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(), (),,,,,,,,( ) ( ),,,,,, ;,,,;, ;,, (21),,,,,, :,, hegemony,,, 116
,,,,,,,,,,, 21,, (21),, :,, ;,, ;,,,,,,,, 21,: ( ),, 1988,202,209 117
,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,, (),;, ;,,,,,, (A lexander W endt) :,,,,,,,,,,452453,154 118
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, (Hans J. Morgen2 thau),,,, (21),22,,, 22,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,324 120
,,,,,,,,,, (),,,,,, :,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,, :,1997,46,323,207 121
(),,, (Ray Cline) Pp = (C + E +M ) ( S +W ),,,, :;,, ;,,,,,,,, 1991,,,,,,, ; :,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Ppperceived power, Ccritical mass, Eeconom ic capability, Mm ilitary capability, Sstrate2 gic purpose, W will to pursue national strategy.,109,194195 122
,,,,,,, ;,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1978,,,,, :,,,,,,?,,,,,,,,,,,?,,,,,,,,,153154,198 123
20 60,, 21, 60, ;21 (1991 ), 60,,, :, ;,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 2005160, 1971,,,,199201 :, http: / / news. xinhuanet. com /world /2005207 /22 / content_3252643. htm 124
(), :,, ;, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,;,;,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,, ::,,,,,,,,,,,,173174,199,290,247248 125
,,, ( 23) 23 :,,,,,,? :,,,,,,?,,:,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :?,,?,,,,,,?,?,,240,242,216,218 126
,,,,,,,,,?,,,,,,, 1990,, ;, ;,,, (),,,,, :,,,,,,,, 127
,,, ;,;,,, : :,,,,, ;, ;,, :,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 20022006,,,,,, :, ;,,,,,,,,,324326,322323,323,326 128
, () ( ) (),,( ) ::,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,;,;,,,,,,,, ;,;,,,,,,, :,,,,204,158,325 129
,( F. D. Roose2 velt)( George W. Bush),,, 21 (),,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,, ;,,,,,,,,204205 130
,,, :,,,,;,,,, ;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, (),,,, :,,,,,;,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,156157,154155 131
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,,, :,,;, ;,,,,,, (),, :, ;, ;,,,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,!,,,!,,,,,,,,!,,,!,,,,,(), :,,,,,,,,,,346,428,492 495 134
,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, (Robert O. Keohane) (Joseph S. Nye) :,,,,, (),,435,346 Robert O. Keonhane, Joseph S. Nye, Power and Interdependence, 3 rd ed.,2004, p1294 Ibid., p1295. 135
;,, :,,,,,;, ;,,,,,, ;,,:,,,,,,,,,,, :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,179,152,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,2003,28 136
, :,,,!,,,?,, 24 24 :,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,329,329330 137
, ;,,,,,,,,,, 25 25,,,,, 138
,,,, (),,,,,,,,,,,:, ;,,,,,,, 1978,,, 139
20059,,, 20068,,, (), ( ),,,,, 1949, 1949,19491956 1978,302002,,,,,,, : 60, 2005916,1, 2006824,1, 2006 10 19,12 : 60, 2005916,1 :, (),,2005,188 140
,,, 20032006,, 2003,,,,,,, 26 26 CP,M, E, C, P,26 : CP = (M + E + C) P,,,, 2006,,,,,, (), 141
, ( ) () ()( ),,,, 1935, 1938,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 70%,,,, 2,,1991,526 535 L. S. Stavrianos, TheW orld S ince 1500: A Global History (London: Prentice2Hall International INC, 1966), pp13637. 142
,, () 1648,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 10 + 1 (), 10 + 1,,,,,,,,,?,,,,, 143
;,,,,,,,,,,;,;, ;,,,,,,,202 144
2004, 2006 : rhwang_pku@ hotmail. com 1992 1995, 2004 (, 2005 ), (, 2003 ) : chenhanxi@mail. gdufs. edu. cn, 1995, 2000, 2004 :Environmental Change and A sia2pacific: China Responds to Global W arm ing( co2author), Global Change, Peace, and Security, Vol117, Iss. 1, 2005; Knowledge and Climate Change Policy Coordination in China, East Asia: An International Quarterly, Vol121, No13, 2004 : yuhongyuan@hotmail. com 2004, 2005 20062008 : besonli2005@ gmail. com 2003 2006 : chenyudan1981@ hotmail. com 1982, 1986, 1992 ( 2006 ) ( 2005 ) (2001) (1996)