 84 2007 2,800 ( 2007.12.18) 2008.1.1 12.31 57 57 5-25 2008.1.13 1. 2. 2008.1.16 1. 2. (1) 10 (2) 4 10 6 30 10 24 1. 1993 2. 18
) ( 10 CPI 2004 2007 2007 10 12.3 ( 2008.2.27) (2 5 ) 2 25 2 98.96 64.6 ( 2008.2.26) 1998-2007 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007-0.8-1.4 0.4 0.7-0.8 1.2 3.9 1.8 1.5 4.8 2008 ( ) ( ) 19
( 2008.2.27) 2004 1 18 20 2005 2 20
1. 2010 2. 2010 600 2012 8 8 21
2008 2 16 20 2008 2 24 29 1. 2010 6 2. 4 22
1. G8 2007 1 8 7 G8 10 G10 2. 2008 1 28 23
3. 2 18 20 800 3 4. (1) 2 21 23 (2) 2 19 24
( 2007 9 2,000 ) 21 1,516.5 66.7 25
2008 1 10 50 La Nina 1. 129 1,516.5 21 20 1 2 24 129 4 166 1.78 2,536 48.5 168.6 1,516.5 5 SARS 2. 2 16 39,033 2,037 4 80 26
1. 10 1 11 1 25 28 10 2. 21 1 27 23 2 1 2 4 1 29 2 3 3. 66.7 1 31 2 12 66.7 188.2 1998 2003 SARS 2 28 4 2009 500 4 8 27
6 1. 1 CPI CGPI PPI CPI 7.1 6.1 3 11 CGPI 8.4 PPI 2 CPI 8.3 8.7 GDP 0.5 1 2 4 2008 10.8 9.6% 2. 19 2.79 3 573 1/10 2010 20 20 30-40 1 300,637 28
567 2007 1 300,261 479 2 3 爲 29
(2008)1 10 20 20 1 48.5 1.78 1,516.5 (http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2008-02/23/content_7652136.htm) 30
(http://news.xinhuanet.com/mil/2008-02/16/content_7614102.htm) 3 1. 2. 3. (http://www.takungpao.com/news/08/01/30/zmtg-858328.htm) 40%(http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/01/world/asia/01china.html?ref=asia&pagewanted=print) (national physical and virtual infrastructures) 1 (Stephen J. Lukasik, et al., p.8) (John A. Warden)5 (Five-ring System Theory) 5 1. (leadership) 2. (system essentials) 3. (critical infrastructure) 4. (civilian 31
population) 5. (fielded forces) 4 (Gary M. Jackson, pp. 3-6) 1. 2. (http://news.xinhuanet.com/mil/2008-02/15/content_7610295_1.htm)3. 4. (Ibid.) 1999 (http://www.takungpao.com/news/08/02/17/zm-865016.htm) 32
1. 2. (http://www.takungpao.com/news/08/01/30/zmtg-858328.htm) 1.Jackson, Gary M., Warden s Five-Ring System theory: Legitimate Wartime Military Targeting or An Increased Potential to Violate the Law and Norms of Expected Behavior? 2000.4, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama. 2.Lukasik, J. Stephen, Seymour E. Goodman, et al., Protecting Critical Infrastructures Against Cyber-Attack, Adelphi Paper 359, 2003.9, London: Oxford Press. 33
1. 1993 90 2.1994 : 1994 2001 2003 2004 2005 2007 5 3 2005 5 13 2005 10 2006 4 15 2006 4 21 2006 6 2006 12 4 2007 4 5 2007 4 30 2007 5 30 34
2008 2 27 1. 26 2007 6 17 6 26 2007 11 6 2.2006 2006 17 6 407 96 3. 2005 7 2006 4 2006 9 100 4. 2007 12 35
12 140 1. 1994 3,000 2001 1,000 2003 2008 1 25-27 14 260 60 2005 6 22 2006 11 551 240 1 2 2007 7 133 2007 10 2007 7 270 194 9 2007 11 12 23 2. 36
; 1. 2. 3. 4. WTO WTO WTO GATS 37
WTO 5. 38