CIP /. 2004. 22004. 4 ISBN 7 213 02755 7 Ⅰ. Ⅱ. 1 2 Ⅲ. Ⅳ. D815 CIP 2003123683 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 櫇 347 85061682 20 787 1000 1 /16 20 2 33. 4 1000115000 2004 2 1 2004 4 2 ISBN 7 213 02755 7 30. 00

2

911 / 2 / 3 A 20 / 7 911

2 / 11 / 15 2003 12 20 / 19 / 20 / 24 911 911 / 29 911

3 / 33 / 33 / 36 / 40 / 45 / 45

4 911 / 48 / 51 / 53

5 / 58 / 58 6 25 / 65 / 69 / 74 / 74 2003 10 16

6 / 77 / 81 / 84 20 / 87 / 87 / 90 98 20% 1 /3

7 / 92 911 / 100 / 100 2003 / 105 / 108 / 114 / 114

8 / 116 1962 / 118 / 126

9 / 130 / 130 / 134 / 137 911 2002 / 141

/ 143 / 145 / 145 911 2002 2003 2003 / 147 2003 / 148 911 / 152 / 156 10 / 156

/ 157 18 / 159 20 30 40 1994 / 163 1994 1999 / 164 / 167 / 168 / 170 20 11

/ 172 21 / 175 / 182 / 182 21 / 185 21 12

13 / 188 40 / 190 / 193 / 193 40 1970 10 / 196 / 199 / 201

14 / 203 / 205 / 208 / 208 2002 10 / 209 / 214

/ 217 / 220 / 224 / 225 1% 57% 20% 20% 4. 5% 3 15

48 3 40% 1 / 228 / 231 / 234 16 / 238 / 238 38 / 240

/ 241 20 60 / 243 WTO FTA 2003 / 246 WTO / 247 WTO / 249 / 249 SARS / 251 / 254 / 256 17

18 / 258 N / 260 / 260 19000 / 263 / 263 / 272 / 272 2003 1

1918 2000 2000 / 274 1981 6 5 20 2003 4000 2003 500 300 240 / 278 1985 2003 84 8 30% 2010 1000 / 283 / 283 / 284 95% / 286 1. 8 19

5000 / 290 10% 20% 50% 100% 300% 1 10 1 20 / 294 20

911

2003 3 20 2003 12 13

A 4700 2000 550 7 16 1920 1921 8 1932 1958 7 14 1963 2 8 1968 7 17 1979 1937 4 28 1957 1968 31 1979 40% 20 70 20 20 70 1983 12 19 3

1984 1988 8 8 1990 8 2 34 1991 1 17 12 2 28 42 1991 4 3 687 150 5 1998 7 400 90% 95% 1998 10 31 1998 12 17 911 4

5 2003 3 20 4 11 55 A 12 2004 1.

6 2003 3930 40% 911 2002 6 20 2.

7 3. 4.

8 80%

9 1 1300 2 GDP 20% 50% 60% 19992001 90% GDP 2 2002 2000 2003 3 23

10 7 2003 3 55% 2004 2003 3 20 1 2 3

11 3 20 5 1 WTO WTO

12 911 2000 911

13 51 687 1441 1441 51 911 911

14 21 6 500

100 2003 5 1 20 70 1973 1979 12 1979 12 2426 280 5000 1980 2 1985 12 1980 2 4 6 1986 1 1989 2 15

130 500 150 5 450 2003 10 26 10 9 10 14 3 10 10 26 1 17 30 2 15 20 60 16

2003 9 1 2003 11 2 60 16 20 11 1 11 1 3 2003 12 13 2003 12 14 17

18 15 2003 11 3

911 911 911 911 4000 911

20 400 2003 10 6000 21

21

1. 2002 1% 40 / 2003 2 2002 2. 3. 2002 400 7% 2003 270 241. 2 22

911 2003 2003 2003 11 23 300 400 10 19 2000 911 1. 4 1998 21 2002 10 2003 8 2002 10 911 2002 10 23

24 2003 911 911 1812 911

911 20 80 1. 20 80 20 80 1986 1 2. 20 90 20 90 1990 1 70 1996 3. 20 90 20 90 1997 25

26 1998 2001 4. 911 2001 911 2002 2 21 911

27 911 911 1. 911 2. 2004 4000 20 22 3000

28 3. 4.

