( Modified Delphi Method ) 100 54 54 5-1 5-1 (AHP) 60 55 91.7 55 AHP (Expert Choice Version 9.0) 5 9.09 50 90.91 50 5-6 58
.. 59
60 5-2
5-3 1 100 0 2 100 0 3 98.1 1.9 4 96.3 3.7 5-4 1-1 100 1-2 94.4 5.6 1-3 83.3 16.7 2-1 92.6 7.4 2-2 87 13 2-3 92.6 7.4 3-1 100 3-2 87 13 3-3 96.3 3.7 3-4 88.9 11.1 4-1 100 4-2 88.9 11.1 61
5-5 1-1-1 98.1 1.9 1-1-2 96.3 3.7 1-2-1 100 1-2-2 94.4 5.6 1-2-3 87.1 12.9 1-2-4 100 1-3-1 100 1-3-2 88.9 11.1 2-1-1 90.7 9.3 2-1-2 92.6 7.4 2-1-3 96.3 3.7 2-2-1 87 13 2-2-2 83.3 16.7 2-2-3 85.2 14.8 2-3-1 92.6 7.4 2-3-2 92.6 7.4 3-1-1 94.4 5.6 3-1-2 100 3-1-3 92.6 7.4 3-2-1 100 3-2-2 90.7 9.3 3-2-3 83.3 16.7 3-2-4 96.3 3.7 3-2-5 92.6 7.4 3-3-1 94.4 5.6 3-3-2 96.3 3.7 3-4-1 100 3-4-2 100 4-1-1 92.6 7.4 4-1-2 96.3 3.7 4-1-3 100 4-2-1 100 4-2-2 100 62
AHP 63
AHP 5-6AHP 15 13 10 25 24 24 20 18 16 60 55 50 64
5-7 1 57.70 1 43.05 1 42.60 1 45.84 1 2 14.62 3 19.18 3 26.89 2 20.74 2 3 15.00 2 21.72 2 15.53 3 18.40 3 4 12.67 4 16.05 4 14.98 4 15.03 4 5-1 65
66
5-8 1 40.34 1 48.91 1 46.00 1 46.29 1 2 31.27 2 24.14 3 28.04 2 26.71 3 3 28.40 3 31.12 2 26.33 3 29.28 2 5-2 67
5-9 1 44.64 1 47.73 1 29.50 3 41.64 1 2 28.77 2 27.80 2 33.00 2 29.56 2 3 26.59 3 24.48 3 34.37 1 27.87 3 5-3 68
5-10 1 33.89 1 36.20 1 35.69 1 35.57 1 2 26.01 2 20.22 4 20.39 3 21.50 3 3 17.89 4 21.87 3 16.93 4 19.66 4 4 22.21 3 24.58 2 26.99 2 24.74 2 v 5-4 69
5-11 1 52.08 1 60.59 1 68.23 1 61.33 1 2 47.92 2 39.41 2 31.77 2 38.67 2 5-5 70
5-12. 1 48.33 2 64.10 1 57.55 1 58.85 1 2 51.67 1 35.90 2 42.45 2 41.15 2 5-6 71
5-13 1 34.83 1 30.56 1 40.57 1 34.44 1 2 21.49 3 23.13 3 19.12 3 21.59 3 3 19.97 4 21.04 4 16.55 4 19.46 4 4 23.71 2 25.30 2 23.76 2 24.52 2 5-7 72
5-14 1 70 1 65.31 1 70.83 1 68.02 1 2 30 2 34.69 2 29.17 2 31.98 2 5-8 73
5-15 1 52.15 1 45.49 1 38.67 1 44.84 1 2 21.57 3 25.11 3 27.59 3 25.12 3 3 26.28 2 29.39 2 33.75 2 30.05 2 5-9 74
5-16 1 36.46 1 38.74 2 40.62 1 38.78 1 2 29.68 2 22.01 3 22.66 3 23.86 3 3 27.86 3 39.25 1 36.72 2 36.06 2 5-10 75
5-17 1 65.42 1 56.88 1 52.76 1 57.27 1 2 34.58 2 43.13 2 47.24 2 42.73 2 5-11 76
5-18 1 36.51 1 37.95 1 44.12 1 42.13 1 2 21.85 3 30.36 3 21.78 3 27.90 3 3 35.65 2 32.06 2 34.10 2 35.75 2 5-12 77
5-19 1 27.38 1 35.72 1 38.70 1 34.69 1 2 17.33 2 20.26 2 19.36 2 19.02 2 3 9.08 3 12.26 3 12.24 3 10.85 5 4 25.99 1 16.06 1 14.39 2 18.14 3 5 20.22 2 15.70 2 15.17 1 17.31 4 5-13 78
5-20 1 55.42 1 60.17 1 66.56 1 61.27 1 2 44.58 2 39.83 2 33.44 2 38.73 2 5-14 79
5-21 1 70.84 1 66.70 1 59.38 1 65.19 1 2 29.17 2 33.30 2 40.63 2 34.82 2 5-15 80
5-22 1 45.71 1 45.73 1 46.12 1 45.86 1 2 25.37 3 26.39 3 24.03 3 25.41 3 3 28.92 2 27.87 2 29.85 2 28.73 2 5-16 81
5-23 1 55.42 1 61.42 1 48.44 1 56.07 1 2 44.58 2 38.58 2 51.56 2 43.93 2 5-17 82
AHP 1. 1. 5-24 0.2106 1 0.1039 3 0.1340 2 0.0565 9 0.0632 8 0.0659 6 0.0790 5 0.0440 12 0.0475 11 0.0534 10 0.0973 4 0.0633 7 2. 5-2 5 0.1960 1 0.1195 3 0.1121 4 0.1247 2 0.0727 6 0.0640 7 0.0554 8 0.0317 10 0.0263 11 0.0195 12 0.1022 5 83
0.0475 9 3. 5-26 0.2328 1 0.1804 2 0.1639 3 0.0653 5 0.0421 8 0.0389 10 0.0495 7 0.0390 9 0.0268 12 0.0333 11 0.0660 4 0.0607 6 2 84
5-27 85
5-28 86
5-29 87
5-30 45.87 1 20.70 2 18.40 3 15.03 4 88
5-31 0.2123 1 0.1225 3 0.1343 2 0.0863 5 0.0606 7 0.0578 9 0.0692 6 0.0395 11 0.0361 12 0.0455 10 0.0921 4 0.0579 8 89
5-18 90
5-19 91
5-33 92
A AHP 5-34 5-34 500 260 1163 115.74 5-35 1.71 2.38 3.22 1.96 0.16 0.38 0.38 0.25 0.35 0.35 0.22 0.17 0.04 0.12 0.17 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.11 0.27 0.41 0.21 0.04 0.11 0.17 0.08 0.13 0.06 0.11 0.08 93
0.09 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.10 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.17 0.06 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.08 0.15 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.04 1. 2. 3. 94
95
96
80% AHP 97
AHP 2003 98