...1...5...6...7...9...21...28...31...34...41...46...54...59...74...79...82...86 89 94
1993 1984 33 1993 49 1995 1999 72 liquid egg 1-1 540 1,260 100 300 1986 310 525 835 1
2 1-1 1986
1979 1986 quart 946c.c. pint 473c.c. half 236.5 c.c. ( 1999) 1986 WTO WTO 5.54% 20.02% 12.90% 3
10 30 40 1998 1995 1998 4
5
1999 7 2000 6 2000 1 6 6
3-1 Probit Logit 1-2 Logit Probit binary data Logit Probit 7
8
1995 1999 11,262 40.22% 28.7 26.27 4.28 0.52 2000 1990 2-1 2,239 1999 3,524 57 1990 4,032 1999 7,274 86.7 2001 2-1 ( ) / 1990 2,239 4,032 23.47 5,121 1991 2,301 3,895 21.85 4,982 1992 2,396 4,755 27.10 7,513 1993 2,474 4,916 24.67 7,252 1994 2,755 5,201 27.02 8,160 1995 2,851 5,719 26.55 8,830 1996 3,146 6,139 27.74 10,344 1997 3,368 7,104 23.35 10,037 1998 3,460 7,158 28.11 12,927 1999 3,524 7,274 28.82 12,708 2000 2-2 1997 1,077 1999 1,049 9
1991 1999 2-3 (86.7 ) 7.2% 2001 1991 189.5 1999 330.1 74 2-2 1 1 4 4 10 10 1997 135 810 106 26 1077 1998 114 805 118 30 1067 1999 105 790 123 31 1049 2001 2-3 1991 1996 1999 3,895,379 6,139,072 7,274,451 20,557 21,471 22,034 2001 43.62 36.16 79.78 2000 2001 10
11 1997 2-4 45.92 42.95 6.67 4.45 61.26 45.92 15.34 17.99 17.28 17.05 2-1 82.09 37.53 36.00 1992 2-5 42.64 26.25 19.17 6.21 5.33 1992 2001
2-4 1997 42.95 45.92 4.45 6.67 100.0 15.34 11.28 0.16 10.64 0.28 1.06 4.16 42.95 17.99 17.28 17.05 1.32 6.90 0.73 61.26 18.09 1.64 0.02 5.65 3.66 0.20 29.27 2.44 37.53 0.02 39.99 36.00 36.00 42.95 61.26 29.27 39.99 36.00 1.62 16.05 82.09 0.22 1997 45.92 61.26 17.99 11.28 29.27 1.06 6.90 5.65 16.04 100.00 42.95 6.67 15.34 42.95 17.05 10.64 36.00 0.73 4.16 0.28 1.32 1.64 3.66 37.53 2.44 0.02 36.00 82.09 1.62 4.45 17.28 0.16 39.99 18.09 0.02 0.20 0.23 2-1 1997 12
2-5 1992 19.17 6.21 42.64 26.25 5.33 100.0 96.34 0.12 2.93 0.61 100.0 51.40 15.49 66.89 71.84 15.85 5.73 93.42 0.0047 60.37 17.32 0.04 77.73 0.06 99.79 99.85 1992 2-2 2000 2-2 2000 2-3 1998 13 13
1994 1998 b 1994 2-3 1994 1998 1998 a 14
Mr. Morten Ernst 2000 ( 1992) 2-6 2000 1994 1997 1998 68.46 / 13.7 / 15
/ / 2001 1983 1995 60 25 50 4 4 24 4 16
WTO 342 2000 WTO 2-7 2002 40 1999 1999 2-7 1992 2002 19.7 13.2 33.0 10.9 44.7 15.6 11.9 23.7 10.0 35.9 29.9 20.0 33.1 17.7 40.8 20.6 14.1 31.6 12.0 41.7 1998 1994 SWOPSIM(Static World Policy Simulation) 17
( 2000) 1995 2000 WTO WTO WTO 1999 WTO 1996 342 9 139 8 182 17 21 2 2004 542 14 200 12 317 29 25 3 WTO 90 1989 2000 WTO 1999 2004 18
19 20.31 11.85 1995 2,800 WTO 3% (Table egg) WTO
CAS ( b 1998) 20
