2004 12
... 2... 3 1... 3 2... 7 3... 9... 12 1... 12 2... 14 3... 17... 19 1... 19 2... 23 3... 28... 36 1... 36 2... 37 3... 38 4... 39... 43 1
( CEPA) 2004 1 1 139 140 20 2004 12 2
1 1,,, 1997,, 1997 6 27, :, TRIPS,, 1905, 559 514 522 528 2001 ( 3
) 568 544 362 ( ) 445 490 2 1990 7 2 Earl Anthony Wayne 21 2004 11 15 35 400 4
10 90% 3 A: B: C: D: E: F: G: H: I: 5
G H I D E F A B C 4 APAA The Hong Kong Institute of Trade Mark Practitioners The Law Society of Hong Kong Business Software Allience HKRRLS ( ) [PP(SEA)L] HKCLA 5 6
1997 2004 2 494 18 2004 3 380 2300 8000 2 1 3 2002 14.2% 2003 25.4% 2 7
70% 60 70% 15 3 15 ( CEPA) 4 1997 1998 1999 1998 1000 2004 2 70 450 1.8 Cyber Champion Award 2001 Global Anticounterfeiting Award 5 8
2003 92.2% 3 1 9
90 2 : 10
11
1 1 2 12
12 18 4 9 2004 3 1 3 2004 10 21 52 11 18 16 1 2 3 2000 12 13
4 2002 2003 10 5 2004 10 15 11 17 EMBA 2 1 14
2003 43186 29235 17.02% 19.5% 25.7% 28.4% 2003 76528 17% 38708 16% 22.4% 22.1% 2003 GDP 13625.87 11.7% 14.3% 2003 1024 1/6 910 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 286 390 825 1203 1276 1948 2997 4656 5020 5883 % 36.4 111.5 45.8 6.1 52.7 53.9 55.4 7.8 17.2 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 7729 9946 12858 13473 16802 21123 27596 34352 43186 211549 % 31.4 28.7 29.3 4.8 24.8 25.7 30.6 24.5 25.7 2 15
3 11 2003 10 40 100 10 4 2003 2.5 6358.05 GDP 47.3% OEM 2003 317 85% 85% 2004 6 4628 PCT 641 1127 677 2.2 46% R&D 2004 500 16
30 100 50 150-3 (1) 2 20 2002 34339 21814 16958 4856 22% 3 17 10 8 5-7 14 4 18 2002 1000 6 100 8 10 6 17
2002 28% 18
A B A 3000 315 B 160 20 A 1600 500 MBA 233 B 800 23 WTO 1 100% 2 1 CEPA 1 19
31.63% 16.26% 13.59% 11.36% 23.57% 22.53% 15.60% 11.96% 20
2 21
3 2003 24 2004 27 4 CEPA 22
( CEPA) 2004 1 1 CEPA CEPA 17.46% 9.52% 7.94% 12.02% 8.15% CEPA CEPA 80% CEPA CEPA 2 1 23
90 24
2 25
3 26
1-5 5 100 3 4 400 500 4 CEPA CEPA CEPA CEPA 35% 27
15% 10% 30.43% 21.74% 8.70% CEPA CEPA CEPA 3 1 28
2001 2003 2004 11 30 91% 2001 2004 2001 2003 2004 11 03 18% 2 2001 2003 2004 11 30 24217 03 19% 2001 2003 3 1991 2004 Double Exponential Smoothing α = 0.7 29
1991 1092 1079 1992 1259 1069 1993 1195 1438 1994 1640 1203 1500 1584 1995 1961 1824 1960 1645 1996 2100 2239 2205 2223 1997 2424 2335 1487 2489 1998 19252 2682 2485 1369 1999 6215 26146 2619 2723 2000 8569 6628 2970 2916 2001 9226 7965 1417 3279 2002 9463 9301 2441 986 2003 9500 9716 3410 2425 2004 10309 9681 4129 3919 2005 10722 4810 2006 11191 5511 2007 11661 6211 2005 2007 2005 2006 2007 10722 11191 11661 4810 5511 6211 30
1998 1999 98 1999 2004 3 1991 2004 1997 2001 3 4 2001-2004 11.30 2001 ~2004 11 30 2002-2.38% 14.21% 2.42% 89.88% 6.73% -2.21% 10.42% 4.47% 2003-0.31% 25.36% -0.31% 41.31% 19.52% 26.42% 7.15% 10.63% 2004 (11.30) -9.08% 18.95% -0.42% 13.98% -3.02% -16.42% 17.87% 13.26% 2001 31
2004 5 1995 2003 1995 1997 1997 1998 1999 1997 1998 1997 1998 6 2005 2007 1985 2003 (Exponential Curve) 32
