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陸易力論李 Ricardo 林 Heckscher-Ohlin 易理論利益度行易易 inter-industry trade 陸易易 intra-industry trade 行度易 trade in intermediate goods 來量理論 technological gap theory 理論 product cycle theory 來理論說了識里不領力 industrial clustering 易 trade in factors 來更理論 theory of economic growth stage 力理論易料 1

易易度力連行理論行理論不不行理論陸來律說力力行更落行理論陸來利來金年類落陸來力易 2

陸易年易說力陸易力連參年來陸易陸年易陸易行易力力易連參料行數陸易力 ( Structural Decomposition Analysis SDA ) 行 1981 1999 年聯料 3

陸易力連易易度易料易力行連 Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis 行量來 input-output structural decomposition analysis; I/O SDA changes in technology changes in final demand Leontief 1951 SDA Skolka 1989 利 Pamkçu and de Boer 2000 Andreosso-O Callaghan and Yue 2002 陸 1987-1997 年來 4

1980 年來陸力量來來易例 Rose and Chen 1991 Lin and Polenske 1995 1980 年理列陸易行料陸易利益數 ( Revealed Comparative Advantage, RCA ) 易數 ( Trade Specialization Coefficient, TSC ) 陸狀行兩來量陸力兩力論行理論陸陸易易 5

類類來易兩陸來年兩易力兩易力連 SDA 行 1981 1999 年聯料陸易力連略參 6

行立料 7

陸易度料都歷易年來易易易論流都切 2001 年易來 386 易易年 2002 兩易 392.8 153 易切易例例 28.5 17.1 陸 9.6 陸 18.3 6.9 4.6 6.3 4.0 6.1 4.1 料來 Country Profile 2003 http://www.eiu.com 兩來兩流來理便利陸易陸 8

陸易度兩易來陸 1998 年金暴 2001 年兩易兩易年來 4.6 來陸陸易陸易陸陸年 2001 年陸來陸陸易例例 20.4 17.6 17.5 11.2 16.9 14.7 15.4 10.8 4.7 9.6 料來 Country Profile 2003 http://www.eiu.com 易狀易 1952 年易 1.2 年 1.33 60.8 1967 年 2002 年易六來易來 9

兩切料易 1997 年 3 猪 1998 年金暴都屢 2000 年年易 219.5 17.4 易歷錄 2001 年易 386.1 2000 年 30% 127.6 23.1% 258.5 33.0% 易 130.9 2000 年 40.4% 1993 年來易參 1 來料零力易復 10

易易年金年率年率年率金金 (%) (%) (%) 1986 年 128 42 45.5 31.4 82.6 48.6-37.1 1987 年 187.8 46.7 69.6 53.1 118.2 43.2-48.6 1988 年 235.9 25.6 87.7 25.9 148.2 25.4-60.6 1989 年 250.9 6.3 90.6 3.4 160.3 8.1-69.6 1990 年 243.4-3 83.4-8 160-0.2-76.6 1991 年 280.3 15.2 91.7 9.9 188.6 17.9-96.9 1992 年 306.8 9.5 88.9-3 217.9 15.5-129 1993 年 321.6 4.8 89.7 0.8 231.9 6.4-142.2 1994 年 350.2 8.9 102.2 14 247.9 6.9-145.7 1995 年 434.2 24 131.6 28.7 302.7 22.1-171.1 1996 年 411.7-5.2 136.6 3.9 275-9.1-138.3 1997 年 407.1-1 116.9-14.4 290.2 5.6-173.3 1998 年 363.2-10.8 93.2-20.2 270.2-7 -176.8 1999 年 424.9 17 119 27.8 305.9 13.3-186.9 2000 年 551.6 29.8 166 39.6 385.6 26-219.6 2001 年 386.1-30 127.6-23.1 258.5-33 -130.9 2002 年 392.6 1.7 119.8-6.1 272.8 5.5-152.9 2003 年 445.5 13.5 119.1-0.6 326.3 19.6-207.2 料來 2001 年不年見臨易更年連 2001 年歷年來 2001 年 59.2% 11

年度兩 30.2% 20.2% 37.1% 33.8% 類 52.4% 例年度 41.5% 31.5% 34.1% 35.3% 年來益切料 2001 年 17.1% 27.3% 易 2001 年 12

類 2001 年 2000 年率 HS 金金金 (%) 易 386.1 551.6-165.5-30 127.6 166-38.4-23.1 零 84 38.4 55-16.6-30.2 零 85 37.1 46.5-9.4-20.2 3 5.8 6.6-0.8-12.7 39 5.5 6.1-0.6-10.4 90 4.9 7.8-2.9-37.1 94 3.6 4.6-1 -20.9 87 3.6 4.4-0.8-19.1 72 2.6 4-1.3-33.8 95 2.6 3.2-0.6-18.6 73 2.6 3-0.4-14.8 258.5 385.6-127.1-33 零 84 68.9 117.7-48.8-41.5 零 85 66.5 97.2-30.7-31.5 90 26.2 39.8-13.5-34.1 39 11.1 13.7-2.6-18.7 29 10.5 15.1-4.6-30.6 72 10.2 13.6-3.4-25.1 38 9.1 12.5-3.3-26.5 87 9 13.9-4.9-35.3 74 4.3 5.9-1.6-27.8 料來 13

年來易年易 1989 239,132,850 424,921,484-185,788,634 664,054,334 1990 223,438,905 430,578,178-207,139,273 654,017,083 1991 246,340,514 507,066,210-260,725,696 753,406,724 1992 223,571,862 549,100,811-325,528,949 772,672,673 1993 235,778,067 612,423,323-376,645,256 848,201,390 1994 269,733,622 656,817,251-387,083,629 926,550,873 1995 347,595,364 801,353,947-453,758,583 1,148,949,311 1996 374,217,002 755,971,485-381,754,483 1,130,188,487 1997 331,972,236 830,407,354-498,435,118 1,162,379,590 1998 311,082,383 903,958,950-592,876,567 1,215,041,333 1999 383,350,292 988,068,635-604,718,343 1,371,418,927 2000 516,838,451 1,202,794,673-685,956,222 1,719,633,124 2001 428,603,289 871,697,871-443,094,582 1,300,301,160 2002 413,746,333 943,875,732-530,129,399 1,357,622,065 料來料 1989 年 2002 年易料 HS 85 HS 84 兩類都類 HS 3 HS 39HS 72 都 1989 年金 316 14.42 143 6.52 1995 年更兩兩列 1989 年 20.94 2002 年 46.47 來 HS 2 類歷來都 14

例類來來 1989 年 208 2002 年 229 1989 年 6.36 年 12.48 兩年 11 猪不 1997 年猪量不復見例落 1989 年 118 2002 年 181 留例都零 1989 1991 3 1992 年 1995 年精 HS 90 年金 81 2.34 了 2002 年 5.29 金 218 精力 HS 73 1997 年度金 88 年 7 80 15

例年度例 1989 85 3 84 2 39 61 44 72 64 62 (14.42%) (9.48%) (6.52%) (6.36%) (5.39%) (4.82%) (3.54%) (3.54%) (3.47%) (2.96%) 1990 85 2 84 3 95 39 16 72 64 44 (13.75%) (8.12%) (6.53%) (6.18%) (5.04%) (4.38%) (3.95%) (3.76%) (2.96%) (2.96%) 1991 85 2 84 3 16 39 72 64 44 7 (15.16%) (11.52%) (7.33%) (5.95%) (5.23%) (4.86%) (4.35%) (3.17%) (2.83%) (2.62%) 1992 85 2 84 16 3 95 39 72 94 87 (13.45%) (11.63%) (7.06%) (5.15%) (4.96%) (4.54%) (4.48%) (4.17%) (3.27%) (2.86%) 1993 85 2 84 72 16 3 39 95 87 94 (13.53%) (12.10%) (7.84%) (5.83%) (5.29%) (4.91%) (4.83%) (4.46%) (3.41%) (3.31%) 1994 85 2 84 3 39 95 72 87 94 16 (14.37%) (12.48%) (11.44%) (5.62%) (5.02%) (4.14%) (3.84%) (3.7%) (3.61%) (3.1%) 1995 84 85 2 3 39 95 94 87 72 90 (19.01%) (15.25%) (11.3%) (5.92%) (4.55%) (4.1%) (3.24%) (3.13%) (2.9%) (2.34%) 1996 84 85 2 3 39 95 94 87 90 72 (21.53%) (16.71%) (11.48%) (5.23%) (4.55%) (4.13%) (3.48%) (2.67%) (2.32%) (2.21%) 1997 84 85 3 39 95 94 72 87 90 73 (21.89%) (20.96%) (6.06%) (5.15%) (4.01%) (3.89%) (3.6%) (3.07%) (2.83%) (2.66%) 1998 84 85 3 39 95 94 72 87 90 73 (24.31%) (22.16%) (6.04%) (5.57%) (3.93%) (3.9%) (3.26%) (3.05%) (2.88%) (2.55%) 1999 84 85 3 39 90 94 87 72 95 73 (30.32%) (24.49%) (4.86%) (4.8%) (3.35%) (3.27%) (2.95%) (2.87%) (2.73%) (2.09%) 2000 84 85 90 3 39 94 87 72 95 73 (33.05%) (28.1%) (4.73%) (3.98%) (3.67%) (2.76%) (2.65%) (2.39%) (1.91%) (1.81%) 2001 84 85 3 39 90 94 87 72 95 73 (30.02%) (29.08%) (4.55%) (4.28%) (3.84%) (2.84%) (2.79%) (2.06%) (2.02%) (2%) 2002 85 84 3 90 39 87 94 72 73 95 (29.47%) (28.%) (5.54%) (5.29%) (4.38%) (2.66%) (2.43%) (2.13%) (1.89%) (1.61%) 料來料理 16

更猪冷冷猪年猪年易易冷年量年例年金不年料理零類年年金金年陸年陸金年陸金陸度不略金度年露金年年降金拓 17

流路數路金例年兩年更金年金金了六滑滑金金降年滑落年不力兩年金滑金不降 18

例年度料來 : 料理 1989 年 2002 年料金不都車零 HS 87 HS 29 精 HS 74 不料都兩例 19

45 了 1998~2001 年 50 2000 年更 55.71 不了 2002 年例降 49.66 1989 年車零精 HS 89 年都類 1993 年 HS 48 金 86 例 1.14 降 1994 年 HS 38 金 138 金 1.61 金 1998 2001 兩年年降都年度都 1994 年 9 2002 年 7 1989 年來都都不了 1996 年例落 HS 32 1997 年例 1.3 106 2000 年 2001 年落不了 2002 年金 118 金 1.26 20

例年度例 1989 85 84 72 87 29 90 39 89 73 74 (27.23%) (20.86%) (9.23%) (6.11%) (4.66%) (3.62%) (3.2%) (2.73%) (1.86%) (1.7%) 1990 85 84 87 72 29 90 39 89 73 74 (27.33%) (21.49%) (7.29%) (6.9%) (4.5%) (3.65%) (3.64%) (1.7%) (1.66%) (1.53%) 1991 85 84 72 87 90 29 39 73 74 89 (26.21%) (21.38%) (7.65%) (7.2%) (4.56%) (4.48%) (3.53%) (1.65%) (1.47%) (1.39%) 1992 85 84 87 72 29 90 39 74 89 73 (26.36%) (21.89%) (8.51%) (6.84%) (4.33%) (4.15%) (3.44%) (1.6%) (1.54%) (1.43%) 1993 85 84 87 72 90 29 39 74 73 48 (27.44%) (19.57%) (8.01%) (7.24%) (5.04%) (4.22%) (3.31%) (1.68%) (1.55%) (1.41%) 1994 85 84 90 87 72 29 39 74 38 73 (28.06%) (19.61%) (6.88%) (6.64%) (5.87%) (4.61%) (3.67%) (1.74%) (1.61%) (1.48%) 1995 85 84 90 72 29 87 39 74 38 73 (29.65%) (19.71%) (7.1%) (6.25%) (6.01%) (5.63%) (3.63%) (1.91%) (1.73%) (1.37%) 1996 85 84 90 29 72 87 39 38 74 73 (27.45%) (22.07%) (10.21%) (5.33%) (4.92%) (4.22%) (3.73%) (2.27%) (2%) (1.35%) 1997 85 84 90 29 72 87 39 38 74 32 (26.37%) (22.81%) (10.14%) (5.05%) (5.03%) (4.6%) (3.67%) (2.59%) (1.87%) (1.28%) 1998 84 85 90 72 87 29 39 38 74 32 (25.99%) (25.68%) (7.91%) (5.23%) (4.99%) (4.36%) (3.64%) (2.34%) (1.97%) (1.3%) 1999 84 85 90 72 29 87 39 38 74 32 (30.43%) (24.15%) (8.21%) (4.41%) (4.12%) (3.87%) (3.68%) (2.62%) (1.73%) (1.31%) 2000 84 85 90 29 87 39 72 38 74 70 (30.51%) (25.2%) (10.33%) (3.9%) (3.6%) (3.55%) (3.53%) (3.23%) (1.54%) (1.15%) 2001 84 85 90 39 29 72 38 87 74 70 (26.6%) (25.74%) (10.15%) (4.31%) (4.05%) (3.96%) (3.54%) (3.48%) (1.66%) (1.19%) 2002 85 84 90 72 39 29 38 87 74 32 (27.15%) (22.51%) (10.41%) (4.69%) (4.63%) (4.22%) (3.87%) (3.84%) (1.77%) (1.26%) 料來料理路金數年來 21

年金更年兩度年降年易年降力車零年車易度車力年量年了年金降年年不了了陸陸金離冷流年例年金降降年金行列爐 22

零列金金年料理讀料錄料理類料列了來降年年年量不金力路料金不了數年數力 23

例年度 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 1 8542 8542 8542 8540 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 8542 38% 30% 26% 84% 25% 25% 26% 21% 17% 15% 16% 17% 14% 15% 2 8540 8540 8540 8542 8540 8540 8540 8540 8540 8471 8471 8479 8479 8479 78% 83% 83% 25% 82% 78% 77% 73% 64% 32% 35% 47% 53% 55% 3 8708 8708 8708 8708 8708 8708 8708 9013 9013 8540 8479 8471 8471 8471 77% 75% 84% 85% 85% 82% 81% 77% 67% 58% 47% 36% 24% 20% 4 8471 8471 8479 8479 8541 9013 9013 8479 8708 8479 8419 8708 8419 9013 42% 41% 42% 49% 52% 94% 90% 43% 78% 47% 50% 83% 59% 83% 5 8479 8479 8471 8471 8479 8541 2902 8708 8479 8708 8708 8419 8708 8708 41% 39% 38% 33% 41% 51% 40% 79% 44% 77% 79% 56% 73% 74% 6 7210 8714 8541 8541 7210 8479 8541 8419 8471 8419 8540 9030 8536 8541 84% 89% 56% 52% 68% 38% 48% 42% 30% 41% 58% 30% 48% 30% 7 8541 8541 8714 8714 8714 2902 8419 8471 8419 8541 8541 9010 9010 3818 58% 56% 87% 84% 81% 38% 49% 33% 42% 38% 38% 56% 56% 56% 8 8522 8536 7210 7210 8471 8471 8479 8541 9032 9032 8536 8541 8541 2902 85% 55% 77% 76% 34% 33% 39% 45% 48% 53% 45% 38% 29% 38% 9 8906 7210 8536 8536 2902 8536 8471 2902 8473 9013 8473 8532 9013 8532 65% 78% 58% 57% 42% 53% 31% 36% 40% 69% 23% 60% 77% 56% 10 8536 8906 8473 2902 8536 7210 8536 9032 8541 8536 9013 9013 8532 9010 52% 74% 52% 36% 55% 73% 56% 58% 40% 43% 54% 77% 60% 44% 料來 : 料理流 80 年例 IT 領 OEM ODM 契略聯年來陸兩來切聯陸零例 24

2002 年 WTO 落降易降度行更易易連年來年度來年金六來金來 2002 年 7 數累 294 金 7.9 ( 331 ) 3.37 易零年來金來例料累 25

2002 年 7 數 4134 來數 28.86 金 102.1 來 19.83 23.39 金累 120.5 易年來年年單位 : 千美元地區件數佔件數比率核准金額佔核准金額比率美國 2,664 17.25% 12,738,968 23.38% 日本 4,343 28.13% 19.51% 10,627,954 加勒比海英國屬地 1,713 11.09% 8,776,417 16.11% 新加坡 820 5.31% 香港 2,300 14.90% 荷蘭 227 1.47% 英國 292 1.89% 美洲其他地區 200 1.30% 菲律賓 218 1.41% 歐洲其他地區 332 2.15% 澳大利亞 126 0.82% 4,098,992 3,784,652 2,576,762 2,237,546 1,630,650 1,134,145 964,332 931,926 7.52% 6.95% 4.73% 4.11% 2.99% 2.08% 1.77% 1.71% 26

年年單位 : 千美元地區件數佔件數比率核准金額佔核准金額比率德國 280 1.81% 賴比瑞亞 34 0.22% 巴拿馬 49 0.32% 馬來西亞 456 2.95% 瑞士 135 0.87% 加拿大 184 1.19% 大洋洲其他地區 122 0.79% 大韓民國 214 1.39% 法國 114 0.74% 亞洲其他地區 282 1.83% 非洲其他地區 49 0.32% 印尼 106 0.69% 泰國 111 0.72% 其他 4 0.03% 紐西蘭 18 0.12% 越南 23 0.15% 27 817,767 797,857 675,424 568,762 444,372 397,494 319,312 316,203 267,039 88,338 76,698 68,144 64,271 41,006 28,063 4,174 1.50% 1.46% 1.24% 1.04% 0.82% 0.73% 0.59% 0.58% 0.49% 0.16% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.08% 0.05% 0.01%

年年單位 : 千美元地區件數佔件數比率核准金額佔核准金額比率南非 24 0.16% 墨西哥 0-3,866 0 0.01% - 合計 15,440 100.00% 54,481,134 100.00% 料來 : http://www.idic.gov.tw/html/invest_sa.htm 28

陸易狀年來兩兩兩易陸陸來兩兩易來 2-11 陸 1998 年金暴 2001 年兩易陸 1991 年 69 2,800 2002 年 294 4,620 年來陸 1991 年 11 2,600 2002 年 79 4,740 年來兩易 1991 年 80 5,420 2002 年 373 9,390 年來 4.6 來陸陸易 1991 年 58 2001 年易 214 9,850 陸易陸 29

陸易 % 易金 * 率金 * 率金 * 率金率 1991 8,054.20 5.8 63.1 6,928.30 9.1 66.1 1,126.00 1.8 47.1 5,802.40 70.4 1992 10,815.80 7.1 34.2 9,696.80 11.9 40 1,119.00 1.6-0.6 8,577.80 47.8 1993 13,743.30 8.5-12,727.80 14.9 31.3 1,015.50 1.3-11,712.30-1994 16,511.70 9.3 20.1 14,653.00 15.7 15.1 1,858.70 2.2 83 12,794.30 9.2 1995 20,989.60 9.8 27.1 17,898.20 16 22.1 3,091.30 3 66.3 14,806.80 15.7 1996 22,208.10 10.2 5.8 19,148.30 16.5 7 3,059.80 3-1 16,088.50 8.7 1997 24,433.30 10.3 10 20,518.00 16.8 7.2 3,915.30 3.4 28 16,602.70 3.2 1998 22,490.60 10.4-8 18,380.10 16.6-10.4 4,110.50 3.9 5 14,269.60-14.1 1999 25,747.60 11.1 14.5 21,221.30 17.5 15.5 4,526.30 4.1 10.1 16,695.00 17 2000 32,367.30 11.2 25.7 26,144.00 17.6 23.2 6,223.30 4.4 37.5 19,920.80 19.3 2001 29,963.40 13-7.4 24,061.30 19.6-8 5,902.00 5.5-5.2 18,159.30-8.8 2002 37,393.90 15.4 24.8 29,446.20 22.5 22.4 7,947.40 7.1 34.7 21,498.50 18.4 2003 1-2 6,042.20 16 38 4,690.30 23.6 33.5 1,351.80 7.6 56.1 3,338.40 26.1 料來易 * 陸易易例 2002 年陸零零零金 275.57 陸 83.4 陸零零料料泥零 58.62 陸 73.76 30

陸 % HS 2002 年金 2001 年金率易 41,006.5 29,963.0 11,043.5 36.9% 33,059.1 24,061.3 8,997.8 37.4 零 85 10,438.4 5,956.3 4,482.1 75.2 零 84 5,389.1 3,924.9 1,464.2 37.3 39 3,519.3 2,982.6 536.7 18.0 72 2,351.2 1,532.0 819.2 53.5 90 1,539.0 740.1 798.9 107.9 零 54 1,234.7 1,115.7 119.0 10.7 29 1,085.8 799.5 286.3 35.8 59 780.0 802.9-22.9-2.9 74 672.3 550.7 121.6 22.1 55 547.1 494.3 52.8 10.7 27,556.8 18,899.0 8,657.8 45.8 7,947.4 5,901.7 2,045.7 34.7 零 85 2,568.7 1,938.1 630.6 32.5 零 84 1,682.4 935.1 747.3 79.9 料 27 511.4 503.3 8.1 1.6 72 216.2 238.2-22.0-9.2 29 177.9 131.3 46.6 35.6 料泥 25 165.1 117.9 47.2 40.0 90 145.2 98.6 46.6 47.3 零 76 136 59.7 76.3 128.5 39 130.7 94.1 36.6 38.8 28 127.6 103.6 24.0 23.1 5,861.7 4,220.0 1,641.7 38.9 料來易 31

陸 HS 列類年來略陸易 1992 年陸數 27 HS 74 了 19 73.15% 陸易量 1993 年陸 39.11% 34.56% 6.62%4.19% 3.27% 3.23% 1.15% 0.95% 0.90% 0.68% 來年度降 1997 年陸 0.4%-0.6% HS 73 HS 96 HS 59 HS 38 HS 62 兩年 1995-2002 年陸 HS 85 HS 84 HS 39 HS 40 HS 29 HS 55 HS 54 HS 32 料料類 20% 30% 30% 降 15% HS 72 1998 年陸 1.96% 2002 年 8.28% HS 32 料料類 1996-98 年 1.81% 4% 年滑 2002 年陸 1.31% 2002 年陸 33.05%16.51% 11.79% 32

9.00%8.28% 精 5.10% 1.98% 1.74% 料料類 1.31% 1.08% 陸 3,430 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 陸例陸例 74 19 39 62 96 71 40 64 94 98 (73.15%) (10.66%) (4.50%) (3.85%) (3.61%) (1.87%) (1.41%) (0.69%) (0.20%) (0.04%) 85 84 61 39 73 55 96 59 38 62 (39.11%) (34.56%) (6.62%) (4.19%) (3.27%) (3.23%) (1.15%) (0.95%) (0.90%) (0.68%) 84 48 39 85 55 54 59 40 41 29 (27.23%) (11.00%) (9.28%) (7.47%) (5.97%) (5.79%) (3.11%) (2.87%) (2.09%) (1.94%) 84 85 39 29 55 54 48 90 61 32 (24.49%) (23.06%) (8.75%) (7.82%) (7.10%) (4.44%) (3.39%) (2.22%) (2.00%) (1.81%) 84 85 29 39 55 32 54 61 48 41 (21.83%) (20.71%) (11.20%) (7.43%) (6.04%) (3.94%) (2.34%) (2.08%) (2.06%) (2.06%) 85 84 39 29 32 70 40 55 54 41 (33.28%) (15.69%) (8.38%) (4.60%) (4.21%) (4.13%) (3.71%) (3.68%) (2.98%) (2.01%) 85 84 39 32 40 55 54 29 70 72 (41.91%) (9.92%) (9.69%) (4.03%) (3.62%) (2.86%) (2.62%) (2.52%) (2.34%) (1.96%) 85 39 84 72 29 40 55 32 87 54 (31.39%) (17.89%) (13.08%) (6.39%) (3.68%) (3.46%) (3.13%) (2.70%) (2.67%) (1.93%) 85 39 84 29 72 87 55 40 32 54 (26.29%) (21.48%) (12.73%) (8.16%) (4.88%) (4.14%) (3.10%) (2.88%) (2.06%) (1.88%) 85 39 84 29 72 55 87 90 40 32 (24.47%) (17.26%) (15.05%) (12.61%) (6.14%) (2.59%) (2.29%) (2.29%) (2.11%) (1.99%) 85 84 39 (33.05%) (16.51%) (11.79%) 29 (9.00%) 料來料理 72 90 54 55 32 76 (8.28%) (5.10%) (1.98%) (1.74%) (1.31%) (1.08%) 33

陸金年年金了落路年陸拓金年復年金了陸拓了年金了力鈴列年度金年年更年度金論力拓路數陸量陸例不陸金領金金年金降滑年降陸年金數年度不陸年了兩 34

陸金六陸料理零年度年度金年金年金年年陸拓狀類金年陸年年陸六六金金露 35

例年料來料理陸不 1991 年陸數 77 26.60% 18.31% 16.07% 泥 12.36% 陸陸易量了 1992 年陸 15.72%15.27% 13.50% 泥 12.0% 類 6.92% 36

金 6.29% 4.91% 4.54% 列 3.47%2.09% HS 72 1999 年兩 10-20% 降 2001-2002 年 3-4% 落 HS 27 1994 年 5-8% 降 1997 年降 1% 1993 年 6.03% HS 85 1995 年 3.60% HS 84 兩陸 2002 年 32.35% 21.18% 1992-2002 年 1996 年 1992 56.54% 1993-94 年降 40% 2002 年 62.86% HS 29 1994 8 2002 年 5 1994-2002 年 2002 年陸 32.35%21.18%6.43%2.72% 2.24% 泥 2.08% 精 1.83% 1.71% 1.64% 金 1.60% 陸 2,750 37