1995 2-8 1995 1999 22 900 700 1999 270 2 1998 2-8 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 4,302 4,548 4,763 4,855 4,889 2,248 2,508 2,676 2,730 2,743 641 653 670 697 720 264 259 267 274 276 951 933 948 947 940 FAO 2000 1999 4,825 2-9 1998 73 27 2-4 21
1983 2-4 1998 1999 255.3 27,610 21,500 2-10 1998 Anonymous 2000 1993 quarter 946ml (pint 473ml) 1994 1998 22
1997 65 Anonymous 2000 (Lysozme) 85 3 2.5 1993 2-9 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 13,700 15,946 17,358 17,855 17,855 4,417 4,528 4,598 4,724 4,825 2,551 2,567 2,552 2,526 2,520 1,876 1,770 1,824 1,803 1,803 1,500 1,547 1,612 1,683 1,732 1,242 1,236 1,329 1,461 1,592 1,415 1,450 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,025 994 1,009 1,009 1,044 836 842 850 856 860 721 742 757 751 751 FAO 2000 1999 17,855 2-9 1999 4,889 40 1991 2000 8 23
1/3 USDA 2001 d 2-10 93.8 2-10 1 1 1 16 / 145.9 115.8 107.9 103.0 102.0 101.4 93.8 77.8 26.8 22.7 29.5 24.7 26.8 18.5 26.4 18.5 79.0 77.0 79.1 73.4 70.3 58.0 32.5 46.0 453.2 359.2 356.4 368.5 359.3 250.9 168.3 225.0 1998 5.44 5.10 3.66 4.17 3.81 5.48 3.55 4.21 1998 1999 1980 5 USDA 2001 a 1998 1999 2,520 ( 2-9) 3.51 (The International Egg Commission) 24
62.5 403 55 24 21 60 80 1998 a 30 HACCP 55 20 25 2-5 2-5 1992 1995 1995 75 1996 25
90 1 4 35 20 1997 15 1997 44 968 17.9 26,500 48 9,443 2.1 19.4 1998 b 2000 17,911.7 2,233.9 11,573.5 93.2 4,104.3 USDA 2001 bc 1998 b 22 45 10.7 22 6.3 13 80 30 25 36,000 18,000 1 8 1998 26
1998 1998 27
N L N 1 N L Ni = N L i =1 i n i n n = n i ( 1993) ( Strata ) ( Sub-population ) ( 1987) 1984 ( 1987) L i =1 3-1 22 400 28
3-1 435 138 48 15 113 35 8 4 125 39 118 37 93 29 50 15 4 4 254 80 13 4 1,261 400 - n N N n 1 N n N n 1990-100 2,300 29
(Likert Scale) 1-5 - - 30
reliability Cronbach α 0.80 0.70 Cronbach α 0.70 0.98 0.35 1997 Cronbach α K 1 σ i α = ( 2 ) K 1 (3-1) σ t 2 K i 2 : t 2 : 31
Cronbach α 0.75 0.91 WTO Cronbach α 0.5 3-2 ( validity ) 3-2 Cronbach α 0.822487 0.754693 0.917356 0.812044 0.525767 ( content validity ) ( criteria-related validity ) ( construct validity ) ( 1993) ( concurrent validity ) ( predictive validity ) 32
( convergent validity ) ( discriminate validity ) Multitrait & multimethod 33
SAS SHAZAM Excel descriptive statistics 1995 (Market Building Method) Q = Q1 + Q2 + Λ + Qi + Λ + Qn i = 1, Λ, n (3-2) Q Q i i Q n n 34
1995 (Analysis of Variance ANOVA) total variation (explained variation) (unexplained variation) F F 1995 Duncan Duncan s Multiple-ranking Test F Duncan k n 1995 R k 1 = r k MSE (3-3) n R k least significant range MSE 2 n k least significant studentized range MSE Duncan 35
