臺灣參與經濟整合的挑戰與展望 P.04 / 工研院院士打造國家級智慧城市戰略 P.22 7 VOL.297 / 2016 創新突破 工研菁英 再造新能量 創新突破 迎向未來 為工研院 今年院慶的主軸 簡單八個字突顯 工研院持續創新研發 積極整合跨 領域技術的形象 並協助產業邁向 新紀元 院慶系列活動中的重頭戲 工研菁英獎頒獎典禮 鼓勵團隊 及個人的用心努力 為工研院蓄積 更多能量 也是臺灣產業轉型躍升 的動力與資源
VOL.297/ 2016 7 297 7 2016.07.15 886-3-591-7703 886-3-582-0494 enews@itri.org.tw 02-2505-6789 5503 0800-458899 886-3-5834268 http://www.itri.org/ Technology Review An article in this issue reproduces from Technology Review Copyright 2016,All rights reserved Technology Review, Published by MIT www.technologyreview.com Contents 03 04 08 18 22 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 42 43 153 0859 http://www.itri.org.tw/itmonthly E-mail 310 4 195 Editor's Note Column Trend Innovation AI Features 3D SEI Cloud OS Focus News 2016
Editor's Note 43 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D Cloud OS 10 SEI Industrial Technology 3
Column ECFA 2014 110% RCEP TPP TPP RCEP TPP 2014 318 419 TPP 4
1858 A house divided against itself cannot stand. It will become all one thing, or all the other. FTA 2,300 2014 32.7% 41.5% 77.9% 111% 2002 WTO WTO WTO ITA 19 14% BenQ 2008 WTO 2010 14% 2008 1,400 196 WTO 419 1948 2015 2000 70% TPP RCEP TPP RCEP TPP 12 34 RCEP 16 58 TPP RCEP 72 TPP RCEP TPP RCEP FTA FTA RCEP TPP FTA 2008 2015 TPP 11 TPP Industrial Technology 5
Column 2014 FTA 9.74% 22.71% TPP 39.69% 64.29% 76.65% FTA 2007 FTA 2008 2012 FTA 2.6% 2015 3.2% 1.7% 1.8% FTA 2010 ECFA 2011 TPP TPP GDP 1.95% 0.65% 5.65% 7.61% TPP RCEP FTA TPP 6
IEK 20 110 120 TPP TPP TPP TPP 399.5 18.9 474 2014 TPP 12 7.55% 8.06% TPP 60 TPP RCEP TPP RCEP TPP Industrial Technology 7
Trend Technology Review Technology Review, Published by MIT. TECHNOLOGY REVIEW internet URL: www. technologyreview.com Brian Bergstein Jonno Rattman 8
USAA Robert Welborn2015 pattern recognition natural language processing image recognition hypothesis generation Saffron 7,000 88% IDC Dave Schubmehl 10 2020 100 IBM Palantir Technology 2,600 machine learning deep learning 1914 1943 1950 Leonardo Torres y Quevedo El Ajedrecista Warren McCulloch Walter Pitts logic unit Alan Turing 2000 30% Industrial Technology 9
Trend 50% CAD 2015 Google Brain Jeff Dean MapReduce Under Armour UA MyFitness Pal 6,000 IBM Watson UA John Giannandrea 600 YouTube Nanette Byrnes 1956 1958 1960 1961 John McCarthy Marvin Minsky Claude Sannon Oliver Selfridge Pandemonium data demon cognitive demon Frank Rosenblatt Mark I Perceptron 10
Q A Google Photo Gmail Smart Reply Q TensorFlow Gmail A Q A X Q Face You IBM Yann LeCum A 1966 1972 1979 1984 Joseph Weizenbaum ELIZA Hubert Dreyfus James Lightthill Hans Berliner Douglas Lenat Cyc Industrial Technology 11
rend 2015 4 3.67 Paddle server farm 3,600 92% DuEr Will Knight 1987 1997 2000 2004 12 3 2 1 1.65 0.53 0.37 0.23 92% Ernst Dickmanns 60 DARPA IBM Deep Blue Garry Kasparov Cynthia Breazeal Kismet Grand Challenge
Pinterest Pinterest Pinterest CrowdFlower Pinterest Intermountain Healthcare CognitiveScale Robert D. Hof Pinterest CrowdFlower Mechanical Turk 2011 2012 2014 2016 IBM Watson Jeopardy! Ken Jennings Brad Rutter Geoff Hinton ImageNet 85% DeepMind Technologies AlphaGo Industrial Technology 13
Trend Siri Siri Cortana Clara Labs DigitalGenius Howdy Clara Slack Howdy 20 Slack 14
Kasisto Meekan x.ai 1,000 Slack Skyscanner Slack Clara LinkedIn Spotify Uber Industrial Technology 15
