大陸情勢 2003‧7

大 陸 情 勢 2005 7 總 評 : 本 期 整 體 情 勢 : 2 3 7 21 對 外 關 係 方 面 : 60 5 8-9 8 5 7 7 5 20 74 30 74 7 6 7 對 臺 工 作 方 面 3 4 1

政 治 : 1 2006 1 1 1 4 27 5 5 4 6 17 1 5 7,000 1:18 1 : 94 37.58 14 2005.6.12 3 2005.5.19 5 2020 2

經 濟 : GDP 67,422 2005 9.5 32,895 25.4 CPI 2.3 6,450.3 23.2 3,423.4 32.7 3,026.9 14 396.5 861.91 18.99 285.63 3.18 6 M2 27.6 15.7% M1 9.9 11.3 M0 2.1 9.6 18.6 13.3 26.9 17.2 7,110 51.1 20 40 2004 4-11 3 3 166 492 5 1,429 8 6 19 3

5 5 5 16 6 26 3 7 21 2 11,548 50 2004 9 2004 68 30 2004-2005 M 2 2004 9.5 25.8 3.9 11.5 14.6 4.2 35.4 36.0 13.32 2005 1 - - 1.9 20.9 14.1-42.2 24.0 10.72 1-2 - 24.5 2.9 16.9 13.9-36.6 8.3 8.21 1-3 9.5 22.8 2.8 16.2 14.0 4.2 34.9 12.2 9.48 1-4 - 25.7 2.6 16.2 14.1-34.0 13.3 2.24 1-5 - 26.4 2.4 16.3 14.6-33.2 13.7-0.79 1-6 9.5 25.4 2.3 16.4 15.7 4.2 32.7 14.0-3.18 社 會 : 8 1 6 1.4 5 4

2005.6.25 1 1 2.1 1,370 90 620 21 150 1992-2004 80 1:2.45 1:4.39 GDP 13% 5 2005.5.28 5 20 1 1 6 9 1 72 6.1 2005.5.24 4 14 6 2005.7.4 1 2005 5,020 104 2 23-3 10 1-6 1,399 2,672 13.4 3.3 10 24 704 33.3 114.6 7 4 7 11 80 505 1/3 95 46 420 2005.6.24 1,100 32 50 90 75 3 5

356 1.49 20 174 2005.6.6 12 538 50 3,801 98 40 2005.6.18 5 2005 9 6 117 105 2 528 137 194.9 2005.6.28 4 88 29 65 97 2005.5.9 11 20 390 77 11 29 1,818.03 1,631.58 2005.5.19 5 < > 2005-2010 22 10 60 5 31 1999 5 27-18 < > < > 25 49 15 50 20 50-80 15-18 6

3.6 1 55 65 50 60 46 1/3 40 2005.6.6 文 化 : 2004 178 110,844 2003 42.63 10 2005.5.20 475 230 6 7-10 867 144 338 2004 58 20.71 2005.5.20 7 5 5 7.5 2 1 5 26 39 5 53 2005.5.10 5 9 10 7

2005.6.23 6 15 5 1,000 2005 2004-2005 5 26 5 30 6 1 2 2005.6.8 6 9 57 8 16 5 15 6 16 6 8

軍 事 : 5 27 8 10 4 25 3 10 3 10 10 27 30 5 2005.4.26 0.5 /0.75 5 23 8 FTC-200 4 7 8 2 3-27 TY-90 3 6 13 46 6 23 8 1 16 6 3 9

8 2005.6.10 5 26 4 22 12 6 8II 1 30 2 5 2005.4.23 38 2005.6.1 6 6 16 094 JL2 31 15 1 8,000 6 8 2005.6.26 7 7 30 5 10

8 18-26 3-2005 76 1 55 1 2-95MS 4-22M3-27SM 11-14 -76 1 3,000 5,000 5 20 5 9 4 28-29 7 5 17 5 22-25 5 8 5 30 6 17-21 3 外 交 : 5 13 18 7 5 17 5 5 5 13 6 1 7 9-10 4,300 2 8 5 11-12 7 14-18 6 10 13 11

29 6 10 4 2004 10 2005 4 3 7 7 6 7 4 4 4 23 5 5 7 5 13-14 6 23-24 5 30-31 1 5 17-24 23 7 5 7 4-5 2 5 8-9 60 6 30-7 7 21 12