0 1 qualitative response model 0 1 OLS binary d distribution heteroskedasticity Logit Probit Probit Logit Probit Logit Probit Logit ( maximum likelihood estimation ) P ( y i = 1) = F ( X i β ο ) i = 1, Κ, n (3-4) { yi} 0 1 36
p( yi = 1) y i 1 xi β ο F Probit logistic distribution Logit ( )Probit Probit Z i 2 P = F( Z ) = (1 2n) exp( s 2) ds i i (3-5) P 1 (X i ) 0 1 F 1 [ P 1 ( X i )] =α + βx i (3-6) X y i = 1 ' F ( β X i ) ' = φ ( β X i X ) β (3-7) X i 3-6 m L = π F( α + βx ) π [1 F( α + βx i= 1 i n i= m+ 1 i )] (3-8) 37
m ln L = π ln F( α + βx ) π ln[1 F( α + βx i= 1 i n i= m+ 1 i )] (3-9) Probit linear probability function Pindyck & Rubinfeld 1991 Probit Logit ( )Logit Logit Berkson 1944 Logistic logit 0 1 Logit P i Z i = F ( Z ) = 1 (1 + e ) (3-10) i P 1 ( X i ) f ( x ) ( α + β x i ) e e = = f ( x ) ( α + β x i ) (3-11) 1 + e 1 + e e 2.718 e α +βx i = P 1 1i P 1i (3-12) 3-10 ln 1 P 1i P 1 i = α + βx i (3-13) 38
X y i = 1 Pi X i Pi = ln P (1 P ) i i ln Pi (1 Pi ) = βp i X i (1 P ) i (3-14) y i =1 0 1 Probit Logit Probit Logit Logit Probit ( slightly heavier tails )( Kementa 1990) Logistic 2 /3 Logit 3 1/2 / 0.625 Probit Logit 1.6 Probit Greene 1993 1995 Greene 1993 Likelihood ratio test (j) j-1 2 ( Lmax log 0) 2logλ = 2 log L (3-15) -2logLmax -2logL0 39
( 2 ) H 0 (null hypothesis) prediction success table 0 1 0 N 11 N12 N + N22 = 11 1 N N 21 22 (3-16) 3-7 3-14 k k 1 Judge et al. 1988 1995 E F( X X β) k ' K X = (3-17) F ( X k ' β) X X k K 40
1999 7 2000 6 2000 400 2000 41
4-1 137 2 0 4 0 5 1 3 15 167 20 125 22 74 93 11 156 230 271 167 42
4-2 145 22 74 93 11 156 167 145 20 13.8 125 86.2 74 43 58.1 26 35.1 5 6.8 43
4-3 5 5 1 1 1 5 1 5 44
4-4 2 D.F. P 19.4318 3 0.0012** 15.0359 8 0.0347** 11.3373 3 0.0075** 1.7894 1 0.3426 ** 0.05 - Mail Survey 390 90 23 - Telephone Interview 1011 45
1999 1998 1.7 2000 1993 1998 b (Likert Scale) 46
1-5 4-5 3.0 5 4-5 4-6 4-7 ( ) 4-5 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.8 47
1. 4.0 a 2. 3.8 ab 3. 3.8 ab 4. 3.8 ab 5. 3.8 ab 6. 3.7 b 7. 3.2 c 8. 2.8 d 9. 2.7 d 1. 3.9 a 2. 3.8 a 3. 3.8 a 4. 3.5 b 5. 3.0 c 6. 3.0 c 7. 2.9 c 8. 2.7 cd 9. 2.6 d 10. 11. 2.3 e 1.7 f 1. 3.1 a 1.2 2. 2.8 ab 1.3 3. 4. 5. 6. 2.7 ab 2.6 bc 2.4 cd 2.2 d 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.3 7. 2.2 d 1.3 Duncan s Multiple-ranking Test 5 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.8 4-6 5 48