29 911

2001 16% 1% 2001 0. 11% 1999 1 /5 1 /5 1960 30: 1 1990 60: 1 1997 74: 1 30

31 911 911 911

32

58 1 1 1 2003 2003

34 12 3 20 3 23

58 2003 8 19 4 30 20 1483 1500 2003 5 22 1483 35

36 2003 10 10 10% 2000 20 90 1992

37 2003 1648 2000 1483 2 7

38 2003 51 1981 1 1 17 40

39 2003 20 30 2

1998 2000 4 1950 1965 8 31 6 10 1965 1973 18 27 54 1997 40

2002 2003 2003 5 2003 9 9 8 2003 58 20 41

90 25% 20% 1. 15 24 5 1 4 5 5 10 2003 3 20 10 5 1 42

43 2 3 2. 1 2 3 3. 2 3 4. 1. 2.

44 3. 4. 5. 2003 7

45

911 2002 6 1 2002 9

47 911 911 911 911

48 50 31% 2003 1520 3000

49 911 2004 5 3000

50 2002 7 2008

51 3000 2003 10 2 12 12 12

52 2002 7

53

54 20 80

55 2002 6 10% 50%

56 9 11 1962 20 60 1983 10 25 1989 12 20

57

130 Europe 13 17 1713 1925

1946 9 1949 1951 4 18 1957 3 25 1965 4 8 1991 12 11 15 1973 1981 1 1 10 1986 1 1 12 1995 15 2003 4 10 2004 5 1 25 60

2004 10 2001 12 15 105 25 2002 2 28 25 50 61

2003 5 26 105 400 148 2003 6 20 2003 10 2004 6 2003 10 4 15 10 3 1957 2002 1 1 12 62

1969 3 1971 3 10 1979 3 1989 6 1991 1999 1 1 7 1994 12 15 1998 5 11 1999 1 1 1 4 2002 1 1 2 28 CFSP 1969 12 63

European Political Cooperation EPC 20 70 EPC Common Foreign and Security Policy CFSP CFSP CFSP 1997 6 18 CFSP CFSP 2001 2001 CFSP CFSP 35 1995 36 64

CFSP CFSP 1998 12 1999 6 2000 2000 11 13 1999 12 2003 5 6 60 2000 12 2001 911 2001 12 1415 3000 4000 CFSP 65

2003 4 29 2003 5 19 6 2003 3 6 9 29 74% 440 200 80% 50% 66

30% 25 20 2 10 1 30 10 8 5 4 3 2 87 62 CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP 67

CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP CFSP 68

1993 5 180 490 90 250 1 /2 1% 2850 3. 2% 1650 2. 1% 60% 911 125 2% 7000 69

70 1618 1607 13 1620 20 20 50 911 1996 ESDI

71 ESDI 911

72 D De-linking Duplication Discrimination I D Improvements Inclusiveness Indivisibility D I 2002 9 11 2003 10 15

73 GDP 20%

50 74

2003 2003 10 16 30 1978 2002 9. 4% 2002 10 1978 32 2001 6 2002 1993 9 75

76 1100 1800 WTO 13

1 /7 1 /5 1 /2 1 /4 1 /2 2 /3 3% 7% 36 18 5% 35 7% 3% 14 15 21 77

78 20 90 19 1990 1992

79 2002 7 650 2020 1000 40 20 90 2002

80 WTO 20 90 40 2. 07 3. 69 12 1993 911 WTO 2001 7

WTO 2008 2002 1 10 2000 GDP 2002 81

1997 2001 2002 4 10 GDP 5 % 63% 16% 37% 60% 82

2003 11 2003 1990 2000 15 15 20% 10% 2003 11 700 32 4% 2002 GDP 17. 5% 2003 11 CEO 83

84 2001 21 WTO 911 5 2. 5

3 1 /3 2 67 5 88 1 /4 1 1990 1379 1998 2 5 GDP 9% 85

2002 3 19 9 40 43 1000 200 1000 14 18 200 9 10 200 17 13 10 9 6 3 10 10% 3% 3000 21 21 86

