FDI * FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 90 FDI % % 2010 FDI % 1 FDI FDI Keller 2001 FDI Romer 1986 * zhao.

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1 FDI * FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 90 FDI % % 2010 FDI % 1 FDI FDI Keller2001 FDI Romer1986 * zhao. w. j@ 126. com nju. edu. cn 12BJL JJD ZDXM FDI 2007

2 Lichtenberg & Potterie 1996Coe & Helpman 1997Keller 2002Bylde 2004 FDI Blomstrom 1986 Kokko et al Alfaro et al FDI Haddad & Harrsion1993 Aitken & Harrison1999Carkovic & Levine2002 FDI FDI R&D 2006 R&D FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 2011 FDI 1 FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 2 FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 19

3 FDI FDI i t Y it = A it K α itl β it Y A it K it L it g Yit ΔY it / Y it g Ait ΔA it / A it g Kit ΔK it / K it g Lit ΔL it / L it 1 g Yit g Yit = g A it + αg Kit + βg Lit 1 1 = g Ait g Yit + αg Kit g Yit + βg Lit g Yit 2 RTY it i t 2 RTY it g Ait g Yit = A it - A it -1 / A it -1 Y it - Y it -1 / Y it DEA-Malmquist

4 TFP % % % % % TFP 100% g Kit < 0g Lit < % 21

5 FDI % 30% FDI FDI FDI ( ) RTY it = 1 + αg Kit + βg L it 4 g Ait g Ait 4 g Ait > αg Kit + βg Lit RTY it FDI n 1 n 2 n 30 n * 30 珔 n * D = 2 /30 2 珔 n * 30 i = 1 22 n * 1 n * 2 i n * i - 珔 n * D

6 FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI Keller 2001Lin 2010 FDI FDI FDI RTY it = α 0 + α 1 lnrex it + α 2 lnrim it + α 3 lnrdi it + α 4 lnryz it + α 5 lnrkr it + α 6 lnrwr it + α 7 lnrhz it + ε it 5 i t RTY REX RIM RDI RYZ RKR RWR RHZ 5 RTY ε it 5 Pedroni 2000 FMOLS RTY it RTY it 2. REX it RIM it REX it RIM it GB / T ISIC Rev3 ISIC Rev3 SITC 30 UNCOMTRADE SITC

7 FDI RDI it RDI 4. RYZ it RKR it RYZ RKR RWR it RHZ it RWR LLC IPS Fisher-ADF Fisher-PP RTY it lnryz it lnrkr it lnrwr it lnrhz it 5% LLC lnrex it lnrim it lnrdi it 10% lnrex it lnrim it lnrdi it lnrex it lnrim it lnrdi it I1 FMOLS lnrex it lnrim it lnrdi it Engle Granger Pedroni Kao < 20 Panel ADF- Statistic Group ADF-Statistic Pedroni Pedroni Kao 0 DF 24

8 ADF Kao 1 Kao Pedroni Pedroni 1 Panel ADF- Statistic Group ADF-Statistic Kao 1% 1 Kao Pedrori ADF-KAO Panel ADF Group ADF RTY DlnREX DlnRIM DlnRDI ** * * RTY DlnREX D lnrim D lnrdi lnryz RTY DlnREX D lnrim D lnrdi lnryz lnrkr RTY DlnREX D lnrim D lnrdi lnryz lnrkr lnrwr RTY DlnREX D lnrim D lnrdi lnryz lnrkr lnrwr lnrhz ** * * * * * * * * * * ** 1% 5% P FMOLS OLS FMOLS FMOLS Granger FMOLS 2 FMOLS FDI FDI 4 1 1% 10% FDI FMOLS Granger FDI

9 FDI 2 FMOLS RTY DlnREX DlnRIM DlnRDI lnryz * * * * * * * * * lnrkr * lnrwr lnrhz * * * t * ** 1% 5% Granger Granger 1% 5% 10% Fu FDI