8 5 5 17-31 5 7-22 5 17-23 5 24-26 7 13-22 2 6 7-17 2 7 12-14 5 6-7 10+3 6 2 4 6 3-4 6 17-26 6 22 港 澳 : 3 12 6 1 6 16 714 23 28 7 10 796 23 6 21 2007 6 30 21 6 2 53 2 4 27 5 25 2 6 28 72.3 7 11 71.4 1997 13

4 52 2005 6 6-8 36 2004 12 32 24 2005 5 21-24 56 1997 50 2002 39 1 6 10 1 7.75 7.85 1 6 1-5 6.1 8.8 4-6 5.7 3-5 2001 8-10 6 1,224 7 6 3 1 8.5 2004 4 18.1 28 1-5 59.2 23.5 108.1 3.7 48.9 3-5 4.1 2005 2-4 1-6 8,923,323 15.4 4,990,582 55.9 50.79 8.3 5 6 47.8 20.3 對 臺 政 策 : 3 4 26-5 3 5 5-13 7 6-13 4 29 5 12 7 12 4 14

5 3 13 1 12 18 10 5 4-6 WHO WHO 5 17 5 26 WHA 9 WTO 6 21 6 30 15

2020 16 2000-2005 2004 6 2006 2020 5 15 6 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 4 15 2005.6.5 2005.6.6 17

2006 2010 GDP 2011 2020 5 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 2020 10 2020 3 2005.5.27 6 100 2005.6.13 100 100 6 13 100 2005.6.3-14 2005.6.13 84 60 600 7 11 2005.7.14 1 18

1 6,800 9 4 7-8 3 19-20 4 23-24 3 21-22 4 6-8 3 21-22 4 8-9 3 21-23 4 5-6 2005.4.28 6 80 1 1,385 5 20 52 7 180 3 43 4 2005.7.7 6 2005.6.27 2005.6.24 2005.4.11 2005.7.7 84 19

200 7 7 2004 4.9 1,738 2003 135.7 8.5 8.2 241.8 2004 6960.3 18.3 137.1 19.5 1295.6 441.4 3940.7 347.7 17.1 20 310.6 2005.5.23 2005.7.7 4 9 82 75 1983 1995 2005.5 pp.11-12 2005.4.12 5 2 3 2005.5.5 6 20

4 5 2005.6.17 2005.6.20 2002 1988 5 12 5 7 2005.7.7 1 17 2005.7.6 2005.6.9 5 21

2004 2005.4.5 2 2005.4.26 3 3 1 1 1 5-6 2005.6.1 7 51 5 1 22

4 27 5 2005.5.20 2006 1 1 50 2005.5.6 3 636 9 2 106 1 2003 47 5 53 5 144 6 285 23

1 198 2003 653.67 129,227 2003 1 94 2005.5.30 7 1 1 198 1 18 2005.6.13 2004 29 2005.6.22 2004 4 10 2005.6.2 6 10 2005.7.1 2005.6.29 2 4 6 16 2005.6.19 24

2005.7.3 New York Times 2005.6.3 6 2 3 2004 8 6 2005.6.29 2005.7.1 5 2004 2005 1 104 27 2005.5.3 6 2005.6.3 4 5 2005.5.3 2005.4.9 4 15 1989 5 31 2005.6.1 2005.6.3 9 2004 9 6 25

South China Morning Post 2005.6.6 Washington Post 2005.5.30 2005.6.1 1 2005.6.28 3 Blog 6 2005.6.23 2004 Google 6 2005.6.26 2005.6.15 600 QQ 1,041 20 15 15 15 10 10 15 2005.5.23 3 1 3 100 2005.5.20 2005 8 2005.6 pp.16-19 2005.5.20 26

16 16 15 2004 15 2005.6.7 International Herald Tribune 2005.6.3 2005.6.4 Washington Post 2005.5.30 Asian Wall Street Journal 2005.6.1 388 2005.6.4 1989 2005.6.7 2005.6.8 16 2005.6.5 8 2005.5.15 3 125 27

2005.6.2 2005.6.4 16 2005.6.5 2005.6.6 USA Today 2005.6.6 2005.6.4 28

2005 9.5 2004 0.2 2004 2005 2004 9.5 2005 5 CPI 1.8 1-5 CPI 2.4 5 CPI 2 3 3.9 2.7 1.9 2005 1-5 26.4 2004 7 21 2 1 9.5 2005 GDP 6 7,422 9.5 9.5 2004 0.2 2004 GDP 13 6,515 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.5 1 2004 29