GDP 18% 25% 400 72 50 2030 21% 30 1922 34 41 46 29 30 35 50 21 87

20 90 2003 2003 2003 10 25 7

89 2004 20 90 90 70% 710 1998 2003 7 10 7 7 10

90 25% 50% 250 20 2000 2003 5 2004 2004

1998 20% 1 /3 2003 2003 7. 2% 3. 6% 16 12% 2. 5% 50% 483 14. 6% 25. 5% 939 285 8 646 34% 2003 5. 9% 6. 3% 2003 5 2020 2003 2 6 18% 16% 91

2001 2003 2 7 8 2010 2003 50% 2002 20032005 12% 13% 92

93 911 2003 5 300

94 2003 5 911

95 911 9 11 2002 5 911 2002 5 17002200 2002 5 20 11 7

96 911 2000 1975 1 /3 70% 2001 2002 2003

97 1993 2002 10 2004 2002 2002 1 2003 10

98 2002 5 2002 4 2001 4300 2003 9

1994 2003 3 2003 5 7 1500 2003 6 8 18 9 9 8000 1600 25 3800 40 99

56% 2010 20% 30% 2000 3000 100

20 90 90 2003 11 9 23 10 5

2005 11 40 2003 48 49 8 9 59. 3 1998 2001 1989 1992 102

103 2003 10 1997 50 50

20 50 2000 4 2001 2002 8 2001 2002 2003 4 40 2001 4 2003 10 8 2004 2003 10 17 19 49 3 2003 7 1879 104

815 1975 8 15 1978 1981 1997 2003 2 236 236 20 1999 2003 84 3 720 140. 4 105

2003 10 2001 2002 1. 6% 2003 2003 49 50576 0. 8% 3. 9% 2003 7 2004 47. 6 19. 7 2003 5550 13 20 90 1998 2001 3 19922000 7200 1993 13 2002 52. 4 8% 2002 4 106

2002 4 2003 3 620 215 2003 5 170 35 20 90 1997 2002 2010 2003 10 4 2004 2002 107

10 + 3 2141 227 132 2003 2 2002 WTO 2003 APEC 2005 108

109 2003 2003 10 2004 2003 10 24 2004 15

110 2005 2007 35 1. 1895 1900 1972 2002 2256 2.

21 WHO 2003 10 31 11 11 3. 2003 9 1 2003 15 4. 111

ODA 2002 474 20 90 1992 ODA 2003 8 29 ODA 2004 15 50 5 10 3 2001 2003 5 2002 12 2003 6 112

40 50 75 10 1947 9 911 2003 2003 6 7 8 5 2003 2003 410 113

8 29 2004 1423 2006 2007 2010 11 114

1. 7 300 170 2 1 3500 10 43 1600 2. 1991 GDP 10 6% 1998 6. 6% 19981999 19971998324 336 116

3. 7% 2. 5 21 5 8% 10 2020 3. 0. 9% 3329 30 1998 30 114. 5 1998 3 19 117

20 90 911 1996 2000 15% 9% 18% 20012002 13% 60. 4% 2001 4 15 4 20 2002 1 19 2 6 118

20 80 1. 1998 2001 NMD 9 11 11 2002 2003 5 NMD 1998 119

2. 1998 2000 2001 12 560 2003 9 1998 2004 3. 1993 2001 60 2002 2003 120

1998 8 24 10 24 12 15 2000 4 2000 2 28 11 2001 1 2000 7 11 2001 2 273 2003 2001 2003 8 2004 6 20 121

