2000 2010 2005 21 2012 /1 29 1 35 Quarterly Journal of International Politics 1
2012 /1 20 90 Joseph S. Nye 1 2007 2 AAA 2011 1 2007 7 2 http / /news. cntv. cn /20110427 /110489. shtml 2
20 WTO 8% GDP 1 2 2010 7 12 3 2009 8 G20 100 69. 15 1 2007 54 2 2002 2 3 3 2011 1 15 http / / finance. ifeng. com / news / hqcj /20110105 /3156135. shtml 3
2012 /1 10 13 7 3 1 2000 2010 A Rs Rf Rp 2 Ps = ± A Rs + Rf + Rp 3 ± A Rs Rf Rp 1 2 3 G20 2009 8 15 http / /chn. chosun. com /site /data /html_ dir /2009 /08 /15 /20090815000005. html 2009 2 5 5 4
1 2007 2 3 BBC 4 2008 4 5 1 5 2 2007 2 15 26 2007 3 37 46 3 37 46 4 42 5 China's Foreign Policy and Soft Power in South America Asia and Africa Committee on Foreign Relations U. S. Congress April 2008 http / /www. gpoaccess. gov /congress /index. html. 5
2012 /1 diplomatic initiatives 21 8 1 state diplomacy 2 10 1 Comparing Global Influence China's and U. S. Diplomacy Foreign Aid Trade and Investment in the Developing World Knowledge Services Group U. S. Congress August 15 2008 http / / www. gpoaccess. gov / congress / index. html. 2 Ibid. 6
2008 2008 1 2 6000 3 1 /3 1 /3 1 Soft Power in Asia Results of a 2008 Multinational Survey of Public Opinion The Chicago Council on Global Affairs East Asia Institute 2008 www. thechicagocouncil. org. 2 Ibid. 3 2008 1 27 7
2012 /1 3 5 1 2 3 1 29 2 2006 6 51 55 2008 1 55 66 2009 3 30 36 2008 4 77 84 3 53 54 2007 9 8
1 2 3 1 2 3 26 26 26 9
2012 /1 1 2 3 1 2 3 = + + /3 1 2 3 26 26 26 10
1 1 + + /2 + /2 /2 + + /2 /2 11
2012 /1 12
+ + /2 /2 1 2000 2005 2005 2010 2 2000 2005 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 13
2012 /1 2000 2. 09 2005 2. 84 2010 2. 43 2 1 1 2000 2005 2005 2010 10 2 1 14
2000 2010 1 2000 2005 2005 2010 2 2000 2005 17. 75% 2005 2010 6. 54% 2000 2005 3. 77% 2005 2010 21. 76% 6 21 10 2000 2005 5 3 10 3 15
2012 /1 2000 2005 2005 2010 10. 82% 10. 58% 3 34. 97% 12. 36% 4 1. 96% - 3. 57% - 18. 95% 19. 73% 5 16
6 1. 1 2 4 1 The World Factbook 2011 Washington D. C. Central Intelligence Agency 2011 http / / www. cia. gov / library / publications / the-world-factbook / index. html. 2 Ibid. 17
2012 /1 1 2 85 2000 2010 4 85 0. 05 2. 5 3 11 4 10 2000 2010 4 10 0. 40 1 The World Factbook 2011 Washington D. C. Central Intelligence Agency 2011 http / / www. cia. gov / library / publications / the-world-factbook / index. html. 2 Ibid. 3 http / /zh. wikipedia. org /zh-cn /% E4% B8% AD% E8% 8F% AF% E6% 96% 87% E5% 8C% 96% E5% 9C% 88#. E5. 9C. B0. E5. 9F. 9F 4 http / /zh. wikipedia. org /zh-cn /% E5% 8D% B0% E5% BA% A6% E6% 96% 87% E5% 8C% 96% E5% 9C% 88 18
3. Comtrade 2000 2005 2010 photographic and cinematographic goods 1 2 1 * 2000 2005 2010 435972545 1149126736 2704436903 55601122 137434637 217611599 * http / /comtrade. un. org /db /dqbasicqueryresults. aspx cc = 37&px = HS&r = 156 % 20699&y = 2000 % 202005 % 202009 % 202010&p = 0&rg = 2&so = 9999&rpage = dqbasicquery&qt = n 2011 12 1 2 * 2000 2005 2010 428779570 1073063902 1072933906 45599227 29240629 36848633 * http / /comtrade. un. org /db /dqbasicqueryresults. aspx p = 0&rg = 2&cc = 49&px = HS&r = 156 % 20699&y = 2000 2005 2010&so = 9999&rpage = dqbasicquery&qt = n 2011 12 1 1 2 2000 2005 163. 58% 150. 26% 1 147. 18% - 35. 87% 2005 2010 135. 35% - 0. 01% 19
2012 /1 58. 34% 26. 02% 7 8 4. 12 1 1 http / /data. un. org /Glossary. aspx q = Arrivals + of + non + resident + tourists% 2fvisitors% 2c + departures + and + tourism + expenditure + in + the + country + and + in + other + countries 2011 12 1 20