GDP 2003 2 2005 2004 9.5 2005 2005 8 2005 70 8 3 2005 GDP GDP 8.9 7.9 8 GDP 8.6 4 2020 GDP 3 2004 GDP 1,080 111 2 2005 GDP 1,400 5 15 GDP 5 5 2020 GDP 4 GDP 3 6 30

5 2.4 1-5 (CPI) 2.42005 5 CPI 1.8 CPI 1.5 CPI 2.44 0.2 1 CPI 1.9 2 CPI 3.9 5 1.8 4.8 5.7 CPI 1 2005 5 20 2 7 1 2004 CPI : 2004 1-3 2004 4-6 2004 7-9 2004 10-12 2005 1-3 2005 4-5 2.8 4.4 4.8 3.6 2.8 2.5 5 2005 1-5 13.2 2005 1-5 2004 14.2 12.1 10.8 13.0 17.9 0.1 1 31

5 16.3 1-5 16.3 16.7 15.3 1-5 2 7.6 15 16.7 1 5 26.4 1-5 26.4 25.8 10.1 28.8 46.7 1 35000 60 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 32

5 33.2 1-5 5,227.8 23.2 2,764.0 33.2 2,463.8 13.7 300.1 8 2 2005 (WTO)2004 1 1,545 9 10 1500 1000 500 0 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 5 0.8 1-5 FDI 14.9 33

0.8 2005 5 525,378 11,615.8 5,844.7 3 2004 3 11 70 12 2 2004 : 2004 1-3 2004 4-6 2004 7-9 2004 10-12 2005 1-3 2005 4-5 342.1 384.9 347.2 460.6 352.2 297.5 140.7 198.1 148.1 119.4 133.9 89. 8 2000 2001 WTO 2004 350 600 G8 2005 7 21 7 8.27 1 2 8.11 1 34

0.3 7 26 2 2 13 2 2004 2 2005 5 7,129.17 1,457.74 4 8,441.32 3 1,330.34 20.6 6 6 1997 2 27 6 6 30 1,084.94 260.72 14 15 16 4 1 4 7 2 15 17 3 1 A B 2004 2 1,293 48,441.32 15,320.81 63.41 7,129.17 35

2004 3 1,302 50,417.42 15,855.94 55.58 5,697.19 2004 4 1,314 45,804.96 14,367.68 98.31 5,215.63 2004 5 1,324 44,742.63 14,119.75 215.67 1,801.25 2004 6 1,346 40,408.09 12,604.36 345.54 2,604.09 2004 7 1,367 40,377.19 12,717.65 219.86 2,536.77 2004 8 1,380 39,031.39 12,223.73 99.03 1,864.52 2004 9 1,378 40,928.61 12,906.97 13.93 3,936.40 2004 10 1,378 38,741.88 12,231.59 33.48 2,873.37 2004 11 1,377 39,458.96 12,532.42 89.09 3,016.78 2004 12 1,377 37,055.57 11,688.64 237.61 2,069.62 2005 1 1,377 34,877.62 11,067.77 47.38 1,740.73 2005 2 1,378 38,443.12 12,161.18 8.78 1,984.27 2005 3 1,379 34,802.72 10,996.52 7.05 2,977.30 2005 4 1,383 33,871.01 10,658.99 328.16 2,964.56 2005 5 1,388 31,330.34 9,989.17 11.12 1,457.74 4 6 6 6 8 6 13 6 16 13 14 18 19 36

5 101.3 4 3.28 3 10,320 6.2 1-5 8.9 1 20 8 21 5 20 1 37

9.5 2005 2005 WTO 5 22 7 4 2005 GDP CPI 1-6 67,422 9.5 1-6 39,635 11.2 =1001-5 2.4 1-5 24,674.7 13.2 1-5 19,719.32 26.4 1-5 FDI 1-5 5,227.8 2,764.0 2,463.9 300.1 16437 236.04 662.02 23.2 33.2 13.7 -- -4.75-0.28 15.23 38