122 9 4 2003 4 18 5 3 2003 6

123 137 60 2002 21 1. 1949 1954 10 1962 1979 1988 1998 1999 2002

2. 1996 21 1998 2000 50 2001 2002 1 2003 4 6 1991 2. 64 2002 50 1991 20 30% 2003 1 5 70% 1 2002 100 2003 2005 124

125 1988 1962

126 1996 2003 8 IL 78 5% 60%

1. 2003 3 1 10. 27 16% 1550 1 /5 2025 15. 3 1970 0. 254 114 82 1995 0. 446 174 139 3 38% 2. 7% 2. 127

128 20 90 24 3 83% 11%

129 1992 2001 1998 5 21

20 13 11 1 7 15 19 400 1917 1947 11 181

1948 5 14 1949 1956 1967 1973 150 1973 1978 9 242 1979 3 1982 1991 10 14 1994 10 1994 5 5 1995 9 1995 11 1996 0. 9% 1997 1 1998 10 1999 4 29 132

1999 5 1999 9 2000 2 9 2000 5 6 2 5 7 1125 2000 12 1923 2001 1 1 20 2000 9 28 2003 5 3100 2400 2001 2001 3 911 2002 6 24 6 30 1967 2002 12 1 2003 5 2 6 133

12 2003 32005 2003 2 3 4 30 5 6 6 4 6 7 7 8 2003 8 19 1996 8 30 9 9 10 1 10 4 134

19 8 10 11 1. 2000 1967 2000 12 2. 60% 2% 135

3. 1991 10 6 8 19 8 19 9 6 7 4. 1948 5 14 1996 6 2002 1996 6 0. 9% 2002 2003 2 /3 2003 1 /3 2003 5 6 8 19 2003 11 136

137 5. 2003 9 27 1. 1999 2. 6 4

2003 5 2003 11 2 10 8 2004 3. 2003 5 100 15 5 14 400 5 300 4. 1967 138

1. 911 19932000 2001 2001 3 9 911 911 2002 6 911 2002 6 12 2002 12 2003 4 2003 3 2. 400 150 139

20 20 90 3. 1993 2003 5 2003 12 2005 4. 2003 6 6 3 9 1. 2001 2003 4 4 10 140

141 2004 2. 2003 5 19 5 4 5 3. 911 50% 4. 2000

2000 10 22 11 2003 9 20 5 2003 9 2002 2003 3 2003 4 4 29 2003 5 6 9 142

21% 35% 29% 22% 2% 6 2003 10 50% 2002 7 19 20 80 7 20 1998 9 2003 9 7 143

2002 2002 7 2003 5 7 1. 9 2. 2003 9 144

1994 2003 9 18 10 11 2 10 1996 11 4 3. 2003 9 27 10 7500 59% 11 2003 6 70% 11 6000 145

146

2003 4 30 2002 70 1000 1.

148 2. 3. 4. 911 2002 1 29 2003 10

2003 2003 1 5 20 70 3 5 15 40 3 6 21 160 5 12 30 5 12 3 10 5 16 5 44 6 11 17 100 7 4 3 50 7 5 20 40 8 1 50 60 8 5 10 150 8 7 11 40 8 19 22 8 19 24 149

8 25 46 150 8 29 125 142 9 9 8 7 10 27 33 11 8 3 20 100 2003 2002 2003 2002 150

151 911 2002 40 2003 10

2003 50 15 1 /10 911 50 3000 2000 1 3. 5 200 152

153 911 2003 911

500 1999 150 200 2002 2003 10 15 2003 11 7 20 90 154

155 1993 1996 2001 911 911 911

156 911

157

2003 12 5 17 300 7 1300 30 7 16 19 16

159 17 7 13 14 16 17 4050 2

160 12 17 18 1785 6 18161827 1834 20

161 19 1917 1920 1921 1923 1922 11 1923 1

1925 89 1925 2 3000 5 1934 2 1936 1944 40 162

3745 3078 1957 20 60 1958 1972 14 11. 5 6 1 300 1. 2 163

20 80 150 53% 12% 1991 819 819 1991 10 27 14 6 1992 1. 7 60 164

1994 711 1994 11 29 48 12 11 11 19951996 1996 3 4 23 8 8 5 2001 1996 10 165

1997 1 20 3 4 35 1997 1 1999 9 1200 300 10 2000 1. 3 2001 1. 1 2002 1. 3 2003 3 95% 166