Trend Skype Skype 30 IBM Synergy Research 1,150 28% SkypeTranslator 1,000-5,000 5,000-50,000 16
Vikram Dendi 2011 Bing 10 40 Adobe 1990 Bill Gates 10 2009 Peter Lee Skype Translator 4,000 Arul Menezes Skype Translator Rippel Skype Translator George Anders Copyright 2016,Technology Review. All Rights Reserved. Industrial Technology 17
Innovation AI AlphaGo Artificial Intelligence AI 2016 Google AlphaGo AI AlphaGo AlphaGo AI Microsoft Google AlphaGo Future of Life Institute 2015 AI 50 machine learning 2015 deep learning abstracting across environments intuitive concept understanding creative abstract thought dreaming up visions dexterous fine motor skills abstracting across environments 18
intuitive concept understanding subsymbolic knowledge creative abstract thought AI Kumar Socher Weston dreaming up visions AI deep convolution inverse graphic network 2D 3D Facebook Fb Amazon AI AlphaGo AI deep thinking Google Facebook Amazon AI AI AI 1997 IBM Deep Blue Industrial Technology 19
Innovation Garry Kasparov AI AI 1047 10170 250 AlphaGo deep learning AlpaGo policy network AI Apple Google Bill GatesElon Musk AI AI Apple Siri AI Google X Google 2020 AI Fb M 20
2010-2015 AI 8 8 7 3 4 4 $152 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 $2 $2 $2 $4 $1 $20 $38 1 $16 $24 1 $21 $33 2 $64 $31 $6 $27 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 CBINSIGHTS Wit.ai Fb AI 2010 2015 AI 15 AI AI AI AI AI AI AI AI AI AI Industrial Technology 21
Innovation 22 master plan master plan 22
PPPP Industrial Technology 23
FEATURES 43 43 43 43 43 26
OpenStack Cloud OS 3D SEI 20 OpenStack Grand Prize Industrial Technology 27
FEATURES 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D Android 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 2015 3D 3D 3D 3D 28
3D 3D 3D 3D Android 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 300 3D 0.5 App 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D Industrial Technology 29
FEATURES PM2.5 pattern 40 24 30
2013 NISTNIST 2012 40 0.1% 600 Industrial Technology 31
FEATURES SEI SEI 10 SEI SEI NCA SEI SEI SEI 32
SEI SEI SEI 1,000Wh/l 3,000 550 10 STOBA STOBA Self Terminated Olygomers with hyper-branched ArchitectureSTOBA STOBA SEI 40% STOBA STOBA 2014 2015 STOBA STOBA SEI Industrial Technology 33
FEATURES Cloud OS Cloud OS 10 Cloud OS ITRI Cloud OS ITRI Cloud OS 10 82 KDDI KDDI 3,000 34
ITRI Cloud OS 50% OpenStack OpenStack Linux OpenStack OpenStack Linux OpenStack OpenStack OpenStack OpenStack OCP OpenDaylight OpenStack OCP Cloud OS Cloud OS Industrial Technology 35
Focus CPS CPS IEK Smart Manufacturing Advanced Manufacturing Partnership; AMP 4.0 Industry 4.0 2015 Cyber-Physical System; CPS AMP 4.0 CPS CPPS CPPS CPPS CPPS CAD CAM CAE PLM MES ERP CPPS CPPS CNC CPPS CPS CPS 36
CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS RFID CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS CPS Industrial Technology 37
Focus 150 15,000 Transparent Conductive Oxide; TCO FPD Touch Panel Baderker 1907 TCO TCO 20 Sputtering CVD TCO 38
200 TCO Turnkey TCO TCO TCO 8 /sq Anti-Reflection; AR >90% TCO+ AR 50% 80% Industrial Technology 39
Focus 2005 2014 10 4,300 TIA R&D100 Award 40
GPS 200 Industrial Technology 41
60 / 2016 42 News ews
CEO 30 2016 40 2015 QSearch Industrial Technology 43