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64 2010 1 ( ) 1.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 2.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 40, ;,,,,,, J. Mearsheimer, Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after the Cold W ar, International Security, Vol. 15, No. 1, 1990.
65,,,,,,, 3.,,,,,,, 40,,,,,, G8,,,,, G20,,,, ( ), 50 60, 70 80,, 90, 1. 40,,,,, : (1),,, (2),,,
66 2010 1,,,,,,,, 1994 7 :, : (1) ; (2) ; (3) ; (4) 2., 1995 :,,, ;,,,, : (1) ; (2) ; (3) ; ( 4), : (1) ; (2) ; (3),, Towards a N ew Asia S trategy, Comm ission Communication COM (94) 314, 13. 07. 94, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_relations/ asem /asem_p rocess/ com94. htm 8 ( ) 10 ( ) 8 ( ) 2001 9 : ( COM ( 2001) 469, 04. 09. 01, http: / /ec. europa. eu /external_ relations/asia /doc / com01_469_en. pdf), 8 10 8 ( ) 2 A Long2Term Policy for China2Europe Relations, Comm ission Communication COM ( 1995) 279, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_relations/ china / com95_279en. pdf.
, : (1998 ) ; (2001 ) ; (2003 ) ; :, (2006 ) 67 11,,,, 1998 : (1) ; (2) ; (3) ; (4) ; (5) 1995,,, 2003,,,,, 6,,,, :,, 9,, B uilding a Com prehensive Partnership w ith China, Comm ission Communication COM ( 1998 ) 181, 25. 03. 1998, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_relations/ china / com_98 / index. htm. EU S trategy towards China: Im plem enting the 1998 Comm unication and Future S teps for a M ore effective EU Policy, Comm ission Communication COM ( 2001) 265, 25. 05. 2001, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_ relations/ china / com01_265. pdf. A M aturing Partnership: Shared Interests and Challenges in EU 2China Relations, Comm ission Communication COM (2003) 533, 10. 09. 2003, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_relations/ china / com_03_533 / com_533_en. pdf. EU 2China: Closer Partners, Grow ing Responsibilities, Comm ission Communication COM (2006) 631, 24. 10. 2006, http: / / ec. europa. eu / external_ relations/ china / docs/06210224 _ final_ com. pdf; Com petition and Partnership, Comm ission Working Document COM (2006) 632, 24. 10. 2006, http: / / trade. ec. europa. eu / doclib / docs/2006 /octo2 ber/ tradoc_130791. pdf., A Secure Europe in a B etterw orld, Report of Javier Solana, HR for CFSP, to European Council, Thessaloni, 20. 06. 2003, http: / /www. consilium. europa. eu / uedocs/ cm s_data / docs/p ressdata / EN / reports/76255. pdf. Ibid., p. 16.
68 2010 1 :,, ( ),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 3. 5,,,,,,,, 21,,, : 21 ( ) 1996 2006 ( % ) 1996 2006 ( % ) (15 ) 339. 66 2563. 56 754. 74 15. 44 53. 42 345. 98 479. 06 2072. 95 432. 71 30. 61 47. 17 154. 10 353. 55 2626. 59 742. 92 24. 91 28. 76 115. 46 :, http: / /www. stats. gov. cn / tjsj/ndsj/,, A M aturing Partnership: Shared Interests and Challenges in EU 2China Relations, Comm ission Communication COM (2003) 533, 10. 09. 2003.,,
69,,, 2003, 10,,,, : ;,,,,,, ;,,, 11,, 2004,,,,,, ( ) 2005 30,,,,,,, 2006 10,,,,, http: / /www. fmp rc. gov. cn /chn /wjb /zzjg/xos/gjlb /EuropeanUnion / smgb / t27700. htm Ibid. Joint S tatem ent of the 7 th EU 2China Summ it, 8 D ecem ber 2004, http: / /ec. europa. eu /external_relations/chi2 na / docs/ js_081204. pdf., 2006 9 9, : http: / /www. fm2 p rc. gov. cn /chn /wjb /zzjg/xos/gjlb /EuropeanUnion / smgb / t271095. htm EU 2China: Closer Partners, Grow ing Responsibilities, Comm ission Communication COM (2006) 631, 24. 10. 2006; Com petition and Partnership, Comm ission Working Document COM (2006) 632, 24. 10. 2006, ( insist on openness) ( level the p lay field) ( support European companies) ( defend the EU interests)
70 2010 1,,,, 2007 2008,,,,,,,,,,,, 12,,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,, 2004 12,, 12 12, http: / / register. consilium. europa. eu /pdf/en / 06 / st16 / st16291. en06. pdf David Shambaugh, The China Honeymoon Is over, B rookings, November 26, 2007 http: / / www. brookings. edu /op inions/2007 /1126_china_shambaugh. aspx 2005 9,,, 2006 4, ;, 2007 5,, 2007 6,,, 90,, 8%
71, 1998,,,,,,,,, 90,,,,,,, 30,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,,, 7% GDP, 20%,
72 2010 1,, 30,,, 80,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 30 ;,,,,,, ( comp re2 hensive strategic partnership) :,? ( )?,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
73,,,,,,, ( ) : 1.,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,, 7% GDP, 20% ;, 3 /4,,,,?,,,,, ;,, :,, 2007 (468 ) (414 ) (461 ) ( 749 ) ; ( 6230 ), 1 /13 (7. 5% ),, 2008, http: / /www. chinam il. com. cn / site1 /gfbp s/gfbp s. htm
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77,,,,,,,, 90,,,, G2,,, ( ),, 2009,,,,,,,,,,?,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( : ) B uilding a Com prehensive Partnership w ith China, Comm ission Communication COM (1998) 181, 25. 03. 1998