4-6 1 2 3 4 5 Prob= 0.407 15.82 1.90 27.22 4.43 20.89 3.80 12.66 4.43 6.33 2.53 * 0.006 6.33 0.63 8.23 3.80 15.82 6.96 11.39 3.16 41.14 2.53 * 0.041 7.59 0.63 10.13 2.53 17.09 5.70 30.38 6.96 17.72 1.27 * 0.045 3.80 1.27 10.76 2.53 17.72 6.96 10.76 3.16 39.87 3.16 * 0.043 5.06 0 7.59 0.63 16.46 3.16 29.75 10.76 24.05 2.53 * 0.038 0 3.80 8.23 0.63 13.29 1.27 22.78 7.59 34.81 7.59 0.101 5.06 0.63 31.65 2.53 24.05 6.33 13.4 5.06 8.86 2.53 * 0.006 8.23 1.27 13.92 1.90 16.46 3.16 21.52 7.60 22.78 3.16 0.405 12.66 0 24.68 1.27 33.54 2.53 8.23 9.50 3.80 3.80 * 5 ( ) 4-5 1.7 49
( ) 4-5 2.2 3.1 ( ) 167 74 93 36 38.7% 57 61.3% 36 4-7 4.3 4.2 4-7 50
1. 4.3 a 2. 4.2 ab 0.8 1.0 3. 4.0 abc 0.8 4. 3.5 bcd 5. 3.5 cd 6. 3.2 d 0.9 0.8 1.0 Duncan s Multiple -ranking Test 5 ( ) WTO 167 71 42.5 96 57.5 96 96.9% 71 4-8 WTO 51
WTO 4.4 a 0.7 4.1 a 1.0 3.6 b 1.1 Duncan s Multiple-ranking Test 5 1. 4.0 a 2.3.8 ab 3. 3.8 ab 4. 3.8 ab 5. 3.8 ab 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3.9 a 1.0 2. 3.8 a 1.1 3. 3.8 a 1.1 1. 3.1 a 1.2 2. 2.8 ab 1.3 1. 2. 3. 4.3 a 4.2 ab 4.0 abc 0.8 1.0 0.8 1. 4.4 a 2. 4.1 a 1.0 52
4-9 53
1-5 1-5 4-10 3.5 3.5 3 3.5 4-10 4.49 0.58 1 3.30 0.78 5 4.38 0.74 2 3.32 0.66 4 4.30 0.70 3 3.41 0.72 2 4.16 0.73 4 3.14 0.77 6 3.78 0.82 5 3.37 0.68 3 3.62 0.84 6 3.60 0.62 1 T 4-11 54
4-11 T T P-Value 1. 8.29 ** <0.0001 2. 7.55 ** <0.0001 3. 3.30 ** 0.0012 4. 9.19 ** <0.0001 5. 10.51 ** <0.0001 6. 0.11 0.9110 ** 0.05 4-12 0.85120 0.84084 0.66003 0.84466 0.81027 0.96148 2.57331 1.50193 1.08545 0.43 0.25 0.18 0.3 4-12 eigenvalue 1 2.57331 1.50193 55
1.08545 43 25 18 86 HACCP hazard analysis and critical control point EC 25 1998 140 F 4.5 145 F 4.5 40 F 2.5 1999 1979 1999 2000 56
2 3 2000 quart 946c.c. pint 473c.c. 4-13 32.0 / 33.3 48.8 / 26 / 14 / 2-6 167 42.5 71 57.596 57
4-13 / 28.0 32.0 36.0 32.0-30.0 34.0 36.0 33.3 14 32.5 54.0 60.0 48.8 26 2000 58
( ) 4-14 ( ) 3,553.5 3,158.8 15.3 11.3 10.8 12 60 2.6 0.6 282.1 3,464.3 17.9 71.3 89.64 7.94 59
2.03 4-14 / (1) (2) (3) (1)+(2)+(3) 3,158.8 15.3 11.3 3185.4 89.64 10.8 0 0 10.8 0.30 0 0 0 0 0 12.0 0 60.0 72.0 2.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.6 0 2.6 0.07 0.6 0 0 0.6 0.02 0 0 0 0 0 282.1 0 0 282.1 7.94 3,464.3 17.9 71.3 3,553.5 100.00 4-15 4,536.9 3,674.8 242.4 152.6 24 1.2 24 0.6 18 36 217.9 90 55.4 3,935.3 369.6 232.0 60
