39 1 2015 1 Vol. 39 No. 1 January 2015 74 Population Research 80 + /60 + 90 + 90 + 0 80 100028 Measuring and Comparing Population Longevity Level across the Regions of the World Lin Bao Abstract Appropriate indexes and methods is the key for measurement and comparison of population longevity level across the world. This paper summarizes indexes for measuring population longevity level from dimensions including population age structure deaths and life table and discusses the methodology on how to compare regional population longevity. The proportion of people aged 100 + in the total population the proportion of people aged 80 + in the population aged 60 + and the proportion of people aged 100 + in the population aged 90 + are the representative indexes in the population age structure dimension and the proportion of deaths occurring at age 90 + among the total deaths and the mean age at death are the representative indexes in the death population dimension while in the dimension of life table the chosen indexes are life expectancy at birth and at age 80. Based on these indexes the single and multi-dimensional composite indexes can be constructed to compare the longevity levels among different regions. The result shows that Japan France and Switzerland are the leading countries in longevity. Keywords Regional Population Longevity Population Age Structure Deaths Life Table Composite Index Author Lin Bao is Associate Professor Institute of Population and Labor Economics Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. Email linbao@ cass. org. cn
1 75 70 80 90 100 1996 2006 2013 2011 Dan Buettner 2009 2013 1 3 3 3 80 90 60 80 80 + /60 + 65 90 90 + /65 + 60 + 65 + 80 + 90 +
76 39 80 3 0 60 = 60 + 60 0 0 60 80 100 3 3 1 1 ~ 2 1994 90
1 77 2004 80 + /60 + 2006 90 + /65 + 65 + 2 2006 2013 12 2006 80 2013 80 60 3 2012 90 + /65 + 2 2. 1 UN 2012 2010 5 100 100 + 197 2005 ~ 2010 5 95 95 + 201 2005 ~ 2010 100 201
78 39 2. 2 2. 2. 1 1 90 80 2 90 + /65 + 80 + /60 + 60 + 65 + 3 80 + 90 + 90 + /65 + 90 + 3 1 90 + 25 90 + /65 + 40 90 + 10 20 83 Table 1 1 Country Region Ranking Based on Different Indexes of Population Age Structure 90 + /65 + 90 + 90 + /65 + 90 + 107 100 143 26 15 60 1 9 25 16 10 83 13 6 33 6 18 23 9 21 13 62 83 59 41 38 10 108 118 85 UN 2012 2 60 + 90 + /65 + 90 + / 90 + 90 + 90 + 80 + 65 +
1 79 80 + / 80 + /60 + 0. 877 Table 2 2 Correlation Matrix of Chosen Indexes of Population Age Structure 80 + / 90 + / 80 + / 90 + / 60 + 65 + 60 + 65 + 80 + 90 + 1 60 + 0. 816 1 65 + 0. 783 0. 997 1 80 + /60 + 0. 748 0. 603 0. 573 1 90 + /65 + 0. 853 0. 842 0. 827 0. 835 1 80 + / 0. 774 0. 445 0. 409 0. 877 0. 700 1 90 + / 0. 899 0. 599 0. 563 0. 848 0. 843 0. 934 1 80 + 0. 727 0. 979 0. 987 0. 507 0. 780 0. 331 0. 482 1 90 + 0. 673 0. 876 0. 881 0. 533 0. 670 0. 356 0. 433 0. 920 1 4. 80 0. 03 0. 04 10. 91 1. 57 1. 58 0. 18 0. 22 1. 84 6. 67 0. 04 0. 05 3. 86 1. 07 1. 43 0. 21 0. 27 1. 54 197 197 197 197 197 197 197 197 197 1 /10 6 % UN 2012 SPSS hierarchical clustering between groups linkage squared Euclidean distance 3 80 + /60 + 7 80 + /60 + 90 + 80 + /60 + 90 + 2. 2. 2 1 90 + 80 + 2 80 + /60 + 90 + /65 + 3 60 + 80 + 3 10
80 39 90 + / Table3 3 Country Region Ranking Based on Different Indexes of Deaths 80 + / 90 + / 60 + 60 + 74 88 71 8 6 17 5 12 5 1 1 1 18 20 32 4 4 13 29 34 35 87 107 72 72 92 102 165 191 141 UN 2012 80 + / 90 + 80 + 80 + /60 + 60 + 0. 75 90 + 0. 9 2 90 + 90 + /65 + 80 + / 80 + /60 + 60 + 80 + 90 + 2. 2. 3 1 0 15 60 80 2 15 60 80 3 0 ~ 80 15 ~ 80 60 ~ 80 4 0 99 80 13 0 ~ 80 0 9 80 36 Table 4 4 Country Region Ranking Based on Different Indexes of Life Table 0 80 0 ~ 80 0 80 0 ~ 80 72 96 76 4 11 3 1 2 1 9 36 9 30 24 31 10 8 8 37 38 34 134 111 139 99 13 86 184 127 194 UN 2012
1 81 0 80 0 ~ 80 15 ~ 80 60 ~ 80 0 15 60 80 15 60 80 0 e0 80 e80 2. 3 2. 3. 1 80 + /60 + 90 + SPSS 1 2. 306 76. 868% LI1 = 0. 6098Zr100 + 0. 5729Zr80 /60 + 0. 5479Zr100 /90 Zr100 Zr80 /60 80 + /60 + Zr100 /90 90 + 5 14 23 38 121 5 Table 5 Comprehensive Ranking in Longevity Level of Selected Countries Regions from the Population Age Structure Dimension 1 6 31 2 7 38 3 12 63 4 14 121 5 23 123 2. 3. 2 90 + 1 90. 73% LI2 = 0. 7074Zdratio90 + 0. 7074Zmagedea Zdratio90 Zmagedea 90 + 6
82 39 24 74 Table 6 6 Comprehensive Ranking in Longevity Level of Selected Countries Regions from the Deaths Dimension 1 6 30 2 7 74 3 8 81 4 9 90 5 24 149 2. 3. 3 0 80 1 88. 806% LI3 = 0. 7071Ze0 + 0. 7071Ze80 Ze0 Ze80 0 80 7 88 Table 6 7 Comprehensive Ranking in Longevity Level of Selected Countries Regions from the Life Table Dimension 1 6 37 2 7 40 3 8 88 4 23 122 5 27 170 2. 3. 4 5 6 7 1 86. 60% GLI = 0. 5553ZLI1 + 0. 5944ZLI2 + 0. 5819ZLI3 ZLI1 ZLI2 ZLI3 8 9 96 10 49 151
1 83 Table 8 8 Comprehensive Ranking in Longevity Level of Selected Countries Regions Based on the Multi-Dimension Model 1 8 15 2 9 19 3 10 49 4 11 87 5 12 96 6 13 130 7 14 151 3 80 + /60 + 90 + 90 + 0 80
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