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 陸例陸例 72 27 12 25 28 52 76 5 44 15 (26.60%) (18.31%) (16.07%) (12.36%) (5.56%) (4.86%) (2.68%) (2.45%) (1.51%) (0.94%) 72 27 12 25 64 28 79 44 5 52 (15.72%) (15.27%) (13.50%) (12.05%) (6.92%) (6.29%) (4.68%) (4.54%) (3.47%) (2.09%) 25 64 (11.73%) (10.51%) 85 72 (12.69%) (10.33%) 72 85 (23.94%) (15.23%) 85 72 (20.80%) (11.28%) 85 72 (22.74%) (11.94%) 85 72 (28.21%) (10.56%) 85 84 (30.92%) (9.15%) 85 84 (32.12%) (11.68%) 85 84 (32.83%) (15.88%) 85 84 (32.35%) (21.18%) 27 (9.90%) 64 (8.86%) 27 (6.11%) 27 (7.65%) 84 (8.38%) 84 (9.22%) 72 (7.86%) 72 (9.83%) 27 (8.56%) 27 (6.43%) 12 (8.64%) 25 (8.85%) 44 (5.83%) 84 (5.64%) 27 (5.92%) 27 (4.73%) 27 (4.53%) 27 (4.92%) 72 (3.99%) 72 (2.72%) 料來料理 44 72 85 79 28 5 (8.25%) (7.79%) (6.03%) (4.91%) (4.57%) (3.79%) 27 44 12 29 5 79 (8.54%) (6.66%) (5.34%) (4.39%) (4.23%) (4.12%) 64 25 79 29 84 5 (5.61%) (5.13%) (4.06%) (3.60%) (3.60%) (2.84%) 64 25 44 29 5 12 (5.00%) (4.79%) (3.88%) (3.71%) (3.45%) (3.21%) 44 25 79 29 64 95 (3.92%) (3.59%) (3.42%) (3.33%) (2.86%) (2.65%) 25 79 29 64 28 95 (4.00%) (2.84%) (2.75%) (2.60%) (2.53%) (2.45%) 79 95 25 29 28 94 (3.35%) (3.01%) (2.93%) (2.53%) (2.35%) (2.04%) 79 95 29 87 94 25 (2.73%) (2.50%) (2.15%) (2.06%) (2.04%) (2.03%) 29 95 79 25 28 94 (2.23%) (2.17%) (2.06%) (2.00%) (1.75%) (1.75%) 29 25 90 76 39 28 (2.24%) (2.08%) (1.83%) (1.71%) (1.64%) (1.60%) 流例流例年金年金金不年年度金不金 38

度兩來類料便量年陸料金來金年都略滑金狀年量年年金兩年金陸例不陸金陸陸年金不年度金陸年度金陸六年更陸降年金年來類 39

年年年陸金略降年金都年更路路聯路度年年金金陸度不 40

例年度料來料理 1980 年率勞不識惡利陸 1990 年陸陸金陸料零陸 41

陸兩易兩陸陸利陸廉勞力降力陸勞力料零都不陸料陸說力量拉陸了降不陸例不降不來陸列陸行金數不金數來 1991 年陸金數 237 1 7,400 年 2002 年 1,490 38 5,876 11 年來數 6 金 22 1991 年不 100 2002 年 200 陸數來 1991 年金 8 4,400 2002 年 39 7,000 42

陸數金料陸料金金金金金率數數 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) (%) 1991 237 174.16 0.73 3,446 2783.00 844.00 30.33 1992 264 246.99 0.94 6,430 5543.00 1050.00 18.94 1993* 1,262 1140.37 0.90 10,948 9965.00 3139.00 (8,067) (2028.05) (0.25) 31.50 1994 934 962.21 1.03 6,247 5395.00 3391.00 62.85 1995 490 1092.71 2.23 4,778 5777.00 3162.00 54.73 1996 383 1229.24 3.21 3,184 5141.00 3475.00 67.59 1997* 728 1614.54 2.22 3,014 2814.00 3289.00 (7,997) (2719.77) (0.34) 116.88 1998* 641 1519.21 2.37 2,970 2982.00 2915.00 97.75 (643) (515.41) (0.80) 1999 488 1252.78 2.57 2,499 3374.44 2598.70 77.01 2000 840 2607.14 3.10 3,108 4041.89 2296.28 56.81 2001 1,186 2784.15 2.35 4,214 6914.19 2979.94 43.10 2002 1,490 3858.76 2.59 4,853 6740.84 3970.64 58.90 (3,950) (2864.30) (0.73) 累 27,276* 26609.79* 0.98 55,691 61,471 33111 53.86 數數金料來兩行陸 124 2002 年 12 陸金 32.58% 金金 8.45% 金 7.12% 金 6.59% 料精金 43

陸行 2002 年 1991-2002 行金金金金數數 ( ) (%) ( ) (%) 789 2,618.7 38.95 4,783 8,669.9 32.58 金 257 631.5 9.39 2,350 2,248.2 8.45 197 398.8 5.93 2,332 1,895.1 7.12 199 474.4 7.06 1,725 1,754.6 6.59 料 93 152.9 2.27 2,328 1,491.3 5.60 精 267 433.3 6.45 2,506 1,416.1 5.32 金 93 214.8 3.20 1,267 1,271.8 4.78 102 218.4 3.25 836 1,000.0 3.76 45 127.5 1.90 1,068 976.9 3.67 169 232.5 3.46 1,006 875.8 3.29 304 291.2 4.33 1,326 875.8 3.29 林 47 28.7 0.43 474 167.9 0.63 554 900.4 13.39 5,275 3,966.5 14.91 3,116 6,723.1 100.00 27,276 26,609.8 100.00 料來行陸陸來年來陸 44

陸年來年羽力露兩連度連勞力度度年勞力類來勞力年見年易都料行力了理年年陸都勒行理行來 45

年年地區件數單位 : 千美元佔件數比率核准金額佔核准金額比率加勒比海英國屬地 1,501 15.66% 13,596,945 37.08% 美國 4,166 43.46% 7,414,283 20.22% 美洲其他地區 224 2.34% 2,782,294 7.59% 新加坡 376 3.92% 1,808,912 4.93% 馬來西亞 268 2.80% 1,536,437 4.19% 香港 753 7.86% 1,447,333 3.95% 泰國 326 3.40% 1,078,219 2.94% 越南 228 2.38% 975,756 2.66% 巴拿馬 58 0.61% 932,755 2.54% 日本 323 3.37% 816,724 2.23% 菲律賓 150 1.56% 704,807 1.92% 印尼 186 1.94% 592,934 1.62% 大洋洲其他地區 157 1.64% 480,952 1.31% 英國 132 1.38% 463,186 1.26% 加拿大 58 0.61% 347,621 0.95% 亞洲其他地區 95 0.99% 238,563 0.65% 歐洲其他地區 68 0.71% 228,489 0.62% 大韓民國 100 1.04% 211,340 0.58% 其他 10 0.10% 201,109 0.55% 荷蘭 102 1.06% 162,814 0.44% 賴比瑞亞 9 0.09% 131,751 0.36% 澳大利亞 50 0.52% 126,266 0.34% 德國 110 1.15% 121,551 0.33% 墨西哥 14 0.15% 107,232 0.29% 非洲其他地區 51 0.53% 92,961 0.25% 南非 17 0.18% 29,630 0.08% 法國 37 0.39% 25,384 0.07% 紐西蘭 6 0.06% 5,984 0.02% 瑞士 10 0.10% 4,284 0.01% 合計 9,585 100.00% 36,666,516 100.00% 料來 : http://www.idic.gov.tw/html/invest_sa.htm 兩易 46

陸零零精易列陸類 2002 年金 1994 年金精金年不 2-1 (HS 85) (HS 84) (HS 72) (HS 39) 精 (HS 90) 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 精 40000 20000 0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 47

精 HS 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 31678 30715 34351 30082 31898 38763 53024 62548 69573 68943 93889 145209 124656 121920 84 14312 14596 16602 15776 18486 30664 66084 80552 72653 75609 116214 170840 128670 115835 39 11844 9786 11019 10013 11387 13553 15803 17034 17102 17333 18418 18946 18359 18128 72 7780 8396 9858 9325 13738 10353 10075 8258 11946 10139 10992 12368 8836 8815 90 2,994 3,185 4,092 4,883 4,117 5,620 8,122 8,676 9,400 8,946 12,827 24,443 16,475 21,877 料來料理 2-2 1996 年 2000 年量令精 2000 年量不了 2000 年量精量量精類 48

2-2 (HS 85) (HS 84) (HS 72) (HS 39) 精 (HS 90) 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 精 100000 50000 0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 精 HS 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 113630 115255 132877 144721 168030 184321 237562 207506 218947 232170 238668 303127 224386 256229 84 87051 90647 108394 120177 119859 128823 157910 166860 189410 234965 300678 366967 231855 212433 39 13358 15349 17884 18876 20248 24109 29070 28222 30475 32908 36334 42738 37598 43703 72 38502 29102 8388 37562 44315 38529 50116 37207 41805 47316 43566 42439 34532 44301 90 15092 15413 23102 22808 30895 45160 56912 77211 84223 71462 81100 124267 88451 9827 料來料理精 3 年來不 1990 年 1992 年 40.16% 年降 2002 年 49

5.96% 精例 HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 8.69% 7.47% 7.77% 8.38% 9.17% 8.97% 8.12% 9.42% 10.82% 10.94% 9.42% 84 3.94% 4.11% 6.18% 10.03% 10.20% 7.98% 7.59% 10.86% 13.91% 11.57% 10.12% 72 40.16% 43.24% 30.53% 19.64% 13.44% 14.27% 10.46% 10.34% 9.38% 7.52% 5.96% 39 8.27% 8.64% 9.09% 8.43% 9.30% 9.05% 8.80% 8.77% 7.66% 7.84% 6.85% 90 12.83% 10.53% 13.07% 16.26% 16.53% 15.18% 13.51% 15.66% 21.53% 16.41% 15.00% 料來料理陸陸年金精年 2-3 陸 (HS 85) (HS 84) (HS 72) (HS 39) 精 (HS 90) 精 50

陸精 HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 0 166 261 2,309 3,536 5,985 11,670 25,621 34,523 39,202 113,356 84 0 147 950 2,453 3,728 2,822 2,763 10,674 16,724 24,105 56,639 72 0 0 47 40 91 122 547 5,213 6,415 9,835 28,400 39 1 18 324 876 1,269 1,507 2,699 14,602 28,207 27,639 40,432 90 0 2 67 222 187 206 496 534 1,072 3,667 17,504 料來料理精陸例 HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 0.00% 0.04% 0.05% 0.37% 0.52% 0.77% 1.37% 2.57% 2.57% 3.44% 8.76% 84 0.00% 0.03% 0.19% 0.37% 0.47% 0.31% 0.28% 1.00% 1.36% 2.17% 4.95% 72 0.00% 0.00% 0.14% 0.08% 0.15% 0.15% 0.56% 4.90% 4.87% 8.37% 19.20% 39 0.00% 0.01% 0.22% 0.47% 0.69% 0.80% 1.37% 6.96% 11.41% 11.80% 15.29% 90 0.00% 0.00% 0.16% 0.44% 0.36% 0.33% 0.75% 0.65% 0.94% 3.65% 12.00% 料來料理精 5 陸年易來年年 1999 年陸 2.57% 2002 年 8.76%1999 年陸 1.00% 2002 年 4.95% 1999 年陸 10.34% 4.90% 2002 年 5.96% 陸 19.20% 51

陸陸精 1995 年 2000 年 2-4 陸 (HS 85) (HS 84) (HS 72) (HS 39) 精 (HS 90) 精 52

陸精 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 85 6 19 1,621 6,244 12,461 17,502 25,549 38,826 45,202 62,397 65,534 88,965 84 7 45 311 978 2,943 4,742 9,415 12,693 13,368 22,682 31,702 58,248 72 2,067 2,964 2,096 5,084 19,581 9,493 13,413 14,535 11,492 19,093 7,966 7,479 39 0 0 71 368 574 763 1,176 1,635 2,234 2,879 3,189 4,520 90 0 0 35 124 334 514 1,227 1,859 2,052 2,553 3,338 5,024 料來料理 53

陸易利益易數陸易力年聯來易力不行理論立異來易類兩行論陸陸易兩更易異陸 54

不益不陸陸金來來陸金率易力不參利來力參易力聯 --RCA TSC RCA 數易理論易利益來兩行易兩益利益數 RCA 利益例力量利益力易度 Bela Balassa 1965 年數量 RCA Balassa 不不了數易利數來量 55

RCA RCA 1 利益 RCA 利益 RCA RCA i = X ij X j ij X ij i X X ij j i j i i j ij X i ij X j ij X ij i j RCA 率例力不力量利益數 j i j 例 i 例句說 j i 例 RCA 數力力 j i 利益力 56

了便力參易 Japan External Trade Organization, JETRO 力 1. 若 RCA 數 2.5 力 S 2. 若 RCA 數 2.5 1.25 力 R 3. 若 RCA 數 1.25 0.8 力 M 4. 若 RCA 數 0.8 力 W 3-1RCA 來利益 RCA 14.96 7.53 4.38 3.89 力力金 1.95 1.47 陸 3.393.362.89 2.42 利益力了 2.24 2.30 1.77 利益 3.28 2.73 力車 1.94 0.77 車零 0.52 不力陸車零 57

不力 0.14 0.200.01 金 0.18 0.20 不力力不 1.06 兩陸兩易都利益 58

陸數陸 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 類 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.13 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 林 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 類 0.10 0.13 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 糖 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.47 0.05 0.02 料 0.02 0.12 0.01 0.01 3.89 2.24 0.20 0.03 0.72 2.89 0.03 0.02 0.77 2.30 0.01 0.01 0.77 0.46 0.01 0.02 0.42 0.18 0.07 0.03 0.11 0.14 0.03 0.02 4.38 1.77 1.06 0.11 0.59 0.57 0.17 0.02 1.03 0.47 0.43 0.03 金 0.71 0.26 0.14 0.03 金 1.95 0.75 0.18 0.02 車零 0.52 0.14 1.94 0.08 1.03 0.36 0.44 0.03 14.96 3.39 2.73 0.11 7.53 3.36 3.28 0.17 1.47 2.42 0.20 0.02 力 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 來 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.06 0.17 0.01 易 0.25 0.80 0.15 0.03 0.61 0.41 0.30 0.03 0.31 0.23 0.18 0.01 0.64 0.32 0.22 0.03 0.10 0.04 0.05 0.01 金 0.12 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.13 0.05 0.07 0.01 1.00 0.14 0.16 0.06 樂 0.08 0.02 0.13 0.01 / / 療 / 0.40 0.12 0.13 0.02 宅 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 料來 GTAP 料理 59

易數 TSC 易數 Trade Specialization Coefficient, TSC 力數 TSC 數力 3-2 利易數陸易易數 TSC ( X ( X i i M + M i i ) ) i 不 Xi i Mi i TSC -1 1-1 1 兩度易度度若數 0 度易兩易量兩 0.75<= TSCij <=1.0 度 0.5 <= TSCij < 0.75 0.25<= TSCij < 0.5 0 <= TSCij < 0.25 度 TSCij TSCij -1-0.3 i j 60

TSCij -0.3 0.3 i j TSCij 0.3 1 i j 陸易數 HS 陸 01-0.226 0.731-0.777 02-0.891 0.029-0.999 03 類類類 0.614 0.295-0.905 04 列 -0.935-0.166-0.987 05 列 0.074 0.551-0.924 06 類切葉 0.59 0.133-0.94 07 類 -0.141 0.813-0.971 08-0.816 0.189-0.964 09 茶茶料 -0.244 0.92-0.954 10 類 -0.973 0.548-0.997 11 糖 -0.777 0.107-0.549 12 料粒飼料 -0.907-0.494-0.934 13 0.049 0.36-0.786 14 料列 -0.062-0.005-0.965 15 蠟 -0.639-0.872-0.778 16 0.344 0.984-0.869 17 糖糖 -0.758-0.104-0.793 18-0.976-0.379-0.896 19 類類 -0.59 0.508-0.665 20-0.427 0.883-0.965 21-0.441 0.439-0.418 22 料類 -0.687 0.602-0.861 23 飼料 -0.679-0.308-0.899 24 葉類葉 -0.974 0.281-0.837 25 硫泥料料泥 -0.636 0.166-0.593 26-0.966-0.919-0.991 61

HS 陸 27 料蠟 -0.69-0.395-0.958 28 金金 -0.535 0.217-0.207 29-0.41-0.334 0.175 30-0.891-0.177-0.405 31 料 -0.632-0.741-0.724 32 料料料類立泥類 -0.039-0.201 0.438 33 精狀 -0.481 0.441-0.361 34 滑蠟蠟蠟類蠟料料 -0.428-0.075 0.251 35 狀 0.27-0.418-0.208 36 金 -0.15 0.987-0.764 37-0.74-0.041 0.82 38-0.472-0.45 0.244 39 0.421-0.368 0.318 40 0.305-0.107 0.53 41 0.232-0.543-0.267 42 旅行類 -0.181 0.977-0.972 43 0.888 0.489-0.984 44-0.519-0.188-0.986 45 0.002-0.336-0.94 46 料柳 0.141 0.977-0.991 47 料料 -0.963-0.989-0.693 48-0.042-0.416 0.076 49-0.341 0.292-0.371 50-0.262 0.777-0.297 51-0.075-0.263-0.193 52 0.069 0.191 0.067 53 0.128 0.2-0.492 54 0.833-0.157 0.728 55 0.676-0.085 0.613 56 料不撚索 0.493-0.087 0.262 57 料 -0.35 0.881-0.924 58 刺 0.91 0.282 0.313 59 0.854-0.314 0.418 60 0.974 0.167 0.655 62

HS 陸 61 0.574 0.937-0.949 62 0.196 0.928-0.96 63 不不 0.564 0.98-0.872 64 類類零 0.288 0.947-0.975 65 類零 0.914 0.983-0.522 66 零 0.684 0.963-0.984 67 理羽羽 -0.317 0.851-0.96 68 料泥泥類料 -0.189 0.66-0.118 69-0.343 0.881 0.142 70 0.08 0.043 0.335 71 金金金 -0.802 0.362-0.554 72 0.004-0.703 0.715 73 0.709 0.448 0.407 74-0.112-0.766 0.533 75-0.901-0.787-0.482 76-0.217-0.034-0.519 78-0.507 0.736 0.028 79-0.51 0.224 0.45 80-0.428 0.198-0.363 81 金金 -0.521 0.515-0.07 82 金利零 0.687 0.611 0.49 83 金 0.804 0.652 0.108 84 爐零 0.294-0.013 0.387 85 零錄錄零 86 路車車車零路車零 0.076-0.059 0.358-0.942 0.722 0.59 87 路車車車零 0.292-0.057 0.803 88 零 -0.868-0.805-0.485 89 0.454 0.52 0.943 90 量精零 -0.201-0.293 0.273 91 零 -0.384 0.33-0.269 92 樂零 0.629 0.653 0.277 93 零 0.292 0.629-0.155 94 類列類 0.668 0.921-0.766 95 零 0.752 0.941-0.113 96 0.572 0.659 0.41 63

HS 陸 97-0.211 0.663-0.622 98 理 -0.687-0.413 N/A 料來料理 0.3-0.3 數 TSC 易若易 TSC TSC HS 73 0.709 易 1% 陸 TSC 易不 1% HS 42 0.977 HS 64 類 0.947 HS 95 0.941 HS 61 0.937 陸易 1-2% TSC 易 1% HS 89 0.943 HS 87 車車零 0.803 HS 72 0.715 HS 40 0.53 車易例 1-2% 車不 TSC 0.803 易例 14.26% 車 HS 85 TSC 0.358 0.076 陸 -0.059 陸 TSC 度了力陸更類 HS 84 TSC 0.294 陸 -0.013 0.387 精陸 TSC 64

TSC 0.0761 度 TSC 度度 TSC 0 了易陸易 intra-industry trade, IIT 行易數數年來易 H-O 理論 Heckscher-Ohlin Model 不利益利益行行易易 Intra-Industry Trade, IIT 易量易理論理論了異不 Hart and Bradley 1992 易 Intra-Industry Trade 來易不 Aquino (1978) 易易 Loertscher and Wolter(1980) 易 Nilsson(1999) 論異不識易來 identical product 論都 Grubel and Lloyd 65

1975 若易不類來來說行類不類類類 HS 行行 HS 易不狀 Aquino 1978 易例 X iq M iq X = X a iq i * a = ( X i + M i ) i 2 i X i M = M b b = iq i * ( X i + M i ) i 2 i M i Aquino 易數 Q i : Q i X = 1 ( X iq iq M + M iq iq *100 ) 易 a=b=1 易 X i > M i n n i= 1 i= 1 a<1 b>1 a 來降 b 來來易 X i < M i a>1 n n i= 1 i= 1 b<1 降來若量易 66

易數 ( ax i + bm i ) 數 Q n i ( ax + bm ) i= 1 i i Q i = 1 n i= 1 n i= 1 ax ( ax i i bm + bm i i *100 ) = 1 n i= 1 n i= 1 X ( X iq iq M + M iq iq *100 ) 陸數 IIT 數 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 31.67% 39.36% 27.56% 21.18% 26.17% 31.17% 38.94% 32.24% 陸 2.95% 7.91% 4.99% 7.86% 47.54% 62.74% 78.35% 78.28% 料來料理易數數年 30% 陸易年來易數陸易陸 2002 年易 HS 73 HS 84 HS 85 HS 70 HS 39 IIT 數 30% HS 90 精易 1996 2002 年 HS 39 易略降 67

年易數 HS 1996 1999 2002 2002 年 * 85 零錄錄零 25.97 26.48 34.52 27.85% 84 爐零 38.58 26.08 38.58 24.18% 90 量精零 10.54 11.56 17.78 8.85% 39 46.01 32.87 30.77 4.55% 72 19.8 17.83 16.05 3.91% 87 路車車車零 26.89 20.59 23.47 3.48% 29 6.93 6.39 7.87 3.20% 38 12.44 8.02 7.52 2.93% 3 類類類 10.13 10 8.81 1.72% 74 18.56 9.9 7.72 1.35% 73 56.74 43.61 58.74 1.18% 料料 32 料類立泥 13.46 7.64 14.61 1.03% 類 70 24.98 18.28 33.22 0.99% 37 0.23 0.8 1.48 0.83% 76 64.85 37.37 31.7 0.80% 料來料理 2002 年 2002 年易陸 2002 年易易 HS 76 HS 73 HS 84 90% HS 85 HS 70 車 70% 數易車 HS 95 HS 39 HS 55 滑 68

陸年易數 HS 1996 1999 2002 2002 年 * 85 零錄錄零 7.88 48.09 77.25 32.74% 84 爐零 27.52 61.68 90.39 18.59% 39 50.47 43.02 16.45 7.27% 29 22.14 62.4 27.56 5.99% 72 0.39 40.42 34.87 5.81% 90 量精零 13.77 25.38 37.42 3.65% 27 料蠟 0 2.57 24.89 3.19% 76 18.73 76.15 98.89 1.36% 54 0 5.02 15.74 1.22% 料料 32 料類立泥 24.48 91.04 65.29 1.17% 類 55 80.27 23.89 6.66 1.01% 73 2.73 25.15 95.35 0.99% 87 路車車車零 4.92 57.94 70.85 0.98% 25 硫泥料料泥 0.15 2.22 5.33 0.95% 95 零 3.6 5.31 47.27 0.83% 料來料理 2002 年 2002 年易 69

易聯 SDA 年來 GDP 年易來 1981-1999 年聯易易 % 年 1984 6.34 46.15 37.53 47.51 13.16 1985 5.79 46.27 37.56 47.94 13.26 1986 5.55 47.11 39.35 47.34 12.96 1987 5.30 46.67 38.89 48.03 12.90 1988 5.03 44.84 37.15 50.13 13.26 1989 4.90 42.30 34.55 52.80 13.51 1990 4.18 41.22 33.31 54.60 14.21 1991 3.79 41.07 33.34 55.14 14.61 1992 3.60 40.08 31.82 56.32 15.10 1993 3.64 39.35 30.56 57.01 15.30 1994 3.51 37.71 28.99 58.78 15.61 1995 3.48 36.37 27.92 60.15 16.35 1996 3.19 35.72 27.92 61.09 16.80 1997 2.55 35.31 27.80 62.14 17.23 1998 2.47 34.56 27.39 62.97 17.77 1999 2.56 33.19 26.59 64.25 18.49 2000 2.09 32.38 26.39 65.53 19.30 2001 1.95 31.09 25.57 66.96 19.29 2002 1.86 31.03 25.74 67.11 19.35 2003(I) 1.76 29.09 24.21 69.15 19.31 料來行 2002 年 2003 年料 70

Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis, IO SDA 行來更來列六來 x = DAx ˆ + y x 量 A 數 Dˆ IMport 例 1 Dˆ Ax Total Demand EXport 量 y 量 ( + v + g + w) e y = D ˆ c + c g 量 v e w 1 ( I DA ˆ ) [ Dˆ ( c + v + g + w) e] x = Ry = + R = ( I DA) 1 ˆ 聯度 Leontief I 兩 71

x = x 1 x0 = R0 y Ry1 x = R Dˆ Ax + R Dˆ c + R Dˆ v + R Dˆ g + R e + R Dˆ ( c + v + g + 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 w1 R0D ˆ 0 Ax1 來數 R Dˆ 0 c + R Dˆ g 0 0 0 ) R 0 Dˆ 0 v R 0 e ˆ 六 R D( c + v + g + ) 來 0 1 1 1 w1 例聯 49 年聯類 70 73 75 78 年 123 80 83 年 150 85 88 年 160 70-88 年 119 80-88 年 150 行 3-6 70 年 88 年 85-88 年 160 70-73 73-75 75-78 78-80 80-83 83-85 85-88 錄了 322.66% 611.62% 了 231.82% 了 76.66% 來來 168.96% 146.51% 177.01% 72

-41.15% 連數了率率數降數 1981-1999 年 -11.75% 了 -33.86% -51.34% 91.91% 說度 73

3-7 1981-1999 1981 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 4,559,835 168.96% 48.31% 146.51% -29.36% -11.75% 19,272,598 322.66% 林 319,642 86.46% 10.75% 24.25% -10.94% -33.86% 564,680 76.66% 3,019,017 89.58% 57.73% 177.01% -41.15% -51.34% 10,017,746 231.82% 1,221,176 386.80% 34.84% 103.10% -5.03% 91.91% 8,690,172 611.62% 1 47,501 25.35% -26.96% 3.78% -1.56% -21.20% 37,719-20.59% 2 7,171 81.09% 5.51% -0.50% 24.25% -82.03% 9,202 28.32% 3 8,000 75.80% -11.60% -1.22% -30.60% -81.32% 4,084-48.95% 4 7,648 63.85% -2.51% 60.32% -7.09% -77.42% 10,490 37.16% 5 45,837 188.66% 2.24% -3.72% -5.72% -5.50% 126,493 175.96% 6 猪 53,198 65.04% 9.23% 1.30% -0.06% -14.37% 85,722 61.14% 7 31,560 76.06% 1.29% 3.78% 2.85% 46.92% 72,871 130.90% 8 18,130 60.30% -17.08% 3.77% -2.46% 92.82% 43,030 137.34% 9 林 9,362 64.35% 43.30% 41.62% -71.39% -146.17% 2,969-68.29% 10 51,701 84.47% -0.84% 39.79% 2.00% -46.36% 92,574 79.06% 11 6,825 84.33% 27.75% 101.98% -220.24% -90.11% 253-96.29% 12 11,366 122.53% 36.19% 110.78% -33.48% -217.13% 13,513 18.89% 13 金 4,303 87.15% 105.08% 368.14% -52.99% -294.13% 13,479 213.25% 14 1,255 115.24% 14.37% 132.92% -90.24% -115.88% 1,963 56.41% 15 金 15,785 107.62% 192.06% 55.98% -18.20% -118.68% 50,318 218.77% 16 73,033 65.53% 0.60% 2.08% -9.35% -1.02% 115,278 57.84% 17 19,987 114.15% 5.67% 14.00% -32.38% -35.57% 33,152 65.87% 18 8,175 93.81% 1.42% 9.85% -53.72% 18.33% 13,872 69.69% 19 40,577 27.16% -2.25% 0.24% -1.11% 0.42% 50,501 24.46% 20 糖 18,707 74.89% -12.07% -2.53% -30.40% -83.03% 8,766-53.14% 21 飼料 51,689 76.75% 5.86% 9.60% -4.71% -76.71% 57,268 10.79% 22 16,090 51.53% -1.34% -78.53% -9.26% -8.49% 8,674-46.09% 23 冷 12,464 64.74% -0.63% -16.45% 204.96% 0.33% 43,991 252.94% 24 精 3,548-4.83% -0.15% 79.99% -30.42% 11.10% 5,524 55.69% 25 62,433 128.92% -0.94% 4.16% -25.66% -3.31% 126,838 103.16% 26 精料 8,192 550.49% -2.31% 16.31% -22.49% -4.03% 52,262 537.96% 27 25,968 122.99% -8.40% 2.14% -41.45% -3.60% 44,584 71.69% 28 27,024 58.94% -6.17% -0.04% -57.02% 1.16% 26,179-3.13% 29 71,031 40.61% -2.59% 64.15% -30.27% -49.62% 86,854 22.28% 30 16,162 15.20% -4.35% 34.63% -33.46% -36.99% 12,127-24.97% 31 85,445 27.01% 0.18% 158.81% -29.65% -3.92% 215,690 152.43% 32 61,793 23.43% -1.91% -19.93% -23.59% -0.54% 47,869-22.53% 33 理 12,148 40.54% -1.16% 71.32% -28.24% 57.35% 29,133 139.82% 34 6,957 70.47% 23.55% 1639.00% 42.27% 85.52% 136,413 1860.80% 74

1981 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 35 63,501 55.59% -2.35% -21.29% -25.63% -2.60% 65,866 3.72% 36 24,704 65.42% -1.14% 167.40% -22.12% -39.11% 66,813 170.45% 37 29,736 58.61% 1.85% 59.07% -49.21% -10.73% 47,458 59.60% 38 19,621 87.43% 77.18% 51.12% -116.52% -174.88% 4,772-75.68% 39 22,300 31.89% 23.45% -29.65% -44.77% -35.79% 10,063-54.87% 40 22,795 38.56% 21.54% 42.10% -20.80% -89.27% 21,001-7.87% 41 金 17,539 88.44% -5.80% 91.14% -43.96% 15.86% 43,089 145.68% 42 43,980 166.44% 25.10% 153.58% -91.70% -156.41% 86,643 97.01% 43 24,719 127.01% 40.38% 222.46% -96.18% -77.80% 78,081 215.87% 44 27,618 286.64% 19.51% 105.47% 35.18% 26.87% 158,439 473.68% 45 料 73,901 57.58% 21.00% 235.69% -185.80% -7.24% 163,499 121.24% 46 料 19,933 130.69% 23.03% 238.90% -156.65% -74.39% 52,144 161.60% 47 料 6,841 98.69% -11.69% 29.73% -2.10% -94.41% 8,224 20.22% 48 67,479 22.58% -1.59% 134.02% -13.71% -73.20% 113,430 68.10% 49 7,410 31.04% -9.14% 159.56% -41.44% -143.45% 7,156-3.43% 50 ( ) 56,372 51.15% 25.26% 270.09% -85.97% 36.95% 224,059 297.47% 51 料 6,474 78.21% 22.54% 295.78% -243.51% 214.95% 30,296 367.96% 52 療 14,741 604.30% -1.31% 29.58% -48.23% -341.53% 50,535 242.82% 53 49,820 160.85% 22.28% 197.61% -110.93% -58.71% 154,992 211.10% 54 煉 205,555 126.59% 38.02% 106.71% -43.86% -190.27% 282,002 37.19% 55 5,890 70.81% 83.60% 237.36% 10.36% -75.87% 25,106 326.25% 56 30,149 87.40% 14.99% 86.42% -35.34% -19.35% 70,587 134.13% 57 145,516 51.72% 23.79% 140.14% -37.04% -44.68% 340,400 133.93% 58 9,862 63.99% 15.04% -10.94% -29.74% 179.43% 31,340 217.79% 59 11,296 113.04% 31.68% 257.23% -131.04% 101.73% 53,390 372.65% 60 泥 31,645 112.40% 203.85% 11.48% -12.87% -284.97% 41,102 29.88% 61 泥 15,344 115.89% 230.92% 13.97% -7.95% 18.97% 72,394 371.81% 62 金 20,615 102.81% 136.40% 132.83% -37.44% -235.81% 40,982 98.80% 63 71,801 71.40% 98.21% 258.22% -10.78% -344.54% 123,862 72.51% 64 100,843 79.58% 95.28% 269.06% 61.89% -91.55% 518,601 414.27% 65 金 27,343 90.78% 86.60% 427.28% -288.96% -14.96% 109,574 300.74% 66 75,400 62.32% 40.54% 237.20% -35.25% -146.50% 194,765 158.31% 67 10,492 138.02% 88.14% 150.17% 5.12% -30.81% 47,281 350.64% 68 金 24,775 105.93% 79.08% 676.21% -55.38% -67.65% 207,664 738.20% 69 21,045 10.86% 65.62% 137.38% 94.25% 20.48% 90,196 328.59% 70 34,194 8.34% 288.47% 361.15% -55.90% -7.38% 237,535 594.67% 71 9,767 40.74% 174.20% 300.52% -8.58% 0.88% 59,361 507.77% 72 零 20,225 37.87% 113.34% 265.87% -31.56% -12.96% 95,576 372.56% 73 32,827 155.92% 59.93% 104.70% -17.35% 8.67% 135,205 311.87% 74 53,985 65.26% 109.96% 310.19% -24.08% 0.41% 303,257 461.74% 75

1981 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 75 192,001 55.09% 96.67% 963.44% -161.94% 114.11% 2,241,372 1067.38% 76 22,993 8.90% -9.46% 76.29% -34.36% 15.67% 36,109 57.04% 77 車車 92,627 206.59% 7.43% 117.17% -6.46% -4.80% 388,973 319.93% 78 20,865 14.46% 88.64% 289.21% 5.83% 70.59% 118,663 468.72% 79 精 18,526 14.91% 47.26% 215.18% 8.06% -0.19% 71,366 285.22% 80 99,362 57.09% 8.22% 56.10% -43.14% -25.26% 152,033 53.01% 81 力 112,132 177.70% 39.72% 138.72% -33.77% -123.19% 335,484 199.19% 82 12,892 112.30% 2.77% 22.19% 6.33% -43.59% 25,785 100.01% 83 來 6,807 316.74% 34.66% 50.17% -10.16% -50.95% 29,982 340.46% 84 170,587 166.40% 145.69% 14.33% -4.11% -142.15% 477,909 180.16% 85 42,521 0.29% 537.77% 0.02% 0.00% 10.83% 275,925 548.91% 86 48,228 16.39% 348.59% 4.80% -0.41% 116.25% 282,430 485.61% 87 78,540 283.55% 88.07% 87.62% -9.83% 124.12% 528,987 573.53% 88 零 141,177 298.95% 51.20% 71.49% -6.27% 121.32% 898,861 536.69% 89 易 84,719 147.90% 83.47% 256.46% -19.25% 3.65% 484,786 472.23% 90 17,882 789.46% 5.74% 118.96% 276.47% 23.47% 234,987 1214.10% 91 旅館 11,789 201.29% 8.44% 316.78% -202.95% -8.24% 48,961 315.31% 92 路 8,698 220.50% 35.94% 113.65% -60.72% -157.01% 21,950 152.36% 93 陸 77,640 141.46% 45.56% 99.71% -20.99% 15.98% 296,372 281.73% 94 24,547 33.25% 15.74% 611.37% -125.84% -26.71% 149,200 507.81% 95 23,467 255.50% 3.39% 208.00% 83.17% -2.56% 151,950 547.51% 96 8,780 264.30% 38.19% 536.66% 6.73% 695.90% 144,148 1541.78% 97 6,492 146.36% 61.86% 200.54% -30.26% -12.75% 30,237 365.76% 98 31,499 514.89% 26.58% 128.83% 19.16% 104.39% 281,554 793.85% 99 金 81,013 330.89% 52.12% 135.43% -24.63% 412.49% 815,234 906.30% 100 21,692 936.92% 17.98% 111.73% 39.59% 132.02% 290,291 1238.24% 101 宅 35,677 2600.97% 14.51% 76.33% 33.48% -243.56% 921,081 2481.72% 102 85,646-94.88% 58.69% 47.06% -79.35% 395.10% 365,383 326.62% 103 876 187.51% 26.02% 2191.41% 487.98% 2874.20% 51,396 5767.12% 104 34,679 164.89% 36.96% 176.45% 181.77% 225.90% 307,250 785.98% 105 8,380 338.69% 45.49% 183.23% -202.39% 236.21% 58,762 601.22% 106 行 237,521 309.73% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 973,200 309.73% 107 1,374 1158.15% 9.51% 22.97% -16.51% 2304.91% 49,176 3479.04% 108 練 54,384 700.61% 0.08% 1.58% 18.57% 24.98% 459,993 745.82% 109 9,579 306.06% 9.13% 31.14% 66.07% 329.29% 80,625 741.68% 110 1,169 431.00% 12.37% 20.54% -4.21% 1484.35% 23,895 1944.05% 111 療 19,172 1463.85% 9.69% 26.75% -3.82% 53.99% 316,425 1550.45% 112 福利 3,217 1136.06% 42.45% 151.54% -12.19% -493.77% 29,728 824.09% 113 4,166 452.43% 42.36% 151.70% -15.23% 371.55% 45,943 1002.81% 114 1,312 2243.48% 42.67% 158.86% -25.38% -507.67% 26,397 1911.97% 76

1981 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 115 樂 9,943 1130.58% 9.13% 114.86% -125.50% -235.80% 98,761 893.27% 116 理 12,490 590.87% 21.72% 48.08% -12.32% 288.15% 129,458 936.49% 117 8,112 812.24% 21.72% 50.16% -12.04% -180.56% 64,208 691.52% 118 34,033 355.11% 11.04% 27.07% -5.82% 25.71% 174,627 413.11% 119 類不 41,511 206.91% 43.57% 182.51% -14.03% -190.50% 136,346 228.46% 料來行 79 88 年聯理 1981-99 年金 10 宅零行金練易 17 例宅療了都 11 林糖 13 1999 年 1981 年來金 10 宅行零練療金煉了煉例宅療福利樂練金 10 煉易 77

料金了易例 10 金金金旅館 11 金冷宅練例冷數金料煉金 ( ) 數 1980 年來了若降不利力利廉了了年益不 78

都年來兩不了拓例金理年來流金理了 92.82% 猪類 46.92% 1981-1999 年來 60.32% 度都不 39.79% 泥力了 114.11% 料年數都來 963.44% 361.15% 310.19% 料 79

都冷糖數數都 -161.94% 料數冷益 2874.20% 2304.91% 1484.35% 695.90% 395.10% 金 412.49% 零 121.32 2191.41% 611.37% 536.66% 易 256.46% 487.98% 數來精年來數 1/5 更 5.7% 來精精來 80

SDA 了 1981-1999 年來數泥力都了料降力兩來更了年易精了精都度了連 81

力 (1999) 易數 (TSC) 易數 (IIT) TSC 露 IIT TSC 不留易易 IIT 易度更行理論了陸力料 HS 98 陸力兩 HS 年力力力 HS 了易料 HS 98 1989 年 2002 年年易數 (TSC) 14 年 TSC 來力 4-1 1989 年 2002 年易數料不便料理易數 (TSCt) (T) TSCt = α + βt 4-2 82

4-1 易數 (1989~2002) HS 83

HS 84

HS 85

HS 86

HS 87

HS 88

HS 料來理 89

數 t P- 1-0.10008 0.1822-0.54926 0.5929 β 0.040405 0.021398 1.888252 0.083401 2 1.041476 0.082813 12.57626 2.86E-08 β -0.01574 0.009726-1.61884 0.131447 3 0.938423 0.002036 460.9382 7.32E-27 β 0.001606 0.000239 6.718371 2.14E-05 4-0.4763 0.133856-3.5583 0.003936 β 0.095877 0.015721 6.098792 5.35E-05 5 0.924092 0.021927 42.14483 2.07E-14 β -0.00665 0.002575-2.58422 0.023911 6 0.894748 0.037332 23.96743 1.67E-11 β -0.00956 0.004384-2.17976 0.049916 7 1.071938 0.031178 34.3813 2.33E-13 β -0.01826 0.003662-4.98587 0.000317 8 1.075338 0.08268 13.00601 1.96E-08 β -0.03305 0.00971-3.40361 0.005235 9 0.90471 0.024979 36.21945 1.26E-13 β -0.01652 0.002934-5.63058 0.000111 11 0.501658 0.151362 3.314297 0.006175 β -0.06863 0.017777-3.86049 0.002267 12 0.34908 0.120248 2.903004 0.013252 β -0.00183 0.014122-0.12992 0.898781 13 0.250756 0.104481 2.400015 0.033518 β 0.036546 0.012271 2.978284 0.011522 14 0.690107 0.055169 12.50893 3.04E-08 β 0.022845 0.006479 3.525875 0.004178 15-0.66595 0.097002-6.86534 1.73E-05 β 0.026708 0.011392 2.344364 0.037091 16 0.972992 0.05098 19.08563 2.41E-10 β -0.01302 0.005987-2.17518 0.050327 17 0.101672 0.063187 1.60905 0.133581 β -0.07128 0.007421-9.60573 5.52E-07 18-0.66978 0.043751-15.309 3.08E-09 β -0.02175 0.005138-4.23385 0.00116 90

數 t P- 19-0.32434 0.07278-4.4564 0.000784 β -0.00414 0.008548-0.48445 0.636788 20 0.90534 0.027792 32.57575 4.43E-13 β -0.03074 0.003264-9.418 6.82E-07 21-0.52459 0.103893-5.04929 0.000285 β 0.008447 0.012202 0.692321 0.501913 22 0.000226 0.080285 0.002816 0.997799 β -0.0784 0.009429-8.31444 2.53E-06 23-0.97782 0.052039-18.7901 2.89E-10 β 0.047242 0.006112 7.729839 5.34E-06 24 0.698835 0.211835 3.298954 0.006353 β -0.15195 0.024879-6.10769 5.27E-05 25-0.28505 0.17412-1.63708 0.127552 β -0.04916 0.020449-2.40417 0.033265 26-0.0686 0.076664-0.89481 0.388482 β -0.04185 0.009004-4.64793 0.000562 27-0.63539 0.210021-3.02538 0.010557 β 0.008564 0.024666 0.347188 0.734463 28-0.63786 0.021704-29.3889 1.5E-12 β -0.00435 0.002549-1.70528 0.11387 29-0.8862 0.017325-51.1501 2.05E-15 β 0.002925 0.002035 1.43733 0.176184 30-0.69417 0.025631-27.0827 3.95E-12 β -0.00095 0.00301-0.31472 0.758376 31-0.18657 0.04467-4.17674 0.001284 β -0.03737 0.005246-7.12238 1.21E-05 32-0.76563 0.029758-25.7286 7.24E-12 β 0.00013 0.003495 0.037192 0.970944 33-0.59537 0.058985-10.0936 3.24E-07 β -0.01191 0.006927-1.71961 0.111165 34-0.89807 0.019867-45.2037 8.96E-15 β 0.001634 0.002333 0.700309 0.497088 35-0.57336 0.047544-12.0594 4.58E-08 β 0.002275 0.005584 0.407424 0.690871 36 0.808496 0.070187 11.51925 7.62E-08 β -0.00418 0.008243-0.5069 0.62141 91

數 t P- 37-1.00263 0.002653-377.972 7.92E-26 β 0.002114 0.000312 6.78566 1.94E-05 38-0.71823 0.019472-36.8855 1.01E-13 β -0.0067 0.002287-2.93096 0.012581 39-0.16101 0.027907-5.76966 8.89E-05 β -0.01654 0.003278-5.04522 0.000287 40-0.57893 0.033229-17.4226 6.94E-10 β 0.000875 0.003903 0.224159 0.826405 41-1.14611 0.126934-9.02915 1.07E-06 β 0.056342 0.014908 3.779377 0.002627 42 0.941282 0.027411 34.33982 2.37E-13 β -0.01605 0.003219-4.98625 0.000317 43 0.804113 0.112942 7.119703 1.21E-05 β -0.01534 0.013264-1.15681 0.269859 44 0.762353 0.02 38.11672 6.84E-14 β 0.00665 0.002349 2.830942 0.015149 45 0.388685 0.092156 4.217662 0.001194 β 0.005364 0.010823 0.495599 0.629129 46 1.009378 0.008493 118.8528 8.44E-20 β -0.00697 0.000997-6.98804 1.46E-05 47 0.892798 0.231789 3.851771 0.002303 β -0.17003 0.027222-6.24583 4.28E-05 48-0.56935 0.068886-8.26512 2.69E-06 β -0.00575 0.00809-0.71048 0.490986 49-0.8201 0.052697-15.5626 2.55E-09 β 0.022267 0.006189 3.597784 0.003661 50 1.093268 0.151202 7.230507 1.04E-05 β -0.0332 0.017758-1.86938 0.08616 51 0.750178 0.029489 25.43925 8.28E-12 β 0.011704 0.003463 3.37957 0.005473 52-0.89377 0.080055-11.1644 1.08E-07 β 0.066181 0.009402 7.039049 1.36E-05 53 0.318087 0.162483 1.957667 0.073933 β 0.009925 0.019083 0.52012 0.612441 54-0.3784 0.102876-3.67818 0.003159 β 0.028838 0.012082 2.386789 0.034336 92

數 t P- 55-0.11399 0.098375-1.15874 0.269102 β -0.00772 0.011554-0.66804 0.516754 56-0.34875 0.043151-8.08223 3.39E-06 β 0.027977 0.005068 5.520476 0.000132 57-0.84279 0.157989-5.33446 0.000178 β 0.084951 0.018555 4.578366 0.000634 58-0.47929 0.12255-3.91096 0.002069 β 0.043997 0.014393 3.056919 0.009956 59-0.37509 0.068866-5.44666 0.000148 β 0.011586 0.008088 1.432541 0.177521 60 0.370273 0.077271 4.791892 0.00044 β 0.029398 0.009075 3.239454 0.007094 61 1.01257 0.056587 17.89417 5.09E-10 β -0.093 0.006646-13.9932 8.58E-09 62 0.912554 0.060692 15.03593 3.78E-09 β -0.11739 0.007128-16.4689 1.33E-09 63 0.326597 0.045475 7.181834 1.11E-05 β -0.00236 0.005341-0.44159 0.666637 64 0.89688 0.025694 34.9058 1.95E-13 β -0.01383 0.003018-4.58178 0.00063 65 0.957673 0.012644 75.74078 1.87E-17 β -0.00584 0.001485-3.9349 0.001981 66 0.98941 0.010085 98.10655 8.41E-19 β -0.00404 0.001184-3.4097 0.005176 67 1.055742 0.05604 18.83899 2.8E-10 β -0.02318 0.006582-3.52124 0.004214 68-0.4694 0.042716-10.989 1.28E-07 β -0.01086 0.005017-2.16565 0.051191 69-0.67455 0.040088-16.8266 1.04E-09 β -0.00098 0.004708-0.20792 0.838775 70-0.49489 0.038015-13.0184 1.94E-08 β -0.00376 0.004465-0.84218 0.416158 71-0.10009 0.083118-1.20413 0.251752 β -0.06327 0.009762-6.48183 3.02E-05 72-0.59274 0.02778-21.3372 6.54E-11 β -0.00123 0.003263-0.37571 0.713692 93

數 t P- 73-0.40291 0.033018-12.2026 4.01E-08 β 0.028094 0.003878 7.244707 1.02E-05 74-0.38158 0.027953-13.6504 1.14E-08 β -0.03359 0.003283-10.2311 2.8E-07 75 0.099967 0.115421 0.866102 0.403419 β -0.08555 0.013556-6.31122 3.88E-05 76 0.026797 0.050619 0.529378 0.606198 β -0.02304 0.005945-3.87584 0.002204 78-0.31226 0.150219-2.07873 0.059758 β -0.03218 0.017642-1.82419 0.093108 79-0.754 0.084228-8.95195 1.17E-06 β 0.009266 0.009892 0.936674 0.367395 80 0.131269 0.122703 1.069814 0.30575 β -0.07948 0.014411-5.51538 0.000133 81-0.60017 0.056599-10.604 1.89E-07 β -0.01989 0.006647-2.99275 0.011217 82-0.67848 0.05006-13.5533 1.23E-08 β 0.039775 0.005879 6.765406 2E-05 83-0.05354 0.058998-0.90741 0.382051 β 0.027069 0.006929 3.90665 0.002085 84-0.81779 0.047236-17.3129 7.46E-10 β 0.038621 0.005548 6.961818 1.51E-05 85-0.70553 0.044397-15.8914 2E-09 β 0.023769 0.005214 4.55853 0.000656 86 1.336463 0.234423 5.701068 9.9E-05 β -0.17134 0.027532-6.22351 4.43E-05 87-0.78927 0.028138-28.0497 2.61E-12 β 0.022219 0.003305 6.723578 2.12E-05 88-0.05012 0.255203-0.19639 0.847589 β -0.08397 0.029972-2.80146 0.016001 89-0.75058 0.069788-10.7553 1.62E-07 β -0.01469 0.008196-1.7925 0.09828 90-0.71268 0.034475-20.6724 9.48E-11 β -0.0008 0.004049-0.19674 0.847322 91 0.009522 0.082783 0.115021 0.910331 β -0.01078 0.009722-1.10859 0.289332 94

數 t P- 92-0.4019 0.052094-7.71498 5.44E-06 β 0.039592 0.006118 6.471335 3.06E-05 93 1.230247 0.408774 3.009603 0.014725 β -0.09574 0.042851-2.23434 0.052325 94 0.301354 0.326315 0.923506 0.375557 β 0.051349 0.036948 1.389769 0.192084 95 0.193019 0.303214 0.636577 0.537422 β 0.032973 0.034332 0.96042 0.35748 96 0.128898 0.278853 0.462243 0.652915 β -0.02008 0.031574-0.63586 0.53787 97 0.134296 0.3354 0.400405 0.696525 β -0.02555 0.037977-0.67268 0.515031 98-0.41028 0.34543-1.18773 0.259954 β -0.03081 0.039112-0.78767 0.44753 料來數 β 力 2002 年易數 2002 年易數類料金列 (HS 4) 1989 年 TSC 都不了 1994 年類 TSC 類力 95