89.70 8.01 1.19 4-15 12.7 10.4 10.4 9.6 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 4-15 (1) (2) (3) (1)+(2)+(3) / 3,674.8 2,42.4 152.6 4,069.8 89.70 10.4 24.0 1.2 0 25.2 0.56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.0 24.0 0.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.2 0.6 0 0 0.6 0.01 0 18.0 36.0 0 54.0 1.19 0.7 217.9 90.0 55.4 363.3 8.01 0.4 3,935.3 369.6 232.0 4,536.9 100.00 12.7 1. 4-16 4-17 11,572.7 61
9,930.2 48.1 35.5 257.1 24 120 61.9 7.0 760 237.6 91.3 4-18 11,307.2 110.0 155.5 86.53 6.58 2.22 2.05 4-17 14,982.2 11,552.3 762.0 479.7 571.4 28.6 48 7.0 200 400 54.9 90 90 55.4 642.9 4-19 13,118.5 1,280.6 583.1 85.40 4.29 4.01 62
4-16 / % / 137 3,158.8 31.81 9,930.2 15.3 48.1 11.3 35.5 2 10.8 4.2 257.1 0 0 0 0 4 12.0 50.0 24.0 0 0 60.0 120.0 5 0 4.2 0 2.6 61.9 0 0 1 0.6 8.6 7.0 0 0 0 0 3 0 9.0 0 0 0 0 0 9 26.6 3.5 760.0 0 0 0 0 4 237.6 100.0 237.6 0 0 0 0 2 17.9 19.6 91.3 0 0 0 0 3,553.5 11,572.7 1. 100 15.6 12.5 66.7 2 100 % 3. 137 363 183 480 435 63
4-17 / % / 137 3,674.8 31.81 11,552.3 242.4 762.0 152.6 479.7 2 24.0 4.2 571.4 1.2 28.6 0 0 4 0 50.0 0 0 0 24.0 48.0. 5 0 4.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.6 8.6 7.0 0 0 0 0 3 18.0 9.0 200.0 36.0 400.0 0 0 9 1.9 3.5 54.9 0 0 0 0 4 90.0 100.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 55.4 55.4 2 126.0 19.6 642.9 0 0 0 0 4,536.9 14,982.2 1. 100 15.6 12.5 66.7 2 100 % 3. 137 363 183 480 435 64
4-18 / (1) (2) (3) (1)+(2)+(3) 9,930.2 48.1 35.5 10,013.8 86.53 257.1 0 0 257.1 2.22 24.0 0 120.0 144.0 1.24 0 61.9 0 61.9 0.54 7.0 0 0 7.0 0.06 0 0 0 0 0 760.0 0 0 760.0 6.58 237.6 0 0 237.6 2.05 91.3 0 0 91.3 0.79 11,307.2 110.0 155.5 11,572.7 100.00 4-19 / (1) (2) (3) 11,552.3 762.0 479.7 12,794.0 85.40 571.4 28.6 0 600.0 4.01 0 0 48.0 48.0 0.32 0 0 0 0 0 7.0 0 0 7.0 0.05 200.0 400.0 0 600.0 4.01 54.9 0 0 54.9 0.37 90.0 90.0 55.4 235.4 1.57 542.9 0 0 642.9 4.29 13,118.5 1,280.6 583.1 14,982.2 100.00 65
38 126.4 35 3 29 82.9 6 17.1 35 4-20 27 77.1 2 5.7 1 2.9 5 14.3 4-20 27 77.1 2 5.7 1 2.9 5 14.3 4-21 / % / 38 57,660 0.09 64,066.7 3 84 0.09 93.3 3 54 0.09 60.0 64,220.0 100% 2.1999 49,645 84.88 42,139 2000 3. 3 4. 66
57.66 84 54 4-21 64,066.7 93.3 60.0 4-22 98.6 1.0 0.4 72 7.1 939 92.9 58.9 38.3 2.9 78.3 20.5 1.0 0.2 4.9 15.6 25.9 50.5 3.0 67
68 4-22 997 10 4 98.6 1.0 0.4 939 72 92.9 7.1 595 387 29 58.9 38.3 2.9 792 207 10 2 78.3 20.5 1.0 0.2 511 262 158 50 30 50.5 25.9 15.6 4.9 3.0 1. 4-18 4-19 10,013.8 12,794.0 78 (22,807.8 )
2. 4-19 4-21 4-23 15,135.5 4-23 / (%) 12,794.0 84.53 600.0 3.96 48.0 0.32 0 0 7.0 0.05 600.0 3.96 54.9 0.36 235.4 1.56 642.9 4.25 153.3 1.01 15,135.5 100.00 3. 4-23 4-1 4.25 1.56 0.36 6.17 % 3.96% 1.01% 3.96% 0.05% 0.32% 84.53% 4-1 69