95% 95% 1985 286 474 266 845 1986 390 616 348 1091 1987 825 801 455 1410 1988 1203 1042 596 1823 1989 1276 1355 778 2359 1990 1948 1762 1016 3055 1991 2997 2291 1325 3960 1992 4656 2979 1727 5138 1993 5020 3874 2249 6672 1994 5883 5037 2926 8671 1995 7729 6550 3803 11280 1996 9946 8516 4938 14688 1997 12858 11074 6407 19142 1998 13473 14400 8305 24969 1999 16802 18724 10755 32597 2000 21123 24347 13918 42593 2001 27596 31659 17995 55700 2002 34339 41167 23247 72900 2003 43186 53530 30010 95484 2004. 69606 38711 125159 2005. 90509 49898 164173 2006. 117690 64275 215498 2007. 153034 82739 283054 2008. 198993 106441 372019 2009. 258753 136852 489237 33
90509 117690 153034 2005 2007 7 CEPA CEPA 34
35
1 1979 2004 1979 2003 1138.96 64.5% 2003 8 2003 79 24 126 36
2 1 2 3 37
vision 3 1 2 R&D - - 38
3 4 4 39
1 2003 WTO TRIPS 2 2003 11 26 2004 3 1 TRIPS 3 40
10 90% 2003 4 ( ) 5 41
CEPA 2005 1 1 6 4 26 42
A B ( ) A B A 3000 315 B 160 20 A 1600 500 MBA 233 B 800 23 WTO 43
1 315 ( ) 36.8% 45.10% 5.40% 1.60% 3.20% 1.00% 1.60% 4.10% 1.30% 36.80% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% WIPO 11 31.63% 44
100 1.78% 0.45% 0.67% 2.23% 5.79% 11.36% 13.59% 16.26% 31.63% 7.13% 9.13% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 100 100 10000 24.12% 10000 6.67% 10000 6.67% 500~10000 10.79% 100~500 13.33% 100 69.21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 22.39% 15.30% 18.66% 45
18.66% 6.16% 6.34% 8.96% 15.30% 13.99% 22.39% 8.21% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30.48% 9.84% 2.54%, 2.54%, 9.84%, 1.27%, 30.48% 55.87% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2 46
47 24.78% 0.32% 0.16% 2.48% 9.01% 7.49% 1.64% 50.23% 32.08% 6.57% 33.30% 3.89% 7.29% 11.87% 2.32% 2.93% 0.17% 3.48% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 3 58.41% 0 36.83% 1 5 5
50 1.27% 20~50 0.63% 10~20 0.32% 5~10 2.54% 1~5 36.83% 0 58.41% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2 63.81% 29.52% 5.08% 10 10 2 29.52% 63.81% 10 0.32% 10 0.32% 10 5.08% 10 0.63% 20 0.32% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% A B 2 48
1 1 5 10000 50000 500 10000 20% 100 500 ( ) 50000 15% 10000~50000 50% 500~10000 20% 100~500 5% 50~100 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 24.5% 21.52% 16.46% 0% 49
0.00% 2.53% 5.06% 1.27% 12.66% 16.46% 16.46% 21.52% 24.05% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 17.14% 16.9% 5.71% 7.62% 9.52% 9.52% 10.48% 10.48% 13.33% 16.19% 17.14% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 2 500 1 50
55% 500 10000 100 500 10 100 15% 5% 50000 10000~50000 5% 5% 500~10000 55% 100~500 10~100 15% 15% 10 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 3 1 5 50 1 5 50% 20% 6 10 0 10% 11 20 21 50 5% 50 20% 21~50 11~20 5% 5% 6~10 10% 1~5 50% 0 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 51
0 40% 6 10 20% 11 20 21 50 15% 1 5 50 5% 50 5% 21~50 11~20 15% 15% 6~10 20% 1~5 5% 0 40% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 10 2 35% 25% 30% 10 10 10% 52
1 5.06% 6.16% 6.34% 1.27% 8.96% 8.21% 16.46% 12.66% 13.99% 15.30% 16.46% 24.05% 21.52% 22.39% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2 2004 2004 74% 53
2004 20.00% 10.83% 6.67% 15.00% 73.33% 74.17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1~10 2004 0 60% 73.97% 1~10 25% 21.90% 10~50 5% 3.17% 50 0.95% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 3 54