車零料金樂 (HS 1) TSC 年來 1992 年 1993 年不了 1995 年 TSC 2002 年易數類類茶羽糖料泥料精料金路車零零 1989 年年 TSC 不 1993 年 TSC 力 1989 年年 TSC 不 1993 年 TSC 96

力 2002 年易數類類類類類狀了料料見 4-3 97

力力列料列金類列類零蠟飼料零錄錄零路車車車零料不撚索 98

料刺金利零金爐零樂零力類切葉類茶茶料旅行類類類零理羽羽糖糖料類葉類葉硫泥料料泥料精狀 99

料料料泥泥類料金金金金金路車車車零路車零零零理糖零力類類類列金 100

料柳不不類零零類類金金料料料類立泥類滑蠟蠟蠟類蠟料料狀量精零料粒飼料料蠟料來理來來都類來 101

不年來力滑不料來落不類若類兩更力 102

力 HS 料 HS 8401~8485 8501~8548 1989 年 1992 年料不 1993 年 2002 年年陸易數 (TSC) 10 年 TSC 來力 4-4 1993 年 2002 年易數 103

4-4 易數 1993~2002 HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8401 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 N/A -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8402-0.95-0.84-0.64-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.98-0.78-0.41-0.79 8403 N/A 0.76-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.96-1.00 0.21 N/A -1.00 8404-1.00-0.90-0.32-0.83-0.88-0.86-0.94-0.92-0.74-0.90 8405-1.00-0.98-0.98-1.00-0.14-0.97-0.97-0.87-1.00-0.99 8406-1.00-0.97-0.99-1.00-0.90-0.99-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8407-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1 -1.00-1.00-0.91-0.86 8408-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1 -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8409-0.96-0.96-0.96-0.91-0.91-0.92-0.90-0.90-0.86-0.87 8410-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.88-0.98-0.87-0.79-0.09 0.46 8411-0.99 0.28-0.33-0.43 0.13-0.23-0.78-0.98-0.14-0.97 8412-0.96-0.88-0.83-0.78-0.76-0.76-0.80-0.66-0.70-0.88 8413-0.92-0.91-0.86-0.81-0.79-0.81-0.77-0.66-0.58-0.59 8414-0.54-0.55-0.36-0.20-0.37-0.61-0.52-0.44-0.27-0.34 8415-0.85-0.90-0.76-0.59-0.48-0.78-0.49-0.59-0.46-0.35 8416-1.00-0.95-0.91-0.47-0.91-0.96-0.90-0.87-0.91-0.88 8417-0.98-0.99-0.97-0.98-0.98-0.95-0.96-0.96-0.90-0.92 8418-0.91-0.79-0.70-0.72-0.67-0.8-0.83-0.83-0.74-0.70 104

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8419-0.72-0.82-0.96-0.97-0.96-0.97-0.97-0.96-0.95-0.82 8420-0.82-0.95-0.95-0.97-0.94-0.92-0.21-0.73-0.38-0.64 8421-0.90-0.90-0.95-0.90-0.89-0.9-0.85-0.86-0.83-0.83 8422-0.84-0.76-0.59-0.39-0.54-0.68-0.77-0.76-0.72-0.52 8423-0.76-0.65-0.68-0.82-0.73-0.65-0.58-0.69-0.62-0.57 8424-0.64-0.69-0.46-0.34-0.48-0.51-0.38-0.51-0.22-0.27 8425-0.69-0.56-0.74-0.73-0.73-0.84-0.83-0.86-0.67-0.23 8426-0.99-0.98-0.99-0.97-0.95-0.92-0.98-0.99-0.94-0.96 8427-1.00-1.00-0.97-0.99-1.00-1 -0.98-0.98-0.97-0.94 8428-0.98-0.93-0.90-0.93-0.91-0.94-0.82-0.94-0.89-0.83 8429-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1 -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8430-1.00-1.00-0.97-0.93-1.00-1 -1.00-0.99-1.00-0.99 8431-0.92-0.89-0.77-0.59-0.59-0.56-0.53-0.35-0.40-0.27 8432-0.81-0.79-0.65-0.74-0.59-0.33-0.19 0.07 0.07 0.22 8433-0.73-0.70-0.73-0.63-0.60-0.48-0.35 0.12-0.30-0.14 8434-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.84-0.97-1.00-0.91-1.00-1.00 8435-0.45-0.63-0.73-0.65 0.06-0.12 0.08-0.05 0.27 0.72 8436-0.46-0.43-0.24-0.60-0.31-0.64-0.32-0.60 0.04 0.19 8437-0.87-0.92-0.79-0.66-0.74-0.65-0.72-0.91-0.85-0.74 8438-0.94-0.81-0.82-0.77-0.85-0.84-0.70-0.74-0.52-0.52 105

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8439-0.95-0.85-0.91-0.90-0.97-0.74-0.78-0.12 0.20 0.46 8440-0.99-1.00-0.98-0.99-0.97-0.98-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00 8441-0.90-0.81-0.53-0.64-0.77-0.64-0.58-0.27 0.02 0.07 8442-0.93-0.95-0.97-0.95-0.95-0.93-0.98-0.91-0.69-0.76 8443-0.93-0.91-0.94-0.92-0.89-0.92-0.89-0.92-0.86-0.68 8444-0.99-1.00-0.99-0.99-1.00-1 -0.97-1.00-0.91-0.96 8445-0.99-0.66-0.99-0.96-0.99-0.99-0.96-0.95-0.84-0.37 8446-0.99-0.98-0.99-1.00-1.00-1 -0.99-0.83-0.89-0.89 8447-0.96-0.97-0.88-0.88-0.90-0.87-0.63-0.45-0.58-0.65 8448-0.95-0.90-0.85-0.84-0.80-0.86-0.83-0.61-0.56-0.58 8449-0.46-0.36-1.00 1.00-0.94 0.3 0.78 0.27-0.25 0.54 8450-0.94-0.95-0.93-0.95-0.95-0.96-0.95-0.98-0.96-0.99 8451-0.89-0.86-0.74-0.54-0.77-0.8-0.77-0.24 0.15 0.51 8452 0.17 0.26 0.38 0.52 0.51 0.52 0.58 0.57 0.46 0.49 8453 0.96-0.47 0.77 0.72 0.30 0.77 0.53-0.27 0.75 0.91 8454-0.96-0.96-0.95-0.94-0.98-0.94-0.96-0.88-0.85-0.67 8455-0.92-1.00-0.99-0.97-0.99-1 -0.99-1.00-0.98-0.98 8456-0.90-0.97-0.98-0.95-0.87-0.89-0.96-0.99-0.98-0.98 8457-0.72-0.94-0.87-0.84-0.89-0.85-0.77-0.72-0.28-0.42 8458-0.63-0.79-0.72-0.76-0.92-0.87-0.82-0.84-0.79-0.74 106

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8459-0.77-0.76-0.77-0.89-0.46-0.71-0.80-0.72-0.66-0.57 8460-0.91-0.95-0.89-0.89-0.83-0.84-0.85-0.77-0.57-0.68 8461-0.94-0.92-0.86-0.69-0.74-0.78-0.90-0.86-0.77-0.58 8462-0.84-0.93-0.90-0.89-0.90-0.9-0.89-0.82-0.45-0.51 8463-0.72-0.23-0.75-0.40-0.71-0.84-0.76-0.71-0.18 0.15 8464-0.97-0.93-0.87-0.89-0.81-0.95-0.97-0.99-0.97-0.99 8465-0.38-0.40-0.55-0.58-0.65-0.83-0.76-0.80-0.78-0.75 8466-0.71-0.51-0.52-0.33-0.24-0.26-0.58-0.68-0.53-0.61 8467-0.71-0.67-0.43-0.44-0.63-0.6-0.42-0.26-0.05 0.11 8468-0.82-0.90-0.88-0.84-0.78-0.69-0.53-0.58-0.63-0.37 8469 0.26-0.52-0.91 0.89 0.94 0.53-0.31-0.60-0.99-1.00 8470 0.23 0.24 0.29-0.32-0.27 0.1-0.05-0.64-0.09 0.75 8471-0.38-0.06 0.43 0.38 0.27-0.03-0.06 0.07 0.20 0.09 8472-0.82-0.86-0.41-0.48-0.24-0.03-0.40-0.61-0.62-0.77 8473-0.11 0.41 0.62 0.52-0.03 0.3 0.38 0.55 0.57 0.62 8474-0.92-0.92-0.83-0.86-0.87-0.94-0.81-0.79-0.92-0.71 8475-0.95-0.97-0.83-0.94-0.61-0.82-0.83-0.80-0.68-0.55 8476-0.87-0.76-0.46-0.38-0.67-0.59-0.86-0.71-0.50-0.17 8477-0.75-0.84-0.86-0.74-0.86-0.89-0.93-0.92-0.77-0.71 8478 1.00 1.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 N/A N/A N/A 107

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8479-0.96-0.94-0.94-0.95-0.96-0.97-0.98-0.97-0.97-0.97 8480-0.57-0.52-0.54-0.24-0.32-0.35-0.36-0.60-0.43-0.20 8481-0.61-0.65-0.62-0.54-0.54-0.61-0.64-0.54-0.41-0.43 8482-0.87-0.85-0.84-0.86-0.85-0.88-0.88-0.87-0.85-0.89 8483-0.95-0.94-0.92-0.86-0.87-0.79-0.79-0.73-0.71-0.76 8484-0.92-0.83-0.90-0.95-0.93-0.96-0.94-0.90-0.83-0.85 8485-0.80-0.75-0.75-0.70-0.64-0.64-0.53-0.42-0.24-0.37 8501 0.01-0.06-0.07 0.04 0.01-0.35-0.27-0.30-0.38-0.33 8502-0.94-0.98-1.00-1.00-1.00-1 -1.00-0.99-0.98-1.00 8503-0.67-0.74-0.83-0.80-0.81-0.83-0.76-0.78-0.68-0.61 8504-0.14-0.12-0.07-0.02-0.17-0.27-0.28-0.11-0.04-0.14 8505-0.75-0.74-0.68-0.58-0.58-0.6-0.61-0.52-0.40-0.37 8506-0.98-0.97-0.94-0.94-0.93-0.98-0.97-0.97-0.96-0.97 8507-0.97-0.98-0.98-0.96-0.94-0.89-0.94-0.81-0.73-0.75 8508-0.89-0.83-0.81-0.69-0.62-0.81-0.57-0.17 0.06 0.13 8509 0.13 0.41 0.46 0.58 0.59 0.5 0.48 0.57 0.80 0.74 8510-0.98-0.94-0.79-0.83-0.89 0.04-0.18-0.23-0.61-0.62 8511-0.93-0.91-0.95-0.94-0.94-0.82-0.82-0.84-0.83-0.90 8512-0.76-0.72-0.78-0.41-0.20-0.27-0.10 0.06 0.25 0.18 8513 0.60 0.56 0.76 0.79 0.67 0.22 0.61 0.89 0.83 0.89 108

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8514-0.96-0.98-0.95-0.80-0.92-0.97-0.95-0.96-0.97-0.97 8515-0.97-0.96-0.97-0.97-0.97-0.98-0.98-0.97-0.88-0.93 8516-0.62-0.41-0.16-0.11-0.21-0.28-0.22-0.09 0.09 0.10 8517-0.67-0.52-0.23 0.23 0.06 0.14-0.03 0.24 0.34 0.68 8518 0.21 0.34 0.27 0.33 0.32 0.29 0.20 0.27 0.41 0.24 8519-0.67-0.64-0.68-0.75-0.85-0.89-0.89-0.42-0.03 0.77 8520-0.04 0.24 0.58 0.67 0.65 0.71 0.81 0.86 0.94 0.89 8521-1.00-0.80-0.74-0.61-0.68-0.81-0.73-0.70-0.98-0.83 8522-0.42-0.39-0.37-0.52-0.48-0.41-0.47-0.56-0.80-0.68 8523-0.91-0.66-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.35-0.21 0.03 0.50 0.58 8524-0.73-0.39-0.08-0.15-0.18-0.51-0.61-0.13 0.30 0.20 8525-0.98-0.97-0.83-0.76-0.85-0.9-0.87-0.59-0.42-0.68 8526-0.09-0.05 0.03 0.40 0.36 0.23 0.17-0.30-0.11-0.23 8527-0.39-0.45-0.29-0.33-0.47-0.33 0.16-0.13 0.47 0.56 8528-0.04 0.43 0.54 0.65 0.16-0.16 0.15 0.00-0.04-0.12 8529-0.67-0.50-0.30 0.10 0.15-0.23-0.19-0.22-0.28 0.08 8530-0.70-0.24-0.61-0.69-0.75-0.92-0.93-0.69-0.92-0.76 8531-0.89-0.87-0.75-0.53-0.25-0.47-0.64-0.82-0.63-0.34 8532-0.91-0.90-0.92-0.94-0.92-0.94-0.92-0.95-0.94-0.95 8533-0.79-0.84-0.83-0.66-0.72-0.77-0.72-0.69-0.63-0.66 109

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8534-0.03-0.06-0.06 0.12 0.13-0.15 0.01 0.08 0.30 0.37 8535-0.91-0.93-0.90-0.79-0.81-0.84-0.82-0.76-0.84-0.84 8536-0.80-0.84-0.81-0.80-0.77-0.82-0.83-0.75-0.79-0.76 8537-1.00-0.99-0.96-0.95-0.96-0.97-0.98-0.98-0.95-0.88 8538-0.62-0.61-0.67-0.60-0.62-0.69-0.67-0.56-0.65-0.50 8539-0.76-0.71-0.71-0.62-0.66-0.59-0.59-0.78-0.84-0.90 8540-0.88-0.89-0.93-0.93-0.93-0.89-0.90-0.89-0.87-0.82 8541-0.56-0.50-0.49-0.43-0.39-0.49-0.50-0.54-0.53-0.52 8542-0.78-0.76-0.69-0.55-0.35-0.34-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.24 8543-0.70-0.77-0.69-0.61-0.68-0.87-0.88-0.88-0.84-0.94 8544-0.34-0.42-0.22 0.03-0.26-0.36-0.23 0.10 0.12 0.08 8545-0.81-0.61-0.58-0.53-0.76-0.73-0.68-0.68-0.76-0.80 8546-1.00-0.98-0.87-0.99-0.98-0.95-0.96-0.93-0.96-0.98 8547-0.83-0.76-0.61-0.63-0.68-0.82-0.66-0.83-0.83-0.81 8548 0.36 0.38 0.56 0.46 0.65 0.85 0.88 0.83 0.78 0.39 料來理 110

數 t P- 8402-0.71364 0.405607-1.75944 0.116547 β 0.011467 0.06537 0.175417 0.86511 8404 β -0.52078-0.02015 0.456665 0.073598-1.1404-0.2738 0.287106 0.791172 8405-0.73215 0.447658-1.63551 0.140581 β -0.00822 0.072147-0.11398 0.912065 8406 β -0.72094-0.01381 0.448189 0.072232-1.60856-0.19116 0.14638 0.853164 8407-0.77165 0.4537-1.70079 0.1274 β -0.00085 0.07312-0.01156 0.991062 8408 β -0.73165-0.01228 0.456877 0.073632-1.60142-0.16678 0.147952 0.871681 8409-0.71593 0.451049-1.58725 0.151118 β -0.00051 0.072693-0.00708 0.994523 8410 β -1.1579 0.114957 0.464476 0.074857-2.49292 1.53569 0.037352 0.163165 8411-0.3017 0.29554-1.02084 0.337204 β -0.04007 0.047631-0.84117 0.424683 8412 β -0.63834 0.005016 0.447758 0.072163-1.42564 0.069508 0.191802 0.946291 8413-0.73022 0.43943-1.66176 0.135137 β 0.027402 0.070821 0.386923 0.708903 8414 β -0.07595-0.00594 0.732108 0.11799-0.10374-0.0503 0.919926 0.961115 8415-0.63479 0.506809-1.25253 0.245751 β 0.038268 0.08168 0.468511 0.65192 8416 β -0.49111-0.01645 0.672522 0.108387-0.73025-0.15173 0.486071 0.883155 8417-0.73857 0.450881-1.63805 0.140044 β -0.00406 0.072666-0.05582 0.956853 8418-0.56833 0.432621-1.31369 0.225372 β -0.00436 0.069723-0.06251 0.951689 8419 β -0.61034-0.02194 0.401796 0.064755-1.51904-0.33887 0.167236 0.743434 111

數 t P- 8420-0.79412 0.423881-1.87345 0.097886 β 0.042706 0.068315 0.625142 0.54929 8421 β -0.68487-0.00105 0.43231 0.069673-1.5842-0.01508 0.151808 0.98834 8422-0.35927 0.605408-0.59343 0.569284 β -0.00895 0.09757-0.09175 0.929153 8423 β -0.55898 0.006826 0.341216 0.054992-1.63821 0.124135 0.140012 0.90427 8424-0.32857 0.572263-0.57416 0.581638 β 0.023269 0.092228 0.252294 0.807175 8425-0.56825 0.358809-1.58372 0.151916 β 0.005386 0.057827 0.093136 0.928086 8426 β -0.72439-0.0085 0.452381 0.072908-1.60128-0.11655 0.147983 0.910092 8427-0.73863 0.45513-1.62289 0.143269 β -0.00797 0.073351-0.10863 0.916169 8428 β -0.70786-0.00118 0.438663 0.070697-1.61369-0.01672 0.14526 0.987068 8429-0.73297 0.45743-1.60237 0.147742 β -0.01215 0.073722-0.16476 0.873218 8430 β -0.70585-0.0136 0.470385 0.075809-1.50058-0.17945 0.171855 0.862044 8431-0.69665 0.488415-1.42636 0.191601 β 0.058247 0.078715 0.739966 0.48047 8432 β -0.84317 0.115307 0.345032 0.055607-2.44375 2.07361 0.040328 0.071825 8433 β -0.66708 0.06991 0.377436 0.060829-1.76739 1.149276 0.115142 0.28364 8434-0.73805 0.455101-1.62172 0.143521 β -0.00895 0.073346-0.12205 0.905868 8435 β -0.77243 0.1299 0.315285 0.050813-2.44993 2.55644 0.039941 0.033834 8436-0.45993 0.302329-1.52129 0.166679 β 0.041066 0.048725 0.842807 0.423816 8437-0.53359 0.505421-1.05573 0.321926 β -0.00713 0.081456-0.08755 0.932389 112

數 t P- 8438-0.71292 0.419032-1.70135 0.127292 β 0.02754 0.067533 0.407801 0.694115 8439 β -1.12129 0.137447 0.395125 0.06368-2.83782 2.15839 0.021885 0.062947 8440 β -0.72254-0.0127 0.456509 0.073573-1.58276-0.1726 0.152134 0.86725 8441-0.7715 0.423904-1.81999 0.106254 β 0.085481 0.068318 1.251211 0.246207 8442-0.76015 0.43907-1.73128 0.121645 β 0.009805 0.070763 0.138556 0.893226 8443-0.72804 0.434889-1.67408 0.132648 β 0.005335 0.070089 0.076116 0.941196 8444-0.7444 0.453885-1.64006 0.139622 β -0.00663 0.07315-0.09062 0.93002 8445-0.79486 0.380466-2.08917 0.070108 β 0.016745 0.061318 0.273087 0.791704 8446-0.76854 0.4452-1.72629 0.122571 β 0.001999 0.071751 0.027864 0.978453 8447-0.79047 0.439274-1.7995 0.109637 β 0.038924 0.070795 0.54981 0.59746 8448-0.75958 0.430268-1.76536 0.115499 β 0.030566 0.069344 0.440789 0.671034 8449-0.48956 0.403458-1.21341 0.259582 β 0.097632 0.065023 1.501494 0.171625 8450-0.66789 0.446636-1.49538 0.173179 β -0.01697 0.071982-0.23578 0.819531 8451-0.89724 0.52246-1.71734 0.124245 β 0.116097 0.084202 1.378796 0.205279 8452 0.263283 0.065599 4.013512 0.003876 β 0.033015 0.010572 3.122839 0.014168 8453 0.274776 0.441986 0.621686 0.551449 β 0.023084 0.071232 0.324062 0.754201 8454-0.76421 0.446661-1.71094 0.125457 β 0.00999 0.071986 0.138775 0.893058 8455-0.69254 0.460673-1.50332 0.171163 β -0.01588 0.074244-0.21387 0.835997 113

數 t P- 8456-0.66366 0.452321-1.46724 0.180491 β -0.01695 0.072898-0.23258 0.821925 8457-0.73944 0.43739-1.69057 0.129386 β 0.038099 0.070492 0.540471 0.60359 8458-0.46905 0.413309-1.13488 0.289284 β -0.02245 0.066611-0.33711 0.74471 8459-0.62843 0.370805-1.69476 0.128568 β 0.009105 0.059761 0.152353 0.88268 8460-0.74503 0.436243-1.70783 0.12605 β 0.021253 0.070307 0.302287 0.770143 8461-0.65138 0.494646-1.31687 0.224353 β 0.009757 0.079719 0.122397 0.905603 8462-0.76564 0.433384-1.76666 0.115271 β 0.028754 0.069846 0.411683 0.691381 8463-0.58281 0.329671-1.76784 0.115064 β 0.035498 0.053131 0.66812 0.522862 8464-0.63786 0.455049-1.40175 0.198576 β -0.02025 0.073338-0.27612 0.789452 8465-0.20513 0.304215-0.6743 0.519128 β -0.05616 0.049029-1.14545 0.285129 8466-0.22999 0.481774-0.47739 0.645855 β -0.01631 0.077645-0.21007 0.838861 8467-0.54447 0.452977-1.20198 0.263743 β 0.063807 0.073004 0.874022 0.407577 8468-0.73549 0.416215-1.76709 0.115196 β 0.039695 0.067079 0.591758 0.570353 8469 0.197974 0.43439 0.455751 0.660685 β -0.09435 0.070008-1.34775 0.214657 8470-0.00407 0.329458-0.01236 0.99044 β -0.00391 0.053097-0.07355 0.943171 8471-0.05528 0.174043-0.31761 0.758916 β 0.018716 0.02805 0.667253 0.523387 8472-0.30755 0.563194-0.54608 0.599902 β -0.00283 0.090767-0.03115 0.975911 8473 0.252746 0.157753 1.60216 0.147788 β 0.03867 0.025424 1.521001 0.166752 114

數 t P- 8474-0.67088 0.442251-1.51698 0.167747 β 0.001425 0.071275 0.02 0.984533 8475-0.77691 0.429755-1.80779 0.108256 β 0.026055 0.069261 0.376191 0.716556 8476-0.4303 0.610271-0.7051 0.500756 β 0.017842 0.098354 0.181402 0.860563 8477-0.55979 0.449244-1.24607 0.247992 β -0.01254 0.072402-0.17324 0.866764 8480-0.3479 0.33659-1.0336 0.331553 β 0.011802 0.054246 0.217556 0.833222 8481-0.30795 0.625292-0.49249 0.635606 β 0.003508 0.100775 0.034813 0.973082 8482-0.57636 0.474935-1.21357 0.259524 β -0.015 0.076543-0.19593 0.849548 8483-0.73538 0.419316-1.75377 0.117556 β 0.016152 0.067579 0.239013 0.817105 8484-0.64939 0.457821-1.41843 0.193823 β -0.00886 0.073785-0.12013 0.907346 8485-0.7011 0.342152-2.0491 0.074613 β 0.048785 0.055143 0.884703 0.402124 8501 0.230809 0.287299 0.803376 0.444969 β -0.05378 0.046302-1.16144 0.278944 8502-1.00953 0.070891-14.2406 5.76E-07 β -0.00105 0.011425-0.09161 0.929257 8503-0.55893 0.398998-1.40083 0.198839 β -0.00254 0.064304-0.03956 0.96941 8504 0.029791 0.24949 0.119409 0.907896 β -0.01048 0.040209-0.26071 0.800903 8505-0.04805 1.290218-0.03724 0.971206 β 0.004988 0.207937 0.023987 0.981451 8506-0.66033 0.512088-1.28949 0.233257 β -0.01447 0.08253-0.17529 0.865209 8507-0.7893 0.445615-1.77126 0.114467 β 0.016549 0.071817 0.230431 0.82354 8508-0.92744 0.383177-2.4204 0.041824 β 0.103824 0.061755 1.68124 0.131223 115

數 t P- 8509 0.326341 0.175683 1.857556 0.100306 β 0.047254 0.028314 1.668952 0.133679 8510-0.76317 0.361182-2.11299 0.067559 β 0.057985 0.05821 0.996138 0.348355 8511-0.67202 0.463488-1.44992 0.185126 β -0.00138 0.074698-0.01848 0.985707 8512-0.79945 0.308783-2.58905 0.03216 β 0.116302 0.049765 2.337024 0.047636 8513 0.688662 0.28168 2.444842 0.040259 β 0.018452 0.045397 0.406467 0.695056 8514-0.70597 0.379877-1.85841 0.100175 β -0.0137 0.061223-0.2238 0.828525 8515-0.6961 0.499584-1.39335 0.201005 β -0.00774 0.080515-0.09611 0.925799 8516-0.36156 0.288138-1.25482 0.244959 β 0.052936 0.046438 1.139936 0.28729 8517-0.13642 0.891752-0.15298 0.882203 β 0.097679 0.143719 0.679656 0.515902 8518-0.06302 0.581267-0.10841 0.916338 β 0.017438 0.09368 0.186148 0.856962 8519-0.85459 0.452915-1.88686 0.095888 β 0.098046 0.072994 1.343216 0.216059 8520 0.156214 0.116238 1.343918 0.215842 β 0.09048 0.018733 4.82989 0.001305 8521-0.6467 0.279375-2.31481 0.049318 β -0.00665 0.045025-0.14771 0.886228 8522-0.07355 0.416446-0.17662 0.864197 β -0.04683 0.067116-0.69772 0.505119 8523-0.81888 0.264888-3.09143 0.014857 β 0.135162 0.042691 3.166084 0.013273 8524 0.369485 1.702833 0.216983 0.833653 β 0.024038 0.274436 0.08759 0.932355 8525-0.5634 0.796954-0.70694 0.499671 β 0.023388 0.128441 0.182095 0.860038 8526 0.299598 0.322684 0.928456 0.380331 β -0.03047 0.052005-0.58593 0.574076 116