2000 2005 2010 3 3 * 2000 2005 2010 31229 46809 55664 2649 3919 5584 * http / /data. un. org /DocumentData. aspx id = 261 2011 12 1 2000 2010 49. 89% 18. 92% 42. 49% 9 9 5. 2000 2005 2010 arms and ammunition 4 21
2012 /1 4 * 2000 2005 2010 61 87 102 27 35 50 * http / /comtrade. un. org /db /dqbasicqueryresults. aspx cc = 93&px = HS&r = 156 % 20699&y = 2000 % 202005 % 202010&p = all&rg = 1 2&so = 9999&rpage = dqbasicquery&qt = n 2011 12 1 42. 62% 17. 24% 29. 63% 42. 86% 10 6. 1 1. 5 3 1971 2000 2005 2010 3 2000 2005 1 2011 1. 5 22
2005 2010 50% 7. The World Bank Annual Report IMF Annual Report 5 6 5 * % 2000 2005 2010 2. 80 2. 78 2. 79 2. 80 3. 40 3. 40 * 2000 The World Bank Annual Report 2000 http / /go. worldbank. org/auefqfcyv0 2005 The World Bank Annual Report 2005 http / /go. worldbank. org /MNHMAH63B0 2010 The World Bank Annual Report 2010 http / /go. worldbank. org /SJ2S7VRC30 6 * % 2000 2005 2010 2. 20 2. 94 3. 81 1. 95 1. 92 2. 08 * 2000 IMF Annual Report 2000 pp. 178-179 http / /www. imf. org / external /pubs /ft /ar /2000 /eng /index. htm 2000 IMF http / /www. imf. org / external /np /sec /memdir /members. htm # i 2005 IMF Annual Report 2005 p. 143 http / /www. imf. org /external /pubs /ft /ar /2005 /eng /index. htm 2010 IMF Table Quota and Voting Shares before and after Implementation of Reforms Agreed in 2008 and 2010 by Member http / /www. imf. org /external /np /sec /memdir /eds. aspx 2000 2005-0. 71% 21. 43% 3. 40% 2. 78% 23
2012 /1 33. 64% - 1. 54% 2005 2010 0. 36% 0% 2. 79% 3. 40% 29. 59% 8. 33% 11 12 8. 1998 2003 2003 2008 24
2008 2013 2000 2005 2010 Lok Sabha 1999 2004 2004 2009 2009 2014 2000 2005 2010 7 7 * % 2000 2005 2010 71. 50 72. 90 70. 30 49. 54 40. 15 48. 07 * http / /zh. wikipedia. org /zh /% E5% 85% A8% E5% 9B% BD% E4% BA% BA% E6% B0% 91% E4% BB% A3% E8% A1% A8% E5% A4% A7% E4% BC% 9A 2000 1999 http / /en. wikipedia. org /wiki / Indian_ general_ election _ 1999 2005 2004 http / / en. wikipedia. org /wiki /Indian_ general_ election _ 2004 2010 2009 http / /en. wikipedia. org /wiki /Indian_ general_ election _ 2009 2000 2010 2000 2005-18. 95% 2005 2010 19. 73% 13 13 25
2012 /1 2000 2005 2005 2010 2000 2005 1. 2000 2005 2. 09 2. 84 25. 85% 25. 43% 12. 95% 17. 30% 1. 96% - 18. 95% 14 14 2000 2005 26
2. 163. 58% 150. 26% 49. 89% 147. 18% 47. 94% - 35. 87% 15 17 15 2000 2005-0. 71% 33. 64% 11 12 42. 62% 29. 63% 10 2000 2005 27
2012 /1 16 2000 2005 25. 43% - 18. 95% 4 5 13. 69% 0. 83% 17 17 2000 2005 2000 2005 28
2005 2010 1. 2005 2010 2. 84 2. 43 2 2005 2010-3. 57% 34. 97% 19. 73% 10. 58% 10. 82% 18 18 2005 2010 2. 135. 35% 58. 34% 26. 02% 29
2012 /1 18. 92% 42. 49% 19 21 19 2005 2010 50% IMF 29. 59% 20 10 4 20 2005 2010 30
- 3. 57% 19. 73% 5 4. 40% 27. 35% 21 21 2005 2010 2005 2010 2000 2010 31
2012 /1 2000 2005 2005 2010 2000 2005 2005 2010 2000 2005 2005 2010 2005 2010 2005 MMRCA 1 2 1 2 http / /world. people. com. cn /BIG5 /157278 /16501664. html. http / /military. people. com. cn /GB /8255168. html. 32
1971 = + + 2005 2010 2005 10 60 2006 2006 11 33
2012 /1 1 2007 1 2 2007 10 3 2011 2011 2011 10 18 4 1 2006 11 10 2006 11 10 http / /www. gov. cn / ldhd /2006-11 /10 /content_ 439332. htm 2 2007 1 24 http / /news. cctv. com /xwlb /20070124 /112472. shtml# 3 2007 10 24 2007 10 24 http / /news. sohu. com /20071024 /n252839211. shtml 4 http / /cpc. people. com. cn /GB /64093 /64094 /16018057. html 34
1 1 http / /cpc. people. com. cn /GB / 64093 /64387 /15939604. html 35
cookiechung@ 163. com 2011 wuwenbingthu@ sina. com 2007 oceanqi@ 126. com 2006 xuj@ cass. org. cn 1995 Wayne State University twukong@ yahoo. com 2012 wmg7971@ sina. com 2009 2009 2011 kindyleeway@ gmail. com Ⅱ