167 2003 10 911

168 10 30 2003 35

21 2003 11 5 1948 1972 1983 20 6 2003 11 10 1993 1993 20 80 90

170 20 80 90 2000

171 20 90 1 250

172 4000 200 170 1990 20

173

174 21 20 90 10 21 21 21 50% 300 21 911

175 8% 30%

176 21

177 20 90 20 1995 2000

19 80 20 80 90 21 19 80 1990 2001 200 162 440 50 178

179 100 10 2003 11 20 80 10

180 1 2 1 800 10 2 3 4 5 6

181 1. 2. 3.

182 10 4. 5. 70 50 20

183

1945

1968 1976 7 1978 1985 1991 1972 1996 154 20 70 186

187 24 1967 5 1979 1995 1972 1996 1999

188 2003 1968

189 1998 5 7

190 34 10 3 153 44

191

192 10 5

193

194

195 911

2003 3 40 7 20 60

23 30 60 5 1979 6 1974 1300 1979 935 12 60% 75% 19741977 10 1975 10% 1974 1970 1979 197

198 1992 1995 2002 10 5 20 10 2020 6000 20 90 2002 8

12 2003 2 9 2 21 160 75 2005 5000 1000 10 1991 3 19 199

200 911 911 1988 290 1979

201 1994 1988 1998 5

202 2003 9 12

203 10 937 9%

204 24 16% 58% 2003 6 10

205 2003 2 2003 2003 6 4

206 11 6 7 20

207 70 1979 7 20 50 20 70 1977

208 1979 1998 CNN 1953 1979 1993 2000

209 2003 11

210 10 1998

2002 10 3 1 2000 10

212 3 2002 10 21 2002 2002 10 3 5

2002 10 16 2000 5 6 2001 1 7 2002 8 20 90 2002 7 213

214 1993 10 2002 2002 9 17 1993 1994 10

215 2002 1994 50 2003

216 2003 2002 2003 1 28

1994 50 KEDO 2002 11 14 12 2002 12 6 2003 20 90 2003 40 3 2002 12 12 12 21 8000 1000 5MW 2002 IAEA 2003 2 5 2003 12 23 U 2 217

EP 3 RC 12 RC7B 2002 12 190 1800 NPT 2003 2003 1 10 NPT IAEA 1 11 NPT NPT 4 9 6 B 12 B 1 6 5 2003 2006 110 6 218

6 11 7 1994 2003 2003 11 21 2003 2003 12 1 11 26 219

220 2003 200 6 12 1

221 2000 615 2002 10 50 2003 4 8

222 2003 2 8

223 APEC 10 1. 2. 3. 2003

224 2003 1 13 2004

3 40% 1 21 2003 10 1300 8 50 2003 10 54 10 21 20 90 14 5

4 20 1% 57% 21 49 6. 3 10% 1% 2. 5 235 20% 20% 40 30: 1 80: 1 5700 16000 20% 20% 4. 5% 3 48 1 /5 1 30 2 1820 3 1990 13 3 40% 1 1000 3 13000 20000 270 100 228

10% 19% 10% 50% 59% 80% 90% 100 580 1200 1000 400 7000 3. 6 30% 10% 60 11 24 300 3 /4 6000 2 2000 77 50 97% 46 % 67% 5% 50% 70% 21 229

2000 2001 11 2002 6 56 2003 1992 Digital Divide 18% GDP 20% GDP 100 500 95% 5% 6 5000 1 /5 GDP 86% 7 93% 1 /5 GDP 1. 2% 230