2004 14.04% 15.56% 15.56% 29.82% 24.56% 28.00% 14.04% 20.00% 31.58% 36.44% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 4 66.86% 92.31% 23.67% 7.69%, 0.00% 5.92% 7.69% 23.67% 0.00%, 3.55% 66.86% 92.31% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 55
1 2.10% 2.10% 1.70% 8.60% 6.40% 6.90% 12.00% 27.90% 32.20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 11 23.57% 22.53% 56
3.29% 0.35% 3.81% 3.99% 23.57% 4.51% 1.73% 8.67% 15.60% 11.96% 22.53% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 18.40% 14.04% 12.11% 10.65% 10.65% 13.32% 13.32% 10.65% 14.04% 12.11% 9.44% 11.38% 10.65% 18.40% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 57
26.61% 42.49% 24.89% 4.29% 1.72%, 1.72%, 24.89%, 4.29%, 42.49% 26.61% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2 58
40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 13.50% 14.34% 15% 10.53% 10.61% 10% 5% 0% 36.98% 31.45% 9.39% 8.99% 8.49% 7.10% 0.80% 2.77% 0.13% 0.08% 1.20% 1.84% 22.43% 19.38% 3 1 5 50 9.44% 20~50 10~20 5~10 4.72% 4.72% 13.73% 1~5 39.48% 0 27.90% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 59
2 65.24% 5 5~10 9.87% 15.45% 10 9.44% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 1 1 1 2003 34.78% 500 10000 100 500 30.43% 50000 2003 ( ) 50000 10000~50000 500~10000 100~500 50~100 4.35% 4.35% 8.70% 30.43% 34.78% 50 17.39% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 60
22.22% 20.99% 0.00% 0.00% 7.41% 8.64% 9.88% 12.35% 22.22% 18.52% 20.99% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 15.49% 14.08% 5.63% 8.45% 8.45% 9.86% 12.68% 14.08% 12.68% 12.68% 15.49% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 61
2 10 100 100 500 50000 0.00% 10000~50000 0.00% 500~10000 4.35% 100~500 10~100 39.13% 39.13% 10 17.39% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 3 1 5 50 0.00% 21~50 4.35% 11~20 6~10 17.39% 21.74% 1~5 47.83% 0 8.70% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 5 62
2 43.48% 5 26.09% 5~10 17.39% 10 13.04% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 1 8.43% 10.65% 9.64% 14.04% 7.23% 12.11% 12.05% 9.44% 11.38% 10.65% 21.69% 18.07% 18.40% 20.48% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 63
2 2004 2004 85.71% 54% 2004 0.00% 4.00% 14.29% 36.50% 0.00% 5.50% 54.00% 85.71% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 1~10 36% 40% 50 12% 17% 2004 0 1~10 10~50 50 22.75% 17.39% 26.09% 29.61% 17.39% 11.59% 36.05% 39.13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 64
3 2004 15.15% 10.73% 15.15% 16.09% 18.18% 36.40% 36.78% 48.48% 18.18% 10.73% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1 65
8.21% 6.16% 6.34% 7.28% 9.33% 8.96% 8.77% 8.21% 8.21% 10.26% 10.82% 13.99% 15.30% 14.18% 18.66% 22.39% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2 CEPA CEPA CEPA 60.52% 65.08% 19.31% 17.46% 12.02% 7.94% 8.15% 9.52% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% CEPA 66
9.52% 7.94% 17.46% 8.15% 12.02% 19.31% CEPA 1 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.53% 5.06% 7.41% 1.27% 8.64% 9.88% 12.35% 12.66% 16.46% 22.22% 24.05% 18.52% 21.52% 20.99% 16.46% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2 CEPA CEPA 35% 30% 67
CEPA 39.13% 40% 8.70% 10% 15% 30.43% 21.74% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 68