數 t P- 8527-0.65549 0.130432-5.02553 0.00102 β 0.103587 0.021021 4.927751 0.001153 8528 0.600871 0.317073 1.895053 0.094686 β -0.05923 0.051101-1.15904 0.279863 8529-0.38402 0.2503-1.53424 0.163515 β 0.041871 0.040339 1.03796 0.32964 8530-1.06633 0.985808-1.08169 0.310917 β -0.01397 0.158877-0.08796 0.932073 8531-0.73209 0.255862-2.86129 0.02111 β 0.03125 0.041236 0.75783 0.470285 8532-0.55829 0.589936-0.94636 0.371668 β -0.02068 0.095077-0.21749 0.833273 8533-0.61415 0.390569-1.57244 0.154493 β 0.009172 0.062946 0.145706 0.887758 8534 0.020261 0.29591 0.068469 0.947093 β 0.030275 0.04769 0.634824 0.543268 8535-0.86142 0.088897-9.6901 1.07E-05 β 0.008907 0.014327 0.621679 0.551453 8536-0.56539 0.452874-1.24844 0.247166 β -0.00648 0.072987-0.08876 0.931454 8537-0.72937 0.461139-1.58167 0.152382 β -0.00548 0.074319-0.0737 0.943056 8538-0.43777 0.382622-1.14413 0.285647 β -0.0028 0.061665-0.04536 0.964933 8539-0.41133 0.401332-1.02492 0.335392 β -0.02497 0.06468-0.38602 0.709542 8540-0.64719 0.468701-1.38082 0.20468 β -0.00673 0.075538-0.08911 0.931182 8541-0.30127 0.336269-0.89592 0.396451 β -0.01073 0.054195-0.19808 0.847923 8542-0.66531 0.374798-1.77511 0.113796 β 0.074135 0.060404 1.22731 0.254594 8543-0.35644 0.499206-0.71401 0.495523 β -0.04036 0.080454-0.50163 0.629438 8544-0.22233 0.342063-0.64998 0.53392 β 0.040666 0.055128 0.737654 0.481798 117

數 t P- 8545-2.71236 3.587302-0.7561 0.471264 β 0.083404 0.578146 0.144261 0.888863 8546-0.68409 0.479849-1.42563 0.191805 β -0.01196 0.077335-0.15469 0.880894 8547-0.47072 0.401438-1.17259 0.27469 β -0.01974 0.064698-0.30519 0.768014 8548 0.490844 0.189892 2.584862 0.032371 β 0.032346 0.030604 1.056931 0.321412 料來年度易數 TSC 來便利數 β 力易數 (TSCt) (T) TSCt = α + βt 4-5 2002 年易數 2002 年易數類利輪路 17 爐金 23 路 18 118

爐塞輪 30 雷復塞料 36 了滑車兩參 4-6 力不年來力力力兩來說不不 119

力力力輪輪料類料類理狀不理理例切車理理零類流路數路錄錄錄不論錄錄類不論錄路料列零爐不爐爐論量 120

度度不度金列料不不理精撚理刺狀零金金爐金聯金金料輪輪切輪輪精拉輪切輪輪精切切列切金金金切金列金金不論切力列輪輪輪螺輪輪滑輪滑輪離聯列零不料離不論 121

不論錄錄鈴列不論金不論不論類類零林理飼料類類林飼卵切金金不切料力料理讀料錄料理類料列料金金金料車車列列不論錄錄類零 122

路理不論不論力爐例力冷輪輪塞輪螺輪輪料狀料料爐爐類不論利度精殺冷理料不力路兩金雷離切料切金車車泥類料冷類料零螺度列理列類料 123

力爐零路車路車類列立料料金例螺料金流例流雷不論錄流例流雷不論錄滑車不車 124

力 HS 來都類來不年來力滑不料來落不若 HS HS 84 HS 85 力不年來力力力年力輪理車零錄 125

力類落 18 不力力輪理零若年力年不不力不不力 126

陸力兩流來理便利陸易陸陸易度不年來易來都陸不不利陸力參 HS 98 陸易數 (TSC) 來 TSC 類 TSC 力陸力 HS 了陸易料 HS 98 1992 年 2002 年年陸易數 (TSC) 11 年 TSC 來力 127

5-1 陸易數 (1992~2002) HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3-1.00-1.00-0.97-1.00-0.99-0.97-0.43-0.85-0.79-0.20-0.52 4-1.00-1.00-1.00 1.00 1.00 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.99 6-1.00-0.69-1.00-1.00-0.92-0.71 0.24 0.32 0.20 0.36 0.54 7-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99 8-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-0.98 9-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-1.00-0.98-0.57-0.81-0.95-0.83 10-1.00-1.00-0.93-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 11-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.99-0.96-0.98-0.94-0.61-0.96-0.96-0.44 12-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.96-0.93-0.91-0.90-0.91 13-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.93-0.95-0.92-0.51-0.57-0.71-0.59 14-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.98-1.00-0.99-0.96-0.84-0.89-0.89-0.93 15-1.00-0.99-1.00-0.97-0.97-0.96-0.99-0.93-0.73-0.30-0.62 128

HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 16 N/A N/A 1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 N/A -0.76 17-1.00-1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.65 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.07-0.76 18 N/A N/A N/A 1.00 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 N/A 1.00 19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.85 1.00 1.00-0.75-0.94-0.57-0.34 20-1.00-1.00-0.74-0.99-0.96-1.00-1.00-0.91-0.96-0.91-0.94 21-1.00-1.00 0.65-0.26 0.60 0.82-0.49-0.59-0.74-0.78-0.89 22 N/A -1.00 1.00 1.00-0.96-1.00-0.97-0.99-0.97-0.98-0.99 23-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-0.93-0.97-0.83-0.85-0.68 0.00 24 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 N/A -0.20 25-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-0.99-0.96-0.98-0.99-0.96 26-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.99-0.90-0.98 27-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.95-0.84-0.89-0.80 28-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.98-0.97-0.88-0.86-0.88-0.78 29-1.00-1.00-0.94-0.58-0.24-0.64-0.69-0.10 0.44 0.64 0.67 30 N/A -1.00 0.23 1.00 0.41 1.00-0.33-0.94-0.99-0.84-0.28 31-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.92-0.99-1.00-0.95-0.98-0.99-0.82 32-1.00-0.66-0.23-0.25-0.19-0.35-0.05 0.36 0.39 0.18 0.25 129

HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 33-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.92-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.89-0.75-0.72-0.75 34 N/A -0.92 0.61 0.52 0.79 0.41-0.13 0.28 0.40 0.41 0.35 35 N/A -0.99-0.72-0.84-0.71-0.75-0.46-0.14 0.03-0.04 0.27 36-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.69-0.93-0.99-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.65 37-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.69-0.76-0.98-0.98-0.95-0.94-0.89-0.85 38-1.00-0.97-0.70-0.79-0.50-0.67-0.61-0.13-0.01-0.14 0.08 39 0.93-0.60-0.06 0.21 0.25 0.12 0.25 0.73 0.81 0.79 0.80 40-0.99-1.00-0.15 0.22 0.54 0.66 0.40 0.70 0.74 0.77 0.56 41-1.00-1.00-0.78-0.70-0.22-0.32-0.19 0.12 0.35 0.14 0.21 42 N/A -0.83-0.58-0.97-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.99 43-1.00-1.00-0.41-0.99-1.00-0.66-0.26-0.57-0.39-0.85-0.55 44-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.99-0.97-0.94-0.89-0.91-0.82 45 N/A N/A 1.00-1.00-0.98-0.64-0.11-0.25-0.87-0.73-0.69 46-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.96-0.85-0.87-0.98 47-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.90 0.00-0.99-0.38 48-1.00-0.99 0.17 0.05-0.02-0.42-0.27-0.06-0.29 0.03 0.17 49-1.00-0.89-0.86-0.76-0.06-0.46-0.47-0.54-0.67-0.66-0.14 130

HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 50-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.98-0.96-0.94 51-1.00-1.00-0.56-0.58-0.96-0.69-0.17-0.82-0.76-0.78-0.58 52-1.00-1.00-0.93-0.90-0.89-0.93-0.91-0.74-0.71-0.47-0.68 53-1.00-1.00-0.98-0.98-0.99-0.93-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.93-0.80 54 N/A 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.95 0.89 0.97 0.98 0.91 0.81 55-1.00 0.52 0.91 0.86 0.76 0.38 0.55 0.86 0.91 0.91 0.92 56-1.00-0.99 0.16-0.12-0.08-0.44-0.44-0.11-0.16-0.32-0.24 57 N/A N/A 0.91-0.66-0.96-1.00-1.00-0.93-0.95-0.93-0.87 58-1.00 0.72 0.96 0.94 0.99 0.49 0.76 0.96 0.96 0.89 0.97 59-1.00 1.00 0.99 0.92 0.95 0.79 0.57 0.79 0.78 0.88 0.79 60 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 1.00 0.97 0.88 0.90 61-1.00-0.43-0.60 0.16 0.30-0.42-0.28 0.06 0.10 0.32 0.51 62-0.53-0.13 0.57 0.84 0.62-0.46-0.79-0.80-0.82-0.83-0.75 63 N/A -0.36 0.45-0.29-0.65-0.54-0.44-0.64-0.61-0.63-0.69 64-1.00-1.00-0.97-0.99-0.97-0.95-0.93-0.88-0.89-0.83-0.87 65-1.00-0.98-0.71-0.91-0.72-0.90-0.77-0.61-0.15-0.49-0.44 66 N/A -1.00-0.90-0.98-0.98-0.96-0.96-0.95-0.93-0.85-0.59 131

HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 67-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.96-0.98-0.97-0.98-0.97-0.99-0.99 68-1.00-1.00-0.97-0.95-0.95-0.61-0.73-0.66-0.68-0.75-0.65 69-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.69-0.91-0.98-0.96-0.70-0.60-0.59-0.40 70-1.00-0.96-0.24-0.03 0.32 0.22 0.11 0.19 0.26 0.33 0.36 71-0.96-1.00-1.00-0.93-0.41-0.44-0.91-0.78-0.84-0.95-0.70 72-1.00-1.00-0.98-1.00-0.98-0.98-0.93-0.38-0.50 0.10 0.58 73-1.00-0.72-0.85-0.84-0.87-0.92-0.87-0.59-0.56-0.44-0.16 74-0.28-0.99-0.85-0.66-0.10-0.19-0.46-0.63-0.46-0.15 0.16 75 N/A N/A 1.00-0.77-0.23-0.99-0.80-0.76 0.02 0.70 0.77 76-1.00-1.00-0.94-0.82-0.33-0.84-0.65 0.05 0.16 0.07-0.12 77 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 N/A N/A 78-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.94-1.00-0.94 79-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.97-0.98-0.98-0.96-0.93 80-1.00-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.98-1.00-0.98-0.98-0.96-0.89-0.81 81-1.00-0.99-1.00-0.99-0.99-0.99-0.94-0.90-0.81-0.47-0.40 82 N/A -0.92-0.97-0.79-0.81-0.83-0.91-0.83-0.80-0.78-0.58 83-1.00-0.99 0.43-0.34-0.45-0.52-0.54-0.39-0.53-0.26-0.18 132

HS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 84-1.00-0.36-0.01-0.09-0.12-0.54-0.64-0.11-0.15-0.14-0.01 85-1.00-0.81-0.92-0.69-0.66-0.62-0.54-0.28-0.29-0.25 0.12 86 N/A N/A 1.00 1.00-0.10-1.00-1.00-0.11-0.66-0.90-0.99 87-1.00-0.95-0.59-0.75-0.78-0.86-0.84-0.16 0.15 0.07-0.39 88 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 N/A -1.00-1.00 0.79 89 N/A 1.00-1.00-0.87-1.00-0.97-1.00-0.96-0.90-0.66-0.65 90-1.00-0.90-0.30-0.20-0.47-0.71-0.58-0.59-0.41 0.05 0.55 91 N/A -1.00-0.96-0.73-0.65-0.75-0.78-0.90-0.96-0.97-0.86 92 N/A -1.00-0.95-0.98-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.77-0.54-0.50 93 N/A N/A N/A -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 94-0.84-1.00-0.87-0.87-0.85-0.95-0.96-0.92-0.95-0.94-0.86 95 N/A -0.96-0.94-0.91-0.83-0.90-0.87-0.91-0.90-0.84-0.60 96-0.94-0.88-0.80-0.90-0.87-0.89-0.88-0.80-0.74-0.78-0.66 97-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.61-1.00-1.00-0.97-1.00-1.00-1.00 98-1.00-0.97-0.93-0.94-0.94-0.94-0.95-0.81-0.82-0.83-0.73 料來理 133

數 t P- 3 β -1.17373 0.063552 0.126163 0.018602-9.30324 3.416447 6.51E-06 0.007671 5-1.17373 0.126163-9.30324 6.51E-06 β 0.063552 0.018602 3.416447 0.007671 6 β -1.3864 0.175593 0.198572 0.029278-6.98182 5.997468 6.45E-05 0.000203 7-1.00012 0.002635-379.589 3.11E-20 β 0.00032 0.000388 0.824851 0.430775 8 β -1.00319 0.000976 0.002809 0.000414-357.086 2.356521 5.39E-20 0.042845 9-1.05312 0.076884-13.6974 2.48E-07 β 0.022222 0.011336 1.96029 0.081606 10 β -0.98217-0.0019 0.013717 0.002022-71.6039-0.94122 1.02E-13 0.37117 11-1.10241 0.101854-10.8234 1.85E-06 β 0.034702 0.015018 2.310749 0.04618 12 β -1.03587 0.011985 0.012811 0.001889-80.86 6.345175 3.43E-14 0.000134 13-1.1317 0.07349-15.3993 8.98E-08 β 0.049679 0.010836 4.584841 0.001319 14 β -1.03265 0.013267 0.025329 0.003735-40.7701 3.55255 1.6E-11 0.006191 15-1.16168 0.101543-11.4403 1.16E-06 β 0.050444 0.014972 3.369293 0.008266 17 β 0.062469 0.049475 0.583311 0.086005 0.107093 0.575265 0.917064 0.579208 19 1.593172 0.341413 4.66641 0.001175 β -0.20106 0.050339-3.99407 0.003138 20 β -0.95113 0.000719 0.052248 0.007704-18.2041 0.093271 2.08E-08 0.927732 21 β -0.09146-0.04065 0.464041 0.068419-0.19709-0.59416 0.848134 0.567041 22 β 0.348953-0.14386 0.592241 0.08334 0.589208-1.72621 0.57198 0.122585 134

數 t P- 23-1.22631 0.141122-8.68973 1.14E-05 β 0.06415 0.020807 3.083034 0.013076 25 β -1.01024 0.003788 0.006923 0.001021-145.923 3.710682 1.69E-16 0.00484 26-1.01703 0.017517-58.0613 6.72E-13 β 0.005182 0.002583 2.006383 0.075769 27 β -1.06366 0.018853 0.028656 0.004225-37.1183 4.462221 3.71E-11 0.001572 28-1.05573 0.023077-45.748 5.7E-12 β 0.020022 0.003403 5.884348 0.000234 29 β -1.37866 0.177663 0.175926 0.025939-7.83659 6.849303 2.61E-05 7.48E-05 30 β 0.468516-0.09886 0.610329 0.085885 0.767645-1.1511 0.46475 0.282929 31 β -1.02382 0.009188 0.031104 0.004586-32.9158 2.003422 1.09E-10 0.076132 32-0.83929 0.131806-6.36759 0.00013 β 0.116518 0.019434 5.995641 0.000204 33 β -1.07747 0.028434 0.041631 0.006138-25.8815 4.632264 9.25E-10 0.001233 34 β -0.01599 0.044331 0.383658 0.053988-0.04169 0.821123 0.96777 0.43536 35 β -1.32119 0.136297 0.110723 0.015581-11.9324 8.747741 2.24E-06 2.28E-05 36-0.99437 0.084641-11.748 9.22E-07 β 0.010753 0.01248 0.861644 0.411252 37 β -0.94577 0.005779 0.070749 0.010431-13.3679 0.554011 3.05E-07 0.593067 38-1.14777 0.088264-13.0038 3.87E-07 β 0.108998 0.013014 8.37554 1.53E-05 39 β -0.0832 0.07801 0.270516 0.039885-0.30757 1.955848 0.765406 0.082191 40-0.77566 0.244715-3.16963 0.011373 β 0.166547 0.036081 4.61587 0.001262 41-1.16209 0.099718-11.6537 9.88E-07 β 0.142525 0.014703 9.693833 4.63E-06 135

數 t P- 42 β -0.7589-0.02636 0.087987 0.012382-8.62508-2.1289 2.53E-05 0.065906 43 β -0.94202 0.040676 0.168598 0.024858-5.58735 1.636307 0.00034 0.136203 44-1.04618 0.019387-53.963 1.3E-12 β 0.015404 0.002858 5.388941 0.000439 45 β 0.149535-0.08935 0.599379 0.080335 0.249484-1.11227 0.810149 0.302755 46 β -1.02855 0.01024 0.029511 0.004351-34.8533 2.35351 6.51E-11 0.043057 47-1.18539 0.185618-6.3862 0.000127 β 0.057659 0.027368 2.106832 0.0644 48 β -0.67997 0.073606 0.23196 0.034201-2.93143 2.152186 0.016718 0.059823 49-0.90798 0.164196-5.52983 0.000366 β 0.052718 0.024209 2.177573 0.057401 50-1.01731 0.009342-108.894 2.36E-15 β 0.004681 0.001377 3.398344 0.007894 51 β -0.86298 0.02416 0.157453 0.023215-5.4809 1.040701 0.00039 0.325163 52-1.08633 0.055804-19.4668 1.15E-08 β 0.042227 0.008228 5.132214 0.000618 53-1.03085 0.030269-34.0561 8.01E-11 β 0.01171 0.004463 2.623727 0.027642 54 1.050797 0.035104 29.93406 1.68E-09 β -0.01556 0.00494-3.15075 0.013583 55 0.001282 0.310631 0.004128 0.996796 β 0.099425 0.0458 2.170844 0.058034 56-0.62421 0.225509-2.76802 0.021824 β 0.047466 0.033249 1.427576 0.187177 57 0.208237 0.515765 0.403744 0.69845 β -0.13119 0.069128-1.89782 0.099524 58 0.129165 0.334813 0.385783 0.708618 β 0.09428 0.049366 1.909842 0.088484 59 0.287452 0.359783 0.798962 0.444885 β 0.065061 0.053047 1.226472 0.25114 136

數 t P- 60 1.047355 0.023446 44.67142 6.96E-11 β -0.01141 0.003299-3.45826 0.00859 61-0.76501 0.199605-3.83262 0.004012 β 0.108102 0.02943 3.673168 0.00513 62 0.415686 0.358651 1.159026 0.276272 β -0.11622 0.05288-2.19772 0.055547 63 0.032743 0.214999 0.152295 0.882725 β -0.07272 0.030255-2.40349 0.042942 64-1.03501 0.014167-73.0579 8.53E-14 β 0.016831 0.002089 8.057848 2.09E-05 65-1.07815 0.103732-10.3937 2.59E-06 β 0.063245 0.015294 4.135195 0.00254 66-1.08042 0.075429-14.3236 5.51E-07 β 0.026371 0.010614 2.484486 0.037846 67-0.9971 0.008782-113.543 1.62E-15 β 0.002105 0.001295 1.625441 0.138514 68-1.0561 0.059413-17.7756 2.56E-08 β 0.040218 0.00876 4.591064 0.001307 69-1.11521 0.083914-13.2899 3.21E-07 β 0.052083 0.012372 4.209614 0.002274 70-0.78607 0.188162-4.17763 0.002384 β 0.1243 0.027743 4.480402 0.001532 71-0.90755 0.140323-6.46757 0.000116 β 0.015953 0.020689 0.771046 0.460442 72-1.46338 0.203563-7.1888 5.15E-05 β 0.136997 0.030014 4.564473 0.001358 73-1.07601 0.102552-10.4924 2.4E-06 β 0.060818 0.01512 4.022241 0.003008 74-0.77008 0.195476-3.93949 0.003409 β 0.058521 0.028821 2.030457 0.072881 75-0.60713 0.772187-0.78625 0.457509 β 0.069759 0.103496 0.674027 0.521922 76-1.2218 0.158032-7.73138 2.9E-05 β 0.121565 0.0233 5.217283 0.000551 78-1.01569 0.012332-82.3649 2.9E-14 β 0.004744 0.001818 2.609062 0.028314 137

數 t P- 79-1.01606 0.007501-135.451 3.31E-16 β 0.005428 0.001106 4.90798 0.000838 80-1.03659 0.02596-39.93 1.93E-11 β 0.01283 0.003828 3.352011 0.008496 81-1.18331 0.088109-13.43 2.94E-07 β 0.053536 0.012991 4.121032 0.002594 82-0.98877 0.061367-16.1123 2.21E-07 β 0.025695 0.008636 2.975438 0.017723 83-0.64988 0.252022-2.57866 0.029762 β 0.035955 0.037159 0.967595 0.358527 84-0.55249 0.190464-2.90077 0.017573 β 0.044005 0.028082 1.566983 0.151562 85-1.12207 0.063713-17.6114 2.78E-08 β 0.097046 0.009394 10.3307 2.73E-06 86 1.312786 0.538465 2.438016 0.044889 β -0.23148 0.072171-3.20735 0.014913 87-1.12573 0.179296-6.27859 0.000145 β 0.095267 0.026436 3.60371 0.005715 89-0.2071 0.470947-0.43976 0.671752 β -0.07598 0.066271-1.14646 0.284735 90-0.97827 0.211786-4.61913 0.001256 β 0.09401 0.031226 3.010627 0.014701 91-0.82731 0.10011-8.26404 3.45E-05 β -0.00438 0.014087-0.31084 0.763863 92-1.20622 0.103742-11.6271 2.73E-06 β 0.051351 0.014598 3.517533 0.007874 93-1.00138 0.001038-964.777 8.37E-17 β 0.000229 0.000132 1.732051 0.133975 94-0.89356 0.036553-24.4457 1.54E-09 β -0.00262 0.005389-0.48599 0.638588 95-1.01608 0.060811-16.7088 1.67E-07 β 0.02299 0.008557 2.68658 0.027643 96-0.94927 0.034161-27.7877 4.92E-10 β 0.019658 0.005037 3.902912 0.003603 97-0.94348 0.079847-11.8162 8.78E-07 β -0.00284 0.011773-0.24154 0.814553 138

數 t P- 98-1.03307 0.026941-38.3459 2.77E-11 β 0.022753 0.003972 5.727982 0.000284 料來理 5-1 1993 年 2002 年陸易數料不便易數 (TSCt) (T) TSCt = α + βt 5-2 數 β 力 2002 年易數 2002 年易數類 13 類茶料車零 35 14 2002 年易數類兩 139

料路車零 9 類兩 2002 年易數類兩類泥 16 狀參 5-3 13 14 力都不陸力 35 力 16 力 HS 力陸不力兩更力 140

力力類切葉滑蠟蠟蠟類蠟料料刺量精零類類類列茶茶料糖料粒飼料料列蠟糖糖料蠟金金 141

料精狀金料柳料料類類零類零零料泥泥類料金金金金金金利零路車車車零樂零零理飼料料料料類立泥類狀 142

料不撚索金爐零零錄錄零料類力旅行類料不不路車車車零路車零類類力 143

列類類硫泥料料泥理羽羽零零類列類料來理 144

陸力 HS 料 HS 8401~8485 8501~8548 1998 年 1993 年料 1993 年 2002 年年陸易數 (TSC) 10 年 TSC 來力 5-4 1993 年 2002 年陸易數年度易數 TSC 來便利數 β 力易數 (TSCt) (T) TSCt = α + βt 5-5 2002 年易數 2002 年易數類車錄路 16 路 12 145

陸易數 (1993~2002) HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8402 N/A 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.88-0.21 0.44 0.27 0.98 1.00 8403 N/A N/A N/A 1.00 N/A N/A N/A -0.87 N/A 0.86 8404 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 1.00 1.00 0.93 1.00 8405 1.00 N/A 1.00 N/A N/A -1.00 N/A N/A 1.00 0.84 8406 N/A 1.00 1.00 0.58 0.43-1.00 0.94-1.00-0.96 0.77 8407 N/A 1.00 1.00 N/A -1.00-0.99 0.67-1.00-1.00-1.00 8408 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 0.37-1.00-0.99 8409 N/A -0.89-0.87-1.00-1.00-1.00 0.79 0.69 0.59-0.21 8410 N/A 1.00 1.00 N/A -0.79-0.57 1.00 N/A 0.01 1.00 8411 N/A N/A 1.00 0.52-0.99 1.00-0.71-0.37 1.00-1.00 8412 1.00 0.70 0.49-0.15-0.54-0.56-0.63-0.67-0.31-0.32 8413 1.00-0.10 0.05-0.11-0.44-0.50-0.21-0.26-0.25 0.10 8414-0.50-0.13-0.77-0.72-0.90-0.91-0.65-0.60-0.59-0.35 8415 N/A 0.98 0.85 0.08-0.21-0.69-0.82-0.69-0.92-0.47 146