84.53 6.17 (4.25 ) 1.56 0.36 3.96 0.05 4-23 4. 38.7 4-18 4-19 17,494.39 33.36 1,323.17 3.32 643.28 10.32 5. + 70
4-21 (82.9%) 47,800.14 6. 58.9 7.9 7. 7 22,159,658 2000 8.55 22.3 7 4.6 a 365 22.3 4.6 a 1-91.45 365 231 8. 231 a 200 12 71
1000 231 a 22,159,658 2000 307,132.9 200 12 365 9. 58.9 38.3 a b a= 307,132.9 b= 117,631.9 10. 4-24 4-24 / 17,494.39 1,323.17 643.28 19,460.84 (26.79) (93.41) (91.47) 28.87 47,800.14 93.3 60.0 47,953.44 (73.21) (6.59) (80.53) 71.13 65,294.53 1,416.47 703.28 67,414.28 67,414.28 72
65,294.53 1,416.47 703.28 19,460.84 28.87 47,953.44 71.13 3.45 117,631.9 11. 1999 7,274,451 436467 15,135.5 3.47 67,414.28 14.45 30 73
SAS 2 SHAZAM Probit Logit ( ) 4-4 5 WILL 0 1 5 CAP 5 1 4 PRO PRO1~ PRO9 TABLE 500 1 4 WILL= 0 + 1 CAP+ 2 PRO1+ 3 PRO2+ 4 PRO3+ 5 PRO4+ 6PRO5+ 7 PRO6+ 8 PRO7+ 9 PRO8+ 10 PRO9+ 11 TABLE ( ) 4-6 WILL 0 1 4-24 S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 74
WILL= 0 + 1 S1+ 2 S2+ 3 S3+ 4 S4+ 5 S5+ 6 S6 4-25 4-25 S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 ( ) 4-26 Probit Logit 20.4153 21.6290 2 8 1 1.65 Probit Logit 57.78 57.49 Probit Logit t Probit Probit 53.01 t 2.3831 1 75
1 53.01 1 49.79 1 1.55 1.71 0.50 2.17 1.81-2.32 t -0.2427 1 2.32 4-26 Probit Logit t t a -0.88510-1.3490-41.21-0.91238-1.2669-21.52 0.41988 2.3831** 53.01 0.43001 2.3867* 54.91 1.19840 1.8398 49.79 1.23294 1.7304 45.95 0.75816 0.6791 1.55 0.78831 0.6868 1.59 0.27050 0.8184 1.71 0.72750 0.8862 1.83 0.12929 0.1004 0.50 0.14198 0.3761 1.25 0.43370 0.9996 2.17 0.41563 0.9498 1.96 0.89360 0.8509 1.81 0.98263 0.9026 1.91-0.27380-0.2427-2.32-0.31932-0.2782-2.47 Likelihood ratio test b 20.4153 21.6290 57.78% 57.49% a: 1.6 * ** 5 1 t b 2 8,1 1.65 ( ) 4-27 Probit Logit 45.75 76
46.83 2 6 1 0.872 Logit Probit 66.83 66.60 4-27 Probit Logit t t a -1.87090-2.8162** -29.77-1.99025-2.6875** -27.52 0.19977 2.3120* 26.76 0.19823 2.1563* 26.53-0.75752-0.1090-0.45-0.70214-0.1021-0.32 0.27210 0.8877 1.81 0.26851 0.6587 1.42 0.25586 0.8705 1.82 0.22639 0.7509 1.75 0.28640 2.1203* 16.31 0.31051 2.2744* 15.76 0.31356 2.6049** 33.35 0.34165 3.2875** 35.48 Likelihood ratio test b 45.75 46.83 66.60% 66.83% a 1.6 * ** 5 1 t b 2 6,1 0.872 t 1 t >2.576 33.35 1 33.35 t 5 t >1.96 26.76 16.31 1 26.76 16.31 1 0.45 1.81 1.82 77
33.35 26.76 16.31 78
Probit Logit Duncan 17-19 2000 30-40 15,135.5 98.99 1.01 14,982.2 12,794 642.9 79
600 235.4 54.9 48 7 153.3 67,414.28 ( ) ( ) 80
