出版社在市场竞争中的生产经营的可持续发展问题

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雀仑鲍
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1 ACTG CD4 HIV CD4 HIV CD4 HIV CD CD4 HIV Matlab

2 AIDS, HIV CD4 HIV CD4 HIV HIV AIDS 3 HIV CD4 CD4 AIDS AIDS AIDS ACTG 1ACTG30 1 ACTG30 zdovudnelamvudne ndnavr CD4 HIV 193A 193A CD4 HIV 4 600mg zdovudne 400mg ddanosne 600 mg zdovudne.5 mg zalctabne600 mg zdovudne 400 mg ddanosne600 mg zdovudne 400 mg ddanosne 400 mg nevrapne CD4 3600mg zdovudne mg ddanosne mg zalctabne mg nevrapne

3 HIV CD4 HIV CD4 HIV HIV AIDS CD4 HIV 1CD4 CD4 [1] HIV CD4 mm 3 CD /mm 3 AIDS CD4 00/mm 3 HIV HIV HIV HIV HIVHIV 1 1 ACTG CD4 HIV 1 txtxltexcel [] CD4 HIV HIV excel 100 HIV 6% CD4 HIV CD4 HIV CD4 HIV 4 CD4 HIV 3 40 CD4 HIV 4 CD4 HIV

4 CD4 HIV 0 CD4 HIV 4 38 CD4 HIV 40 CD4 HIV CD4 HIV 40 CD4 HIV CD4 HIV 0 0 CD4 4 Log(CD4 +1) 4 CD4 CD4 CD4 3 3

5 AIDS HIV 3CD4 4 CD4 HIV k c CD4 3 h HIV k j 4 j 5 t j 6 v j 7 t k j 8 c 9 ' c 10 n 11 N 1 s j j t j CD4 CD4 4

6 5 1 CD4 HIV CD4 CD4 3 CD zdovudnelamvudne ndnavr CD4 HIV 1 CD4 HIV k j c k j = h c h j CD4 HIV j j 5 j j k j

7 v j k j v j k = t j+ 1 j+ 1 k t j t j v j CD4 vl HIV CD /vl CD4 00/vl AIDS 1 CD4 0. /vl CD CD4 0~40 40~ ~ EXCEL CD4 336 m r CD4 HIV CD4 HIV 3 j j j v j 6

8 [] k mt t kj t = j = 1 = 1,, 3 mt t k j t j = 01,,3, 4 t = 1,,3 t j [] EXCEL 3 ( t = 1,,3) Matlab 4 [] 3 m t [3] t 3 5 ( s, ) ( x, y )( = 1,,3; j = 0,1,,3,4) x j j θ y ( x j, θ ) y ( x j, θ ) y ( x j, θ ) xj ( j = 0,1,,3,4 ) y ( x, θ ) mn 5 j= 1 ( y ( x j n j, θ ) y ) = ( y ( x j, θˆ) y ) = 1 [4] 10 k j

9 c x+ b y 1 = ae abc MATLAB [5] abc aˆ =138.7 b ˆ =. 78 cˆ = MATLABnhe.m y = e x 5 (y ŷ ) = 1 R = 1 = (y y) = C I zdovudne, lamvudne,ndnavr

10 EXCEL y = x x K CD /vl ( 500) 3 CD4 y = 0.16 x = 0 x=3.8 ' y ' 3.8 k= / 9

11 EXCEL y = x x K ' y = x ' y = 0 x= CI / 10

12 4 * * 1 CD4 4 Log(CD4 +1) 4 CD4 EXCEL CD4 EXCEL 4 CD4 CD4 c c = c c ' CD4 c c c c > 0 ' c < 0 EXCEL

13 n N p n =, = 1,,3,4 N 5 MATHEMATICA p p 4 = CD4 100 CD4 40~100 CD4 0~40 CD4 Log(CD4+1) 0~6.971 CD4 Log Log Log(CD4+1) 0~ ~ ~ DPS CD4 7 EXCEL CD m r CD4 1

14 40 40 CD4 5 CD4 CD4 CD4 [] 8 CD4 CD4 c nt t cj t = j = 1 = 1,, 3 nt t c j t j = 01,,3, 4 t = 1,,3 t j CD4 [] EXCEL 5 ( t = 1,,3) Matlab 6 [] CD4 9 CD4 9 CD n t 13

15 EXCEL 3 y1 = x x x MATLAB y ' = 1 0 x=

16 EXCEL 3 y = 0.053x 3.719x x ( 11), 0.94 MATLAB y ' = 0 x= Mathematca EXCEL y 3 = x x x x x < x < 5 x x=

17 MATLAB ' y 3 = 0 x= EXCEL y 4 = x x x x x

18 MATLAB y ' = 4 0 x= EXCEL 4 3 y = x x x x MATLAB ' y 5 = 0 x=

19 EXCEL 3 y = 0.001x x x MATLAB ' y 6 = 0 x= [6] n = n1 = n = n3 = n4 n p =, = 1,,3,4 N 18

20 N 1 p1= N p = N3 p3 = N4 p4 p N s N s N, = 1,,3,4 mn (s N ) 1 4 N N N = p = 0.31 p = 0.4 p = 0.41 p = p1= N p = N3 p3 = N4 p4 3 N N = 738, N3 = 756, N 4 = t= mg zdovudne 400mg ddanosne 600 mg zdovudne.5 mg zalctabne600 mg zdovudne 400 mg ddanosne600 mg zdovudne 400 mg ddanosne 400 mg nevrapne 600mg zdovudne mg ddanosne mg zalctabne mg nevrapne =70.3(); )=193.(); )=137.(); )=04.4(). t= s N ( = 1,,3,4) s N 1 1 N N ( N s )

21 1 N 1 t CD4 EXCEL 3 x x x MATLAB x1= y = -10 x x x x MATLAB

22 6 6 3 y = - 10 x x x x MATLAB y = x 0.013x

23 y = 0.000x 0.016x CD4 HIV CD4 HIV CD4 CD4 HIV HIV

24 HIV CD4 HIV ,,,. DPS CD4 7 1 EXCEL ; 1 HIV 3

25 [1] []EXCEL [3] [4] [5] [6] 4

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