10 FDI FDI 30 FDI FMOLS Granger FDI 5% FDI FDI 27

11 FDI 3 FMOLS RTY DlnREX DlnRIM DlnRDI lnryz lnrkr lnrwr lnrhz ** * * * * * * * * * * * * * FMOLS Granger Granger 28

12 FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI FDI 4 FMOLS RTY DlnREX DlnRIM DlnRDI lnryz lnrkr lnrwr lnrhz * *** * * * * * * * * DEA- Malmquist 21 FDI FDI 29

13 FDI FDI FDI FDI 2007 TFP R&D FDI R&D AitkenB. and A. Harrison1999 Do Domestic Firms Benefit from Foreign Direct InvestmentEvidence from Venez-uela American Economic Review AlfaroL. A. ChandaS. Kalemli-Ozcanand S. Sayck2004 FDI and Economic GrowthThe Role of Local Financial Markets Journal of International Economics BertschekI Product and Process Innovation as a Response to Increasing Import and Foreign Direct Investment Journal of Industrial Economics BlomstromM. and E. Wolf1994Multinational Corporations and Productivity Convergence in MexicoOxfordOxford University 30

14 Press. BlydeJ. S Trade and Technology Diffusion in Latin America International Trade Journal CarkovicM. and R. Levine2002 Does Foreign Investment Accelerate Economic Growth University of Minn-esota Working Paper. CoeD. T. E. Helpmanand A. W. Hoffnaister1997 North-South R&D Spillovers Economic Journal FuX ExportsTechnical Progress and Productivity Growth in A Transition Economy A Non-Parametric Approach for China Applied Economics HaddadM. and A. Harrison1993 Are There Positive Spillovers from Direct Foreign InvestmentEvidence from Panel Data for Morocco Journal of Development Economics KellerW Knowledge Spillovers at the World's Technology Frontier CEPR Working Paper. KellerW Trade and the Transmission of Technology Journal of Economic Growth KokkoA. R. Tansintand M. C. Zejan1996 Local Technological Capablility and Productivity Spillovers form FDI in the Uruguayan Manufacturing Sector Journal of Development Studies LichtenbergF. and B. Potterie1996 International R&D SpilloversA Re-examination NBER Working Paper. LinH. L. and E. S. Lin2010 FDITradeand Product InnovationTheory and Evidence Southern Economic Journal PedroniP Fully Modified OLS for Heterogeneous Cointegrated Panels Advances in Econometrics RomerP. M Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth Journal of Political Economy Trade Openness FDI and China's Industrial Economic Growth Pattern Empirical Analysis Based on Data of 30 Industrial Sectors Zhao Wenjun and Yu Jinping Shenzhen UniversityNanjing University AbstractTaking the contribution of total factor productivity as the index of the economic growth patternand based on nonparameter DEA-Malmquist index methodsthis paper investigates characteristics of the economic growth pattern of china's industry from 2000 to At the same timeusing the panel data of 30 industrial sub-sectorsthe author analyzes the influence of exports importsfdi on the economic growth pattern. The results indicate that the pattern of China's industrial growth is still based on extensive growth. Exports have no positive effect on the pattern of the economic growth pattern of china's industry. Imports and FDI both have positive effect on the pattern of the economic growth pattern of china's industry. The positive effect from Imports is more obvious in labor and resource intensive industries and industries in which corporation size is larger. The positive effect from FDI is stronger in capital and technology intensive industries and industries in which corporation size is lager. Key WordsTrade OpennessFDIEconomic Growth Pattern JEL ClassificationF14 F21 O47 31

2006 4,,,, TFP (,2003),, 90,,,, 2005,, ;,,,,,, (disembodied),,,, (,2003),,,,,, : y = Af ( k, l) : y, k, l, A, : = - -, ( ), ( ),,,,90,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,

: 3 :,,,,,, : -,,, (,1994,2002) ; (,2003) ; (, 2002) ; (,2005) ; (2006),,,,,, ( TFP, ),,, (,2005 ;,2005),,,,,,,,, 1997, 3, 4 2006 4,,,, TFP (,2003),, 90,,,, 2005,, ;,,,,,, (disembodied),,,, (,2003),,,,,,