( ) 53.01 1 53.01 49.79 1 49.79 5 1 26.76 16.37 33.35 81
WTO 1993 1998 SWOT 5-1 (Strength) 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. (Weakness) (Opportunity) 1. 2. 1. 1. 2. 3. HACCP 2. GSP 4. WTO 5. 1. 2. 1. (Threat) 1.1. 1. 2. 2. 82
SWOT mayonnaise 1998 HACCP( Hazard Analysis and Critical Points) 98.99 14,982.2 87.56 83
WTO 77.1 84
38.3 85
( ) ( ) CAS ( ) ( ) 86
( ) CAS ( ) 2 3 ( ) total solid content function properties ( ) WTO 87
( ) 88
1. 2000 324 3-12 2. 1995 3. 1992 92 18-23 4. 1993 51 5. 1998 a 107 6. 1998 b 111 7. 2000 8. 1994 86-88 9. 2000 84 10. 1997 11. 2000 12. 1987 13. 1989 14. 1998 1 22-24 89
15. 1995 215-227 16. 1993 17. 1995 GATT 27 9 27-32 18. 1998 WTO 41-44 19. 1994 20. 1995 75 21. 2000 WTO 43 177-196 22. 1998 152 16-17 23. 1999 312 19-20 24. 2001 25. 1983 26. 2001 2 90 12-15 27. 1986 28. 1994-195 41-70 29. 1997 SAS 30. 1992 90
31. 1994 256 11-33 32. 1995 33. 1998 297 5-10 34. 1998 a 298 6-14 35. 1998 b 300 2-8 36. 2000 WTO 323 3-6 37. 1988 38. 1990 39. 2000 WTO 134 61-73 40. 1999 WTO 182 17-28 41. 1984 42. 1993 125 NO.3 51-60 43. 1998 7 33-38 44. 1999 1263 106 3 112-116 45. 1999 WTO 64 58-62 46. 1998 91
47. 2000-48. 1979 22 13-16 49. 1995 50. 1998 7 39-44 51. 1999-25 8 45-47 52. 1995-267 6-11 53. 1999 8 61 36-40 54.Anonymous,2000, Value added egg co-op starts production in Lowa Successful Farming,Des Moines. 55.FAO,2000,World egg productuon,food Agriculture Organization Statistical Databases. 56.Greene,W.A.,1993,Econometric Analysis, Second Edition, New York,Macmillan Publishing Company,pp.635-640. 57.Judge,G.G, R.C.Hill, W.E.Griffiths, H.Lutkepohl, and T.C.Lee,1988,Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics, Second Edition, New York, John Wiley & Sons,P.794. 58.Kementa,J.,1990,Elements of Econometrics,Second Edition, New York, Macillan Publishing Company,P.555. 59.Pindyck, R.S. and D.L.Rubinfeld,1991, Econometric Models and Economic Forecastes,Third Edition,New York,McGraw-Hill International Editions,P.256. 92
60.USDA,2001 a,international Egg and Poultry Review,United States Department of Agriculture,Vol.04,No.15,April 10,P.1. 61.USDA,2001 b,international Egg and Poultry Review,United States Department of Agriculture,Vol.04,No.16,April 17,P.1. 62.USDA,2001 c,japan Poultry and Products Semi-Annual,United States Department of Agriculture,February 14,pp.4-11. 63.USDA,2001 d,peoples Republic of China Poultry and Products Semi-Annual,United States Department of Agriculture,February 21,pp.6-7. 93