0. 2% 300 16 97% 23% 1 /3 2003 1000 46. 5 40. 7 87. 5% 2001 32. 1 29. 9 2. 2 231

1980 1100 2000 3340 11% 4 5 5 35% 40% 3340 232

49 10 45% 30% 0. 33% 0. 24% 0. 7% 0. 1% 24 2001 1990 20 90 0. 24% 0. 7% 1995 184 2000 110 233

234 21 21 21

21 21 21 1990 2000 552 386 2001 0. 7% 1999 36 1000 235

236 2003 9 20 80

2003 2003 11 6 20 2003 10 1. 5 1 1990 33% 2000 16% 10 01 0 l 0. 2 0. 20. 3 0. 30. 4 0. 4 237

0. 4 0. 6 0. 6 1978 0. 210. 24 0. 160. 18 0. 39 0. 39 0. 40 0. 467 0. 445 0. 4 0. 445 20 2003 100 76 10 40 100 9 6 8. 74% 60% 20% 55% 20 90 100 1993 500 5000 1995 100 300 238

239

240 WTO

2001 2001 11 2005 1 2003 9

WTO 2003 6 2 38 2004 9 4 5 1. 9 13 2. 1996 242

243 1995 1995 110 144 10 2001 1947 19861993 1964

6 1 6 1986 1993 1996 1999 11 2003 9 2001 11 40 100 20 60 70 80 90 20 60 244

70 90 2003 1975 2002 5 2003 6 5 11 2003 9 1014 2001 5 2003 9 184 2003 10 26 1997 245

1999 6 85% 2 /3 1999 2000 2001 2002 APEC 1993 APEC APEC 2003 11 APEC 9 APEC 1. 100 WTO 246

2. 100 100 77 52 30 63% 51% 20% 26% 17% 1. 17% 18% 17% 20% 1993 1997 1999 2 100% 2001 2001 7 1 2006 1 1 247

20 80 1998 1998 2000 7 35% 80% 5 2003 2. 20 60 70 1997 40 2002 3 3 30% 2003 11 8500 2003 5 1971 248

30 360: 1 240: 1 1985 20 90 80 90 FTA 2003 FTA 1999 2002 1 2002 3 30 20 2003 11 249

250 34 WTO WTO 100 1999 12 1999 2001 11 2003

251 20 90 90

20 90 10

2004 2003 6000 6% 6 6. 4% 9 10 5 1999 10 2003 15 30 1999 2003 1% 2 6 7 11 2001 5. 0% 2002 5. 4% 2003 5. 0% 3 4 5. 8% 2004 15 25 2% 3 2. 75% 2. 5% 253

2003 1% 8% 2003 1% 2003 1% 12 10% 0. 25 1955 1997 1998 2000 2003 SARS 2003 GDP 8. 5% 9. 1% 2002 12 2003 1 2 254

255 1985 3 2003 1 6 16 10 9 1015

2003 4 30% 2003 4 50% 43 2002 22% 3000 2003 7% 8% 2003 4000 2002 500 256

257 1994 1997 5% 1. 5% 10% 15% GDP 20 90 90

10 20 90 80 90 2003 2 2003 3 20 2003 10 2003 4 10 2004 5 1 15 25 20% 5% 258

1965 1985 30% 20 80 250: 1 90 80: 1 2 90 90 1985 1971 259

1971 8 1971 12 10 1 360 1 308 17% 80 250: 1 20 60 80 1985 20 90 260

261 20 GDP 2002 1 4000 2002

262 N N 8 2003 300

20 19000 68% 14% 7% 4. 8% 4. 27% 1 2618 25% 1125 10. 9% 9. 5% 9. 1% 8. 7%

48 33. 4% 12% 1. 2 1993 500 1900 1500 2000 774 295 240 92 54 124 490 500 73 31. 54 1350 140 45% 30% 1960 11 11 78% 40% 55% 7 264

