2012 /3 Liberal International Economic Order Principle of Multilateralism Regionalism 1 2 Regional Trade Agreements RTAs 3 20 80 2009 1 2 RTAs RTAs Ru

* Kevin G. Cai / * 2012 /3 31 121 138 Quarterly Journal of International Politics 121

2012 /3 Liberal International Economic Order Principle of Multilateralism Regionalism 1 2 Regional Trade Agreements RTAs 3 20 80 2009 1 2 RTAs RTAs Rune Dahl Fitjar The Rise of Regionalism 3 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia Basingstoke Palgrave Macmillan 2010 p. 1 C. M. Dent East Asian Regionalism London and New York Routledge 2008 Theodore H. Cohn Global Political Economy Theory and Practice New York Longman 2003 pp. 273-310 Causes of Regional Mobilization in Western Europe London Routledge 2009 Theodore H. Cohn Global Political Economy Theory and Practice pp. 273-310 1949 CMEA 1957 European Economic Community 1960 European Free Trade Association Theodore H. Cohn Global Political Economy Theory and Practice pp. 273-310 122

hub-and-spoke structure 1 1 RTAs 1947 1989 1990 1994 1995 2000 2001 2011 43 5 6 11 65 76 33 6 390 505 http / /www. wto. org /english /tratop_ e /region_ e /region_ e. htm 2011 11 15 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Leon Lindberg The Political Dynamics of European Economic Integration Palo Alto Stanford University Press 1963 Sajal Lahiri Controversy Regionalism versus Multilateralism The Economic Journal Vol. 108 No. 449 1998 pp. 1126-1127 Albert Fishlow and Stephan Haggard The United States and Regionalization of the World Economy OECD 1992 1968 p. 5 Joseph Nye ed. International Regionalism Readings Boston Little Brown & Co. 10 + 3 123

2012 /3 less relevant 1 20 80 nation-state national markets 2 less institutionalized 3 Old Regionalism introverted 1 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia Preface p. xii 2 2010 4 5 14 3 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 1 N. D. Palmer The New Regionalism in Asia and the Pacific Lexington MA Lexington Books 1991 p. 12 124

New Regionalism extroverted 1 20 80 21 2 3 go regional 4 1 2 economic nationalism 1 Fredrik S derbaum African Regionalism and EU-African Interregionalism in Mario Telò ed. European Union and New Regionalism Regional Actors and Global Governance in a Post-Hegemonic Era Aldershot England and Burlington VT Ashgate Publishing 2007 2nd edition p. 187. Bj rn Hettne Beyond the New Regionalism New Political Economy Vol. 10 No. 4 December 2005 pp. 543-571 Jens-Uwe Wunderlich Regionalism Globalisation and International Order Europe and Southeast Asia Aldershot Hampshire and Burlington VT Ashgate Publishing 2007 2 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 2. 3 E. B. Haas The Obsolescence of Regional Integration Theory Berkeley CA University of California Press 1975 pp. 9-11. 4 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 8. 125

2012 /3 empire 1 / preferential arrangements 2 20 70 3 20 80 hard-closed regionalism soft-open regionalism discriminatory 1 1994 2 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 29. 3 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia pp. 29-30 126

1 1 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 29 Figure 2. 1 1 2 3 4 1 2 1 C1 2 C2 C6 3 C3 4 C4 5 1 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 32. 2 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia pp. 33-35 127

2012 /3 C5 6 C7 2 C1 C2 asymmetrical interdependence 20 2 vs. Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 34 Figure 2. 3 1 C1 2 C2 3 128

C3 4 C4 5 C5 6 C6 3 1 C2 C5 3 vs. Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 36 Figure 2. 4 1 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia pp. 35-37 129

2012 /3 4 4 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 38 Figure 2. 5 130

1 20 60 70 2 20 70 1997 1 Robert Gilpin Three Models of the Future International Organization Vol. 29 No. 1 Winter 1975 p. 37 2 1950 GNP GNP 2 /5 1970 1 /3 1980 1 /4 M. Sakamoto Japan's Role in the International System in J. H. Makin and D. C. Hellmann eds. Sharing World Leadership A New Era for America & Japan Washington D. C. American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research 1989 p. 182 131

2012 /3 linkage 1 2 1 2011 4 6 32 2 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia pp. 128-131 132

2 2 1985 2003 1985 1995 2003 1985 1995 2003 1985 1995 2003 67. 6 343. 1 576. 3 103. 9 235. 2 312. 1 295. 7 1002. 6 1473. 0 % 22. 9 34. 2 39. 1 35. 1 23. 5 21. 2 100 100 100 67. 4 340. 4 563. 9 45. 4 158. 1 148. 4 253. 9 899. 7 1334. 5 % 26. 5 37. 8 42. 3 17. 9 17. 6 11. 1 100 100 100 10 Kevin G. Cai The Politics of Economic Regionalism Explaining Regional Economic Integration in East Asia p. 94 133

2012 /3 1 20 80 2 20 80 21 3 1 2008 2 118 2 2011 10 20 231 15 2008 7 52 56 3 2012 2 10 http / /www. 21ccom. net /articles /lsjd /sxyj /2012 /0210 _ 53384. html 134

4 key 1 2 20 80 3 4 5 1 ecological fallacy William S. Robinson Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals American Sociological Review Vol. 15 No. 3 1950 pp. 351-357 2011 5 40 2 156 3 4 2008 p. 15. 2004 TPP Ellen L. Frost Asia's New Regionalism Singapore National University of Singapore Press 5 2008 2 62 135

2012 /3 1 2 136 1 2 2011 4 7 2011 35 36

powerplay 1 2 1 powerplay Victor D. Cha Powerplay Origins of the U. S. Alliance System in Asia International Security Vol. 34 No. 3 2009 /2010 pp. 158-196 2 2004 12 51 53 Evelyn Goh Hierarchy and the role of the United States in the East Asian security order International Relations of the Asia-Pacific Vol. 8 No. 3 2008 pp. 353-354 Thomas J. Christensen China the U. S. -Japan Alliance and the Security Dilemma in East Asia International Security Vol. 23 No. 4 1999 pp. 49-51 137

2012 /3 1 1 / 2011 5 28 41 138

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