5 5 6910.12 8.2765 1. (www.stats.gov.tw) 2. (www.worldbank.org) 3. (www.mofcom.gov.cn) 4. (www.chinanews.com.cn) 2005.7.1 ( ) 5. (www.drcnet.com.cn) 2005.7.1 6. (www.people.com.cn) 2020 GDP 3000 2005.5.7 7. 2005.2.13 8. 2005.5 9. (www.wto.org) 10. (www.chinanews.com.cn) 2005.7.12 11. (www.world-chinese.com)2004 12. (www.cass.net.cn) 2005.3.16 13. (www.pbc.gov.cn) 14. (www.csrc.gov.cn) 15. (www.sse.com.cn) 16. (www.szse.cn) 17. (www.sse.com.cn) 2005.5.27 18. (www.mof.gov.cn) 19. (www.sse.com.cn) 2005.6.17 20. (www.people.com.cn) 21. (www.cin.gov.cn) 22. (www.sdpc.gov.cn) 39

2 5 10 10 8,880 10 755 11.8 3.37 7 587 2 921 2 10 6 10 1 3 1 2004 2 5 GDP2 2004 1 3 5 2/3 20 16 15 6 4 4 607 271 7 2004 90 1 40

2003 5 8 160 10 7 (2004) 9 2005.6.28 4 11-13 2 20 1949 2005.4.15 4 15 2005.4.17 1 6 26 3 10 2005.6.28 3 4 10 3 5 5 3 140 2005.6.14 A11 6 12 41

3 10 2005.6.14 A11 5 21 2 6 2005.5.24 6 11 2 3 6 48 2005.6.13 3 4 1 5 2005.4.4 3 6 10 2 1 2005.6.14 6 13 2 7 6 3 2005.6.15 5 20 2005.6.2 4 3 4 3 42

2005.4.10 4 9 2 2005.4.9 4 10 1 5 2005.4.10 4 16 10 1 2 2005.4.16 2005.4.16 4 17 2-3 1 2005.4.17 5 4 10 45 10 1.4 10 8,880 1,203 15.7 10 755 53 7.6 11.8 1 10.9 1 8-9 4-5 2005.6.18 2005.6.18 43

1 6 1 5 1 4 1 5 20 2005.6.18 2005.6.18 3 5 1995 2.8 2002 3.37 3.71 3.88 3 1.9 2.34 1.87 2.97 2005.6.3 7 587 2 921 9 2 2005.5.28 2004 2004 668 2,610 2.8 290 668-924 4,977 5.3 640 2005.5.2 7 587 8.1 13 1 374 931 1,305 1.0 2.8 5.7 837 1,744 2,396 2.2 5.3 10.5 2005.5.2 44

5 2004 GDP 13 6 13 6 13 2 1 1 2004 70 2004 1 1 1 2004 2 5 GDP 2 2005.5.2 2004 10 129 3 30 14 1 1 1 5 10 23 682 1.6 2004 10 6 10 6 10 2004 1 3 1 10 31 79 2005.5.2 5 505 1/3 95 2005.6.18 8 2004 3 45

7 10 2005.5.13 1 1997 1 6 1 14 2005.5.25 15 3 122 5 18 15 2005.5.18 373 7 2005.6.7 6 2003 8 1 2004 2005.5.2 2005.6.28 46

2004 2004 2005.6.2 70 2004 1 3,555 50 976 734 124 549 40 9 3.93 41.7 3.31 90 2 2005.6.2 2004 661 6 41.7 41.7 65.5 64 86 2005.6.2 2004 1 3 5 2/3 15 7 4 2 2008 1 2 1 1 2 2005.6.5 47

60 4.8 2005.5.14 185 253 25 50 9 4 2005.4.21 20 16 80 1990 2002 2 3 1 5 2005.4.3 2004 113 10 10 5 38.6 2005.6.2 18 1 3 2005.5.24 1996-2004 8 1 2004 4 40 6 2005.6.20 48

4 20 1980 85 65 45 2005.5.5 2030 16 1,760 1/3 6 1/5 46 1 2 90 75 2005.6.7 1 10 ( ) 3 12.5 ( )7 27.9 2005.6.30 2 5 95 20 65 2005.6.23 380 40 1,198 7 6 1.36 6 22 4 4 310 49

2005.6.23 607 164 271 7 2005.6.27 6 117 105 2005.6.21 7.3 2003 2004 767 815 49 76 2005.6.20 2004 2004 69 5 4 3 2005.4.15 2005 5,667 280 2005.6.2 1 9 7 3 556 1 4 4 938 895 2 2005.4.3 2 6 3-5 2 6 20 10 10-15 2005.6.19 120 13 3 5 50