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8416 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.44-0.92-0.97-0.74 0.10 0.65 0.63 8417 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.83-0.66 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.91 8418 1.00 0.75 0.66 0.45-0.66-0.43-0.38-0.09-0.38-0.14 8419-0.96 0.12 0.15 0.19-0.19-0.38 0.56 0.37 0.53 0.57 8420 N/A -0.96-1.00-0.45-0.95-0.58-0.20-0.04 0.09 0.43 8421 1.00 0.95 0.85 0.68 0.30-0.81-0.15-0.45-0.38-0.09 8422 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.96 0.93 0.93 0.88 8423 1.00 1.00 1.00-0.79-0.97-0.80-0.01-0.30-0.60-0.60 8424 1.00-0.76-0.26 0.34-0.61-0.54-0.41-0.29-0.25-0.01 8425 1.00 1.00 1.00-0.71-0.98-0.94-0.52-0.19-0.26-0.42 8426 N/A 1.00 1.00-0.25-0.57 0.42 0.69-0.54 0.58 0.83 8427 N/A -0.59-0.48 0.08-0.24-0.76-0.30-0.11 0.18 0.61 8428 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.82 0.83 0.29-0.10 0.72 0.47 0.75 8429 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00-1.00 N/A -0.11 8430 N/A 1.00 N/A 1.00 N/A 1.00 1.00 0.07 0.31 0.96 8431-1.00-0.98-0.97-0.91-0.93 1.00-0.84-0.79-0.77-0.33 147

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8432 N/A -0.77-0.92 0.67-0.23-0.97-0.12 0.40 0.36 0.30 8433 N/A 1.00-0.98-0.81-1.00-0.55-0.54-0.79-0.89-0.25 8434 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 N/A 1.00 0.81 8435 N/A 1.00 0.85 0.56 0.36-0.99 0.92 1.00 1.00 0.96 8436 N/A 1.00 0.11-0.32 0.36 1.00 0.71 0.47-0.17 0.47 8437 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.90 0.79 1.00 0.17 0.92 0.75 8438 1.00 0.99 0.89 0.93 0.89 1.00 0.80 0.83 0.87 0.77 8439 N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.32 1.00 0.00 0.96 0.93 8440 N/A N/A N/A 1.00-1.00 0.93 1.00 1.00-1.00 0.87 8441 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 1.00 0.92 8442 N/A N/A 1.00 0.71-0.86 0.87-0.70-0.27-0.26 0.42 8443 1.00 0.92 1.00 0.98 0.82-0.83 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.88 8444 1.00 1.00 N/A 1.00 N/A 0.85 N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 8445 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.91 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.96 8446 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 8447 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.69 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 148

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8448-1.00-0.38 0.18 1.00-0.04-0.53-0.23 0.20 0.39 0.51 8449 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 N/A N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 8450 N/A 1.00 1.00-1.00-0.99-0.94-0.99-0.95-0.96-0.89 8451 1.00 0.27 0.87 0.77 0.45-0.28 0.56 0.49 0.50 0.80 8452-0.66-0.86-0.69-0.64-0.75-0.65-0.41 0.23 0.12-0.08 8453 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.96 0.97 0.93 0.72 0.40 0.34 0.49 8454 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.33 0.69 0.98 0.94 1.00 0.95 8455 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.69 0.91 0.92-0.18 8456 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.89 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.99 8457 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8458 1.00 1.00 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 8459 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.74 0.26 0.87 0.99 0.97 0.98 8460 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.66-0.14 0.78 0.72 0.89 0.94 0.96 8461 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.46 1.00 0.52 0.95 0.82 0.97 0.96 8462 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.97 8463 1.00 1.00 0.92 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.93 0.83 0.92 0.98 149

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8464 N/A 1.00 1.00-0.54 1.00 1.00 0.90-0.55 0.28 0.96 8465 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 8466-1.00-0.39-0.28-0.01-0.67-0.75-0.46-0.43-0.15 0.20 8467-0.44-0.78-0.91-0.97-0.98-0.99-0.96-0.90-0.92-0.70 8468 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00-0.69-0.74-0.07 0.41 0.29 0.25 8469 N/A 1.00 N/A -0.98-1.00 0.58-1.00-1.00-0.19 0.96 8470 N/A 1.00-0.51-0.22-0.96-1.00-0.96-0.99-0.93-0.92 8471 0.72 0.37-0.85-0.76-0.75-0.66-0.20-0.45-0.39-0.52 8472 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.19-0.99-0.84-0.88-0.97-0.95-0.87 8473 0.62 0.58-0.25-0.17-0.85-0.83-0.39-0.48-0.48-0.09 8474-0.80 0.02-0.35 0.30-0.91-0.81 0.23-0.20 0.66 0.79 8475 N/A 1.00 1.00-0.68 0.97 1.00 0.87 1.00 1.00-0.65 8476 N/A 0.59 0.71 0.95 0.82-0.07 0.62-0.47-0.78-0.78 8477 0.97 0.89 0.96 0.79 0.51 0.81 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.92 8479 0.84 0.95 0.97 0.82 0.88 0.86 0.68 0.72 0.85 0.75 8480 1.00 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.69 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.96 150

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8481-0.98-0.93-0.97-0.77-0.97-0.96-0.90-0.79-0.75-0.54 8482-1.00-0.99-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.98-0.88-0.84-0.71-0.42 8483-0.66-0.84-0.64-0.66-0.82-0.65-0.44-0.54-0.22-0.22 8484 N/A 0.25 0.04-1.00-0.07-0.68-0.29 0.53 0.29-0.08 8485 0.12 0.86 0.79 0.83 0.93 0.87 0.79 0.78 0.53 0.64 8501-1.00-0.99-0.90-0.91-0.99-0.88-0.78-0.81-0.73-0.42 8502 N/A 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8503-1.00-0.08 0.39 0.51 0.31 0.14-0.05-0.08-0.21-0.04 8504-1.00-0.96-0.90-0.94-0.97-0.90-0.83-0.87-0.88-0.75 8505-0.92-0.09-0.83-0.94-0.84-0.80-0.62-0.32-0.16-0.08 8506 N/A -0.96-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.92-0.96-0.82-0.88-0.48 8507-1.00-1.00-0.99-0.98-0.98-0.91-0.83-0.80-0.66-0.41 8508 1.00 1.00 0.43-0.37-0.77-0.96-0.96-0.93-0.77-0.44 8509-1.00-0.58-0.91-0.99-0.89-0.96-0.97-0.98-0.94-0.91 8510 N/A -1.00-1.00 N/A -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8511 N/A 1.00 1.00-0.78-0.92-0.98-0.99-0.36-0.43-0.25 151

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8512 N/A 1.00 0.33-0.26 0.25-0.53-0.49-0.06-0.33 0.16 8513 N/A -1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.89 8514 1.00 0.80 0.86-0.81-0.26-0.87-0.38 0.02 0.37 0.65 8515 N/A 1.00 1.00-0.05-0.44-0.52 0.45 0.11 0.51 0.79 8516-0.76-0.99-0.99-0.97-0.93-0.19-0.42-0.57-0.70-0.69 8517 0.37-0.85-0.28-0.51-0.53-0.80-0.54-0.60-0.46-0.25 8518-1.00-1.00-0.94-0.88-0.80-0.84-0.81-0.90-0.96-0.89 8519-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00 8520-0.97-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.83 8521 N/A 1.00 N/A -0.94-1.00-1.00-0.48-0.99-0.98-0.99 8522-1.00-1.00-0.99-1.00-0.97-0.98-0.84-0.86-0.94-0.91 8523-1.00-0.86-1.00-0.53-0.42-0.44-0.52-0.81-0.67 0.55 8524 N/A -0.93 1.00-0.02 0.41 0.35 0.26-0.34-0.79-0.21 8525 N/A -1.00-0.69-1.00-0.99-0.54-0.96-0.50 0.43 0.60 8526 N/A 1.00 1.00-1.00 0.45 0.05 0.22 0.37 0.30 0.07 8527 N/A -1.00-0.98-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-0.85 152

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8528 N/A -0.95-1.00-0.91-0.69-0.92-0.97-0.72-0.72-0.18 8529-0.84-0.97-0.58-0.86-0.69-0.71-0.57-0.43-0.05 0.70 8530 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.00 N/A N/A -1.00-0.70-1.00 8531-0.99-0.97-0.83-0.93-0.97-0.98-0.87-0.92 0.51 0.90 8532 1.00-0.53-0.46-0.53-0.42-0.30 0.46 0.33 0.27 0.48 8533 1.00-0.56 0.00 0.00-0.47-0.09 0.43 0.55 0.48 0.48 8534 1.00 0.57 0.43 0.73 0.20 0.98 0.88 0.95 0.98 0.96 8535 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.42 1.00 0.85 1.00 1.00 8536-1.00-0.99-0.97-0.98-0.92-0.93-0.87-0.86-0.84-0.69 8537 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.92 0.98 8538 0.92-0.65-0.10 0.25-0.10-0.24 0.35 0.35-0.04 0.30 8539-0.36-0.71-0.98-0.98-0.99-0.98-0.94-0.82-0.84-0.57 8540 0.93-0.15 0.93 0.69 0.74 0.68 0.81 0.83 0.82 0.57 8541-0.98-0.96-0.86-0.86-0.85-0.84-0.44-0.56-0.47-0.20 8542 0.29-0.09 0.06-0.53-0.32 0.00 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.36 8543 1.00 0.95 0.97-0.13-0.14-0.99-0.82-0.57-0.69 0.14 153

HS 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 8544-0.97-0.12-0.63-0.81-0.88-0.87-0.58-0.51-0.51-0.49 8545-1.00-1.00-0.94-0.36-0.79-0.44-0.65-0.90-0.97-0.83 8546 N/A -0.54 1.00-0.83-1.00 0.79 0.92-0.33-0.79 0.08 8547 N/A -0.50 0.70-0.81-0.96-0.86 0.20 0.56 0.63 0.69 8548 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.81 0.94 料來理 154

數 t P- 8402 β 0.891192-0.03147 0.387007 0.059248 2.302783-0.53116 0.054766 0.61174 8404 1.010256 0.020996 48.11557 4.38E-10 β -0.00368 0.003214-1.14354 0.290408 8406 β 1.14036-0.15751 0.717886 0.109903 1.588498-1.43318 0.156197 0.19492 8409 β -1.54943 0.204641 0.514364 0.078746-3.01231 2.598759 0.019598 0.035489 8411 0.940861 0.978946 0.961095 0.373619 β -0.13611 0.14204-0.95827 0.374931 8412 0.777451 0.266422 2.918117 0.019347 β -0.15921 0.042938-3.70798 0.005974 8413 β 0.29656-0.06698 0.268546 0.04328 1.104318-1.5475 0.30156 0.16033 8414 β -0.58419-0.00491 0.174716 0.028158-3.34366-0.17438 0.010176 0.865901 8415 1.119492 0.334384 3.347926 0.012286 β -0.22149 0.051192-4.32674 0.003452 8416 β 0.681419-0.08398 0.555792 0.089574 1.226031-0.93754 0.255049 0.375917 8417 0.90532 0.364129 2.48626 0.037742 β -0.02334 0.058685-0.39772 0.701235 8418 β 0.885731-0.14687 0.276251 0.044522 3.206249-3.29889 0.012494 0.010877 8419 β -0.52524 0.113081 0.251324 0.040504-2.08988 2.791809 0.070031 0.023493 8420-1.44975 0.177318-8.17596 7.93E-05 β 0.173845 0.027146 6.404017 0.000366 8421 β 1.163634-0.17677 0.27218 0.043866 4.275237-4.02974 0.002705 0.003789 8422 1.031362 0.014976 68.86767 2.2E-12 β -0.01185 0.002414-4.9111 0.001177 8423 β 0.88043-0.17958 0.434913 0.070093 2.024383-2.5621 0.07753 0.033537 155

數 t P- 8424 0.080877 0.360774 0.224176 0.82824 β -0.0473 0.058144-0.81348 0.439482 8425 0.796075 0.458096 1.73779 0.120448 β -0.16344 0.073829-2.21378 0.05774 8426 β 0.476536-0.02104 0.572925 0.087711 0.831759-0.23984 0.432999 0.817324 8427-0.81543 0.28097-2.90221 0.022914 β 0.106124 0.043015 2.467152 0.043012 8428 β 1.033902-0.06469 0.21805 0.035142 4.741588-1.84072 0.001461 0.102932 8431-1.00142 0.42077-2.37996 0.044548 β 0.063619 0.067813 0.938145 0.375625 8432 β -0.91215 0.128352 0.462571 0.070816-1.97192 1.812466 0.089238 0.112807 8433-0.11434 0.536194-0.21323 0.837221 β -0.06993 0.082088-0.85194 0.422433 8435 0.454304 0.579552 0.783888 0.458804 β 0.029032 0.088725 0.327208 0.753078 8436 β 0.506064-0.01708 0.418996 0.064145 1.2078-0.26623 0.266343 0.797733 8437 1.085041 0.160275 6.769864 0.000142 β -0.04251 0.025831-1.64564 0.138456 8438 β 1.013012-0.02111 0.037636 0.006066 26.9163-3.47953 3.91E-09 0.008325 8439 1.008999 0.436707 2.310472 0.06023 β -0.03575 0.063364-0.56419 0.593071 8440 β 0.481711-0.01176 1.442157 0.198095 0.334021-0.05936 0.751918 0.954963 8441 1.019372 0.015081 67.59324 2.55E-12 β -0.00574 0.002431-2.36004 0.045955 8442 β 0.785746-0.10341 0.782686 0.113564 1.00391-0.9106 0.354176 0.397614 8443 β 0.856049-0.01617 0.405894 0.065416 2.109046-0.24715 0.067974 0.811018 8445 1.001889 0.020656 48.50315 3.61E-11 β -0.00269 0.003329-0.80754 0.442704 156

數 t P- 8446 β 1.000487-0.00018 0.001585 0.000243 631.293-0.75337 6.61E-18 0.475797 8447 0.93657 0.069658 13.4453 8.97E-07 β 0.005778 0.011226 0.514713 0.620669 8448 β -0.4884 0.090458 0.365614 0.058924-1.33583 1.535164 0.218356 0.163292 8450 0.808894 0.554341 1.4592 0.187878 β -0.22235 0.084866-2.62006 0.034406 8451 β 0.660846-0.0214 0.259518 0.041825 2.54643-0.51166 0.034365 0.622711 8452 β -1.02126 0.106005 0.160014 0.025789-6.38234 4.110564 0.000213 0.003388 8453 1.210632 0.09455 12.80411 1.31E-06 β -0.07833 0.015238-5.14032 0.000885 8454 β 0.902572-0.0024 0.157648 0.025407 5.725244-0.09461 0.000441 0.926948 8455 1.25259 0.208495 6.007758 0.000321 β -0.07631 0.033602-2.27101 0.052807 8456 β 0.989691-0.00084 0.024715 0.003983 40.04394-0.21193 1.66E-10 0.837463 8457 0.999833 0.000219 4561.43 5.98E-27 β 1.04E-05 3.53E-05 0.292997 0.776981 8458 β 0.973792 0.002731 0.02246 0.00362 43.35641 0.754458 8.83E-11 0.472196 8459 0.863657 0.172067 5.019298 0.001028 β -0.00237 0.027731-0.08561 0.933878 8460 0.783401 0.250055 3.132916 0.013954 β -0.00078 0.0403-0.01938 0.985012 8461 0.882574 0.149611 5.899132 0.000362 β -0.00251 0.024112-0.10401 0.919719 8462 1.007247 0.005351 188.2239 7.1E-16 β -0.00203 0.000862-2.35829 0.046081 8463 1.003483 0.03733 26.88163 3.95E-09 β -0.00816 0.006016-1.35552 0.212276 8464 0.806444 0.593016 1.359902 0.216034 β -0.04086 0.090787-0.4501 0.666249 157

數 t P- 8465 1.002941 0.002382 420.965 1.14E-18 β -0.00087 0.000384-2.2585 0.053848 8466-0.73613 0.218706-3.36583 0.009846 β 0.062326 0.035248 1.768234 0.114995 8467-0.74718 0.118138-6.32466 0.000227 β -0.01965 0.01904-1.03206 0.332232 8468 0.942407 0.430888 2.187128 0.06019 β -0.10866 0.069444-1.56477 0.156267 8470 0.433716 0.412224 1.052135 0.327696 β -0.17401 0.063109-2.75738 0.028202 8471 0.076619 0.334405 0.22912 0.824525 β -0.0775 0.053894-1.43807 0.188357 8472 1.213901 0.329693 3.68191 0.006202 β -0.26248 0.053135-4.93996 0.001135 8473 0.287196 0.301561 0.952362 0.368797 β -0.09478 0.048601-1.95018 0.086968 8474-0.75141 0.36097-2.08165 0.070933 β 0.117094 0.058176 2.012774 0.078938 8475 0.946644 0.638766 1.481989 0.1819 β -0.0558 0.097791-0.57064 0.58609 8476 1.477489 0.34367 4.299156 0.00357 β -0.21684 0.052613-4.1213 0.004452 8477 0.844884 0.101165 8.351523 3.2E-05 β 0.004358 0.016304 0.267302 0.795999 8479 0.939848 0.053017 17.72737 1.05E-07 β -0.01948 0.008544-2.27945 0.052116 8480 0.960881 0.064304 14.94269 3.97E-07 β -0.00323 0.010364-0.31214 0.762916 8481-1.05304 0.069536-15.1438 3.58E-07 β 0.035665 0.011207 3.182442 0.01295 8482-1.15057 0.078228-14.708 4.49E-07 β 0.049732 0.012608 3.944606 0.004268 8483-0.89348 0.091682-9.74548 1.03E-05 β 0.058835 0.014776 3.981859 0.004051 8484-0.33646 0.426452-0.78896 0.456018 β 0.037692 0.065287 0.577324 0.581805 158

數 t P- 8485 0.642752 0.169878 3.783618 0.00536 β 0.013057 0.027378 0.476912 0.64618 8501-1.11003 0.067904-16.3471 1.97E-07 β 0.048899 0.010944 4.468238 0.002088 8503-0.12839 0.301244-0.42621 0.681192 β 0.02125 0.04855 0.437687 0.673189 8504-1.01301 0.028147-35.9895 3.89E-10 β 0.02059 0.004536 4.538974 0.001902 8505-0.9178 0.217262-4.2244 0.002898 β 0.064826 0.035015 1.851387 0.101261 8506-1.15395 0.100388-11.4949 8.48E-06 β 0.044228 0.015369 2.877788 0.023726 8507-1.16138 0.068744-16.8943 1.53E-07 β 0.055628 0.011079 5.020983 0.001026 8508 0.86105 0.35119 2.451807 0.039824 β -0.20699 0.056599-3.65715 0.006428 8509-0.84509 0.085218-9.91678 9.03E-06 β -0.0125 0.013734-0.90996 0.389435 8511 0.55073 0.616887 0.892756 0.401635 β -0.14204 0.094441-1.50396 0.1763 8512 0.571787 0.372906 1.533326 0.169063 β -0.094 0.057089-1.64656 0.143642 8513-1.02831 0.02784-36.9367 2.77E-09 β 0.006929 0.004262 1.625803 0.148018 8514 0.461921 0.488352 0.945877 0.3719 β -0.05895 0.078705-0.74898 0.475312 8515 0.42657 0.517998 0.823498 0.437378 β -0.01839 0.079302-0.23188 0.823268 8516-0.95969 0.169649-5.65691 0.000478 β 0.04327 0.027341 1.582561 0.152179 8517-0.28483 0.240227-1.18568 0.26977 β -0.02917 0.038716-0.75345 0.472771 8518-0.9574 0.047097-20.3284 3.58E-08 β 0.010158 0.00759 1.338347 0.217572 8519-1.00016 0.000475-2107.63 2.88E-24 β 8.88E-05 7.65E-05 1.161281 0.279003 8520-1.02147 0.035685-28.6252 2.4E-09 159

數 t P- β 0.007635 0.005751 1.327624 0.220934 8522-1.02764 0.031116-33.0263 7.71E-10 β 0.014563 0.005015 2.904109 0.019767 8523-1.1106 0.244443-4.54341 0.001891 β 0.098468 0.039396 2.49947 0.036973 8524 0.294781 0.535846 0.550123 0.599341 β -0.05417 0.082034-0.66039 0.530128 8525-1.59841 0.337935-4.72994 0.002133 β 0.18028 0.051735 3.484645 0.010202 8526 0.604981 0.517005 1.170165 0.280227 β -0.05549 0.07915-0.70114 0.505851 8527-1.03576 0.039421-26.274 2.96E-08 β 0.009266 0.006035 1.535376 0.168568 8528-1.18855 0.161283-7.36938 0.000153 β 0.067396 0.024691 2.729566 0.029357 8529-1.23108 0.209471-5.8771 0.000371 β 0.133075 0.033759 3.941882 0.004285 8531-1.51056 0.355664-4.24716 0.00281 β 0.164451 0.05732 2.868982 0.020862 8532-0.2359 0.379122-0.62222 0.551112 β 0.048569 0.061101 0.7949 0.449609 8533-0.05268 0.342633-0.15375 0.881614 β 0.042596 0.05522 0.771387 0.462651 8534 0.553457 0.18492 2.992949 0.017256 β 0.039073 0.029803 1.311052 0.22622 8535 0.971934 0.131584 7.386425 7.72E-05 β -0.00815 0.021207-0.38425 0.710803 8536-1.06106 0.027321-38.8363 2.12E-10 β 0.028539 0.004403 6.481317 0.000192 8537 1.009999 0.014249 70.88069 1.75E-12 β -0.00479 0.002296-2.08383 0.070693 8538 0.067925 0.309663 0.219352 0.831869 β 0.006595 0.049907 0.132143 0.898135 8539-0.75402 0.152965-4.92935 0.00115 β -0.01117 0.024653-0.45301 0.662573 8540 0.57318 0.223646 2.562896 0.033496 β 0.020302 0.036044 0.563252 0.588697 160

數 t P- 8541-1.14634 0.076433-14.9979 3.86E-07 β 0.080519 0.012318 6.536555 0.000181 8542-0.16345 0.188895-0.86527 0.412084 β 0.037528 0.030443 1.232711 0.252678 8543 0.964801 0.393006 2.454928 0.039631 β -0.1808 0.063339-2.85457 0.021329 8544-0.73741 0.179772-4.10191 0.003429 β 0.017972 0.028973 0.620298 0.552318 8545-0.83564 0.166988-5.00417 0.001047 β 0.008596 0.026913 0.319416 0.757592 8546-0.07955 0.723555-0.10995 0.915537 β 0.000216 0.110771 0.001954 0.998495 8547-0.88 0.560225-1.57081 0.160221 β 0.140439 0.085767 1.637453 0.145547 8548 1.030624 0.028965 35.58178 4.26E-10 β -0.01351 0.004668-2.89429 0.020067 料來零爐輪降理爐 21 輪 15 冷離離 161

雷 14 爐理金路 20 錄 6 了路零兩參 5-6 162

力力不論利度精殺冷理料不金車降車料類料類零列零不料錄錄類不論錄錄零鈴列路離冷流路料金例螺料金零 163

爐類塞塞類流例流離不論列不論零路路聯路理不論不論零林理車輪輪輪螺輪輪滑輪滑輪離聯金料兩金類不類類料列零類連離車不論錄 164

類力爐不爐爐輪輪料狀料料爐爐類爐爐類料降車降降降車林飼卵類類類類不列料不理不理例切 165

理理泥類料冷列爐力雷不論切金金料列零輪螺輪輪度度不度不量更精數滑車不車兩力料錄類料理讀料錄料理類料列例蠟類數料 166

論量冷冷冷冷力力離離離濾不論不論類類飼料類類金不論切力列零類塞塞類聯流流流車車列流路數路錄錄類雷列立力爐例力冷切理精撚理 167

刺狀金金爐雷離切料金聯切金車車車螺金車車金金料輪輪切輪輪精拉輪切輪輪精切切列切金金金切金列金金金金不切料類料列類料金金金料流路路聯路雷列列數列論量 168

不論利度精殺冷理料不金車降車理精撚理不論濾列零料來理兩不力來 16 力不不 21 力滑陸 14 力不利更力年陸陸力來更陸不力來陸令 169

力力不年來量陸陸力利陸力陸年陸兩了流兩切陸不論易來不年陸來年數金年金例了年數累金累陸陸歷陸來年陸零都行年年年陸勵陸不論金陸 170

陸行年年兩陸金暴年年陸金陸年降金不陸金年年不年來見都類數數料陸不金陸勞力都不不年來陸不陸年陸不勞力零料行陸兩力理來行理力陸 171

陸力來陸力滑陸力路年陸陸力來力陸力陸力 HS 13 14 力都不陸力 35 力 16 力 HS 力陸不若 HS HS 84 HS 85 兩不力來 16 力不不 21 力滑陸 172