25% / BP / 1907 130 10 BP 2002 500 100 7000 135000 2003 4 265

9 5 2003 7840 25. 4% 7. 1% 7% 60. 5% 2003 2004 1 /3 2004 110 2 3 /5 7 / / 266

267 51% 60% 99% 25% 2002 911 20 90 10 2003 1979

Azadegan 260 50 60 2003 20% 29% 19% 20 90 2003 8 Gazprom Rosneft Kurmangazy 268

25 300 3 15 / 64% 11 2004 11 20042005 20062010 20112015 2015 1. 5 1. 7 700 750 2005 50 2010 100 2015 110 2003 6 3. 1 269

3100 1200 1000 2000 / 2002 104. 5 7. 4% 35% 10% 20 16% 2005 20% 2005 22 270

2003 6 7 2003 9 29 99 50 5 10 30 2003 2003 9 350 2 /3 6. 6 3. 5 30 250 8 2 271

2010 2003 11 4. 6% 2002 3. 796 40% 2003 5 2020 2010 4. 45 4. 9 3000 25 7 50 4000 272

20 90 1994 1996 2001 9 2003 1 6 75 2003 9 12 2003 10 2002 2003 273

30% 2007 274

2003 542 5 3 5060 14 40 250 2 /3 10 3 /4 3 300 19 20 30 60 40 1918 3 150

800 1918 11 2000 4000 50 1957 H 2 N 2 1968 H 3 N 2 1977 H 1 N 1 1997 12 H 5 N 1 1831 14 1865 1875 1961 140 350 1992 10 1882 6500 1981 5 4000 2000 2001 2 30 400 90 20 1918 2000 16 276

300 27000 20 20 40 1995 20 20 1981 6 5 5 20 20 2003 11 2003 4000 277

2003 500 300 AIDS HIV HIV HIV 5 30% 3 5 100% 1. 75% 85% 80% 10% 10% 2. 50% 3. 1 /3 3 278

20 1981 12 15 155 1997 240 73% 90% 2040 25 30 2003 6000 14 95% 2% 30% 2003 300 230 15 24 2. 5 40% 0. 5% 11% 500 2500 1200 2003 740 100 50 30 300 600 10 279

1% 10 30 2003 7 6. 9 1. 02 2003 7 8800 1600 2002 5% 70% 84 8 2003 200 10 2003 100 50 10 1981 1991 10 2400 1% 50% 1 62 1 14 2 8387 1. 89 3 46 1 /3 30% 90% 2040 20 1 /3 2000 280

4340 2015 3870 2000 4000 10% 60% 1981 1985 2003 84 8 2003 6 7593 30% 2010 1000 281

61. 6% 9. 4% 8. 4% 1. 6% 0. 3% 18. 7% 20 90 23 10% 20% 60% 2002 8 2001 6 3. 5 12 7000 2002 8 4. 8 22 1. 44 1. 3 10 7400 700010000 34198 3000 2000 10 2000 12 2001 8 7 1984 282

3% 5% 20 80 25% 20% 10% 90 2001 4 20% 70% 30% 50% 1 /3 10 17500 8 10 30% 283

284 1996 6

285

20 60 1912 1925 1936 1961 1971

287 1988 1996 158 146 137 1997 357 1973

95% 1 20 20 60 1995 50% 1 /4 50% 20 70 20 90 2 300 3 21% 23% 25% 20 80 90 288

289 600 10% 20 90 20 90 30 14 20 80

290 1. 8

291 5000 1994 1995 24 1993 1997 10%

292 20 80 157 1 1 108 1536 3491 19

10000 10% 1000 10% 20% 50% 100% 300% 1 10 1 225000 100 10% 1300 3000 800 293

294 1220 850

1981 12 1987 6 17 26 6 26 1990 2 20 10 10 1998 6 20 2008 10 21 29 11 7 1992 295

296 30

298 20 2004 1 E-mail jinxin365@163. com