1/4 2005.6.2 1/3 120 1 1 10 2 2005.6.16 90 4 5 2004 3,797 3 4 10 9 2 2005.4.7 5 25 2005-2005.5.25 51

10 4 30 10 10 2 2005.4.30 6 2005.5.1 5 31 4 22 2005.6.1 A1 5 22 1 6 1 2 1 2005.6.13 3 4 89 71 2005.4.6 52

5 11 5 31 2005.05.27 35 5 27 2005.06.10 5 31 2005.05.31 2005.06.10 2005.05.31 2005 2010 2005.05.30 54 10 22 63 640 53

2005.05.29 2005.05.28 54

249 249 1950 1980 1990 1992 1993 1994 2001 89 ( 2002 2003 4 83-84) 2001 1,202 113 89 436 ( 2002 17-18) ( ) ( ) 55

1993 ( 2005.5.21 http://wisesearch.wisers.net) (2004) 7 (2005) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 2005.5.21) (2005) 5 249 ( http://www.moe.edu.cn) 2003 9 1 2 1. ( ) ( ) ( 2005.6.1) 56

2. ( 2005.4.18 http://wisesearch.wisers.net) 3. 27 (1) (2) (3) (4) ( 2005.6.24 http://wisesearch. wisers.net) 2002 98 2005.5.12 http://wisesearch. wisers.net 57

2004.7.5 http://education.163.com 40 6 13 50 60 20 40 40 21 1 4 2004 12,000 5,000 58

2005 2006 2004 2,843 69,613 2004 44 40 20 60 65 50 90 2005.6.14 6 5 11 59

6 ( 2005.5.11) (2005.4.7) 20 ( 2005.6.13) 10 3 2005.6.14 2003 49 2010 2015 2008 ( 2005.5.23) 60

23 14 16 2 2 10 051C 3M-54E S300PMU2 RD-93 1/10 9 1 23 14 6,310 32 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050702/ 43/20qdi.html) 16 61

(http://www.wenweipo.com/news.ptml?news_id=ch0506070029&cat=002ch) 2 6 (http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050510/43/1so11.html) 1 2 3-30MKI (http://news.xinhuanet.com/2005-05/19/content_2973652.htm) 6 16 2 (http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050705/43/210hx.html) -8 2000 14 2005.5.1 7 10 602 5,543 9( MTR390) Agusta Westland 9 Ka-50/52 K-37 (Jane's Defense Weekly 2005.4.13 p.32 50-52) 051C 62

115 051B 167 (http://wforum.com/newspool/articles/defense/57768.html) 220 3M-54E( Club SS-N-27) 8 636 4 (http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050421/43/1q8mw.html) 8 S-300PMU2 256 48N6E2 41 (http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050411/43/1ovi5.html) 100 RD-93FC-1 RD-93 Zhuk FC-1 (JDW 2004.5.18 p.6) (http://news.xinhuanet.com/mil/2 005-06/29/content_3150104.htm) 4 5 ( 2005.5.30 13 ) 3 4 5 6 9 10 ( 2005.5.31 4 ) ( 2005.6.19 13 ) 5 (http://tw.news.yahoo.com/050620/43/lz4jb.html) 1 10 2005.2 50-52 63

3 4 20 50 5 Unocal 6 30 7 7 G8 5 21 G8 64

3 4 20 50 100 3G 5 ( 2005.4.22) 9 3 200 ( 2005.4.27 7 ) 6 3 1 7 ( 2005.4.28) 1995 29 5 ( 2005.4.18 A13 ) 50 4 2 ( 2005.4.25) 65

5 2005 7 1 2005 4 ( 2005.4.20 A13 ) 4 22 10 5 12 5 16 5 17 18 122 5 22 ( 2005.5.23 A13 ) ( 2005.5.30 A13 ) 3 8 2005 66

17 10 ( 2005.7.4 2 ) ( 2005.7.4 1 ) 7 1 2005 ( 2005.7.2) Unocal 1 4 5 13 19 2 5 31 12.6 10 ( 2005.5.20 A1 ) 5 26 ( 2005.5.27 7 ) ( 2005.5.20 7 ) ( 2005.6.2 2 ) 67