14 力不利更力年陸陸力來陸不力來陸若令 173

六論論陸力論力陸陸歷年料類兩類力類易數論力若林列年年力年力車零易力年 174

滑例金年降年不落力不年來力料年力錄良力飼年力類兩力來說不不力度更易異例類類力糖料爐 175

力陸陸力陸力類來力都都力不陸力力力類料陸力陸類力力滑陸力不利路陸輪力狀陸力來不力來陸陸路 176

零陸率更更陸力陸更類類陸行陸類歷年度若類度都不不陸不兩易易易數兩陸陸行 177

力來來力陸兩力不陸金陸料不力陸料不料不不易力量料年度易數料不參若來類料理更 178

參 1. 1991 易 21 109-112 2. 易 1991 易北 3. 2001 論 53-60 4. 林 2002 行理論論 2 3 http://www.npf.org.tw/publication/te/091/te-b-091-007.htm 5. 林 2003 量論 1 1 6. 1998 立 7. 2003 論 8. 2002 陸易論 9. 劉 1994 易北 10. Andreosso-O Callaghan, B., and Yue, G.-Q., 2002, Sources of 179

output change in China: 1987-1997: Application of a Structural Decomposition Analysis, Applied Economics, 34, 2227-2237. 11. Chi, S. and C. Y.-S. Regina, 2001, Taiwan s High-Tech Industries, in L.K. Cheng and H. Kierzkowski(eds.), Global Probal Production and Trade in East Asia, pp. 180-205. 12. Kwan, Chi-Hung 2002 The Rise of China and Asia s Flying- Geese Pattern of Economic Development: An Empirical Analysis Based on US Import Statistics,NRI Papers, No. 52. 13. Leontief, W., 1951, The Structure of American Economy 1919-1939, 2 nd ed., Oxford University Press, New York. 14. Lin, X., and K.R. Polenske, 1995, Input-Output Anatomy of China s Energy Use Change in the 1980 s, Economic Systems Research, 7, 67-83. 15. Pamukçu, T. and P.M.C. de Boer, 2000, A Structural Decomposition Analysis of Imports of Turkey (1968-1990), Papers of the 13 th International Conference on Input-Output Techniques, University of Macerata, Italy, August 21-25th, 2000. 16. Rose, A., and Chen, C.Y., 1991, Sources of Change in Energy Use in the US Economy, 1972-1982: A Structural Decomposition Analysis, Resources and Energy, 13, 1-21. 17. Rose, A., and Casler, S., 1996, Input-Output Strucutral Decomposition Analysis: A Critical Apprisal, Economic Systems Research, 8, 33-62. 18. Skolka, J., 1989, Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis for Austria, Journal of Policy Modeling, 11, 45-66. 180

錄 A 1-1 1996-1999 1996 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 1 39,351-1.23% 1.76% -1.37% 0.06% -3.37% 37,719-4.15% 2 11,850 2.60% -4.29% -7.07% 8.99% -22.58% 9,202-22.35% 3 5,364 1.10% 1.28% -0.15% -5.51% -20.58% 4,084-23.86% 4 11,847 1.89% -6.44% 5.09% 5.83% -17.83% 10,490-11.45% 5 54,777 7.80% -0.01% -0.33% -2.37% -1.45% 56,771 3.64% 6 28,483 13.73% 0.07% -4.24% -2.43% 3.58% 31,534 10.71% 7 35,051 3.81% 3.99% -0.08% -3.24% 4.46% 38,188 8.95% 8 猪 121,317 5.51% 0.65% -18.51% -2.69% -14.31% 85,722-29.34% 9 64,521 7.42% -1.18% -6.29% 2.83% 10.16% 72,871 12.94% 10 40,690 3.61% 0.10% -3.77% 0.36% 5.45% 43,030 5.75% 11 林 3,658 1.89% 0.51% -4.70% 7.22% -23.77% 2,969-18.84% 12 101,020-3.25% -0.13% 2.01% -6.36% -0.64% 92,574-8.36% 13 341 6.87% 1.21% 6.10% -32.92% -7.06% 253-25.81% 14 13,374 7.69% 0.15% 5.05% -13.67% 1.81% 13,513 1.04% 15 金 9,640 1.79% 5.16% 14.17% -2.38% 21.09% 13,479 39.82% 16 2,332 2.52% 5.20% 3.49% -17.36% -9.66% 1,963-15.82% 17 金 42,852 2.30% 5.10% 2.14% 2.00% 5.88% 50,318 17.42% 18 129,214 5.45% 0.03% -13.18% -1.48% -1.60% 115,278-10.79% 19 33,154 12.05% -0.32% -5.72% -6.85% 0.83% 33,152-0.01% 20 13,608 8.50% 0.85% -3.52% 3.83% -7.72% 13,872 1.94% 21 51,818-1.26% -0.06% -1.04% 0.08% -0.26% 50,501-2.54% 22 糖 10,880 0.95% 0.61% -0.10% -5.60% -15.30% 8,766-19.43% 23 飼料 79,838 5.03% -0.58% -12.68% -1.87% -18.18% 57,268-28.27% 24 9,058-0.69% 2.43% -1.66% -4.23% -0.08% 8,674-4.24% 25 冷 73,337 6.81% -1.31% -38.48% -6.98% -0.05% 43,991-40.02% 26 精 5,553 2.26% 2.23% 4.20% -11.60% 2.39% 5,524-0.52% 27 7,557 15.21% 2.79% 5.68% -4.25% -3.59% 8,754 15.84% 28 22,008 3.56% 0.76% -0.44% 7.32% -1.91% 24,054 9.30% 29 糖 24,158 9.28% 0.59% 2.79% 0.27% 0.07% 27,296 12.99% 30 65,490 6.18% 0.68% -2.30% -1.04% -1.63% 66,734 1.90% 31 精料 50,667 4.45% 0.21% 1.17% -2.75% 0.07% 52,262 3.15% 32 46,292 0.07% -2.48% -0.04% -0.96% -0.28% 44,584-3.69% 33 29,495 4.13% -0.90% -0.25% -15.57% 1.35% 26,179-11.24% 34 76,715 0.05% 0.22% 13.84% 3.42% -4.30% 86,854 13.22% 35 15,181-2.76% -9.93% -4.78% 3.83% -6.48% 12,127-20.12% 36 200,878-0.08% 0.41% 5.39% 1.22% 0.43% 215,690 7.37% 37 70,290-0.67% -0.42% 23.27% -0.76% 6.53% 89,941 27.96% 38 42,812 1.54% 0.62% 4.69% 0.39% 1.31% 46,472 8.55% 39 理 28,184-0.66% 0.18% 8.77% 0.20% -5.12% 29,133 3.37% 40 65,428-2.13% 0.07% 6.12% -2.93% -0.46% 65,866 0.67% 41 45,944-7.56% -0.01% 22.61% -10.84% -0.01% 47,869 4.19% 42 65,761 0.67% -0.02% 2.58% -1.38% -0.25% 66,813 1.60% 43 32,178-0.40% 2.14% 0.98% 1.16% 0.52% 33,595 4.40% 44 13,422-10.55% -0.19% -21.20% -2.70% -0.05% 8,766-34.69% 45 5,402 0.47% -0.06% 4.63% -3.45% -7.23% 5,097-5.65% 46 7,273 1.51% -0.33% -4.58% -16.60% -14.39% 4,772-34.39% 47 12,812 2.21% -3.08% -16.69% 8.13% -12.03% 10,063-21.46% 48 23,082 2.81% 0.77% -1.77% 1.86% -12.68% 21,001-9.02% 181

1996 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 49 金 38,419 0.16% 1.37% 12.33% -1.93% 0.23% 43,089 12.16% 50 88,509 7.62% -0.30% 1.83% -1.95% -9.31% 86,643-2.11% 51 70,271 7.68% 1.89% 6.60% 0.82% -5.88% 78,081 11.11% 52 67,949 16.09% 1.75% 6.07% 1.80% -0.26% 85,248 25.46% 53 68,172 7.82% 0.14% 1.63% 1.12% -3.34% 73,191 7.36% 54 料 42,675 3.28% 0.68% 12.70% 2.68% 2.85% 52,144 22.19% 55 料 158,634 1.91% 1.27% 6.55% 0.47% -7.13% 163,499 3.07% 56 料 8,909 5.08% -3.38% -2.40% 2.24% -9.23% 8,224-7.69% 57 113,850 0.15% 0.29% 4.23% 1.39% -6.43% 113,430-0.37% 58 8,684 0.43% -18.14% 9.10% -4.22% -4.77% 7,156-17.60% 59 ( ) 218,223 2.18% 2.45% 9.54% -4.60% -6.89% 224,059 2.67% 60 料 23,442 2.17% 5.66% 29.72% 8.08% -16.39% 30,296 29.24% 61 料 46,274 2.07% -1.19% 11.29% -4.61% 9.89% 54,347 17.45% 62 療 43,354 13.42% 1.55% 1.17% -5.36% 5.79% 50,535 16.56% 63 8,544 10.76% 2.78% 12.10% -2.56% -0.47% 10,476 22.61% 64 29,735 21.91% 0.09% 1.02% 12.81% 1.87% 40,944 37.70% 65 40,672 2.45% 1.32% 10.64% 3.34% 3.29% 49,225 21.03% 66 煉 241,544 7.99% 2.51% 5.09% 0.16% 1.00% 282,002 16.75% 67 21,509 2.56% 2.91% 10.17% 0.28% 0.80% 25,106 16.72% 68 70,763 1.52% 1.79% 10.15% -2.83% -10.89% 70,587-0.25% 69 21,397-4.27% 0.65% -29.57% -1.21% -0.48% 13,935-34.87% 70 322,401 4.79% 2.11% 4.30% -2.33% -7.61% 326,465 1.26% 71 36,055 5.86% 0.66% -2.45% -4.12% -13.02% 31,340-13.08% 72 48,861 0.05% -0.40% 20.11% -15.83% 5.34% 53,390 9.27% 73 泥 44,788 2.42% 1.43% -0.33% 1.84% -13.58% 41,102-8.23% 74 泥 72,439 2.26% 3.29% 0.24% -0.08% -5.77% 72,394-0.06% 75 金 40,000 2.22% 0.23% 9.01% -5.99% -3.02% 40,982 2.46% 76 111,098 1.67% 2.50% 14.68% -2.30% -5.07% 123,862 11.49% 77 432,162 1.69% 2.86% 15.74% 5.08% -5.38% 518,601 20.00% 78 50,886 2.47% 1.60% 17.09% -12.90% -12.58% 48,686-4.32% 79 金 60,207 1.82% 1.59% -6.22% 10.70% -6.76% 60,888 1.13% 80 金 41,322-1.59% 1.19% 13.51% 0.38% 2.05% 47,746 15.55% 81 金 38,819 1.62% 0.96% 22.70% 1.33% 3.02% 50,324 29.64% 82 188,641 1.79% 2.75% 11.37% -3.92% -8.75% 194,765 3.25% 83 40,947 4.28% -0.01% 5.65% 0.96% 4.59% 47,281 15.47% 84 金 62,009 2.21% 3.32% 16.12% -5.52% -4.95% 68,941 11.18% 85 金理 28,128 3.14% 5.85% 10.70% -3.67% 28.51% 40,653 44.53% 86 81,079 0.87% 5.67% 7.08% -3.78% 1.40% 90,196 11.24% 87 金 72,110 0.22% 4.62% -1.81% -5.59% 0.24% 70,439-2.32% 88 144,476 0.11% 25.45% -2.43% -8.00% 0.52% 167,096 15.66% 89 61,942 0.73% 3.17% -2.91% -4.86% -0.31% 59,361-4.17% 90 零 87,754 1.17% -0.63% 11.39% -5.86% 2.84% 95,576 8.91% 91 106,990 5.12% -6.99% 1.12% 1.18% -2.40% 104,880-1.97% 92 31,313 6.71% 0.12% -13.80% 0.89% 2.93% 30,325-3.16% 93 84,814 1.25% 11.10% -5.29% 8.97% 1.02% 99,281 17.06% 94 111,156 4.52% 2.58% 8.14% -5.11% -15.43% 105,265-5.30% 95 79,655 3.74% 2.78% -3.11% 2.62% 17.90% 98,711 23.92% 96 247,340 11.10% 6.56% 73.26% -1.08% -20.72% 418,339 69.14% 97 225,675 3.19% 9.53% -30.12% -5.75% 5.10% 184,909-18.06% 98 料 10,351 6.37% 15.31% 244.46% 58.67% 44.47% 48,576 369.29% 99 121,101 1.99% 5.25% 110.49% -0.64% -12.76% 247,454 104.34% 100 100,800 4.19% 5.03% -7.45% 2.08% -3.47% 101,182 0.38% 182

1996 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 101 79,011 28.48% 47.47% 47.17% -44.57% 2.30% 142,892 80.85% 102 45,018 1.03% 2.79% 37.06% 9.17% -7.83% 64,028 42.23% 103 257,616 0.32% 0.70% 67.25% 32.07% 3.26% 524,485 103.59% 104 料 34,229 4.35% 5.09% 120.33% -39.15% 43.96% 80,296 134.58% 105 零 300,954 1.59% 3.29% 45.61% -11.43% 3.55% 429,211 42.62% 106 32,569 1.86% -7.31% 36.80% -22.99% 2.50% 36,109 10.87% 107 車 282,689 5.12% -7.66% 6.29% 7.19% -0.64% 311,826 10.31% 108 車 88,473-6.52% -1.97% -4.40% 0.09% -0.01% 77,147-12.80% 109 行車 67,624-0.35% -0.32% 15.97% -2.66% -1.81% 74,948 10.83% 110 29,367 6.30% 31.33% 4.81% 3.27% 3.14% 43,715 48.86% 111 精 60,856 1.22% 8.42% 9.77% -1.99% -0.14% 71,366 17.27% 112 樂 106,048 5.58% 4.00% -10.99% -0.92% -1.98% 101,475-4.31% 113 54,905 3.52% -0.32% -12.75% 3.15% -1.52% 50,558-7.92% 114 力 308,627 10.00% 1.30% 6.16% -0.23% -8.53% 335,484 8.70% 115 25,049 6.12% 0.29% 1.42% -1.00% -3.90% 25,785 2.94% 116 來 32,605 3.49% 0.95% 3.51% -0.16% -15.83% 29,982-8.04% 117 宅 258,235 4.08% -22.04% 0.51% -0.07% -5.26% 199,438-22.77% 118 235,980 1.01% 17.17% 0.74% 0.25% -1.17% 278,471 18.01% 119 234,849 0.36% 17.34% 0.15% 0.01% -0.36% 275,925 17.49% 120 284,381 4.28% -1.35% 0.16% 0.08% -3.85% 282,430-0.69% 121 434,634 13.13% 5.68% 0.68% -0.37% 2.59% 528,987 21.71% 122 零 709,163 21.03% 2.80% 2.13% -0.13% 0.93% 898,861 26.75% 123 易 417,221 4.67% 4.95% 27.50% -0.41% -20.52% 484,786 16.19% 124 173,141 27.33% 0.25% 3.43% 5.41% -0.70% 234,987 35.72% 125 路 17,305 21.57% 0.95% 8.85% 0.76% -5.29% 21,950 26.84% 126 陸 260,414 5.52% 2.30% 6.47% 0.64% -1.12% 296,372 13.81% 127 139,361 0.10% 0.06% 9.32% -2.36% -0.06% 149,200 7.06% 128 121,231 19.19% 0.23% 6.11% -0.68% 0.50% 151,950 25.34% 129 100,241 5.40% 1.75% 12.76% -0.72% 4.93% 124,412 24.11% 130 旅行 18,350 7.05% 0.54% 2.08% -1.80% -0.30% 19,736 7.55% 131 23,896 7.71% 3.90% 10.70% -0.26% 4.49% 30,237 26.54% 132 21,516 14.87% 2.19% 7.07% -0.29% -7.47% 25,040 16.38% 133 163,326 48.58% 1.27% 2.07% 5.48% -0.34% 256,514 57.06% 134 金 485,361 13.66% 2.50% 8.32% 0.74% 0.03% 607,966 25.26% 135 109,541 74.67% 0.60% 4.80% 0.62% 8.52% 207,268 89.21% 136 170,756 66.83% 0.59% 4.40% 6.87% -8.69% 290,291 70.00% 137 宅 793,764 16.06% 0.00% 0.02% -0.04% 0.00% 921,081 16.04% 138 旅館 42,027-2.14% 0.22% 22.91% -3.88% -0.60% 48,961 16.50% 139 不 217,122 13.95% 4.09% 5.08% 0.14% -13.27% 238,814 9.99% 140 律 25,421 6.68% 1.61% 13.44% 6.56% 11.20% 35,462 39.50% 141 72,134 5.41% 2.64% 10.30% -1.26% 9.21% 91,107 26.30% 142 40,995 12.06% 1.48% 24.28% -19.08% 6.64% 51,396 25.37% 143 133,163 13.33% 2.79% 9.11% 2.72% 9.17% 182,601 37.13% 144 42,342 12.23% 2.16% 6.89% 10.15% 7.34% 58,762 38.78% 145 86,483 9.72% 1.82% 9.25% 14.65% 8.69% 124,649 44.13% 146 行 852,936 14.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 973,200 14.10% 147 34,614 29.35% 2.06% 6.68% -0.10% 4.08% 49,176 42.07% 148 練 350,141 30.35% 0.07% 0.47% 0.26% 0.23% 459,993 31.37% 149 22,566 11.53% 3.18% 16.94% 1.82% -27.59% 23,895 5.89% 150 療 246,376 26.59% 0.34% 0.97% 0.03% 0.50% 316,425 28.43% 151 福利 45,224-34.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -0.15% 29,728-34.26% 152 35,634 18.09% 1.43% 6.64% 0.29% 2.48% 45,943 28.93% 183

1996 來 1999 ( ( ) ) 153 24,929 6.06% 0.00% 0.11% -0.29% 0.00% 26,397 5.89% 154 56,020 17.20% 1.90% 7.82% 2.61% 14.39% 80,625 43.92% 155 樂 76,706 26.70% 0.13% 2.60% -1.01% 0.32% 98,761 28.75% 156 車 68,371 20.98% 1.51% 4.10% 0.27% 3.56% 89,171 30.42% 157 理 29,884 27.27% 0.62% 2.09% -0.74% 5.58% 40,287 34.81% 158 53,164 20.77% 0.00% 0.10% -0.09% 0.00% 64,208 20.77% 159 133,630 26.16% 0.80% 1.85% -0.16% 2.03% 174,627 30.68% 160 類不 118,276 18.35% 3.15% 8.43% 3.84% -18.49% 136,346 15.28% 料來行 79-88 年聯理 184

A 1-2 1981-1999 1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 1 2.09% -0.87% -0.43% 1.28% 0.43% 0.66% -1.39% 2 0.36% 0.58% 0.96% 1.18% 2.86% 1.20% -7.16% 3-18.92% 3.33% -5.61% 2.95% -1.10% 2.21% -0.43% 4 16.00% 7.99% 2.90% 1.96% 1.59% 4.74% 5.34% 5 6.88% 2.05% -4.48% 1.92% -0.57% 0.08% -1.06% 6 猪 10.71% 9.33% -2.05% 3.08% 1.84% 2.15% -18.70% 7 6.31% 2.88% 0.18% -0.48% 3.17% 1.37% -6.40% 8 2.49% 0.86% -1.41% 1.50% 1.34% 1.00% -3.73% 9 林 14.52% 7.56% -0.67% -1.96% -4.35% 2.50% -4.37% 10 6.90% 16.24% -8.66% -1.75% 20.78% 0.05% 2.04% 11 13.27% 12.76% 8.55% 4.91% 8.76% 12.91% 6.17% 12 15.98% 2.35% 5.44% 6.89% 11.22% 13.43% 5.16% 13 金 35.36% 12.60% 23.56% 5.02% 14.51% 19.58% 14.49% 14 18.99% 8.35% 7.71% 8.04% 7.02% 6.79% 2.47% 15 金 11.42% 5.08% 4.99% 2.02% 1.83% 4.40% 2.05% 16 8.01% 3.95% 2.76% -1.70% 5.60% 2.93% -13.45% 17 7.10% 4.51% 0.24% 1.08% 2.95% 3.18% -5.90% 18 3.15% 4.15% 1.23% 3.46% 0.11% 0.86% -3.55% 19 1.86% -1.11% -0.58% 0.67% 0.53% 0.48% -1.06% 20 糖 -19.37% 3.43% -5.80% 2.92% -1.43% 1.92% -0.39% 21 飼料 9.09% 7.59% 2.08% 0.33% 3.29% 1.89% -12.82% 22-3.82% -6.61% -49.73% -18.34% -18.84% -2.37% -1.66% 23 冷 84.31% 83.14% -24.36% 29.64% -9.48% 0.30% -38.48% 24 精 17.13% 18.92% -1.32% 25.26% -13.33% 8.41% 4.22% 25 2.44% 3.93% 0.26% -0.59% 0.14% -1.43% -0.42% 26 精料 -3.28% 0.04% 1.35% 1.50% 2.78% -1.69% 1.17% 27-0.19% 1.61% 0.35% -0.23% 0.49% -0.45% -0.04% 28-0.73% 0.21% 0.64% 0.37% 1.09% -1.57% -0.25% 29 25.23% 10.01% -0.31% -1.82% -0.15% 6.14% 13.39% 30 29.82% 11.76% -6.74% 1.80% 1.65% 4.36% -4.17% 31 29.16% 27.65% 9.59% 0.15% 6.40% 29.75% 5.32% 32 23.77% 13.43% -20.38% -14.92% -17.59% -11.94% 22.60% 33 理 33.38% 16.40% 0.45% 0.33% 2.00% 15.38% 8.18% 34 45.60% -11.49% 59.35% 266.70% 29.05% 4.45% 16.14% 35 43.64% -1.32% -19.20% -3.90% -17.57% -13.70% 6.12% 36 39.31% 30.28% 30.48% -1.12% -14.13% 27.54% 2.63% 37 65.44% 14.55% 15.82% -11.95% -15.88% 0.05% -4.15% 38 15.23% 18.20% -1.63% -2.35% -0.81% 1.23% -4.34% 39-9.64% -5.56% -15.83% -12.70% -2.01% 0.05% -15.63% 40 17.50% 26.02% -2.50% -11.38% -12.70% -3.65% -1.32% 41 金 55.47% 46.59% -8.81% -2.68% -8.70% -4.87% 12.31% 42 7.68% 17.58% 10.98% 12.86% 5.75% 12.91% 2.32% 43 25.29% 14.51% 10.40% 13.96% 13.67% 13.90% 7.98% 44 4.29% 11.59% 3.98% 8.55% 5.68% 8.78% 3.97% 45 料 29.82% 21.94% 12.83% 17.15% 27.78% 18.40% 6.40% 46 料 34.22% 10.30% 14.33% 13.69% 19.25% 26.85% 12.44% 185

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 47 料 8.66% 3.57% 1.21% 1.36% 2.96% 1.39% -2.38% 48 25.38% 18.75% 11.34% 18.21% 20.27% -6.48% 4.06% 49 29.56% 29.30% 16.36% -7.39% 9.72% 13.88% 9.02% 50 ( ) 34.43% 24.44% 18.18% 17.09% 21.88% 17.69% 9.41% 51 料 6.98% 15.72% 7.09% 17.90% 36.75% 56.80% 25.79% 52 療 1.29% 3.52% 0.69% 3.31% 1.75% 2.33% 1.17% 53 21.44% 14.47% 10.36% 13.43% 16.59% 17.72% 8.97% 54 煉 15.50% 1.92% 5.42% 7.38% 11.73% 14.65% 5.16% 55 31.16% 12.43% 14.86% 1.70% 11.98% 17.02% 10.29% 56 19.06% -6.51% 4.50% 3.88% 11.52% 12.12% 11.20% 57 37.84% 22.12% 2.93% 11.01% -0.47% 12.60% 3.20% 58 71.64% 8.49% 7.79% -7.40% -13.46% -5.79% -2.72% 59 34.15% 11.33% 18.02% 12.73% 17.24% 11.02% 21.55% 60 泥 6.80% -1.56% -4.15% -1.62% -0.54% 4.45% -0.32% 61 泥 1.11% 0.53% 1.14% 0.06% 0.40% 1.10% 0.25% 62 金 8.09% 14.26% 8.76% 8.98% 5.75% 12.66% 9.07% 63 26.29% 11.36% 20.12% 0.94% 14.23% 18.02% 15.02% 64 26.45% 10.68% 13.52% 7.45% 14.95% 18.10% 16.12% 65 金 39.33% 21.47% 39.62% 20.86% 28.03% 23.94% 0.74% 66 41.50% 20.32% 13.02% -12.58% 19.77% 18.69% 12.17% 67 34.56% 7.29% 5.74% 8.22% 7.53% 6.95% 5.75% 68 金 38.96% 30.69% 23.61% 75.51% 20.54% 15.01% 16.35% 69-4.70% 14.53% 49.65% -27.11% 17.57% 21.11% 7.00% 70 16.85% 22.91% 34.18% 49.09% 19.41% 21.70% -2.09% 71 63.59% 13.46% 36.15% 7.59% 28.20% 10.04% -2.90% 72 零 6.93% 25.23% 14.30% 16.44% 19.44% 19.68% 11.40% 73 55.48% 7.59% 23.61% 3.96% -3.29% -1.37% -2.10% 74 32.64% 17.33% 44.00% -3.76% 23.09% 20.09% 1.08% 75 50.25% 25.06% 38.26% 22.50% 39.53% 47.17% 50.02% 76-12.70% 16.42% 22.69% -12.62% 18.67% -11.67% 36.80% 77 車車 9.77% 11.26% 8.97% 6.85% 7.58% 7.02% 3.82% 78 65.57% 26.31% 3.61% 36.19% 10.30% -0.56% 11.62% 79 精 31.22% 22.41% 35.42% 14.73% -2.30% 6.37% 9.81% 80 48.68% 26.88% -14.98% 6.01% -3.79% 4.62% -11.57% 81 力 17.71% 11.50% 6.79% 6.58% 7.96% 9.08% 6.26% 82 3.90% 2.71% 1.86% 0.47% 2.98% 1.45% 1.50% 83 來 4.64% 3.24% 2.40% 3.02% 4.93% 4.28% 3.49% 84 1.03% 0.70% 0.54% 0.32% 0.35% 1.11% 0.64% 85 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.14% 0.13% 0.15% 86 0.55% 0.41% 0.30% 0.46% 0.41% 0.35% 0.18% 87 9.04% 0.26% 3.55% 5.08% 4.89% 13.17% 0.91% 88 零 4.49% 1.64% 2.77% 1.82% 3.64% 13.35% 2.35% 89 易 12.88% 25.07% 11.13% 15.91% 12.83% -2.39% 27.58% 90 4.60% 14.40% 3.97% -0.43% 11.94% 1.37% 3.49% 91 旅館 16.44% 12.81% 8.92% 8.87% 33.72% 24.22% 22.96% 92 路 8.61% 7.98% 5.05% 6.93% 6.17% 6.63% 9.10% 93 陸 6.85% 7.37% 4.55% 9.11% 5.62% 11.78% 6.56% 186