6 1 74 6 1 148 ( 2005.5.31 A2 ) ( 2005.6.2 2 ) 6 11 2008 8 12.5 6 2 (BBC 2005.6.4) 7 12 ( 2005.6.2) ( 2005.6.13 6 ) IBM PC 6 23 185 Unocal Unocal ( 2005.6.24 A14 ) 41 ( 2005.6.21 7 ) 68

G8 6 30 7 7 G8 5 5 60 6 30 1 2 ( 2005.6.22 A13 ) 21 5 1997 ( 2005.7.3 1 ) 2004 12 () ( 2005.6.30 A13 ) 5 40 3 ( ) 7 8 G8 ( 2005.7.11 A13 ) ( 2005.7.2 A12 ) ( 2005.7.5 A9 ) 69

911 4 2001 ( 2005.7.11) 2 ( 2005.7.5) 3 7 ( 2005.7.8 6 ) G8 G8 5 2003 G8 G8 G8 ( 2005.7.8 10 ) G8 G8 G8 3 5 G8 7 ) ( 2005.7.6 2005 4.14-15 4.18-2 4.20-3 50 70

4.21-3 30 30 4.26- ( 2005.4.27 6 ) 5.5-8 5.6-5.7-4 5.8-9 60 5.11-12 5.13-14 5.17-31 4 5.17-2003 9 5.18-5.25-3 3 5.25-27 5.27-3 5.30-31 5.31-3 6.1-6.1-12 6.2-3 3 3 3 ( 2005.6.3 6 ) 6.2- ( 2005.6.3 A4 ) 71

6.4-3 6.7-17 4 6.11-4 6.17-5 6.19-4 6.21-23 6.23-6.30-7.7 G8 7.5-7 2006 1 1 3 ( 2005.7.6 3 ) 7.9-10 7.11-16 712-14 4.10-4 4.15-4.19-4.28-29 5.8-5.9-21 5.12-5.13-5.17-5.18-120 140 5.19-4 5.21-9 15 5 1988 18 4 72

5.30-5.30-5.31-6.2-6.2-6.2-6.5-6.6-6.9-6.16-6.17-21 3 6.17-6.22-7.4-7.7-8 7.10-7.10-73

3 10 2 1 5 2005.4.6 4 27 2005.4.22 2005.4.27 2005.4.28 2005.4.28 2005.4.28 74

8 3 2005.4.6 6 16 800 100 714 6 24 2 2 40 2003 7 1 50 7 1 20 7 1 75

2 7 4 98 2007 99 2005.7.2 2005.7.2 2005.7.2 2005.7.2 2 60 2007 2008 2005.7.2 6 6 7 4.5 5.5 (2005.5.28) 6 4.6 ( 2005.5.28) 5 5.7 2001 8 76

( 2005.6.16) 1.5 ( 2005.5.28) 2005 06 2006.6.7 10 1 1 50 25 23 73 72 2005.6.2 50 31 2002 7 1998 20 77

2005.6.2 59 16 83 2005.6.2 2005.6.2 5 5 6 2005.5.6 2005.5.12 60 2005.4.12 10 2004 78

2001 3.7 3 2004 4 3.7 10 1994 2003 3 11.2 6 12 2005.5.17 2007 2008 2005.4.14 2005.4.30 2005 4 2007 2008 2005.5.26 2005.5.27 79

12 0.02 2005.5.31 2005.4.27 2005.5.4 2005.5.9 80

9 25 5 28 2005.5.30 22 6 905 6 3 2005.6.13 2005.6.14 4 12 ( 2005.4.13) 3 ( 2005.4.26) 28 4 5 2005.5.16 (GDP) 18.1 8.5 2005.6.8 81

4.1 2005 3 5 4.1 2 4 2 4 2005.6.29 5 20 2005.5.17 2005.5.21 7 1 5 10 202005.6.29 82

6 6 2005.6.7 2005.4.4 10 40 50 2005.4.22 40 2005.5.20 7 5 4 18 44 1 2005.4.19 2005.4.18 6 6 8 6 6 83

( 2005.6.17) 70 4 29 2005.4.27 2005.5.4 6 9 4 2005.6.8 3 5 2005.6.15 6 16 29 2005.6.16 2005.6.17 84

3 14 3 28 4 1 12 4 5 7 3 85

12. 6 WHO WHO WHA WTO 3 86

87