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 94 22.04% 87.70% 19.51% 54.87% 33.00% 19.13% 9.32% 95 19.53% 11.58% 8.80% -3.57% 39.39% 14.37% 6.13% 96 19.38% 3.61% 12.79% 52.75% 14.79% 25.98% 11.32% 97 17.15% 17.39% 7.41% 11.77% 10.80% 11.76% 12.24% 98 13.39% 8.09% 3.64% 11.41% 6.25% 8.33% 2.85% 99 金 15.20% 11.12% 8.17% 4.44% 7.99% 9.32% 7.72% 100 5.11% 10.98% 2.52% 4.76% 9.66% 2.52% 4.43% 101 宅 3.47% 0.28% 0.07% 0.23% 0.22% -0.08% 0.02% 102 13.71% 6.04% 14.68% 3.69% 6.06% 14.69% 7.34% 103-32.37% 13.90% 7.67% 143.31% 2.70% 22.03% 24.44% 104-9.53% 12.14% 7.62% 26.56% 7.72% 14.62% 10.12% 105 7.45% 13.05% 6.62% 19.78% 9.41% 10.55% 7.00% 106 行 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 107 1.76% 1.21% 3.24% 2.51% 8.07% 8.46% 6.96% 108 練 0.01% 0.88% 0.28% 0.20% 0.61% 0.10% 0.49% 109-3.18% -3.30% 6.12% 6.24% 6.42% 7.60% 8.49% 110 1.56% 1.34% 10.76% 1.69% 3.29% 4.92% 15.77% 111 療 1.95% 1.82% 0.64% 0.67% 1.58% 0.43% 1.02% 112 福利 16.21% 13.25% 4.06% 0.00% 0.31% 0.18% 0.00% 113 16.21% 13.11% 5.44% 5.79% 8.95% 8.90% 6.77% 114 16.22% 13.12% 2.84% 3.16% 1.26% -0.48% 0.11% 115 樂 -3.17% 10.63% 7.33% -3.52% 5.44% 6.31% 2.63% 116 理 4.73% 4.70% 3.11% 3.58% 3.68% 4.35% 3.60% 117 4.75% 3.29% 3.02% 0.73% 0.65% 0.03% 0.10% 118 2.42% 1.14% 1.34% 1.30% 2.34% 2.26% 1.93% 119 類不 13.72% 7.23% 9.68% 5.15% 13.10% 16.38% 9.37% 料來行 79-88 年聯理 187

A 1-3 1981-1999 1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 1 0.02% 1.62% -1.77% 1.21% -0.78% -0.83% 0.06% 2 7.26% 28.70% 9.10% -3.16% -10.65% -28.31% 8.98% 3-0.71% -3.22% 2.12% -11.28% 4.25% -12.30% -5.51% 4-8.53% 7.65% -10.45% -1.13% 38.90% -31.24% 6.25% 5 3.35% -0.62% -1.36% -0.07% -2.60% 0.87% -2.46% 6 猪 -5.41% -2.43% 2.21% 1.78% 2.06% -0.20% -2.70% 7-2.67% -3.54% 0.65% 1.00% 2.17% -1.38% 2.12% 8 0.30% 2.00% -0.77% 0.15% 0.05% -4.07% 0.26% 9 林 -17.50% 11.50% -15.89% -27.99% -27.70% 2.62% 7.06% 10 0.82% 1.34% -1.05% 0.84% -2.68% 2.55% -6.34% 11-27.41% -27.70% -67.67% -61.87% -30.41% -84.30% -33.37% 12-12.93% 38.27% 10.76% -19.81% 34.12% -71.45% -13.87% 13 金 46.81% -7.21% -21.81% 37.16% -13.55% -7.02% -3.26% 14-1.96% -9.08% -5.20% -8.92% 6.26% 3.63% -16.71% 15 金 3.81% 2.17% -8.72% 0.32% -9.64% 1.97% 1.68% 16-6.33% -3.52% 2.19% 1.08% -0.11% 0.32% -1.50% 17-3.80% -6.10% 0.11% -2.18% -4.10% 0.25% -6.96% 18-3.57% 1.33% -6.68% -34.04% 8.05% -6.18% 4.38% 19 0.27% 0.64% -1.45% 1.42% -0.69% -0.77% 0.08% 20 糖 -0.71% -3.67% 2.28% -11.50% 5.34% -11.17% -5.58% 21 飼料 -5.68% -2.18% -0.49% -1.42% 3.15% 0.97% -2.08% 22-1.01% -0.77% 1.33% -0.22% 4.37% -5.86% -4.22% 23 冷 4.56% 3.48% 2.87% 6.76% 10.11% -1.29% -6.98% 24 精 -0.19% 0.84% -1.80% -1.39% -1.40% -2.08% -11.54% 25-0.33% -0.97% -5.94% -1.82% -3.96% -0.27% 0.77% 26 精料 2.09% 0.60% -2.51% 0.08% -2.38% 1.54% -2.75% 27 7.59% 2.26% -8.17% -2.10% -16.31% -5.21% -0.96% 28 1.12% 0.03% -13.65% 3.26% -13.35% -6.71% -15.57% 29 1.45% 0.35% -7.99% -6.32% -4.38% -4.39% 3.63% 30-13.73% -1.89% -11.33% -3.03% -6.71% -6.12% 3.78% 31 2.63% -2.14% -2.37% -5.77% -2.39% -2.37% 1.29% 32 0.38% -0.02% -2.98% -0.16% -6.63% -6.01% -10.84% 33 理 1.26% -0.71% -3.76% -4.83% -3.72% -2.71% 0.38% 34-0.59% 16.50% -4.00% 6.78% -3.88% -1.59% 0.59% 35 0.10% 0.07% -2.76% -2.32% -6.96% -1.91% -2.94% 36-2.60% 1.74% -2.95% -2.19% -0.96% 1.80% -1.39% 37 5.89% 3.88% -8.88% -1.61% -12.95% -10.29% -0.44% 38-18.93% -13.85% -12.17% -22.85% -66.95% -5.40% -16.87% 39-10.26% 2.34% -9.86% 3.09% -43.70% 0.21% 7.91% 40-1.10% 1.77% -3.33% -3.07% -5.91% -1.30% 1.50% 41 金 -0.28% -0.21% -3.31% -1.66% -5.80% -1.44% -1.97% 42-2.85% 1.05% -16.39% -4.11% -14.71% -4.63% -2.06% 43 0.99% -2.17% -6.57% -11.56% -14.46% 2.58% 0.32% 44 10.09% 1.26% -1.82% -3.44% -2.51% -3.10% 1.55% 45 料 -5.74% -13.01% -24.20% -20.48% -9.25% -0.14% 0.18% 46 料 6.39% -11.77% -25.82% -14.93% -8.59% -7.54% 1.08% 188

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 47 料 10.71% 10.61% -2.43% -7.07% 1.12% -13.68% 2.29% 48 1.94% -2.31% 1.97% -4.19% -5.83% 1.40% 1.54% 49 3.33% -18.26% 16.67% 3.08% -12.86% 0.69% -3.99% 50 ( ) 6.15% -2.36% -8.57% -8.85% -7.74% 2.76% -4.60% 51 料 -12.88% -25.41% -37.15% -5.04% 14.79% -7.80% 0.78% 52 療 2.25% -0.01% 17.06% -10.33% -7.21% -10.50% -5.39% 53 2.21% -5.29% -3.33% -8.46% -14.31% -9.87% 1.68% 54 煉 2.65% -5.03% -9.72% -9.85% -6.31% 6.56% 0.00% 55 16.10% -8.33% -14.22% 18.38% -13.75% 3.55% -0.26% 56 2.60% -0.13% -9.56% -2.91% -11.56% 3.94% -3.19% 57 0.33% 0.04% -3.14% -2.44% -4.44% -0.27% -2.33% 58-5.75% 4.55% -1.89% 3.34% -9.97% 2.98% -4.67% 59-3.80% 9.52% -18.74% -10.03% -7.07% 16.75% -15.69% 60 泥 0.47% -0.20% -2.31% -2.79% -11.86% 3.21% 1.74% 61 泥 0.09% -0.21% -0.64% -1.03% -0.20% -0.84% -0.17% 62 金 5.10% 2.93% -17.61% 3.41% -8.33% -0.19% -5.76% 63 21.85% -8.07% -22.98% 15.62% -13.96% 1.62% -3.16% 64 35.93% -3.27% -16.32% 23.19% -23.74% 2.38% 4.30% 65 金 -11.41% 12.15% -47.58% 3.77% -27.96% -6.72% -0.09% 66 2.01% -0.49% -6.25% 4.65% -8.70% 1.71% -3.95% 67 1.70% 0.56% 2.19% -2.46% -1.13% -0.74% 0.73% 68 金 2.99% 4.85% -7.08% -9.00% -6.50% 4.58% -1.21% 69 34.08% 11.91% -42.05% 15.40% -0.04% -1.33% -3.96% 70 10.40% -8.36% -6.24% 22.26% -4.44% -8.71% -8.96% 71-16.12% 18.33% -4.86% -5.38% -4.75% 13.30% -4.88% 72 零 15.83% -6.69% -3.50% 5.97% -11.72% 1.21% -6.40% 73-0.09% 2.61% -12.99% -2.14% 0.46% 4.92% 0.44% 74 0.72% 14.73% -17.76% 11.62% -10.86% 1.06% -6.07% 75-2.39% -3.97% -5.86% -1.40% -13.84% 16.00% -3.14% 76-1.76% 3.67% -37.51% 33.00% -10.27% 7.80% -22.99% 77 車車 2.63% -6.39% -19.90% 6.08% -9.65% 8.25% 4.85% 78 22.94% -0.44% -9.03% -12.26% -6.88% 5.53% -3.56% 79 精 11.94% 14.18% -6.85% -6.73% -0.35% -12.98% -1.99% 80-0.82% -0.13% -4.92% -4.10% -2.00% -3.87% 0.77% 81 力 2.86% -1.31% -6.38% 0.72% -6.86% -0.33% -0.72% 82 0.08% 2.00% -1.99% 1.24% -2.96% 1.42% -1.04% 83 來 0.67% -0.67% -1.93% 0.11% -2.46% -1.33% -0.41% 84 0.25% -0.40% -0.20% 0.50% -0.15% -1.47% -0.10% 85 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% -0.13% -0.13% 0.01% 86 0.04% -0.01% -0.16% 0.07% -0.10% -0.08% 0.05% 87 0.41% -0.08% -3.08% 1.91% -4.25% 0.43% -0.54% 88 零 0.20% -0.11% -1.51% 0.59% -2.70% 0.41% -0.25% 89 易 1.24% -0.32% -3.14% 0.65% -3.21% 0.44% -0.62% 90 0.34% 31.80% -5.30% 2.14% -10.91% 13.63% 5.39% 91 旅館 5.98% -22.76% -16.58% -20.98% 26.37% -32.25% -3.89% 92 路 1.53% -1.78% -2.76% -8.92% -5.86% -7.92% 0.64% 93 陸 0.92% 0.51% -1.59% -3.88% -4.83% -0.26% 0.42% 189

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 94 0.79% -14.22% -0.87% -12.55% 3.03% 0.22% -2.36% 95-0.27% -8.96% 12.63% -0.11% 9.66% 8.91% -0.69% 96-9.84% 11.33% -5.64% 7.68% -4.13% 2.54% -1.04% 97 1.09% -1.23% -3.72% 0.45% -4.81% 1.07% -0.59% 98 1.88% -0.36% 3.31% -5.18% -0.40% -0.85% 4.39% 99 金 0.47% -1.80% -3.64% 1.66% -6.57% -1.13% -0.06% 100-1.62% -11.96% 17.45% -6.00% 14.85% -2.77% 6.79% 101 宅 7.16% -1.62% 0.74% 0.14% 0.41% -0.22% -0.04% 102-22.61% -10.58% -12.13% 76.03% -5.04% 0.99% -2.47% 103 108.88% -1.23% -3.71% -231.63% 32.36% 2.74% -19.44% 104 45.16% -5.55% -1.60% -24.96% -1.66% -4.79% 6.63% 105 7.52% -0.71% -3.84% -22.21% -6.36% -21.16% 9.90% 106 行 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 107-0.24% 0.02% -3.58% 0.98% -3.67% -0.03% -0.42% 108 練 1.71% -1.43% 1.46% 1.71% 1.32% -1.83% 0.24% 109 8.54% -3.65% 2.78% -12.71% 4.40% -2.36% 4.96% 110-0.30% 1.76% -4.66% 0.37% -1.92% 0.94% -1.19% 111 療 0.28% -0.09% -0.31% -0.11% -0.44% -0.12% 0.00% 112 福利 2.93% -1.96% -1.80% 0.00% -0.09% -0.18% 0.00% 113 2.82% -2.02% -2.38% -1.09% -3.08% 0.71% -0.18% 114 2.69% -2.07% -0.99% -0.88% -0.12% -0.25% -0.29% 115 樂 12.44% 1.81% 1.31% -36.76% 13.63% -1.88% -0.95% 116 理 0.48% -0.11% -1.88% -0.05% -3.08% -0.36% -0.20% 117 0.50% -0.07% -1.67% 0.14% -0.10% -0.45% -0.09% 118 0.19% 0.17% -1.08% 0.17% -0.96% -0.15% -0.23% 119 類不 -11.94% 48.66% -18.12% -6.71% -2.58% -14.90% 3.20% 料來行 79-88 年聯理 190

A 1-4 1981-1999 1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 1 5.87% -6.59% -6.52% -3.28% -9.56% 1.85% -3.33% 2-6.59% -18.12% -2.76% -11.73% -1.81% 11.57% -22.43% 3 5.60% -1.95% -8.55% -8.11% -21.29% -9.15% -20.31% 4-5.72% -13.42% -23.18% 24.37% -11.17% 9.08% -18.62% 5 0.79% -6.75% 0.78% -0.68% -1.14% -0.21% 1.36% 6 猪 -5.95% 4.53% 9.65% -10.79% 28.46% -1.97% -13.98% 7 8.52% 1.95% -1.41% 3.66% -1.35% 5.57% 10.72% 8 0.82% 0.13% 6.38% 33.23% 9.17% 2.43% 5.60% 9 林 -23.53% -11.59% -24.14% -12.36% 3.05% -14.18% -23.94% 10 3.04% -6.93% -0.11% -12.99% -2.86% -5.77% -0.70% 11 40.32% -3.80% -36.03% -25.92% -5.57% -5.38% -6.66% 12-41.48% -36.60% -27.86% 23.86% -35.51% 33.45% 1.98% 13 金 -31.12% -19.38% -5.77% -31.90% -31.22% 6.36% 21.52% 14-14.26% 0.50% -13.89% 2.60% -22.86% 3.68% -7.76% 15 金 -15.86% 0.35% -12.10% -9.44% -2.67% -6.01% 5.97% 16 2.93% -2.01% -5.17% 2.38% 1.42% 5.02% -1.13% 17 2.22% -1.63% 4.20% -17.99% 5.06% -6.54% 1.07% 18 1.12% 12.18% -3.11% 24.13% -21.48% 12.94% -7.97% 19 7.12% -3.14% -0.77% -2.20% -0.20% -1.30% -0.22% 20 糖 -8.17% 2.57% -7.36% -19.86% -7.98% -9.87% -15.02% 21 飼料 4.04% -13.38% -3.63% -10.87% -11.11% 13.24% -17.83% 22-0.53% 1.45% -2.41% -2.32% -0.59% -2.19% -0.09% 23 冷 0.30% -0.27% 1.06% -1.05% 0.40% -0.63% -0.05% 24 精 2.07% -1.66% -1.60% 1.33% -0.32% 0.19% 2.34% 25 4.64% -3.49% 0.58% -3.54% -0.61% 2.58% -1.42% 26 精料 2.90% -0.42% 2.55% -3.65% -0.32% 0.15% 0.07% 27 1.64% -2.39% -0.02% 0.08% -0.82% -0.21% -0.28% 28 4.54% -4.70% -0.01% -1.75% 0.61% 0.51% 1.35% 29-11.62% 7.97% -18.16% 8.32% -6.48% -5.90% -4.31% 30-22.13% 2.35% 3.95% -3.87% 0.18% -5.72% -7.05% 31 14.62% -4.26% 5.21% -17.29% -0.18% 3.88% 0.38% 32 0.23% 0.38% -0.25% -0.62% 0.24% -0.38% -0.01% 33 理 2.30% 15.76% -25.34% 42.19% 3.25% -6.24% -4.90% 34-5.85% 12.19% -0.17% 48.61% -1.04% -2.70% 3.37% 35-0.64% -0.37% 0.21% -1.31% 0.10% 0.21% -0.43% 36-2.21% -2.85% 2.27% -7.90% -1.20% 1.31% -0.36% 37 6.49% 3.99% -0.83% 6.24% -3.68% -3.34% -1.01% 38-23.98% -6.08% -17.08% 4.46% 8.35% -11.90% -14.44% 39 2.65% 16.23% 2.90% 1.72% 1.38% -23.41% -14.41% 40-5.55% -0.39% 0.42% -2.09% 0.92% -14.94% -12.70% 41 金 -1.39% 2.12% 2.35% 1.23% 1.13% -0.70% 0.31% 42-0.20% 2.15% -8.97% -7.13% -4.70% -13.09% -9.53% 43 0.73% 1.99% -3.53% 10.63% -6.08% -13.23% -6.44% 44-7.79% 16.15% 9.00% 1.41% 1.31% -1.41% -1.78% 45 料 -4.58% 1.98% 2.31% -4.88% -5.08% 10.03% -6.53% 46 料 -22.40% 17.25% -0.68% -12.68% -7.17% -3.63% 4.40% 191

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 47 料 -8.20% -6.88% -33.49% 1.60% -11.26% 11.33% -9.29% 48 8.55% -21.20% 3.36% -7.10% 0.17% -10.80% -6.49% 49-9.35% -31.84% 8.49% -9.63% -10.65% -16.66% -5.22% 50 ( ) 10.16% -9.42% 2.44% -3.28% 1.79% 13.22% -6.62% 51 料 91.45% -17.25% 25.30% -4.56% -30.53% 17.26% -6.50% 52 療 -0.79% -8.48% -7.79% -12.48% -7.66% -43.86% 5.84% 53-6.28% 0.59% -7.75% -4.21% 2.57% -9.04% 5.81% 54 煉 -17.38% -21.53% -26.65% -2.92% -23.44% 7.19% 1.17% 55 12.32% -10.50% -22.46% 22.44% -12.47% 10.26% 1.12% 56-4.99% 17.95% -7.76% 8.54% -2.66% -2.93% -11.89% 57 1.25% 3.66% 4.58% -6.01% -3.59% -8.93% -7.13% 58 6.71% 1.55% 1.22% 34.14% 27.21% -7.96% -12.14% 59-3.16% 11.14% 1.52% 5.51% -10.15% 13.92% 3.56% 60 泥 -15.57% -9.48% -18.10% -16.20% -20.13% -21.68% -14.20% 61 泥 -1.03% -6.59% -4.30% 53.02% 0.74% -8.79% -6.74% 62 金 -10.57% 3.67% -17.71% -23.94% 0.43% -22.39% -4.62% 63-33.57% -3.80% -33.10% -24.18% 0.88% -17.57% -4.66% 64 4.72% -2.99% -1.06% -15.20% 17.46% -13.09% -4.92% 65 金 -10.02% 11.54% 29.46% -15.52% 13.10% -16.07% -5.75% 66-10.97% 0.54% 0.95% -10.79% -8.82% 0.60% -8.72% 67-5.38% 4.61% -9.30% 5.25% 6.87% -4.78% 4.28% 68 金 -12.01% -5.80% 9.22% 7.07% 1.37% -8.88% 3.54% 69 1.93% -2.63% -0.89% 1.92% -0.86% 5.26% 1.69% 70-7.33% 7.81% -4.10% 1.50% -0.54% 0.12% 0.36% 71-8.30% 7.14% -2.87% -0.21% 0.91% 0.46% -0.27% 72 零 16.16% -2.60% -1.17% -10.28% -2.70% -4.11% 3.19% 73 6.98% 5.09% -5.67% -0.93% -0.78% 0.00% -1.05% 74 1.38% 10.96% -3.91% -0.06% -2.25% -10.10% 6.16% 75 8.65% 2.95% -4.79% 3.28% 0.42% 1.22% 3.28% 76 7.69% -8.00% 18.78% -0.48% -5.64% -2.07% 2.50% 77 車車 -1.18% 1.52% 5.12% -2.20% -1.21% -1.05% -0.31% 78 1.38% 12.34% -3.31% 6.42% 1.22% 4.52% -0.63% 79 精 -0.38% -0.09% 0.36% 0.93% -0.27% 0.03% -0.13% 80-2.68% 0.38% -1.31% -2.11% 0.98% -1.73% -1.76% 81 力 -11.87% -2.86% -9.83% 3.89% -4.82% -2.07% -7.92% 82 0.80% -1.72% -9.28% 13.33% -12.08% -0.07% -3.89% 83 來 19.18% 0.29% 0.27% -3.51% 10.60% -7.45% -15.41% 84-12.97% 8.13% -24.33% 1.86% -0.52% -1.09% -3.26% 85-0.05% 0.10% 0.03% 3.48% 0.02% 0.16% -0.36% 86-0.23% 1.67% 34.21% -1.89% -0.48% 0.50% -3.76% 87 5.38% 31.15% -1.52% 1.13% 9.34% -7.47% 2.71% 88 零 2.32% 5.11% -6.56% 21.74% 0.91% 6.06% 1.06% 89 易 10.55% -17.50% 2.57% -2.61% 5.40% 34.68% -19.97% 90-0.73% 10.00% -0.62% -2.07% 2.48% -0.02% -0.61% 91 旅館 2.62% 3.63% 2.51% -0.91% -1.98% -2.68% -0.57% 92 路 3.91% -7.75% -17.21% -19.38% -4.03% 4.79% -5.33% 93 陸 0.43% 7.26% 3.72% -2.36% 0.25% -0.39% -0.89% 192

1981-84 1984-86 1986-89 1989-91 1991-94 1994-96 1996-99 94-3.07% -6.17% 2.71% -6.59% 0.07% 0.92% -0.05% 95 1.03% 2.04% 0.80% -1.84% -1.83% -1.15% 0.46% 96 1.34% 189.39% 10.05% -40.64% 3.61% 13.42% 4.23% 97 10.99% -23.61% -19.34% 33.76% 0.51% -0.66% 3.67% 98 12.47% 1.38% 5.03% 0.96% 9.00% -3.16% -0.40% 99 金 -7.29% -22.35% 58.42% 65.86% 23.62% -7.43% 3.02% 100 1.63% 30.00% -13.44% 11.89% -0.76% -14.90% -8.58% 101 宅 -59.19% 0.01% -0.01% 0.00% 0.07% -0.05% 0.00% 102 37.36% 19.69% 13.03% 40.95% 7.94% 5.33% -2.29% 103 5.62% 85.29% 20.33% 279.07% 22.03% 11.78% 6.63% 104-14.04% -8.58% 10.27% 68.33% 13.19% 1.71% 10.02% 105 82.46% -45.72% 1.12% 26.88% 9.69% 6.36% 8.13% 106 行 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 107 2.22% 24.23% 5.70% 217.16% 33.59% 8.48% 4.91% 108 練 8.36% -4.82% 0.53% 1.10% 0.67% 0.98% 0.24% 109-10.76% 8.12% 52.58% 27.70% 1.36% 7.70% 13.30% 110 19.72% 31.04% 191.23% 3.38% 8.70% 34.17% -21.08% 111 療 6.41% -1.65% 1.38% 3.29% 1.27% -1.25% 0.56% 112 福利 16.66% -9.25% -81.42% 4.14% 0.36% -1.24% -0.15% 113 16.78% 12.67% 13.92% 10.71% 10.12% -4.20% 3.62% 114 16.97% 10.93% 11.19% -53.33% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 115 樂 -9.53% 5.30% 9.16% -26.67% 1.69% -4.55% 0.33% 116 理 14.04% 12.16% 14.27% 5.02% 10.54% 5.47% 4.33% 117 5.71% -0.05% 0.16% -39.91% 0.01% -0.21% 0.00% 118 3.70% -1.53% -0.39% 4.83% 0.73% -3.05% 2.17% 119 類不 3.47% -18.08% -10.88% -6.24% -22.50% 14.77% -18.43% 料來行 79-88 年聯理 193

194